Canada Votes 2019: Federal election B.C. edition


>>Robyn: WELCOME TO CANADA VOTES. TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF 40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A RELENTLESS CAMPAIGN.>>Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau: WHO WOULD LIKE US TO GO FURTHER.>>Rosemary: A CAMPAIGN OF POLICIES, PROMISES, ATTACKS, AND SOME SURPRISES.>>PUTTING PEOPLE FIRST.>>Elizabeth May: ATTACKING THE CLIMATE CRISIS. >>Rosemary: NOW IT IS VOTING TIME.>>I VOTE BECAUSE IT IS A PRIVILEGE.>>BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED.>>I VOTE BECAUSE I’M CANADIAN. >>Rosemary: THE POWER IS IN YOUR HANDS AND WE FIND OUT THE RESULTS. THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019. I’M ROSEMARY BARTON. WELCOME TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION HEADQUARTERS. THIS IS IT. THE CAMPAIGN IS OVER AND CANADA IS RIGHT NOW MAKING ITS CHOICE. WE ARE HOURS FROM FINDING OUT WHAT THAT IS. IT HAS BEEN AN INTENSE SIX WEEKS, AND IF THE POLLS ARE RIGHT A VERY TIGHT RACE FROM THE BEGINNING ALL THE WAY TO THE END. OUR CANADA VOTES TEAM IS HERE AND AT THE READY TO HELP GUIDE YOU THROUGH THE NIGHT. WE’VE GOT REPORTERS ACROSS THE COUNTRY WHERE THE LEADERS ARE AND ARE THE VOTERS ARE, AND WE WILL BE ON TOP OF THE RESULTS COAST TO COAST TO COAST. ALL 338 RIDINGS. THE FIRST RESULTS WILL COME, AS THEY ALWAYS DO FROM NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, AND THAT’S IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES’ TIME. THEN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, WE WILL KNOW HOW THIS COUNTRY HAS VOTED. BECAUSE IT HAS BEEN SUCH A TIGHT CAMPAIGN, IT’S POSSIBLE IT COULD BE A VERY LONG NIGHT. SO PREPARE YOURSELVES. OUR RESULTS DESK IS CERTAINLY AT THE READY. YOU KNOW THEM WELL IAN HANOMANSING, HEATHER HISCOX, AND ANDREW CHANG. WE’LL START WITH ANDREW BECAUSE HE’S GOING TO GUIDE US THROUGH THE BIG PICTURE AND THE BIG CHANGES WE WANT TO WATCH FOR THROUGHOUT THIS EVENING, AND HE HAS A SPECIAL TOOL TO DO THAT.>>Andrew: LET’S GO AHEAD AND PUNCH UP THE HOUSE OF COMMONS AS IT STOOD JUST PRIOR TO HOW IT STOOD BEFORE THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN. GET A GOOD LOOK AT IT AND WIPE IT FROM YOUR MIND. EVERY PARTY STARTS FROM ZERO. TWO QUESTIONS WE’LL TRY TO ANSWER, WHICH PARTY WILL WIN, AND WILL ANY PARTY WIN THE MAJORITY TO FORM GOVERNMENT. 170 IS THE NUMBER THEY NEED TO HIT TO DO JUST THAT. THAT’S 50% OF THE HOUSE OF COMMONS PLUS ONE SEAT. KEEP THAT IN THE BACK OF YOUR MIND. THERE’S ONE OTHER NUMBER I WANT YOU TO REMEMBER AS WE TAKE YOU THROUGH THIS EVENING. AND IT HAS TO DO WITH SHARE OF THE POPULAR VOTE. 38.5% IS THE NUMBER YOU WANT TO REMEMBER. NO GOVERNMENT HAS FORMED GOVERNMENT AND NOT HIT 38.5%. EVERY TIME A PARTY HAS CROSSED THAT THRESHOLD, THEY HAVE FORMED A MAJORITY. JUST BECAUSE WE HAVE NEVER SEEN A PARTY FORM A MAJORITY WITH LESS THAN 38.5% DOESN’T MEAN IT CAN’T HAPPEN, ESPECIALLY BECAUSE OF HOW MANY THREE-WAY AND FOUR-WAY RACES WE HAVE. WE MAY END UP IN MINORITY GOVERNMENT TERRITORY.>>Rosemary: SO IT COULD BE A CRAZY NIGHT AND ANDREW’S GOING TO KEEP HIS EYE ON THOSE NUMBERS AND UPDATE US AS THE RESULTS COME IN. DAVID COCHRANE IS KEEPING AN EYE ON IT.>>David: THAT’S RIGHT, ROSIE, THERE ARE 60 RIDINGS THAT COULD MAKE-OR-BREAK THIS NIGHT. THEY’RE ALL ACROSS THE COUNTRY FROM THE EAST COAST TO VANCOUVER ISLAND. MANY ARE KEY TO FORM GOVERNMENT. SOME ARE REPRESENTED BY INDEPENDENTS LIKE JANE PHILPOTT AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD. WE’LL BE WATCHING THOSE. WE’LL ZERO IN ON KEY BATTLEGROUNDS LIKE THE G.T.A. IN QUÉBEC WE’LL WATCH THE BLOC WHO COULD BLOCK ANY PARTIES’ CHANCES. THEN THERE IS THE PIPELINE AND BRITISH COLUMBIA. THE WILD WEST. TIGHT FOUR-WAY RACES THAT’S GOING TO KEEP THE COUNTRY UP VERY LATE.>>Rosemary: GET YOUR COFFEE READY. HEATHER HISCOX IS GOING TO TAKE US ACROSS THE COUNTRY.>>Heather: I VOW TO STAY WELL-CAFFEINATED. IF THERE’S A COMMON THREAD, IT IS UNCERTAINTY. THE POLLS HAVE BEEN SUGGESTING THERE ARE MANY SUPER-TIGHT RACES COAST TO COAST. THE VOTERS I HAVE BEEN SPEAKING TO ARE REALLY STRUGGLING WITH WHO TO VOTE FOR AND ON WHAT BASIS IN THEIR VOTING LIVES. THESE ARE VOTERS WITH TRADITIONAL VOTING PATTERNS. IF YOU THROW IN QUÉBECERS WHO HAVE THE MOST UNPREDICTABLE PATTERNS.>>Rosemary: HEATHER IS TRACKING THAT HALF OF THE COUNTRY AND IAN HAS THE OTHER LEFT.>>Ian: THAT’S RIGHT, ROSIE. LET’S START WITH NEW BRUNSWICK AND ALBERTA, TWO PROVINCES THAT ARE DIFFERENT IN MANY WAYS BE BUT SIMILAR. IN 2015 THE LIBERALS WON IN SOME CONSERVATIVE RIDINGS IN EACH OF THOSE PROVINCES. CAN THE LIBERALS HANG ON TO SOME OR ALL OF THOSE. IN ONTARIO IT’S ABOUT THE 905, THERE IS SO MUCH CHANGE FROM ELECTION TO ELECTION. IN BRITISH COLUMBIA IF YOU’RE COUNTING VOTES, COUNT THEM QUICKLY BECAUSE THOSE VOTES COULD MATTER.>>Rosemary: COUNT THEM ACCURATELY. NOW YOU’VE GOT AN IDEA ABOUT WHAT’S HAPPENING ON THE DESK. VASSY KAPELOS HAS BEEN HAPPENING THIS ALONG WITH EVERYBODY ELSE. WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM THE WAR ROOM?>>Vassy: WELL, ROSIE, THERE IS A WIDE RANGE IN TERMS OF THOSE WHO HAVE ACCESS TO POLLING THE NUMBER OF SEATS TO WIN, WHICH IS A BIT DIFFERENT FROM 2015. HOWEVER, THAT KIND OF SHARPENED OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS, FOR WHO THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES I’VE BEEN SPEAKING TO PREDICT A LIBERAL EDGE. IT’S NOT CLEAR HOW THAT MIGHT IMPACT THINGS. >>Rosemary: THAT MIGHT BE PART OF THE STORY, HOW THE RISE OF THE GREEN PARTY AND THE SPLIT WILL IMPACT THE VOTE ON LIBERALS AND CONSERVATIVES. IT’S BEEN 40 DAYS AND YOU’VE SEEN THEM OF LEADERS CRISSCROSSING CANADA, MAKING PROMISES HOW THEY WILL LEAD THE COUNTRY. LET’S START WITH JUSTIN TRUDEAU’S 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.>>Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau: IN EVERY ELECTION, WE GET TO MAKE AN IMPORTANT CHOICE ABOUT THE FUTURE OF OUR COUNTRY. WE GET TO DECIDE WHAT KIND OF FUTURE WE WANT TO BUILD TOGETHER. THAT’S WHY TODAY WE’RE ANNOUNCING THAT WE’RE ACTUALLY DOUBLING OUR ANNUAL INVESTMENTS IN CHILD CARE. CUT TAXES FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS AND GIVE THEM BREATHING ROOM. KEEP DELIVERING FOR THE MIDDLE CLASS. NATIONAL PHARMACARE. PLANT 2 BILLION TREES. BAN MILITARY-ASSAULT RIFLES.>>Rosemary: BREAKING NEWS, A DRAMATIC NIGHT IN CANADIAN POLITICS, A PHOTO OF HIM WEARING BROWNFACE.>>Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau: IT WAS A DUMB THING TO DO. IF JASON KENNEY AND DOUG FORD AND OTHER CONSERVATIVE PREMIERS DON’T WANT TO DO ANYTHING ON CLIMATE CHANGE.>>Rosemary: SALIMA SIVJI IS AT HEADQUARTERS TONIGHT. WHAT IS THE MOOD THERE?>>Reporter: THE ROOM IS READY, THE SOUND CHECK DONE, AND THE LIBERALS ARE FEELING CAUTIOUSLY OPTIMISTIC. JUSTIN TRUDEAU VOTED AND THEN WENT FOR A RUN IN MONTREAL. MAJOR CAMPAIGNING BLITZ FOR THE LAST TEN DAYS. THE LIBERALS’ CAMPAIGN TEAM FEELING GOOD. THEY’RE COUNTING ON THEIR GROUND GAME, FEELING CONFIDENT THAT THEIR GROUND GAME IS STRONGER THAN THE OTHER PARTIES, AND VOTER TURNOUT IMPORTANT FOR THE LIBERAL PARTY. >>Rosemary: SALIMA, WE WILL CHECK IN WITH YOU LATER. WE’VE GOT ANOTHER LIBERAL ODDLY TO THE LEFT OF ME, ROGER KUSNER, LONG-TIME M.P. IN CAPE BRETON. WHAT ARE THE LIBERAL FRIENDS TELLING YOU ABOUT HOW THEY’RE APPROACHING THE EVENING?>>IT’S BEEN A UNIQUE ELECTION. I THINK YOU NAILED IT WHEN YOU SAID IT WAS A RELENTLESS 40 DAYS AND AN INTENSE 40 DAYS. I’VE SCOURED MY PHONE. I HAVE YET TO FIND THE PROPER EMOJI TO ENCAPSULATE THE ENTIRE ELECTION. WILD AND WEIRD. WHEN I FOUND MYSELF RETWEETING ED THE SOCK ON TWITTER, I KNEW IT WAS DIFFERENT. IT’S GOING TO BE A WILD ONE WITH FOUR-WAY SPLITS.>>Rosemary: ROGER IS GOING TO BE HERE TO HELP US WITH ATLANTIC COVERAGE. TRUDEAU’S MAIN RIVAL IS ANDREW SCHEER. IT’S HIS FIRST TIME AT THIS FEDERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN THING. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT HOW HE DID IN 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS. >>Andrew Scheer: THE QUESTION THIS ELECTION IS VERY CLEAR. WHO CAN YOU TRUST TO HELP YOU AND YOUR FAMILY TO GET AHEAD? THE VERY FIRST ORDER OF BUSINESS FOR A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT, AN ACT TO REPEAL THE CARBON TAX. SCRAP THE CARBON TAX. CANCEL THE CARBON TAX. JOB NUMBER ONE. VERY EXCITED TO ANNOUNCE THE UNIVERSAL TAX CUT. THE DISABILITY TAX CREDIT. THE CHILDREN’S FITNESS TAX CREDIT.>>YES OR NO SAME-SEX MARRIAGE IS MORALLY — >>Andrew Scheer: I BELIEVE IN THE RIGHTS OF ALL. MY DAD WAS BORN IN THE UNITED STATES. I GREW UP MY WHOLE LIFE IN CANADA.>>YOU NEVER TOLD ANYBODY. >>Andrew Scheer: I WAS NEVER ASKED ABOUT IT. I HAVE NOTHING TO LEARN ABOUT MR. TRUDEAU WHO FIRED THE FIRST DISINGENUOUS ATTORNEY GENERAL. YOU ARE A PHONY AND A FRAUD AND YOU DO NOT DESERVE TO GOVERN THIS COUNTRY.>>Rosemary: LET’S HEAD TO KATIE SIMPSON. WHAT ARE THEY TELLING YOU TONIGHT, KATIE?>>Reporter: WELL, ROSIE, THERE IS AN INDICATION THAT BECAUSE THINGS ARE SO TIGHT THEY’RE PREPARED TO FIGHT WELL PAST ELECTION DAY. IF THIS RACE IS AS CLOSE AS IT SEEMS TO BE THE CONSERVATIVES ARE ABLE TO WIN MORE SEATS THAN THE LIBERALS, THEY ARE PREPARED TO TAKE THIS FIGHT TO CANADIANS AND CHALLENGE ANY SORT OF LEADERSHIP, EVEN THOUGH THESE NOT HOW THE RULES OF PARLIAMENT WORK. THERE IS A MAGIC NUMBER THEY’RE PUTTING OUT THERE. ANDREW SCHEER NEEDS TO WIN A DOZEN SEATS MORE THAN HIS COMPETITOR TO MAKE THE CASE.>>Rosemary: WE’LL TRACK BACK WITH KATIE. LET’S GO TO CORY TONIGHT. HE WAS THE 2018 CAMPAIGN MANAGER FOR THE ONTARIO PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE PARTY. WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE CONSERVATIVES SAYING THEY’RE ALREADY GEARING UP FOR A FIGHT?>>THEY’RE SETTING THE BAR HIGH, BUT ANDREW SCHEER PULLS OFF A LOT OF SURPRISE WINS IN HIS CAREER, HE’S BEEN UNDERESTIMATED, SO WE’LL SEE IF HE CAN PULL THE RABBIT OUT OF THE HAT. THEY MIGHT BE ABLE TO PICK UP SEATS IN THE MARITIMES AND SCORE BIG WINS IN ONTARIO AND SIGNIFICANT GAINS IN B.C. I THINK THE PRAIRIES THEY’VE GOT NAILED DOWN PRETTY SOLIDLY. BUT IT’S A HIGH BAR.>>Rosemary: CORY WILL BE WITH US THROUGH THE NIGHT. SPEAKING OF THE BAR, THE BAR WAS PRETTY LOW SET INITIALLY FOR THE N.D.P. LEADER JASMEET SINGH. NOT SURPRISING THAT HE MANAGED TO EXCEED MOST PEOPLE’S EXPECTATIONS FROM THIS CAMPAIGN. TAKE A LOOK AT JASMEET SINGH 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.>>Jagmeet Singh: WE WILL BRING A HOPEFUL MESSAGE TO CANADIANS. WHO’S ON YOUR SIDE AND WHO WILL FIGHT FOR YOU? WE CAN WORK TOGETHER ON INVESTING IN DENTAL CARE, PHARMACARE, TO BUILD HALF A BILLION CHILD CARE SPACES AND BUILD HALF A MILLION QUALITY AFFORDABLE HOMES ACROSS THE COUNTRY.>>YOU SHOULD CUT YOUR TURBAN OFF SO YOU LOOK LIKE A CANADIAN.>>Jagmeet Singh: I THINK CANADIANS LOOK LIKE ALL SORTS OF PEOPLE. THAT IS THE BEAUTY OF CANADA. EVERY SINGLE DAY OF MY LIFE IS CHALLENGING PEOPLE WHO THINK YOU CAN’T DO THINGS FOR THE WAY YOU LOOK.>>WILL YOU STILL TRY TO FORM A COALITION GOVERNMENT WITH THE LIBERALS?>>Jagmeet Singh: ABSOLUTELY. WE’RE NOT GOING TO SUPPORT A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT. WE’RE GOING TO FIGHT IT ALL THE WAY. [ APPLAUSE ]. >>Rosemary: OKAY. ALL THE WAY OUT TO THE WEST COAST IN BURNABY, BRITISH COLUMBIA, IS WHERE WE FIND HANNAH THIBEDEAU. WHAT ARE THEY TELLING YOU?>>Reporter: THEY FEEL THE MOMENTUM IS ON THEIR SIDE. AS YOU MENTIONED, WE WENT INTO THIS CAMPAIGN AND JASMEET SINGH AND THE N.D.P. COULD POTENTIALLY LOSE OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. WELL, HE PERFORMED AND HIS PARTY PERFORMED WELL OVER THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN. NOW WE THINK THEY WILL BE ACTUALLY ABLE TO KEEP THE SEATS OR TRY TO KEEP THE SEATS THEY CAME IN WITH, WHICH IS 39. THEY’LL BE LOOKING FOR THAT, AND THE ONE THEY ARE LOOKING FOR IS JACK HARRIS’ SEAT IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.>>Rosemary: HANNAH THIBEDEAU IS WITH US THROUGH THE NIGHT TO GAUGE N.D.P. REACTION. ALSO THE FORMER N.D.P. FOR HALIFAX FROM 2008 TO 2015. SHE’S NOW DIRECTOR OF W.W.F. CANADA. WHAT ARE YOUR FRIENDS TELLING YOU?>>I THINK EVERYONE CAN AGREE THE N.D.P. HAS RUN A GREAT CAMPAIGN, WHEN THEY WERE DECLARED DEAD AT THIS OUTSET. JASMEET SINGH’S STAR KEEPS RISING. ARE THE VOTES IN THE RIGHT PLACES THAT THEY CAN GAIN SEATS. WE WILL FIND OUT.>>Rosemary: WE’RE GOING TO TAKE A QUICK BREAK. OUR ELECTION COVERAGE CONTINUES IN A FEW MINUTES. POLLS CLOSE IN NEWFOUNDLAN [♪♪♪] >>Rosemary: WELCOME BACK TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION NIGHT HEADQUARTERS. POLLS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR CLOSE NOW IN JUST ABOUT 12 MINUTES’ TIME. SEVEN SEATS UP FOR GRABS. I PROMISED WE’D HAVE YOU COVERED. WHO ELSE BUT THE “AT ISSUE” PANEL. THEY HAVE A FIRST TASTE OF WHAT THEY’RE WATCHING FOR.>>THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS, I CAN ALREADY TELL YOU THAT THEY’RE GOING TO HAVE THEIR BEST NIGHT IN A DECADE, BUT HOW GOOD A NIGHT IT’S GOING TO BE. I’M GOING TO WATCH TO SEE THE SOVEREIGNIST VOTE IN QUÉBEC COMES IN LOWER AND REAL WORLD THAN ON THE LAST PART OF THE CAMPAIGN. INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT THAT DOES TO THE MATHEMATICS OF EVERYTHING ELSE. >>Rosemary: ANDREW, HOW ABOUT YOU?>>WE’RE WAITING TO SEE IF IT IS A MAJORITY OR MINORITY. IF IT IS A MINORITY LIKE EVERYONE EXPECTS, IS IT A STABLE MINORITY. THE CLOSER THE TWO PARTIES ARE TOGETHER, THEN THE LARGER OF NUMBER OF SEATS THEY HAVE TO GET IN ADDITION TO THEIR OWN SEATS TO FORM A GOVERNMENT. THE MORE THEY MAY HAVE TO RELY ON ONE PARTY’S SUPPORT OR TWO OR THREE. THAT’S WHAT WE’LL HAVE TO SEE. >>Rosemary: THAT COULD BE HAIRY.>>BEFORE WE COULD GET TO WHAT THE PARLIAMENT LOOKS LIKE, CAN THE GREENS MAKE A BREAKTHROUGH. THEIR BIG HOPE FOR A SINGLE-DIGIT INCREASE. THE N.D.P., CAN THEY HANG ON TO THE INCUMBENT SEATS THEY LOST IN 2015. THEY’RE SAYING THEY’VE SEEN A SURGE OVER THE LAST THREE DAYS, BUT THEY HAVEN’T BEEN ABLE TO I.D. THOSE VOTERS BE WITH SO THEY CAN’T PULL THAT VOTE. DOES THE BLOC EAT THE TORIES AND THE LIBERALS’ ABILITY TO OBTAIN A MAJORITY. CAN THOSE EXPECTED LOSSES BE OFFSET IN ONTARIO?>>Rosemary: WE WILL HEAR FROM YOU GUYS THROUGH THE NIGHT WHEN YOU’RE NOT DOING YOUR STORIES WRITING FOR YOUR RESPECTIVE NEWSPAPERS. IN TEN MINUTES’ TIME ELECTION COVERAGE CONTINUES RIGHT AFTER THIS. [♪ [♪♪♪] >>Rosemary: WELCOME BACK AGAIN TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION NIGHT HEADQUARTERS. THIS ELECTION IS OF COURSE REALLY ABOUT YOU, THE VOTERS. TONIGHT WE GET TO SEE WHAT YOU DECIDED. DUNCAN McCUE WAS IN ALBERTA JUST THIS WEEK. WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM PEOPLE?>>WHEN I WAS IN ALBERTA YESTERDAY FOR A TWIN TOWN HALL ON THE TRANS MOUNTAIN PIPELINE AND I WAS IN ALBERTA, WE ALSO HAD A LIVE AUDIENCE IN VANCOUVER. IT WAS — IN ALBERTA THE CONVERSATION IS VERY MUCH ABOUT JOBS, ABOUT ECONOMY, ABOUT PIPELINE. VERY DIFFERENT ELECTION CAMPAIGN CONVERSATION THAN WE’RE HAVING IN THE REST OF THE COUNTRY ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE AND AFFORDABILITY. IAN AND I ARE ACCUSTOMED TO TURNING ON THE TELEVISION AND SEEING THE ELECTION IS OVER IN BRITISH COLUMBIA. I DON’T THINK SO TONIGHT. I THINK THE PIPELINE COULD MATTER AND PEOPLE WILL BE WATCHING LATE AND WHAT HAPPENS IN BRITISH COLUMBIA.>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE WHETHER THE REGIONALIZED ELECTION MAKES A DIFFERENCE. WE HAVE JAYME POISSON WITH OUR CANADA VOTES WATCH PARTY. SHE HAS THE BEST SEATS IN THE HOUSE.>>Reporter: HI. I DO FEEL LIKE I HAVE THE BEST SEAT IN THE HOUSE. I’M THRILLED TO BE HERE WITH THESE INTERESTING, SMART, OPINIONATED CANADIANS. WE’RE GOING TO BE TALKING AND DEBATING ALL NIGHT. WE’RE DOING AN A.M.A. ON REDDIT AND FIELDING QUESTIONS THROUGH THE CBC’S SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS. LET’S START WITH RYAN MCMAHON. WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING FOR?>>IN 1960 INDIGENOUS PEOPLE WERE GIVEN THE RIGHT TO VOTE WITHOUT ENFRANCHISEMENT AND TONIGHT THERE ARE MANY RIDINGS WHERE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE ARE VOTING.>>Reporter: YOU WERE JUST ON A CALL WITH CITY COUNCIL.>>YOU KNOW, I’M REALLY LOOKING FORWARD BEYOND TONIGHT. I FOUND THIS TO BE AN INCREDIBLY DIVISIVE ELECTION, DIVISIVE ON ISSUES LIKE BILL 21. HOW DOES ANY GOVERNMENT MOVE THE COUNTRY TOGETHER.>>I’M LOOKING TO SEE WHAT CANADIANS THINK NOW. THIS WAS AN ELECTION OR A CAMPAIGN THAT I THOUGHT WAS LOW ON SUBSTANCE AND HIGH ON RHETORIC. I DON’T THINK ANYBODY GOT FOOLED. I THINK WE’RE GOING TO SEE THAT TONIGHT.>>I’M VERY INTERESTED OFF THE START TO FIND OUT HOW FAST RESULTS START COMING IN, BECAUSE SLOW RESULTS FROM LOCAL RIDINGS MEAN TIGHT, TIGHT RACES. THAT MEANS IT’S A LONG AND FASCINATING NIGHT.>>Reporter: LOOKING FORWARD TO DIGGING INTO ALL OF THIS WITH YOU.>>Rosemary: OKAY, JAYME, WE’LL CHECK IN WITH YOU AND ALL OUR NEW FRIENDS. WE’LL TAKE ONE SHORT BREAK. AND AFTER THAT THE BREAKS ARE OVER. STICK AROUND. [♪♪♪] [♪♪♪] >>Rosemary: WELCOME BACK. FIRST POLLS ARE CLOSING IN JUST OVER A MINUTE IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. VASSY IS HERE TO TELL US WHAT WE SHOULD WATCH FOR IN ATLANTIC CANADA.>>Vassy: THIS WILL BE WHEN WE SEE IF THINGS CHANGED FROM 2015. IN 2015 THIS IS WHEN WE KNEW SOMETHING WAS HAPPENING WITH THE LIBERALS. THIS IS WHEN WE WILL KNOW IF THINGS AREN’T HAPPENING.>>Rosemary: VASSY IS HERE WITH US ALL NIGHT. YOU PROBABLY WONDER WHAT THIS EMPTY CHAIR IS FOR. WE’RE SAVING IT FOR PETER MANSBRIDGE. HE LIKES TO SHOW UP WHEN THINGS START ROCKING. VASSY SAID THE SEVEN RIDINGS WERE ALL LIBERAL. SO THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WILL START TO LAY THE GROUNDWORK FOR POTENTIAL TRENDS. WILL THE LIBERALS BE ABLE TO HOLD THAT? THEY DON’T ANTICIPATE THAT. LET’S SEE WHAT THE MAP WILL LOOK LIKE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE HUGE SWATH OF RIDINGS AT 9:30 EASTERN, RIDINGS FROM QUÉBEC TO ALBERTA. THE FUTURE OF OUR COUNTRY IS ABOUT TO TAKE SHAPE. THIS IS YOUR TIME AND YOUR CHOICE. POLLS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ARE CLOSING RIGHT NOW. [♪♪♪] >>Rosemary: WELCOME TO CANADA VOTES. TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF 40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A RELENTLESS CAMPAIGN.>>Andrew Scheer: WHO CAN YOU TRUST. >>Jagmeet Singh: WHO CAN YOU COUNT ON.>>Rosemary: A CAMPAIGN OF SURPRISES.>>Elizabeth May: ADDRESSING THE CLIMATE CRISIS.>>Rosemary: NOW IT IS VOTING TIME.>>I VOTE.>>I VOTE.>>I VOTE BECAUSE IT’S A PRIVILEGE. >>BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED. >>I VOTE BECAUSE I’M CANADIAN. >>Rosemary: THE POWER IS IN YOUR HANDS AND TONIGHT WE FIND OUT THE RESULTS. THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019. HELLO THERE, I’M ROSEMARY BARTON. WE’RE EXPECTING OUR FIRST RESULTS TO COME IN AT ANY MOMENT OF COURSE FROM NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THEY LIKE TO GET THINGS GOING FIRST. POLLS CLOSING JUST SECONDS AGO. DAVID COCHRANE IS GOING TO WALK US THROUGH HIS HOME PROVINCE RESULTS.>>Reporter: THIS IS WHERE THE WAVE STARTED IN 2015 FOR JUSTIN TRUDEAU. IF HE’S GOING TO KEEP HIS JOB TONIGHT, HE NEEDS TO REPLICATE THAT SUCCESS. LIBERALS ARE CONFIDENT THEY’RE GOING TO GET SIX RIDINGS. THEY’RE WORRIED ABOUT ST. JOHN’S EAST. THAT’S THE ONE THEY’RE WATCHING BECAUSE THE LIBERALS ARE STRONG OVERALL IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THE PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT HERE IS LIBERAL. THOUGH IT WAS REDUCED TO A MINORITY IN THE LAST ELECTION. SO THERE’S VOLATILITY THERE. THAT COULD HELP THE N.D.P. SEAMUS O’REGAN MIGHT HAVE A CLOSER RACE THAN HE WOULD LIKE. WHAT YOU’RE LIKELY TO SEE IS A REAL SHOW OF STRENGTH FROM THE CONSERVATIVES. THE LAST CAMPAIGN SCORCHED AND SALTED THE EARTH FOR THE FEDERAL CONSERVATIVES IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. YOU MIGHT SEE THE NORTHERN COD COME BACK BEFORE THE CONSERVATIVES.>>Rosemary: WELL, I LIKE COD. I CAN BE TOTALLY OBJECTIVE ABOUT COD. LET’S GO TO ST. JOHN’S EAST IN NEWFOUNDLAND, AND THAT IS WHERE THE N.D.P.S ARE HOPING TO WIN BACK A RIDING FOR JACK HARRIS AND PETER COWAN IS THERE. HOW ARE THEY FEELING?>>Reporter: THE VOLUNTEERS ARE STILL OUT THERE. THEY’VE BEEN WORKING THEM TO THE LAST MINUTE BECAUSE THEY KNOW EVERY VOTE WILL COUNT. THIS IS A REMATCH. EVERYONE WAS SHOCKED WHEN JACK HARRIS LOST THIS RIDING. IT WAS THE LIBERAL WAVE. THIS TIME IT IS A DIFFERENT ELECTION. JACK HARRIS IS BACK. HE WASN’T READY TO RETIRE. HE’S RUNNING FOR HIS OLD JOB AND WHAT PEOPLE ARE HOPING IS THE BUMP THAT THE N.D.P. HAS SEEN IN THE POLLS OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS WILL BE THE PUSH THAT THE CAMPAIGN NEEDS TO RE-ELECT HIM IN THIS RIDING. IT’S INTERESTING THAT JASMEET SINGH DIDN’T EVEN VISIT THIS PROVINCE DURING THE ELECTION CAMPAIGN, AND THAT’S PERHAPS A RECOGNITION THAT JACK HARRIS HAS 30 YEARS OF POLITICAL EXPERIENCE, MORE THAN A DECADE AS PROVINCIAL LEADER, TWO TERMS AS THE M.P. HERE. AND WHETHER HE WINS OR LOSES TONIGHT IS LARGELY GOING TO BE ON HIS OWN RECORD. >>Rosemary: PETER COWAN IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. I VAGUELY REMEMBER WHEN JACK HARRIS LOST, HE WAS LIKE, THAT’S OKAY, I’M GOING TO GO HOME AND LIVE LIFE. HE HAD THE BUG.>>YEAH, I THINK HE WAS LOOKING FORWARD TO THAT AND REALIZED FOUR DAYS LATER THAT THAT WASN’T GOING TO WORK. JACK IS A HARD WORKER AND DOESN’T KNOW THE MEANING OF RETIREMENT. LOTS RIDING ON THIS RIDING. BEYOND ST. JOHN’S EAST, IT’S GOING TO BE A STRUGGLE FOR THE N.D.P. THE SALTING OF THE EARTH IS INCLUDED FOR US AS WELL, AND NOT MUCH OF A HISTORY, BUT THIS IS A RIDING THE N.D.P. IS EXCITED ABOUT. NICK WHALEN IS STRONG ON THE GROUND, BUT PEOPLE LOVE JACK HARRIS.>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE WHAT HAPPENS FOR HIM TONIGHT. ROGER, WHAT WILL YOU BE WATCHING FOR?>>IT’S FERTILE FOR US TO HOLD SEATS THERE. I AGREE WITH MEGAN IN THE ASSESSMENT THAT JACK HARRIS — IT WAS A LITTLE STRANGE IN 2015. ALL THE ELEMENTS CAME TOGETHER FOR US IN ATLANTIC CANADA. THERE WAS — PEOPLE WEREN’T COMFORTABLE ANY LONGER WITH THE HARPER GOVERNMENT. TEN YEARS HAD WORN THIN. THEY WERE EXCITED ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU. WE CAUGHT A LITTLE BIT OF THAT WAVE AND ENERGY. WE HAD A GREAT SLATE OF CANDIDATES AND NICK WHALEN BENEFITTED FROM THAT. I THINK JACK WOULD TELL YOU HIMSELF, MAYBE HIS GROUND GAME WASN’T AS SHARP BECAUSE EVERYONE LOVED JACK HARRIS. I THINK NICK WAS A LITTLE BIT SURPRISED HIMSELF. NICK IS A GREAT MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT, SO THAT WILL BE A GREAT ONE TO WATCH.>>Rosemary: OKAY, CORY, I WOULDN’T MIND GOING TO YOU. IS WHAT DAVID SAYS TRUE?>>THE SALTED — >>Rosemary: YOU GET OVER THE BOAT AND NEVER COME IN.>>YOU NEVER GET IN A FIGHT IN NEWFOUNDLAND WITH DANNY WILLIAMS. THESE ARE RULES THAT MUST BE APPLIED TO LIFE. WE’RE NOT LOOKING FOR ANY SEATS IN NEWFOUNDLAND, BUT AS A BROADER MARITIME PROVINCES, I THINK THERE ARE OPPORTUNITIES THERE TO REGAIN SOME TRADITION SEATS AND WE’LL SEE HOW MANY WE CAN BRING BACK. CERTAINLY I THINK FOR ANDREW TO HIT THE TARGETS TO GET A CONSERVATIVE MINORITY GOVERNMENT, YOU’RE LOOKING IN SOMETHING OF THE 10 TO 12 SEAT RANGE IN THE MARITIMES. THAT WILL BE A HIGH BAR BECAUSE THERE WON’T BE ANY OF THOSE COMING OUT OF NEWFOUNDLAND. >>Rosemary: LET ME JUST TELL YOU WHAT’S ON YOUR SCREEN. YOU’LL SEE ON THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN WHAT WE CALL THE MINI BOARD WHERE YOU’LL SEE THE SEATS LEADING AND ELECTED POP UP. 338 RIDINGS AS YOU KNOW BY NOW. 170 IS THE TARGET FOR A MAJORITY. WE’LL TRACK THAT. THE MARITIME SEATS WILL BE COMING IN IN 23 MINUTES’ TIME. IT SHOULDN’T BE LONG BEFORE WE SEE SOME OF THE NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR RESULTS. CHANTAL, WANT TO WEIGH IN ON THE ATLANTIC AND WHAT’S AT STAKE AND WHAT YOU’RE EXPECTING?>>I EXPECT THE LIBERALS TO DO OKAY IN ATLANTIC CANADA. I DON’T THINK IT WAS A MAJOR BATTLEGROUND, BUT I AGREE THERE ARE TRADITIONAL CONSERVATIVE SEATS AND ON A WINNING YEAR, EVEN IF YOU WIN A MINORITY, YOU SHOULD BE WINNING BACK THOSE TRADITIONAL SEATS. >>Rosemary: PLACES LIKE NEW BRUNSWICK.>>IF YOU FALL SHORT, IT SENDS A SIGNAL. I SAY ALL THAT AND THEN CAUTION AGAINST THE NOTION THAT ATLANTIC CANADA SETS A TREND. IF IT DID, JEAN CHRETIEN CAME OUT HAVING LOST SEATS TO THE N.D.P. IN PARTICULAR, BUT NOT EXCLUSIVELY, IF THAT HAD BEEN A TREND, HE WOULD HAVE BEEN THE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION AT THE END OF THE NIGHT. ONCE YOU NIGHT QUÉBEC AND ONTARIO. OBVIOUSLY ONTARIO WAS A BIG DEAL FOR CHRETIEN. IT’S A MICROCLIMATE IN THE SAME WAY AS ALBERTA WILL BE.>>Rosemary: IT WILL BE A DIFFERENT WAY THAN THE 2015 WHEN SO MUCH WENT RED. HAVE YOU NOTED THAT AS WELL?>>2015 IN ATLANTIC WAS AN ABERRATION. I DON’T THINK YOU’RE GOING TO SEE THE SAME PATTERN THIS TIME. I THINK EARLIER IN THE CAMPAIGN IT LOOKED THEY COULD PICK UP THE 10 OR 12, BUT NOW 6 OR 7.>>Rosemary: WHAT DO YOU THINK, ALTHIA?>>I REMEMBER CALLING MEGAN AND ASKING HER IF SHE WAS WORRIED ABOUT HER RIDING, SHE WAS LIKE, NO, I’M NOT WORRIED AT ALL. NONE WHATSOEVER. AND THE STRATEGIC VOTING THING ACTUALLY WORKED AGAINST MEGAN. AND A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO WERE THRILLED AT HAVING HER AS THEIR M.P. WERE DISCOURAGED THAT SHE WAS NO LONGER THEIR MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT. WHO KNOWS WHAT HAPPENS IN HALIFAX. I THINK IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, THERE ARE STRONG LOCAL M.P.s WHO ARE SURVIVE REGARDLESS OF THE TREND AGAINST MR. TRUDEAU. I THINK OF SCOTT SIMMS, FOR EXAMPLE, IN THE NORTHERN PART OF THE RIDING. HE CAME — >>Rosemary: THE STUDENT GRANTS WHERE YOU HAD TO SAY I AM PROABORTION — >>OR AT LEAST I’M NOT ANTI-ABORTION. SO I THINK THAT IS GOING TO SAVE RIDINGS THAT WERE CLOSER. I REMEMBER CALLING YOUR PARTY AND THEY WERE LIKE THIS MIGHT BE THE YEAR THAT A.B.C. IS OVER. OH, GREAT, I ASKED ONE OF OUR YOUNGER REPORTERS AND ASKED THEM TO CALL THE TORIES AND BY JUNE THEY WERE LIKE, THAT’S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. >>Rosemary: DAVID, OTHER THAN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, IS THERE A STORY LINE OVERALL FOR THE ATLANTIC IN TERMS OF HOW THEY HAVE APPROACHED THIS PRIME MINISTER AND HOW THEY HAVE FELT ABOUT THIS PRIME MINISTER?>>HOW IT’S GOING TO PLAY OUT TONIGHT. FIRST THERE IS AN ELEMENT OF VOLATILITY IN ATLANTIC CANADA. THREE OF THE FOUR GOVERNMENTS ARE MINORITY GOVERNMENTS. THERE IS SOME VOLATILITY AND CHANGE THERE. NORMALLY YOU SWING BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN LIBERAL AND CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY WITH SOME OUTLIER EXCEPTIONS. ONCE YOU GET OFF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR AND GET INTO THE MARITIMES, THAT’S WHERE THE BATTLE BEGIN. THE POLLS TELL US THIS IS A TOP-LINE BATTLE FOR SEATS. MAINLAND ATLANTIC CANADA IS WHERE YOU’LL SEE THAT. I JUST GOT A TEXT FROM A FRIEND IN ST. JOHN’S IN A POLLING STATION THAT ARE LOCKED IN WAITING TO VOTE. THEY’RE SEVEN OR EIGHT DEEP IN LINE AND THE DOORS ARE LOCKED BEHIND THEM. IF THERE’S GOOD TURNOUT IN ST. JOHN’S EAST, THAT IS THE MOST COMPETITIVE SEAT.>>Rosemary: WE’RE WAITING FOR THE RESULTS TO COME IN FROM NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THE OTHER THING TO KEEP YOUR EYE AND MIND ON AS WE GET THE REST OF THE RESULTS FROM THE MARITIMES IS WHETHER THE GREENS BREAK IN. THEY’VE HAD SUCCESS THERE PROVINCIALLY. CAN THEY PICK UP SUPPORT AND WHAT IMPACT DOES THAT HAVE IN TERMS OF VOTE SPLITTING. ANOTHER FRIEND IS IN NOVA SCOTIA. HE FINISHED HIS SHOW — WE MUST HAVE MADE A MISTAKE HERE. I’M KIDDING. IT’S MARK KRITC. YOU HAVE A LIVE AUDIENCE?>>I HAVE A LIVE AUDIENCE. CHAWS [ Cheering and Applause ]. >>Rosemary: WE GOT NONE OF THAT. WE’RE JUST TALKING TO OURSELVES. WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING FOR THERE?>>I AM WATCHING FOR THIS BLOODY THING TO BE OVER. THIS IS LIKE BEATING YOUR HEAD AGAINST A POST. WE MIGHT HAVE A MINORITY BECAUSE JUSTIN DECIDED TO LOOK LIKE A MINORITY. IT COULD BE A COALITION. NOBODY KNOWS. THIS IS THE LEAST-WANTED N.D.P.-LIBERAL MERGER SINCE JUSTIN ACCIDENTALLY ELBOWED RUTH IN THE CHEST. I AM HERE RECORDING A SHOW. DO WE HAVE RESULTS YET?>>Rosemary: NO, NO RESULTS. WE’RE WAITING FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR TO GET TO BUSY.>>THAT’S BECAUSE IT’S HALF AN HOUR LATER IN NEWFOUNDLAND. THIS IS THE TALKING OUT YOUR [BEEP] PART OF PUNDITRY. IT WILL BE LIKE A DIFFERENT GROUP OF PARTIES COMING TOGETHER, LIKE THE AVENGERS, BUT THEY WILL BE FIGHTING — ANDREW SCHEER WOULD BE THE AMERICAN. EVERYONE COMING FROM WITHIN THE HOUSE — >>Rosemary: I GET TO CUT YOU OFF BECAUSE WE HAVE A RESULT.>>WE HAVE A RESULT? I HOPE IT’S NOT PREGNANT. WHAT’S THE RESULT?>>Rosemary: DAVID COCHRANE IS GOING TO GIVE IT TO YOU NOW.>>IT’S NOT PREGNANT, MARK. IT’S SCOTT SIMMS, COAST OF BAYS-CENTRAL-NOTRE DAME. CONSERVATIVES UP, ALEX BRACCI. HE’S AHEAD OF SCOTT SIMMS. HE GOT INTO SOME HOT WATER WITH HIS OWN PARTY. HE LOST HIS CHAIRMANSHIP WITH THE FISHERIES COMMITTEE. SIMMS HAS A RELIGIOUS POPULATION IN HIS RIDING. THIS IS THE BIBLE BELT. HE WAS CERTAINLY PLAYING TO THE WISHING OF HIS RIDING WHEN HE TOOK THAT STAND AND IT COST HIM A SEAT. DESPITE THE FACT HE CHAIRED JUSTIN TRUDEAU’S CAMPAIGN.>>Rosemary: NO HARD FEELINGS. LET ME SHOW YOU THIS MAP. DON’T EXPECT THAT PART TO STAY BLUE, BUT THIS IS WHAT WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT THROUGH THE NIGHT. IT WILL GROW BIGGER AND BIGGER AS WE INCLUDE MORE PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. YOU WILL SEE THE TREND LINES OF THIS. LAST TIME THIS WAS ALL RED. WE WILL SEE WHAT COLOUR IT TURNS THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. AND THEN WE’LL SHOW THESE THINGS AS MORE RESULTS COME IN. 15 MINUTES AWAY FROM MARITIME RESULTS. 25 SEATS IN TOTAL. VERY EARLY REPORTING IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THIS IS WHAT HAPPENS WITH ELECTIONS. WHEN YOU GET TO 9:30, ALL HELL BREAKS LOOSE, FRANKLY, BECAUSE YOU’VE GOT 263 RIDINGS THAT START REPORTING. THAT’S WHEN THINGS START GETTING A LITTLE BIT WILD. VASSY.>>Vassy: I THINK WHEN THE REST OF THE ATLANTIC RIDINGS COME IN, THE EFFECT OF THE STRATEGIC VOTING MESSAGE IN 2015. I’M CURIOUS TO SEE WHAT KIND OF EFFECT, AND WE’LL PROBABLY ONLY SEE SOME OF THAT IN THE ATLANTIC, AND PARTICULARLY IN ONTARIO THAT MIGHT RESONATE, BUT THERE WAS A SHARPENED MESSAGE FROM THE LIBERALS AND TO A CERTAIN DEGREE THE LIBERALS OVER THE PAST SEVEN OR EIGHT DAYS, YOU HAVE TO VOTE FOR US TO KEEP THE OTHER PEOPLE OUT. IT’S A DIFFERENT MESSAGE BECAUSE THERE’S NO STEPHEN HARPER ON THE OTHER SIDE. I’M CURIOUS TO SEE TO WHAT DEGREE DID THAT RESONATE WITH PEOPLE. I THINK WE MIGHT GET OUR FIRST INDICATION IN ATLANTIC CANADA, BUT YOU HAVE TO SEE MORE.>>Rosemary: WHEN YOU’RE USING IT TO SAY WE JUST WANT TO STOP A GUY YOU’VE NEVER SEEN BEFORE BECAUSE WE THINK HE’S GOING TO CUT THINGS — >>Vassy: LIKE DOUG FORD.>>Rosemary: DAVID, YOU WANTED IN.>>TO SUMMARIZE, IT WAS LIKE HARPER TOOK THE STUFF AND WE GAVE THE STUFF BACK. THEY HAD MACCAULEY, VETERANS’ OFFICES BEING CLOSED, THINGS THAT MATTERED IN SMALLER PLACES, SO THEY TRIED TO GO AFTER THAT — THAT IS THE CHALLENGE FOR SCHEER AND BEING SO UNKNOWN AND UNDEFINED, THEY WERE ABLE TO DO SOME OF IT.>>Rosemary: I WOULD SAY AS MUCH AS IT’S UNCERTAIN THAT THAT STRATEGY WORKED, IT’S NOT CLEAR THAT THIS BIG SCARY COALITION WORKED EITHER. I DON’T KNOW WHETHER THAT TRADED IN ANY WAY AND WHETHER THAT’S A BIG SCARY THING FOR CANADIANS.>>JASMEET SINGH MENTIONED IT ON A SUNDAY, WALKED IT BACK ON A MONDAY, RESURRECTED IT ON A TUESDAY. SCHEER SAID THIS IS PROOF AND THIS IS HAPPENING — OH, WE HAVE A NEW RESULT. IT LOOKS LIKE — >>Rosemary: IT LOOKS LIKE SCOTT SIMMS HAS COME BACK.>>YES, REPORTS OF HIS DEMISE WERE EXAGGERATED FROM COAST OF BAYS-CENTRAL-NOTRE DAME. HE’S GONE DOWN BY 13 VOTES. LOOK AT THAT, IT’S 44-26, SCOTT SIMMS WITH AN 18-VOTE LEAD OVER ALEX BRACCI. MY PEOPLE ARE FAST TALKERS AND SLOW VOTERS. THERE ARE PEOPLE STILL IN POLLING STATIONS, AND THEY CAN’T START THE VOTE UNTIL EVERYONE’S OUT.>>Rosemary: ONCE YOU’RE IN, YOU’RE IN. I’M GLAD YOU SAID THAT ABOUT YOUR PEOPLE. WE’RE STILL STANDING BY FOR MORE RESULTS. IT GETS SLOW IN THE BEGINNING AND GETS FAST AS THE NIGHT GOES ON. DAVID COMMON IS GOING TO HELP TRACK THE PACE OF THAT NIGHT. HE’S IN THE GREATER TORONTO AREA. IS THAT SOME SORT OF WILD PARTY OR SOMETHING?>>Reporter: THAT’S EXACTLY IT. THE WINE IS FLOWING, SO IS THE CONVERSATION ABOUT POLITICS. THIS IS A FAMILY IN BURLINGTON. THIS IS ONE OF THOSE 33 SEATSN THE 905 AREA. THIS IS ONE OF THE SEATS THAT COULD BE SWING. DID EVERYBODY VOTE?>>YES.>>Reporter: THERE WERE LOTS OF VOTES. THEY WERE INVOLVED IN WHAT WAS GOING ON, WATCHING THROUGH THE PEEPHOLE, WATCHING THE CONVERSATION. WATCHING THE ATLANTIC CANADA RESULTS. WAITING FOR POLLS TO CLOSE.>>Rosemary: MAKE SURE THAT THEY’RE ON OUR CHANNEL, THAT WILL HELP THEM KNOW WHEN WE’RE COMING TO YOU. >>Reporter: THEY ARE. >>Rosemary: THERE’S 12 WATCHERS. DAVID IS GOING TO BE MOVING THROUGH THE G.T.A. THROUGH THE NIGHT. WE’LL SEE HOW MANY PEOPLE AND RIDINGS HE CAN HIT.>>IT TAKES A GOOD KITCHEN PARTY TO GET THE PARTY MOVING IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. HERE IS BONAVISTA-BURIN-TRINITY. THIS RIDING WAS WON BY JUDY FOOT BEFORE. THIS IS THE RIDING ON THE WEST COAST OF THE ISLAND OF NEWFOUNDLAND. THE REAL BASE AT THE FEDERAL AND PROVINCIAL LEVEL. THIS IS WHERE BRIAN TOBIN USED TO RUN UP. >>Rosemary: THESE ARE LOCAL CANDIDATES. THAT’S WHAT WORKS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR.>>THEY’RE ALL WELL-KNOWN. SCOTT SIMMS IS WELL-KNOWN. HE GIVES A LOT OF SPEECHES AT THE HOTEL GANDER AND THEY HAVE A BOX THAT’S SCOTT’S BOX BECAUSE HE’S NOT THAT TALL AND IT’S WHAT HE STANDS ON. AND GUDIE HUTCHINGS.>>Rosemary: JUST SO YOU’RE WONDERING WHAT THE HECK IS GOING ON, THERE’S LESS THAN 300 VOTES COUNTED IN THE PROVINCE SO FAR. AS DAVID POINTS OUT, IT MAY BE SLOW GOING IF PEOPLE WERE LINED UP AND WAITING TO VOTE BEFORE THE COUNTING BEGAN. IT’S NOT THAT THE POLLS WERE OPEN LONGER, IT’S JUST THAT THEY WERE TAKING LONGER TO COME IN. THE MARITIMES CLOSE IN 10 MINUTES’ TIME. THIS IS WHAT THE MAP LOOKS LIKE NOW. THAT IS THE LIBERAL PARTY. NO ONE ELSE ON THE BOARD. VERY, VERY NUMBERS. DUNCAN McCUE, LET’S GO BACK TO YOU. I IMAGINE YOU’VE TALKED TO PEOPLE IN ATLANTIC CANADA. WHAT WAS THE IMPRESSION THEY LEFT WITH YOU IN TERMS OF THE THINGS THEY WERE THINKING OF DURING THE ELECTION. >>I’LL TELL YOU RIGHT NOW, IT’S A LOT OF FEAR. PEOPLE — I MEAN CHRISTINE BRODY SHARED THIS, I’VE NEVER BEEN SO SCARED TO SEE WHAT OUR GOVERNMENT IS GOING TO LOOK LIKE AFTER AN ELECTION. I WANT TO PICK UP ON A POINT YOU MENTIONED ABOUT THE GREENS. WE’RE ABOUT 10 MINUTES AWAY FROM THE MARITIMES OPENING. LAST ELECTION I WAS WITH ELIZABETH MAY AT GREEN HEADQUARTERS. THERE WAS TALK OF A GREEN WAVE, A GREEN SURGE. THAT DIDN’T HAPPEN. THEY’RE TALKING ABOUT IT AGAIN. I’M WATCHING TO SEE HOW THEY DO IN THE MARITIMES. THEY’RE LOOKING TO MAKE INROADS IN THE MARITIMES. THE GREENS DID WELL PROVINCIALLY IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND P.E.I. IF THE GREENS CAN TAKE A SEAT IN THE MARITIMES, THAT WILL BE A VICTORY FOR THEM, BUT THAT WILL ALSO CUT INTO LIBERAL VOTES. FOUR SEATS UP FOR GRAB IN P.E.I. FOR THE GREENS THAT MAKES A BIG DIFFERENCE.>>Rosemary: THEY PROVINCIALLY FORM THE OPPOSITION, THE GREEN PARTY. THERE IS AN OPENNESS TO THE GREEN PARTY ON THE ISLAND. DAVID COCHRANE HAS MORE RESULTS.>>WE HAVE A TORRENT OF RESULTS. WE HAVE RESULTS FROM LABRADOR YVONNE JONES HAS A LEAD. JONES HAS REPRESENTED PARTS OF LABRADOR. SHE IS A GOOD CAMPAIGNER. A POPULAR DISTRICT POLITICIAN. HERE IS KEN MACDONALD, THE FORMER MAYOR OF CONCEPTION BAY SOUTH. HE HAS A 26-VOTE LEAD OVER MATTHEW CHAPMAN. THEY WERE HOPING TO GET PAUL DAVIS TO RUN FOR THEM. INSTEAD THEY GOT MATT CHAPMAN. HE IS COMING UP SHORT IN AVALON. SEAMUS O’REGAN HAD TO TAKE TIME AWAY FROM THE CAMPAIGN TRAIL BECAUSE HIS FATHER WAS HOSPITALIZED DURING THIS CAMPAIGN. AT TIMES IT LOOKED QUITE SEVERE, BUT I HEARD THAT HE’S UP, AWAKE IN THE HOSPITAL, AND WATCHING THE SHOW.>>Rosemary: THANKS FOR THAT. ONLY 700 VOTES. THIS IS SLOW. IF YOU NOTICE, IF I CAN SHOW YOU THE MAP, WHILE WE HAVE LEADING IN ALL THOSE RIDINGS, THAT LITTLE TIP ON THE END IS ST. JOHN’S EAST AND WE DON’T HAVE ANYTHING FROM ST. JOHN’S EAST. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A NERVOUS NIGHT. IS JACK HARRIS A NERVOUS OR ANXIOUS FELLOW?>>HE’LL A LITTLE BIT.>>Rosemary: SO HE WILL — WE WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT’S GOING ON THERE. I DON’T THINK ANYONE SHOULD THINK THIS IS ABNORMAL AT THIS STAGE. THINGS ARE SLOW AND A LITTLE STRANGE WE DON’T HAVE ANYTHING FROM ST. JOHN’S EAST. I’M SURE WE WILL QUICKLY. IN SIX MINUTES’ TIME WE WILL GET MORE FROM THE MARITIMES, PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND, NEW BRUNSWICK, NOVA SCOTIA. THAT WILL GIVE US A BETTER SENSE OF WHAT HAPPENS HAPPENING IN THE MARITIMES. WHILE WE ARE TALKING ABOUT THE POTENTIAL RISE OF THE GREEN PARTY IN TERMS OF VOTE SHARE, LET’S LOOK BACK AT ELIZABETH MAY’S 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.>>Elizabeth May: THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT TELLING THE TRUTH TO CANADIANS ABOUT HOW SERIOUS THE CLIMATE EMERGENCY REALLY IS. WE NEED TO MOVE AWAY FROM FOSSIL FUELS AS QUICKLY AS POSSIBLE. WE’RE CERTAINLY NOT A ONE-ISSUE PARTY. BRING IN REAL PHARMACARE, CANCELLING TUITIONS. WE WANT TO ENSURE THAT NO ONE IS LEFT HOMELESS AND BRINGING IN GUARANTEED LIVABLE INCOME. I’M NOT A WOMAN WHO WILL RETREAT FROM THE RIGHT OF A WOMAN TO A SAFE AND LEGAL ABORTION. WE WILL NOT HAVE A CANDIDATE WHO THINKS THEY CAN WORK TO BREAK UP THE COUNTRY. VOTE GREEN, IT FEELS GOOD. TO AVOID CATASTROPHIC LEVELS OF GLOBAL WARMING, WE MUST NOT BUILD THE TRANS MOUNTAIN PIPELINE. IT’S HEART-BREAKING FOR ME TO KNOW YOU COULD HAVE DONE SO MUCH MORE IN THE LAST FOUR YEARS. PLEASE, GOD, DON’T GET A MAJORITY.>>Rosemary: TANIA FLETCHER IS STANDING BY AT GREEN PARTY HEADQUARTERS. WHAT’S THE MOOD THERE?>>Reporter: IT’S QUITE RELAXED AND MUCH LIKE ELIZABETH MAY HERSELF OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS. THE LEADER IS EXPECTED TO BE HERE AND SHE IS GOING TO WATCH THE RESULTS COME IN. SHE IS VERY CONFIDENT AND SHE’S THE MOST EXPERIENCED LEADER HEADING INTO THIS. THIS IS HER FOURTH FEDERAL ELECTION. SPENDING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS WITH HER THROUGH THE HOME STRETCH OF HER CAMPAIGN, SHE WAS ON VANCOUVER ISLAND AND THIS IS CLEARLY WHERE THEY’RE THROWING ALL OF THEIR HOPES. RIGHT NOW MOST OF THOSE RIDINGS BELONG TO THE N.D.P., AND YOU CAN TELL THAT IS WHERE THE TUG OF WAR IS. YOU HEAR SOME NASTY ATTACKS, THE GREENS ACCUSING THE N.D.P. OF CIRCULATING LEAFLETS. I ASKED ELIZABETH MAY HOW THIS CAMPAIGN COMPARED TO YEARS PAST. SHE SAID BY FAR, THIS IS THE NASTIEST AND DIRTIEST CAMPAIGN WITH THE MUD SLINGING. SHE GOES ROGUE AS A LEADER AND DOESN’T STICK TO A SCRIPT. YOU SEE THAT AND WONDER WHEN THAT IS GOING TO TAKE EFFECT. THE GREENS HAVE STRUGGLED IN THE POLLS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE CAMPAIGN AND STRUGGLED TO GET THAT MOMENTUM GOING, ESPECIALLY ON THE HEELS OF CRITICAL TIMING. WE SAW THE CLIMATE RALLIES ACROSS THE GLOBE. PERHAPS GRETA THUNBERG HAS BEEN HER GREATEST CAMPAIGNER. WILL SHE BE ABLE TO LEVERAGE THAT MOMENTUM, THAT IS YET TO BE SEEN.>>Rosemary: MEANWHILE, POLLS CLOSING IN THE MARITIMES IN JUST OVER THREE MINUTES’ TIME AS WE AWAIT FOR MORE RESULTS FROM NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, BUT HEATHER IS GOING TO BE WATCHING A COUPLE OF PLACES IN THE MARITIMES. TELL US WHAT YOU ARE EXPECTING. >>ELIZABETH MAY WAS TARGETING P.E.I. COULD THE ISLAND’S FAMOUS FANS BE SHIFTING? THE ISLAND HAS BEEN RELIABLY RED FOR DECADES, BUT AS DUNCAN WAS MENTIONING LAST APRIL THEY GOT 30% OF THE VOTE AND THAT WAS THE CHANCE TO FORM THE OFFICIAL OPPOSITION FOR THE FIRST TIME IN CANADA. COULD P.E.I. GIVE THE GREENS ANOTHER HISTORIC BREAKTHROUGH. THERE IS A TRUE BLUE BASE IN RURAL MAINLAND NOVA SCOTIA. KEEP IN MIND THE NUMBER FIVE, BECAUSE THAT’S THE NUMBER OF LIBERAL INCUMBENTS NOT RUNNING FOR RE-ELECTION. THAT’S NEARLY HALF. THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE CAPPED M.L.A.s TO RUN. WEST NOVA AS WELL. WE WILL BE WATCHING THE HIGH-PROFILE CANDIDATES AND THEY’RE LIKELY TO MAKE THINGS INTERESTING IN A PROVINCE WITH EPIC CONSERVATIVE BATTLES. >>Rosemary: SOMETHING TO KEEP IN MIND AS WE GET READY FOR THE POLLS TO CLOSE IN THE MARITIMES. THE PACE IS PICKING UP. THINGS WILL START TO COME IN QUICKER. IAN IS WATCHING NEW BRUNSWICK, HIS HOME PROVINCE. >>Ian: WE TOUCHED ON THIS. NOT EVEN THE MOST OPTIMISTIC LIBERALS EXPECT TO GO 10-0 IN THE PROVINCE OF NEW BRUNSWICK. THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE PROVINCE IS WHERE THE CONSERVATIVES ARE STRONG. IF THERE IS TO BE CHANGE IN NEW BRUNSWICK, IT WILL HAPPEN IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE PROVINCE. LET’S LOOK AT THE SOUTHERN RIDINGS. WE’RE GOING TO START WITH NEW BRUNSWICK SOUTHWEST. THIS IS ONE OF THE RIDINGS WHERE MP.s LOST THEIR SEATS TO THE CONSERVATIVES ARE RUNNING TONIGHT. JOHN WILLIAMSON IS ONE OF THOSE. HE WON IN THE ELECTION IN 2011 BY MORE THAN 10,000 VOTES. IN FACT, THE LIBERALS PLACED THIRD IN THE RIDING. TOBIQUE-MACTAQUAC IS ONE OF THE RIDINGS THEY’VE DONE WELL. ONE LAST APPLIEDING, FUNDY ROYAL. IN THE LONG HISTORY OF THIS RIDING, CONSERVATIVES OR PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVES HAVE WON IN THIS RIDING EVERY SINGLE TIME WITH TWO EXCEPTIONS. PAUL ZED WON FOR A SINGLE TERM AND ELAINE LONG.>>Rosemary: AND PEOPLE WHO USED TO BE M.P.s TRYING TO COME BACK AND REGAIN THE SEATS. LET’S SHOW YOU THE MAP BEFORE WE GET RESULTS FROM THE MARITIMES. THIS IS WHAT NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR LOOKS LIKE NOW. 4,000 VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED SO FAR. LOTS MORE TO COME. THAT LITTLE TIP ON THE EAST, ST. JOHN’S EAST, STILL NOT REPORTING ANYTHING. THAT IS THE PLACE WHERE WE EXPECT TO SEE A TIGHTER BATTLE BETWEEN THE N.D.P. AND THE LIBERALS. WE’LL GET MORE INFORMATION THERE. IN THE MEANTIME WE’VE GOT 25 SEATS COMING IN FROM P.E.I., NEW BRUNSWICK, AND NOVA SCOTIA. THAT WILL BRING US UP TO 32 SEATS SO FAR. STAY WITH US. WE’LL BRING YOU MORE RESULTS STARTING RIGHT NOW. [♪♪♪] >>Rosemary: WELCOME TO CANADA VOTES. TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF 40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A RELENTNESS CAMPAIGN. >>Andrew Scheer: WHO CAN YOU TRUST. >>Jagmeet Singh: WHO CAN YOU COUNT ON. >>Rt. Hon. Justin Trudeau: WHO WOULD LIKE US TO GO FORTH. >>Rosemary: A CAMPAIGN OF SURPRISES, POLICIES, ATTACKS.>>Elizabeth May: ADDRESSING THE CLIMATE CRISIS.>>Rosemary: NOW IT IS VOTING TIME.>>I VOTE BECAUSE IT’S A PRIVILEGE. >>BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED. >>I VOTE BECAUSE I’M CANADIAN. >>Rosemary: THE POWER IS IN YOUR HANDS. TONIGHT WE FIND OUT THE RESULTS. THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019. GOOD EVENING. I’M ROSEMARY BARTON HERE IN OUR CBC NEWS CANADA VOTES HEADQUARTERS. POLLS HAVE JUST CLOSED IN THE MARITIMES, THAT MEANS P.E.I., NOVA SCOTIA, NEW BRUNSWICK, THAT’S 24 MORE RIDINGS WE WILL START TO WATCH TO ADD TO THE COUNT AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN THERE. THOSE ARE THE NUMBERS SO FAR JUST COMING IN FROM NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. THEY HAVE HAD AT LEAST THE BEGINNING OF THEIR SAY. THESE ARE STILL VERY EARLY DAYS IN THE COUNTING. WE’LL NOW FIND OUT HOW THE REST OF ATLANTIC CANADA HAS VOTED. LET’S GO TO DAVID COCHRANE WHO CAN BRING US UP-TO-DATE.>>WE’VE GOT THE LIBERALS LEADING IN SIX SEATS IN THE RURAL PARTS OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND IN LABRADOR. THE ONE WE’RE WAITING FOR IS RESULTS FROM ST. JOHN’S EAST. THE FULL EXPECTATION IS THAT’S GOING TO BE THE CLOSEST IN THE PROVINCE. I WAS SPEAKING TO PEOPLE IN A LINEUP THERE. THE DOORS WERE LOCKED. YOU CAN’T START A COUNT UNTIL EVERYONE IS OUT. THAT REMATCH BETWEEN NICK WHALEN AND JACK HARRIS IS THE CLOSEST. >>Rosemary: I DON’T KNOW HOW LONG THAT LINE WAS WHEN THEY CLOSED THE DOORS, BUT IT’S LONG ENOUGH TO KEEP US WAITING. NOTHING UNTOWARDS, BUT ALLOWING PEOPLE TO CAST THEIR BALLOT. I THINK LOUISE MARTIN IS STANDING BY IN CHARLOTTETOWN, P.E.I. SHE’S CHATTING WITH THE LEADER OF THE GREEN PARTY. OF COURSE SHE IS. SO THIS IS WHERE P.E.I. HAS HAD SOME ATTRACTION TO THE GREEN PARTY. TELL US WHAT YOU’RE HEARING FROM MR. BAKER.>>Reporter: THAT’S THE BIG QUESTION. CAN THE GAL VANIZATION OF THE GREEN PARTY COME FEDERALLY. WILL IT RUB OFF FEDERALLY?>>I THINK IT’S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE AND YOU SEE ACROSS THE COUNTRY WHEN THE GREENS GET ELECTED AT THE PROVINCIAL LEVEL, THEY TEND TO ATTRACT MORE GREENS TO GET ELECTED ACROSS THE PROVINCE. YOU GET A TASTE OF GREEN AND SAY, I THINK I’D LIKE SOME MORE OF THAT. I THINK IT’S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE THAT WE WILL SEE IN THE ATLANTIC REGION SOME CLOSE RACES AND SOME GREENS GETTING ELECTED IN P.E.I. AND PERHAPS IN FREDERICTON. THERE IS A YOUNG CANDIDATE THERE WHO IS FABULOUS. WE MAY SEE SOME GREENS ELECTED IN ATLANTIC CANADA.>>Reporter: A LOT OF THE POPULARITY YOU HAD, THE POLLS WERE SAYING YOU WERE THE MOST POPULAR CANDIDATE GOING IN. DOES ELIZABETH MAY HAVE THAT SAME LURE AS A LEADER?>>I THINK ELIZABETH MAY HAS DONE A FABULOUS JOB. IT’S DIFFICULT ON THE FEDERAL PLATFORM, AS OPPOSED TO THE INTIMACY WE HAVE IN POLITICS IN P.E.I., TO MAKE THAT IMPRESSION EVEN THOUGH SHE’S BEEN AROUND FOR 13 YEARS. I DON’T KNOW THAT WE’LL SEE THE SAME BREAKTHROUGHS AS WE DID HERE. ADDS WE SAW IN P.E.I., THESE SUCCESSES DON’T COME OVERNIGHT. IT TAKES YEARS AND YEARS OF BUILDING AND CREATING A COMFORT FOR VOTERS. WE DID IT HERE IN P.E.I. I’M NOT SURE IF THEY’RE THERE NATIONALLY, BUT WE WILL SEE SOME MORE GREENS ELECTED AND HOPEFULLY IN THE MARITIMES.>>Reporter: YOU JUST MENTIONED A SMALL PROVINCE, INTIMATE, PEOPLE KNOW EACH OTHER. YOU CAN’T UNDERESTIMATE THE INCUMBENTS ON THE ISLAND. >>THAT’S TRUE. POLITICS IS VERY TRUE. >>Reporter: I’M GOING TO HAVE TO CUT YOU OFF. THAT IS PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND GREEN PARTY LEADER KEVIN BAKER. >>Rosemary: CHARLOTTETOWN IS THE ONE PLACE THE GREENS COULD BUILD UP THEIR SUPPORT. I THOUGHT THE GREEN PARTY LEADER WAS HONEST IN HIS ASSESSMENT ABOUT THE REAL CHANCES. I THINK YOU WERE WITH ELIZABETH MAY A COUPLE OF DAYS AGO. YOU WERE ALL OVER THE COUNTRY IN ABOUT A WEEK. SO IS THIS — I KNOW SHE’S INDICATED IN THE PAST THAT SHE IS SORT OF INTERESTED IN RETIRING REGARDLESS OF HOW THINGS GO. IF SHE HADN’T SAID THAT, WOULD THIS BE THE MAKE-OR-BREAK MOMENT FOR ELIZABETH MAY IF SHE CAN’T GET MORE THAN ONE, TWO, THREE SEATS?>>I GET THE SENSE ELIZABETH MAY WOULD RATHER RETIRE MORE THAN GREEN PARTY WOULD LIKE HER TO RETIRE. IF HER HUSBAND IS ELECTED IN THE INTERIOR, SHE MIGHT STAY LONGER. I WAS IN FREDERICTON, THIS IS THE MOST VIABLE SEAT. FREDERICTON SOUTH PART OF THE GREEN PARTY RIDING IS HELD PROVINCIALLY. THAT WOMAN, I THINK YOU INTERVIEWED MARCUS HARVEY WHO WAS ON WITH ANDREW SCHEER, HE HAS COME OUT AND SAID HE IS SUPPORTING JENICA ATWIN IN THAT RIDING. >>Rosemary: HE WAS A DIE-HARD CONSERVATIVE AND HE FLIPPED.>>SHE HAS CONVINCED HIM. I SAT ON HIS FRONT PORCH WITH ELIZABETH MAY AND JENICA ATWIN AS THE TWO WOMEN TRIED TO CONVINCE HIM. AFTER WE LEFT HIS FRONT PORCH WE GOT INTO A TESLA, BECAUSE SHE’S RUNNING A GREEN CAMPAIGN. WE GOT BACK TO THE CAMPAIGN AND SHE WAS CAMPAIGNING IN CHARLOTTETOWN WHERE THEY’RE TRYING TO SAWF — OFFSEAT THE CANDIDATE THERE. WHEN DOORKNOCKING HE THOUGHT HE SHOULD JOIN.>>Rosemary: THE GREEN CAMPAIGN IS VERY LOCAL. WE HAVE SOME RESULTS — THE COUNTING HAS STARTED IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. WE’RE GOING TO GO TO PETER COWAN BACK IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. HE HAS SOME NEWS. I SEE A THUMBS UP. LET’S GO TO YOU, PETER.>>Reporter: ROSEMARY, ELECTIONS CANADA IS KEEPING EVERYONE’S BLOOD PRESSURE HIGH. WHAT WE’RE HEARING FROM THE N.D.P. VOLUNTEERS IS THE REASON WE HAVEN’T SEEN RESULTS UNTIL NOW IS AT THE VERY LAST MINUTE THERE WERE QUITE A FEW YOUNG PEOPLE WHO WANTED TO VOTE, THEY NEEDED TO BE SWORN IN AND ADDED TO THE VOTERS’ LIST AND THAT TAKES MORE PAPERWORK AND TIME. THEY’RE NOT ABLE TO OPEN UP THE BALLOT BOXES AND START COUNTING UNTIL EVERYONE HAS COUNTED THEIR VOTE. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT HAS HAPPENED. HOPEFULLY WE’LL SEE MORE OF THOSE RESULTS COME IN AND EVERYONE CAN HOPEFULLY RELAX.>>Rosemary: THANKS, PETER, FOR THE UPDATE. LET ME GO TO DAVID COCHRANE WHO MIGHT HAVE SOME NEWS.>>WE DO HAVE NEW RESULTS FROM SOMEWHERE. I DON’T THINK IT’S IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. IT’S PROBABLY SOMEWHERE ELSE IN THE REST OF ATLANTIC CANADA. MVERJTS . >>Rosemary: I THINK IT’S IN MALPEQUE.>>IT’S INTERESTING. WAYNE EASTER, WHO HAS BEEN THERE, THIS IS HIS NINTH TERM, BUT HE ACTUALLY SAID HE’S MORE CONCERNED ABOUT THE GREEN OPPONENT IN THIS ELECTION THAN HE HAS TRADITIONAL CONSERVATIVE AND THAT’S BECAUSE ANNA KEENAN IS A GOOD CANDIDATE. 62% OF THE VOTE WENT TO WAYNE EASTER’S RIDING. LOGAN MCLELLAN WAS NOT EVEN BORN WHEN — BOBBY MORRISSEY WAS A LONG-TIME PROVINCIAL M.L.A. IN 2015. EARLY, EARLY WE’LL CAUTION FROM OUR BENCH, BUT LOGAN MCLELLAN JUST 26 YEARS OLD IN THE FINANCIAL PLANNING INDUSTRY, HE WITH A SUPER LEAD. >>Rosemary: THANKS FOR THAT. THE RESULTS COMING IN FROM OTHER PROVINCES IN ATLANTIC CANADA. THE VOTES ARE STILL BEING COUNTED IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. VASSY IS HERE WITH ME. YOU HAD — I JUST WANT TO GO BACK TO THE GREEN PARTY FOR A MOMENT. YOU HAD AN INTERESTING INTERVIEW WITH ELIZABETH MAY EARLY ON THAT I DO ACTUALLY THINK — IT WAS BEFORE THE CAMPAIGN STARTED, BUT I THINK IT WAS AN INITIAL SETBACK FOR THE CAMPAIGN BECAUSE IT LED TO OTHER POSITIONS THAT WERE UNCLEAR. >>Vassy: YEAH, INTERESTING. WE DON’T HAVE A CRYSTAL BALL. I DON’T KNOW WHAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN. BUT IF YOU CONTRAST THE GREEN CAMPAIGN WITH ELIZABETH MAY AND JASMEET SINGH, IF YOU LOOK AT WHAT EXPECTATIONS THEY CAME IN WITH, I THINK THE ANSWER WOULD BE DIFFERENT IN THOSE CASES. PART OF THE PROBLEM FOR ELIZABETH MAY WAS SHE WASN’T CLEAR INITIALLY ON A COUPLE OF POSITIONS AND SHE GOT A TON OF SCRUTINY FOR THAT BECAUSE MOMENTUM WAS BEHIND HER CAMPAIGN COMING INTO THE LAST 40 DAYS. EVERYONE WAS PAYING A LOT OF ATTENTION TO WHAT SHE WAS SAYING AND WHAT POSITION SHE WAS TAKING AND WHETHER OR NOT THEY WERE CLEAR. WE WERE NOT PAYING THAT ATTENTION TO JASMEET SINGH AT THAT JUNCTURE. WHEN HE STARTED TO ASCEND IN THE POLLS AND THE POPULARITY, IT WAS SO LATE IN THE GAME THAT HE MISSED THAT PART. HE WAS ABLE TO CAPITALIZE ON IT IN A DIFFERENT WAY THAN ELIZABETH MAY. AS A RESULT THAT MAY IMPACT WHAT WE SEE TONIGHT. I DON’T KNOW.>>Rosemary: THE WAY CAMPAIGNS GO, AS YOU ATTRACT MORE ATTENTION, YOU ATTRACT MORE SCRUTINY. THE TWO POSITIONS — MAYBE I’LL BRING CHANTAL IN HERE. THE ONE WAS SHE WAS PRO-LIFE BUT HER PARTY WAS OPEN TO WOMEN’S RIGHTS. AND SHE HAD THIS CANDIDATE WHO LEFT AND WENT — >>OR THE REVERSE.>>Rosemary: SHE SEEMED CONFUSED THAT THOSE TWO THINGS WERE RADICALLY DIFFERENT. I’LL GIVE YOU 30 SECONDS AND BRING IN DAVID COCHRANE. >>EVEN ON THE DAY OF THE ELECTION LAUNCH, SINGH HAD HIS MESSAGE MORE FOCUSED AND TOGETHER THAN ELIZABETH MAY. IF YOU’RE GOING IN WITH MOMENTUM FOR THE FIRST TIME, YOU SHOULD BE READY FOR MORE SCRUTINY. IT LOOKED FOR THE FIRST TWO WEEKS THAT THEY WEREN’T. THAT I THINK KIND OF TOOK HER OUT OF THE GAME. FOR SURE IN THE SEPARATISTS, NOT THE SOVEREIGNISTS, SCREAMED, YOU DON’T KNOW ANYTHING ABOUT THIS PLACE. >>Rosemary: LET ME SHOW YOU WHAT THE MAP LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW. YOU CAN SEE ON THE BOARD AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN WE’VE GOT LIBERALS LEADING IN SEVEN RIDINGS AND THE CONSERVATIVES WITH TWO. DAVID COCHRANE. >>WE’RE GOING TO UPDATE YOU ON THE RESULTS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. WHILE WE WAIT FOR ST. JOHN’S EAST. WE’RE GOING TO SHOW YOU THE RESULTS IN ST. JOHN’S SOUTH-MOUNT PEARL. HE HAS A LEAD OVER ANONSEN. WE’VE GOT AN UPDATE IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. A BUNCH OF YOUNG PEOPLE SHOWED UP AND NEEDED TO BE SPORN IN. HERE IN BONAVISTA-BURIN-TRINITY, THIS IS WHAT PEOPLE DIDN’T EXPECT. SHARON VOKEY WHO IS THE FORMER COMPETITIVE DIRECTOR OF THE PROVINCIAL PARTY. THAT’S A STRONGER SHOWING FROM THE CONSERVATIVES IN THAT AREA THAN A LOT OF PEOPLE WOULD HAVE EXPECTED. >>Rosemary: IAN HAS RESULTS. >>Ian: THIS IS A RIDING IN THE CENTRAL PART OF THE PROVINCE. AS YOU CAN SEE THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE LEAD. JUST ONE POLL REPORTING. JUST A LEAD OF THREE. ONE THING I WANT TO TALK ABOUT QUICKLY IS LIBERAL STRATEGISTS WERE POINTING OUT TO ME THERE ARE PARTS OF RIDINGS IN THE MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE AREA. ONE WENT GREEN, ONE WENT PEOPLE’S ALLIANCE. SO A LOT OF RIGHTEST SUPPORTERS.>>Rosemary: IAN IS TRACKING THINGS IN NEW BRUNSWICK. DAVID HAS SOME NEWS. >>ROSIE, WE HAVE OUR FIRST PROJECTED MEMBER. IT WILL BE SCOTT SIMMS RETURNING TO OTTAWA. HE HAS A BIG RURAL RIDING. HE SAID IT WAS TOO BIG TO GO DOOR TO DOOR. HE WENT STORE TO STORE.>>Rosemary: THIS IS OFTEN THE FIRST RIDING WHERE WE GET AN ELECTED PERSON, ELECTED M.P. SCOTT SIMMS WINS THAT POOL.>>Ian: LET’S TALK ABOUT FUNDY ROYAL. IT’S A RIDING I TOOK A LOOK AT, WHERE THERE ARE PEOPLE FROM THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES AND IF YOU THINK THERE COULD BE CHANGE IT COULD HAPPEN HERE. IT WOULD COME ADDS A SURPRISE TO NO ONE THAT ROB MOORE, THE FORMER CONSERVATIVE M.P. IS IN THE LEAD. IN THE THIRD PLACE THE GREENS. JUST ONE POLL REPORTING, BUT LET’S KEEP AN EYE ON THE POLLS, NOT JUST HERE BUT ELSEWHERE IN THE PROVINCE. >>Rosemary: NOT JUST WHETHER THEY WIN SEATS, BUT WHAT THEY DO TO OTHER PEOPLE’S CHANCE TO WIN SEATS. IT’S EARLY, BUT THE CONSERVATIVE VOTE ACROSS THE ATLANTIC IS UP. AGAIN, EARLY RESULTS AND THE PERCENTAGE OF VOTES WILL MEAN YOU’LL BE ON YOUR WAY TO WINNING SEATS. DAVID’S GOT MORE RESULTS.>>WE’LL GO TO CAPE BRETON. THIS IS A RIDING WHERE THERE WAS CONTROVERSY EARLY IN THE CAMPAIGN. THE CONSERVATIVES CALLED FOR HIM TO BE FIRED. NOW HE HAS A NARROW EIGHT-VOTE LEAD OVER EDDIE ORRELL. NOW THERE IS A LOT OF WELL-ORGANIZED MEMBERS OF THE CONSERVATIVE. NICK WHALEN IN THIRD PLACE OF ONE POLL REPORTING.>>Rosemary: CONSERVATIVES DON’T THROW A PARTY BECAUSE YOU’VE GOT NEWFOUNDLAND BACK YET. MEGAN, I’LL GET YOU TO WEIGH IN ON WHAT YOU’RE SEEING BROADLY IN THE ATLANTIC.>>P.E.I. IS A STRONGHOLD AND WE DON’T EXPECT TOO MUCH, BUT IT’S WITHIN A TWO-PARTY RACE. KEVIN BAKER HAS DONE A GREAT JOB WITH THE GREEN BRAND AND IT IS GOING TO MATTER IN FUTURE ELECTIONS, EVEN IF THEY DON’T WIN SEATS. I THINK FOR DAVID KUNE VERY POPULAR AND RESPECTED. THE QUESTION IS IT PLAYS MORE BECAUSE THERE ARE MORE PARTIES. A LOT IS HAPPENING. >>Rosemary: HARD TO SEE ANY REAL TRENDS FROM THIS SO FAR. AGAIN, THESE ARE EARLY POLLS REPORTING. REMEMBER, WE HAVE ONLY ONE PERSON ELECTED AT THIS STAGE.>>THE ONE TREND THAT WE HAVE IS IT’S SLOW. WE’RE GOING TO GO TO NEW BRUNSWICK TO SAINT JOHN-ROTHESAY. LONG IS RUNNING AS A BIT OF A MAVERICK. HE’S BROKEN RANK WITH THE GOVERNMENT, WANTING REFORM ON S.N.C.-LAVALIN. HE’S RUNNING AN INDIVIDUAL CAMPAIGN, A MASSIVE VIK. HIS CAMPAIGN SIGNS SAY “STANDS FOR THEM OR STANDS FOR YOU.” HE’S HOPING HE CAN MAVERICK HIS WAY BACK TO OTTAWA.>>Rosemary: HEATHER HAS SOME MORE RESULTS. >>LET’S START WITH CENTRAL NOVA. THIS IS A RIDING WE’RE GOING TO BE WATCHING VERY CLOSELY. SEAN FRASER STARTING THE NIGHT WITH AN EARLY LEAD. TIED RIGHT NOW WITH THE GREENS. THIS WILL BE A REAL SURPRISE FOR THE GREENS, BUT WE’RE STARTING THE NIGHT. I DO WANT TO HIGHLIGHT THE THIRD PARTY CANDIDATE, YES, THE GEORGE CANYON, THE COUNTRY MUSIC STAR. THEY ROPED IN THEIR STAR CANDIDATE. WE’RE GOING TO TALK A LOT MORE ABOUT HIM TONIGHT. REALLY WHAT TO KEEP IN MIND IS, YES, IT’S LIBERAL-HELD NOW. BUT THIS IS MCCAY COUNTRY. THIS IS PETER MCCAY’S COUNTRY. THIS IS ELMER, AND BRIAN MULRONEY TO GET HIS SEAT. WE’LL WATCH THAT RIDING CLOSELY. MY GOODNESS, I’M LOOKING FORWARD TO GETTING REAL TIME ANALYSIS ON THIS. ROGER KUSNER HELD THAT RIDING EVERY YEAR. JUST SAY ALFIE, EVERYONE KNOWS HIM.>>Rosemary: HE IS WELL-KNOWN, SO HE HAS THAT NAME-RECOGNITION EDGE. WE’LL SEE WHETHER THIS IS A ROGER KUSNER SEAT OR A LIBERAL SEAT. I’LL TELL YOU THE LIBERAL VOTE, EARLY, EARLY VOTES, BUT THE POPULAR VOTE DOES SEEM TO BE DOWN. IT’S SOFTER IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA, WHICH IS THE PLACES YOU WOULD EXPECT THAT TO HAPPEN. LET’S GO BACK TO CHARLOTTETOWN, P.E.I., CHARLOTTE MARTIN. SHE’S GOT THE PREMIER WITH HER.>>Reporter: THANKS. I’M HERE WITH P.E.I. PREMIER DENNIS KING. WE’RE TALKING A LOT ABOUT A MINORITY GOVERNMENT AND THE REAL POSSIBILITY THIS ELECTION COULD GO THAT WAY. YOU’RE THE LEADER OF A MINORITY CAMPAIGN. YOU WERE ALL HUGGING AND I BARELY GOT YOU TO SAY ANYTHING BAD IN THE LEADERS’ DEBATE. WHAT IS YOUR THOUGHTS?>>STILL A LOT OF VOTES TO COUNT. I THINK YOU HAVE TO PUT THE DIFFERENCES ASIDE AND TAKE THE VERDICT FROM THE PEOPLE. THE PEOPLE OF CANADA ARE GOING TO TELL THE PARTIES THIS IS WHAT WE WANT OUR PARLIAMENT TO BE REFLECTED AS AND THEY EXPECT YOU TO GO TO WORK AND FIGURE IT OUT AND GO TO WORK FOR PEOPLE. IT’S TIME TO PUT THOSE ATTITUDES ASIDE.>>Reporter: SOME OF THOSE DIFFERENCES ARE DEEP WHEN YOU’RE LOOKING AT THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE LIBERAL PARTY AND THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY. HOW DO YOU GET PAST SOME OF THOSE FUNDAMENTAL ISSUES?>>I THINK IT STARTS BY RECOGNIZING THAT CANADA IS A BIG FABRIC, THERE’S MANY PARTS THAT MAKE UP THIS QUILT THAT IS CANADA. SAME THING WE HAVE IN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. WE HAVE DIFFERENCES OF OPINION AND DIFFERENCES OF PHILOSOPHY, BUT AT THE END OF THE DAY YOU HAVE TO PUT THAT ASIDE AND MAKE THINGS WORK, FIND COMPROMISE, WORK TOGETHER, FIGURE A FEW THINGS OUT, AND MAKE IT ABOUT PEOPLE. IT’S GOING TO BE INTERESTING TO SEE IF THAT CAN BE DONE. I THINK CANADIANS ARE EXPECTING WHATEVER THE RESULT HERE TONIGHT FOR A PARLIAMENT TO WORK FOR CANADIANS AND IT’S UP TO EVERYONE ELECTED TO DO THAT. >>Reporter: THAT’S WITH P.E.I. PREMIER DENNIS KING.>>Rosemary: THAT’S GOOD ADVICE FROM THE PREMIER. WE’LL SEE IF EVERYONE PAYS ATTENTION TO IT. I SHOULD TELL YOU THE LIBERAL VOTE DOWN ABOUT 10 PERCENTAGE VOTES IN TERMS OF VOTE SHARE. THEY HAD EVERYTHING HERE, SO THEY CAN AFFORD TO LOSE SOME BROAD BASE SUPPORT. ROGER, DOES THAT SURPRISE YOU? THE SUPPORT WOULD BE DOWN IN PLACES LIKE NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA?>>NO, AS I SAID BEFORE, WE HAD LIGHTNING IN A BOTTLE IN 2015. EVERYTHING CAME TOGETHER. TEN YEARS OF A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT. GOVERNMENTS WEAR OUT. THERE WAS A PUSHBACK AGAINST PRIME MINISTER HARPER. EVERYTHING SORT OF CAME TOGETHER. FOR US TO WIN FUNDY ROYAL AND SOUTHWEST NEW BRUNSWICK — AND I KNOW MEGAN CAN SPEAK TO THIS AS WELL, I SERVED THE LAST FOUR YEARS WITH 31 OTHER COLLEAGUES AND WE KNOW WE’RE GOING TO LOSE SOME THIS EVENING. I CAN SAY THEY ALL WENT OUT AND WORKED HARD FOR THEIR CONSTITUENCIES AND FOUGHT HARD FOR THEIR CONSTITUENCIES AND THE RIDINGS. WE’LL LOSE SOME PEOPLE TONIGHT, BUT HOPEFULLY WE’LL SUSTAIN A STRONG VOTE AND STRONG PRESENCE AND CONTRIBUTE NATIONAL.>>Rosemary: THIS IS THE BRUTALITY OF POLITICS.>>IT’S A TOUGH NEIGHBOURHOOD. WITH MEGAN, WHEN I HEARD THAT WE HAD AN OPPORTUNITY TO BEAT MEGAN IN HER RIDING, IT WAS MIXED EMOTIONS. ANNE FILLMORE IS A GREAT MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT — >>BUT THIS IS HEALTHY. FOR ONE REGION OR ONE AREA TO BE ONE PARTY IS NOT VERY HEALTHY. EVERY SINGLE SEAT IN ATLANTIC CANADA IS LIBERAL RIGHT NOW, AND I DON’T THINK THAT DOES ATLANTIC CANADA WELL. YOU CAN SAY THAT FOR OTHER PARTS OF CANADA, PICK YOUR PLACE. THE COLOUR MAP HERE IS REALLY EXCITING. >>Rosemary: YEAH, I THINK — CORY, I’LL GET YOU TO SPEAK TO THIS. THAT IS SOMETIMES HOW THEY FEEL WHEN THEY CHOOSE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, THEY WANT TO REIGN EVERYONE IN. PARTICULARLY WHEN WE GET TO QUÉBEC WE’LL SEE THAT, THAT THEY WANT DIFFERENT REPRESENTATION IN OTTAWA.>>OR AS I THINK THERE IS SOME INDICATION IN THE POLLING THAT IT’S A NONE-OF-THE-ABOVE VOTE. WE’VE SEEN THE CAMPAIGNS GO THROUGH ERRORS. IT’S UNUSUAL THAT YOU SEE MAIN PARTY SUPPORT GO DOWN OVER THE COURSE OF THE CAMPAIGN. EVEN THOUGH THE N.D.P. SUPPORT HAS COME UP SOMEWHAT, I THINK IT’S PROBABLY A REASONABLE ASSUMPTION THAT THEY’RE GOING TO END THE NIGHT WITH FEWER SEATS THAN THEY HAD IN PARLIAMENT. IT FEELS LIKE LESS OF AN ENDORSEMENT OF MINORITY GOVERNMENTS AND MORE OF A FRUSTRATION WITH SOME OF THE CURRENT OPTIONS. THAT’S UNFORTUNATE IN A BUNCH OF WAYS.>>Rosemary: I WANT TO SHOW SOME TAPE OF JUSTIN TRUDEAU. HE’S BEEN WATCHING RESULTS. MAYBE HE’S WATCHING US NOW WITH HIS FAMILY IN MONTREAL. HE’S THERE WITH HIS WIFE AND HIS THREE KIDS, THEY’RE ALL THERE WATCHING. I IMAGINE THEY DON’T ALL STAY UP. THEY WERE OUT VOTING WITH HIM IN PAPINEAU. WE ALREADY HAVE A YAWN. HE MAY NOT SEE WHAT HAPPENS TO HIS DAD AT THE END OF THE NIGHT. WE’LL PROBABLY GET TAPE FROM ALL THE LEADERS WHO WANT TO LET US IN.>>Ian: A COUPLE OF RIDINGS IN NEW BRUNSWICK, REPORTING THEIR FIRST RESULTS. ONE POLL IN EACH CASE. LET’S BEGIN WITH TOBIQUE-MACTAQUAC, THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE A SMALL LEAD. ACADIE-BATHURST IS AN INTERESTING RIDING. THIS WAS GAUDOIN’S RIDING. SINGH DID MAKE A VISIT TO ACADIE-BATHURST AND TOOK THE CANDIDATE AROUND. HE IS IN SECOND PLACE. IT’S A FOUR-WAY RACE. >>Rosemary: AGAIN, THE EARLY RESULTS HERE, BUT YOU’RE STARTING TO SEE THEM ON YOUR BOARD. LIBERALS INTO DOUBLE DIGITS AND THE CONSERVATIVES COMING UP AT EIGHT. THEY SEEM TO BE DOING WELL. THIS IS GOOD SIGNS FOR THEM.>>YOU WANT TO WATCH CUMBERLAND-COLCHESTER. IS THIS A LIBERAL RIDING, CONSERVATIVE, OR A BILL CASEY RIDING. VOTERS FOLLOWED HIM THROUGH DIFFERENT PARTIES AND BACK AS A LIBERAL. WHERE DO THEY GO NOW? DO THEY GO TO THE LIBERAL, N.D.P., FORMERLY N.D.P., LENORE ZANN. SCOTT ARMSTRONG WHO USED TO BE THE M.P., HE WAS AN EARLY LEAD. LET’S GO NEXT TO CAPE BRETON-CANSO. WE’RE GOING TO BE FOLLOWING THIS CLOSELY. THIS HAS FLIPPED, THE LONG-TIME PROVINCIAL POLITICIAN, KEEP IN MIND THIS IS A RIDING IN ITS CURRENT CONFIGURATION HAS NOT ELECTED A CONSERVATIVE M.P. >>Rosemary: LET’S GIVE YOU A SENSE OF WHAT’S HAPPENING AND WHY YOU’RE SEEING THE NUMBERS BOUNCING AROUND. THIS IS WHY THEY’RE TOO CLOSE TO CALL. YOU CAN SEE THAT THE MARGIN THERE IS IS 14, THREE VOTES APART. ALL OF THESE RIDINGS JUST TOO CLOSE TO CALL RIGHT NOW. THAT’S WHY THOSE NUMBERS ARE START TO MOVE AROUND A LITTLE BIT. MAYBE THE CONSERVATIVES WILL HOLD THEM, MAYBE NOT. RIGHT NOW, 3, 10, 14 VOTES APART. LET ME SHOW YOU THE MAP ON THE FLOOR TO SHOW YOU WHERE YOU ARE. A LITTLE TIP OF ORANGE WITH JACK HARRIS LEADING IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. I THOUGHT I SAW A DOT OF ORANGE IN THE MIDDLE, BUT MAYBE I’M CRAZY. LOTS OF RED. THE CONSERVATIVES PICKING UP WHERE YOU WOULD EXPECT THEM TO BE LEADING IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND NOVA SCOTIA. VASSY, YOUR THOUGHTS. >>Vassy: TAKEN WITH A NOTE OF CAUTION, AS CORY MENTIONED, ANYTHING IN THE DOUBLE DIGITS FOR THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE ATLANTIC IS A GOOD START TO THEM. VERY MUCH SO. SPEAKING WITH PEOPLE ON THE CAMPAIGN, IF THEY’RE ABLE TO GET SOMETHING IN THE DOUBLE DIGITS OR 10 AND ABOVE SEATS, THEY CONSIDER THAT A GOOD START AND A GOOD OMEN, THAT WOULD BE A GOOD SIGN FOR THE CONSERVATIVES, WITH THE OTHER ADDED NOTE OF CAUTION WHICH CHANTAL ADDED, WHICH SOMETIMES ATLANTIC CANADA IS NOT A DRIVER OR AN INDICATOR HOW THE REST OF THE COUNTRY WILL PLAY OUT. THAT’S ON THE HIGH END OF THE EXPECTATIONS FOR THE CONSERVATIVES.>>Rosemary: THE LIBERALS HAD ALL THE SEATS IN 2015. LET ME SHOW YOU WHERE YVONNE JONES IS NOW. SHE IS ELECTED IN HER RIDING OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR. LET’S GO TO DUNCAN McCUE BECAUSE THERE AREN’T — I’M NOT SURE HOW MANY INDIGENOUS CANDIDATES THERE — >>62.>>Rosemary: LOOK AT YOU. THAT’S OUR FIRST ONE ELECTED.>>YVONNE JONES IS INUIT AND SHE SERVED AS THE PARLIAMENTARY SECRETARY TO THE MINISTER OF INDIGENOUS AFFAIRS. I WANT TO PICK UP ON SOMETHING THAT WAS POINTED OUT. IT’S OFTEN THOUGHT THAT INDIGENOUS FOLKS IN THIS COUNTRY ARE TOO SMALL A NUMBER TO MAKE A DIFFERENCE, BUT THE ASSEMBLY OF FIRST NATIONS HAS SAID THERE ARE 63 RIDINGS, PRIORITY RIDINGS, WHERE THE INDIGENOUS COULD MAKE A DIFFERENCE. YVONNE JONES DOING WELL IN THE ATLANTIC. THAT’S GOT TO BE A SHOT FOR THE LIBERALS. THERE HAS TO BE SOME CRITICISM FOR THE LIBERALS. JUSTIN TRUDEAU INSPIRING INDIGENOUS VOTERS IN 2015 TO COME OUT IN THE HIGHEST TURNOUT INDIGENOUS VOTERS HAVE HAD. DID HE LIVE UP TO THE PROMISES? HE MADE A PROMISE THAT IT WAS GOING TO BE THE MOST IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP, NO RELATIONSHIP MORE IMPORTANT TO HIM. THERE HAS BEEN CONCERN IN THIS CAMPAIGN THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU JUST HAS NOT CARRIED ON WITH THOSE INDIGENOUS PLATFORMS AND PROMISES THAT HE MADE. SO YVONNE JONES BEING ELECTED. THAT’S A GOOD AND EARLY SIGN FOR THE LIBERALS AS HOW THEY MAY DO WHEN WE LOOK AT THE NORTHERN RIDINGS. >>Rosemary: THE INDIGENOUS YOUTH IN THIS COUNTRY THE FASTEST-GROWING DEMOGRAPHIC. SURELY THEY COULD PULL THEIR POWER AND SHOW PEOPLE. PROBABLY NOT ENOUGH DISCUSSION OF INDIGENOUS ISSUES THROUGHOUT THIS CAMPAIGN, BUT AS PEOPLE ARE WORRIED ABOUT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND ANDREW SCHEER WHO DOESN’T TALK ABOUT IT VERY MUCH AT ALL, THAT WOULD BE SOMETHING THAT WOULD MOTIVATE THEM AS WELL. WE’LL DIG INTO THAT. I’M GOING TO GO TO ANDREW CHANG WHO WILL GIVE US AN IDEA. [ PLEASE STAND BY ]>>THE GREENS IN A LOT OF THESE RIDINGS ARE FASCINATING TO SEE THEM NOT TAKING FIRST OR SECOND PLACE BUT IN A SOLID THIRD PLACE POSITION. A LOT OF THOSE N.D.P. VOTES GOING IN THAT DIRECTION. AND OF COURSE, THE CONSERVATIVES ARE THOSE WHO ARE ABLE TO PARLAY THEIR INCREASE IN THEIR SHARE OF THE POPULAR VOTE INTO ACTUAL LEADS IN SEATS AS WE STAND RIGHT NOW. LET’S TALK ABOUT THOSE SEATS. I TALKED ABOUT THE LIBERALS. THEIR PATH TO A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT, IF THAT’S IN THE CARDS FOR THEM, THEY A CAN AFFORD TO LOSE 16 SEATS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. RIGHT NOW THEY’RE IN TENTH. WHAT DOES THAT MEAN? THEY’RE STILL WITHIN THAT 16 THRESHOLD BUT KEEP IN MIND, WE’RE ONLY THROUGH ATLANTIC, CANADA RIGHT NOW AND NOT EVEN ALL OF THE ATLANTIC CANADA SEATS REPORTING. WE DON’T HAVE RESULTS FROM ALL THEM JUST YET AND ALL OF THE REST AND CANADA THE FACT THEY’RE AT MINUS 10 THEY HAVE AN UPHILL BATTLE FOR THE REST OF THE COUNTRY. IF THEIR GOAL IS TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. IT’S NOT THEY CAN’T MAKE UP THAT GROUND BUT IT’S UPHILL. THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE A BIG MOUNTAIN TO CLIMB. PLUS 72 IN TERMS OF FORMING A MAJORITY. THEY’RE AT PLUS NINE. IT’S NOT EXACTLY A HOME FREE BY ANY STRETCH. STILL, REALLY EARLY.>>Rosemary: THE VOTE SHARE DOESN’T INDICATE THE LIBERALS VOTE SHARE GOING DOWN IS GOING TO THE GREENS OR N.D.P. IT’S A TRANSFER TO THE CONSERVATIVES.>>Ian: THEY’RE THE BIG BENEFICIARY.>>Rosemary: THERE’S NO REASON TO PANIC BUT IT’S NOT THE BEST START FOR THE LIBERALS AND NOT DOING THE SPLITTINGS WE HAD ANTICIPATED FOR ATLANTIC, CANADA. IAN HAS SOME RESULTS NOW.>>Ian: YOU KNOW, A LOT OF THESE RESULTS AT THIS POINT IN NEW BRUNSWICK ARE JUST ONE POLL-POLL REPORTING. IT’S AN OPPORTUNITY TO SAY LOOK AT THIS, THIS IS INTERESTING. ONE OF THE FIRST RESULT POLLS ACTUALLY TURNED INTO A LITTLE BIT MORE. WE NOW HAVE THE LIBERAL IN THE LEAD BUT LOOK HOW CLOSE THE CONSERVATIVES ARE. THIS IS A RIDING THAT BERNARD VALCORE WON FOR THE CONSERVATIVES IN 2011. BUT IN 2015, THE CONSERVATIVES DROPPED TO THIRD PLACE AND THEY’RE DOING PRETTY WELL SO FAR TONIGHT WITH THREE POLLS REPORTING. AND FOR A COUPLE OF REASONS THIS IS INTERESTING, DOMINIQUE LEBLANC HAS NOT BEEN ABLE TO CAMPAIGN. I JUST CHECKED AND UNFORTUNATELY HE IS STILL IN HOSPITAL ALTHOUGH HIS CAMPAIGN MANAGER SAYS HE IS DOING ALL THINGS CONSIDERED RELATIVELY WELL. A BIG STORY WE’RE GOING TO WATCH THROUGH THE EVENING IS HOW THE GREEN PARTY DOES HERE. NOT THAT THEY WILL HAVE ENOUGH VOTES TO WIN, THEY MAY, BUT NOT THAT WE’RE EXPECTING THAT. LOOK HOW WELL THEY’RE DOING HERE. THIS IS A PART OF THE PROVINCE WHERE PROVINCIALLY, I THINK IT MIGHT HAVE BEEN THE FIRST RIDING IN SACKVILLE TO BRING IN N.D.P.-MLA MANY YEARS AGO. THEY HAVE A GREEN M.L.A. NOW AND A LOT OF SUPPORT IN THAT COMMUNITY, ROSIE, FOR THE GREEN PARTY.>>Rosemary: SOMETHING TO WATCH FOR. DOMINIQUE LeBLANC, HEALTHY AND READY TO GO AND HE WOULD LEADING THE CAMPAIGN IN THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES FOR THE LIBERAL PARTY.>>THE NUMBER FIVE. THE NUMBER LIBERAL INCUMBENTS. THAT’S THE CASE IN WEST NOVA WHERE COLIN FRASIER WENT BACK TO HIS LAW PRACTISE IN YARMOUTH, AND FOR THE CONSERVATIVES, CHRIS DYENTREMONT OVER JASON DEVEAU AS WE WEST WEST NOVA. HALIFAX WEST IS ONE THEY WOULD HELD. JEFF REGAN HAS HELD THIS TERM SINCE 2000. HE IS THE SPEAKER KINS 2015 AND THAT REGAN NAME IN NOVA SCOTIA IS FATHER THE FORMER PREMIER, HIS WIFE, KELLY, A CABINET MINISTER PROVINCIALLY. SOUTH SHORE-SAINT MARGARET. SHE’S THE FIRST FEMALE CABINET MINISTER EVER FROM NOVA SCOTIA. THAT IS BERNADETTE JORDAN NAMED TO CABIN AFTER SCOTT BRISON LEFT. AND SHE, IN HER SECOND GO, WAS A LEAD TO START.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU FOR THAT, HEATHER. YOU WILL NOTICE THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN THAT THINGS HAVE FLIPPED A BIT. THE LIBERALS LEADING ELECTED 19 CONSERVATIVES IN EIGHT AND THAT’S BECAUSE SOME OF THOSE CLOSE TO CALL RACES THAT I WAS SHOWING YOU EARLIER HAVE FLIPPED THE OTHER WAY. VERY EARLY STAGES HERE. I WOULD IMAGINE THE PARTIES ARE STILL WATCHING CLOSELY TO SEE IF THEY CAN HIT THEIR TARGETS. FOR THE CONSERVATIVES IT’S DOUBLE DIGITS AND LIBERALS HOLDING ON TO WHATEVER THEY’VE GOT.>>David: WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT CHARLOTTETOWN WHERE THE GREENS COULD HAVE A REAL IMPACT IN THAT RACE. THEY HAVE SEAN CASEY WITH A 20-VOTE LEAD OVER ROBERT CAMPBELL. DARCY, THE INTERIM LEADER IS RUNNING THIRD AND THE FEAR HERE FOR THE LIBERALS IS THE GREENS COULD SPLIT THE VOTE AND HELP THE CONSERVATIVES OR WIN IT OUTRIGHT. AND THE NUMBERS ARE ROLLING IN IN ST. JOHN’S, EAST. JACK HARRIS IS UP TO 500-VOTE LEAD OVER NICK WHALEN. THE N.D.P. LEAD WIDENS. IF THAT KEEPS ARGUE, THEY COULD BE IT FOR JACK HARRIS. WE’LL LOOK AT SYDNEY, VICTORIA, WHICH IS JAMIE BATIST AND ONE OF THOSE FORMER PC MLA RUN THE FEDERAL POLITICS BEHIND JAMIE BATTISTE.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, WE’RE GOING TO SYDNEY, VICTORIA, NOVA SCOTIA WITH KAYLA HOUNSELL. THINGS ARE VERY CLOSE. HOW ARE PEOPLE FEELING TONIGHT?>>Reporter: WELL, YOU KNOW, ROSIE, I THINK THIS CAMPAIGN HEADQUARTERS ARE FEELING CONFIDENT. I HAVE HAD A CHANCE TO SPEAK WITH EDDY HIMSELF QUITE A BIT TODAY. HE IS BEEN IN AND OUT OF HIS CAMPAIGN HERE. HE TOLD ME HE WAS FEELING GOOD BUT HE WAS CLEAR FROM CHATTING WITH HIM HE KNOWS HE IS IN A TOUGH RACE TONIGHT AND THAT IS OF COURSE WHAT WE’RE SEEING HERE. LARGELY BECAUSE THIS IS A LIBERAL STRONGHOLD. ALSO, BECAUSE WHEN HE HAS BEEN ON THE DOOR STEPS, HE KNOCKED ON 20,000 DOORS AND HE HAS BEEN HEARING FROM PEOPLE WHO ARE RELUCTANT TO EMBRACE ANDREW SCHEER. IT’S A SITUATION WHERE WE LIKE YOU EDDIE BUT WE’RE CONCERNED ABOUT THE IDEAS OF YOUR LEADER, COMPARING HIM TO STEPHEN HARPER, THE HARPER CLOSED DOWN THE VETERANS AFFAIRS OFFICE HERE IN CAPE BRETON AND ALSO MADE CHANGES TO E.I. THAT EFFECTED SEASONAL WORKERS HERE. THERE IS CONCERN ABOUT THAT. BEYOND THAT, THIS RIDING HAS BEEN HELD BY THE LIBERALS FOR 19 YEARS. ONE OF THE FIVE NOVA SCOTIA LIBERAL M.P.s DECIDING NOT TO REOFFER THIS TIME AROUND. SO, THE CONSERVATIVE’S STRATEGY HAS BEEN TO RUN PROVINCIAL POLITICIANS, EDDIE ORRELL IS ONE OF THREE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE MLAs WHO WILL RESIGN IN THE PROVINCIAL LEGISLATURE AND TRY FEDERALLY THIS TIME AROUND. THIS RIDING HASN’T VOTED CONSERVATIVE SINCE 1974 AND IT HAS VOTED LIBERAL IN 11 OF THE LAST 12 FEDERAL ELECTIONS.>>Rosemary: OK, GOOD CONTACT. THERE’S A NICE VIBE THERE. WHO KNOWS WHAT WILL HAPPEN. I LIKE THE MUSIC IN THE BACKGROUND. WE’LL CHECK BACK WITH YOU A LITTLE BIT LATER. I WANT TO SHOW YOU THE TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL BOARD. THE NUMBERS HAVE BOUNCED AROUND AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN. SOME OF THE PLACES WHERE WE WERE A FEW VOTES APART HAVE FLIPPED THE OTHER WAY. THEY’VE FLIPPED INTO THE RED COLUMN. AGAIN, YOU CAN SEE THAT WE ARE NOT IN ANY DEFINITIVE STAGE WITH ANY OF THOSE RIDINGS. HALIFAX, SYDNEY-VICTORIA. KINGS-HANTS, 527 APART. THOSE ARE TIGHT MARGINS. I WOULDN’T EXPECT ANYTHING ON THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN TO BE SOLID YET AT THIS STAGE. THERE ARE 14 RIDINGS IN FACT IN ALL OF ATLANTIC, CANADA THAT HAS A MARGIN OF LESS THAN 50. THAT’S CLOSE TO CALL. AND IT MIGHT GIVE US AN INDICATION OF HOW TIGHT TONIGHT WILL BE IF IT’S A WARNING ON THAT AT ALL. MANY OF YOU WERE ASKING WHERE HE WAS. HE IS HERE. HE FILLED HIS EMPTY CHAIR. PETER MANSBRIDGE HAS MADE IT NOW. GOOD TO SEE YOU.>>Peter: IT’S TOUGH BEING RETIRED. YOU TEND TO FALL ASLEEP A LOT. [LAUGHTER] I WAS DOWN STAIRS MEETING WITH YOUNG PEOPLE, THERE WERE HUNDREDS OF THEM IN THE A TREE YUM WHO HAVE COME TO WATCH THE PROGRAMME, WATCHING YOU RIGHT NOW, AND WE’RE ALL VERY INVOLVED IN GETTING OUT THE VOTE ON THE PART OF YOUNG PEOPLE TODAY. THAT IS TERRIFIC. IT’S A GREAT PART OF THE DEMOCRACY THAT WE SAW UNFOLD ACROSS THE COUNTRY TONIGHT AND WHO ARE VERY MUCH RESPONSIBLE FOR IT IN THE TORONTO AREA.>>Rosemary: YOU SPENT TIME IN THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES FOR YOUR DOCUMENTARY THAT YOU AIRED LAST FRIDAY. WHAT WAS THE VIBE YOU GOT THERE?>>Peter: WELL, I WAS MAINLY AROUND FREDERICTON AND IAN HAS MENTIONED FREDERICTON IS AN INTERESTING PLACE TO WATCH TONIGHT. THE GREENS ARE, YOU KNOW, THEY’RE A FACTOR IN THAT RIDING AND COULD HAVE AN IMPACT ON WHAT ENDS UP HAPPENING. YOU KNOW, THE BOARD YOU JUST SHOWED OF THE TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL, IF THAT’S AN INDICATION OF THE NIGHT WE’RE GOING TO HAVE, THAT BOARD IS GOING TO BE VERY, VERY LONG BY THE END OF THE EVENING. IT’S WHY WE GO ACROSS THE COUNTRY. WHICH ARGUES TO THIS FACT THAT THERE’S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE, WE WON’T HAVE A RESULT TONIGHT. THERE ARE JUST TOO MANY THINGS UP IN THE AIR IF IT REMAINS CLOSE.>>Rosemary: YEAH. AND THAT’S WHY THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES CAN LOOK AT THAT, WHICH IS AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN THERE, AND BOTH BE VERY HOPEFUL HOW THIS NIGHT IS GOING TO END.>>Peter: AT THAT POINT AND THOSE NUMBERS, THEY CAN ALL TAKE SOMETHING OUT OF THOSE.>>Rosemary: TOTALLY.>>Peter: IT’S NOT THE END OF THE WORLD FOR ANYBODY. AND IT’S NOT THE BEGINNING OF A NEW WORLD FOR ANYBODY YET EITHER.>>Rosemary: NOT QUITE YET. I’LL GIVE YOU A SENSE OF HOW THE VOTE SHARE IS SPLITTING IN THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES THOUGH. IT’S INTERESTING BECAUSE WE HAD ANTICIPATED WE WOULD SEE THE N.D.P. AND THE GREEN PARTY SPLITTING THE VOTE IN DIFFERENT WAYS. IT DOESN’T REALLY SEEM TO BE WHAT IS HAPPENING THERE. IT’S REALLY THE LIBERALS’ VOTE LOSS IS TRANSFERRING ALMOST DIRECTLY TO THE CONSERVATIVES AND IN THE CASE OF THE N.D.P., THEIR LOSSES IN TERMS OF OVER ALL SUPPORT SWITCHING OVER TO THE GREEN PARTY. YOU KNOW, VOTERS DO UNEXPECTED THINGS AND THAT’S WHAT WE’RE SEEING A LITTLE BIT TONIGHT. I’M GOING TO GO TO CORY NOW IF I CAN. AGAIN, LOTS OF CLOSE TO CALL. I DON’T THINK THE NUMBERS WILL STAY AT FIVE BUT WE’LL SEE HOW CONSERVATIVES THE VIEWING THAT. ARE THEY WORRIED OR LOOK AT THE BOARD AND THEY’RE OK?>>WELL, I WAS WORKING DIFFERENTLY WHEN IT WAS NINE. I THINK NINE IS A REALLY ACCEPTABLE NUMBER FOR THE CONSERVATIVES AND — YOU KNOW, IF IT’S BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FOR THE CONSERVATIVES COMING OUT OF ATLANTIC, CANADA, I THINK THERE’S HOPE ALIVE THAT IS QUITE STRONG AND REALISTIC FOR THE CONSERVATIVES WINNING THE LARGEST NUMBER OF SEATS. WHEN IT STARTS DIPPING DOWN INTO LOWER SINGLE-DIGITS IT’S A STEEP HILL THAT YOU HAVE TO CLIMB AND OTHER CHALLENGING MARKETS IN ORDER TO GET TO THAT THRESHOLD. I THINK WE’LL BE RIDING A ROLLER COASTER, ROSIE, BECAUSE I’M ON PINS AND NEEDLES WATCHING THAT NUMBER GO UP AND DOWN.>>Rosemary: AND AGAIN, NO REASON FOR ANYBODY TO PANIC HERE. BECAUSE EVERYBODY STILL — THINGS ARE CLOSE EX THIS IS AND WE’RE GOINGTO BOUNCE AROUND. THE FACT THERE ARE SO MANY THAT ARE CLOSE TO CALL, WHAT DOES THAT INDICATE TO YOU?>>IT’S TOO EARLY TO READ ANYTHING — TO REALLY SAY THIS IS THE PATTERN FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. YOU WERE SAYING THE LIBERAL VOTE GOING TO THE CONSERVATIVES. I’M NOT FROM THE REGION BUT MY UNDERSTANDING IS IT’S USUALLY THE TWO MAIN PARTIES AND PEOPLE DO FLIP BACK AND FOURTH. IT MAY BE A BIT DIFFERENT IN PLACES LIKE ONTARIO WHERE N.D.P. ARE OFTEN GO TO THE LIBERALS BUT I THINK — AND ATLANTIC, CANADA, THERE IS A TRADITION OF IF YOU DIDN’T VOTE FOR THE CONSERVATIVES, THIS YEAR YOU MAY VOTE FOR THE LIBERALS THE NEXT TIME BECAUSE THOSE ARE THE TWO DOMINATING FORCES.>>Rosemary: IT DOES SHOW THE TWO OTHER PARTIES, AND PARTICULARLY THE GREENS, WHERE THERE WAS SOME PROVINCIAL SUPPORT. AT LEAST NOT YET.>>CAN’T PUNCH THROUGH BUT ARE A PROBLEM FOR THE N.D.P. THAT SPENT YEARS TRYING TO GET A REAL FOOTHOLD THERE AND IS NOT GETTING IT BACK TONIGHT AT THIS RATE.>>Rosemary: DAVID COCHRANE HAS RESULTS.>>David: WE HAVE TWO IN KINGS-HANTZ. HE IS OFF TO A LEAD OVER THE CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE, GONE BUT NOT FORGOTTEN. TWO OF 223 REPORTING. TAKE A LOOK AT FREDERICTON. AND LOOK AT THIS, IT’S EARLY, BUT LOOK AT THIS THREE-WAY SPLIT. A THREE-VOTE LEAD OVER THE THIRD PLACE. A REAL STRONG PRESENCE BY THE GREENS WHERE THEY COULD WIN THE SEAT OUTRIGHT OR BLEED ENOUGH PROGRESSIVE SUPPORT AWAY FOR THE LIBERALS TO HAND IT BACK TO THE CONSERVATIVES. SO MATT DECOURCEY IT’S EARLY AND HE IS IN TIGHT.>>Rosemary: THAT NOT BE UNEXPECTED. WE’LL GET LEADERS OF THE LEADERS WATCHING RESULTS THROUGH THE NIGHT AND SEEING WHERE THEY ARE. THIS TIME IT’S JAGMEET SINGH WITH SUPPORTERS AND HIS WIFE. THEY’RE WATCHING IN BRITISH COLUMBIA. EXTRA POINTS FOR THEM BECAUSE THEY’RE WATCHING OUT BROADCAST. IT DOESN’T REALLY MATTER. THEY’RE GOING TO WATCH THROUGH THE NIGHT AND OF COURSE REACT AS RESULTS COME IN. HE IS ALL THE WAY OUT ON THE WEST COAST. REMEMBER, HE HAS ONLY WILL BE BEEN INTHE HOUSE OF COMMONS FORA YEAR-AND-A-HALF NOW. HE OPTED TO WAIT A YEAR AND A HALF TO RUN FOR THE RIDING OF BURNABY SOUTH. HE HAS ONLY BEEN AN M.P. BRIEFLY. CERTAINLY HAS DONE BETTER THAN MOST PEOPLE EXPECTED. JAMIE HAS BRIEF IMPRESSIONS FROM THE PEOPLE WATCHING ALONG WITH HER AT THE WATCH PARTY.>>Reporter: THANK YOU, ROSIE. AS WE WATCH ALL THESE RESULTS COMING IN, WE’RE TALKING LEADERS. HOW DID THEY DO? I’M GOING TO START WITH RYAN McMANN, IT WAS A FIRST TIME THAT YOU VOTED IN 2015, YOU MENTIONED EARLIER THAT YOU VOTED FOR JUSTIN TRUDEAU. WHY?>>WELL, OTHER THAN ANYONE BUT CONSERVATIVE WAVE THAT HIT IN 2015, I MEAN, THERE WAS>>IT FEELS LIKE THE IT WORE OFF AND WHEN WILL WE SEE THE VAINER TRACK.>>WELL I THINK JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD WAS A FACTOR IN THAT. WHEN SOMEONE PRESENTS THEMSELVES AS A FEMINIST AND TWO VERY STRONG, CAPABLE WOMEN END UP LEAVING. WE’RE SEEING A LACK OF AUTHENTICITY ACROSS THE BOARD AND IT’S HARD TO PUT YOUR FINGER ON WHO THESE PEOPLE ARE. SO THAT’S TROUBLING.>>MARK, CAN YOU JUMP IN ON THAT? DO YOU FEEL LIKE WE SAW A LACK OF AUTHENTICITY ACROSS THE BOARD?>>WELL, THIS IS A REFERENDUM ON JUSTIN TRUDEAU’S LEADERSHIP. THAT IS WHAT THIS IS B IT WAS A. IT WAS HARD TO BELIEVE THREE YEARS AGO, MAYBE TWO YEARS AGO OR A YEAR AGO THAT HE WASN’T GOING TO JUST WALTZ INTO A SECOND MAJORITY. ANDREW SCHEER HAS DONE A REASONABLY GOOD JOB OF TRYING TO AVOID ALL THE MINES AND JUST NOT MAKE TOO MANY MISTAKES. IT’S A SITUATION WHERE I THINK THE SHEEN CAME OFF THE LIBERAL LEADER PRETTY QUICK. HE GOT ELECTED ON THE BASIS OF PROMISES OF PROGRESSIVE NATURE, PROMISES TO INDIGENOUS PEOPLE AND WOMEN. SHE BROKE ALL OF THEM.>>I THINK SOME PEOPLE MIGHT DISAGREE WITH YOU WHEN –>>I HOPE SO.>>THAT’S WHAT WE’RE GOING TO TALK B WHEN YOU TALK ABOUT ANDREW SCHEER, HE DIDN’T AVOID ALL THOSE LANDMINES. DID ANYBODY SHINE DURING THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN, MAYOR NENSHI?>>YES, JAGMEET SINGH AND THE CHALLENGE THAT I HAVE IS THIS ELECTION HAS BEEN WAY TOO MUCH ABOUT PERSONALITY AND WAY TOO MUCH ABOUT LEADERSHIP. MR. SCHEER AND MR. TRUDEAU HAVE GREAT TEAMS AND WE NEVER HEARD FROM THEM. THE MINISTERS, THE CANDIDATES, RIGHT. AND, THAT NARROW-MINDED FOCUS, WHICH WAS CAUSED BY THE LIBERALS AND CONSERVATIVES GOING AFTER THE OTHER LEADERS PERSONALLY, KEPT US FROM TALKING ABOUT THE ISSUES. THERE’S SOME REAL TERRIBLE ELECTION PROMISES AND SOME VERY GOOD ONES AND WE HARDLY TALK ABOUT ANY OF THEM.>>WE’VE NEVER HAD AN ELECTION WHERE WE TALK ABOUT ISSUES?>>THAT’S NOT TRUE.>>HE COULD GET IN TROUBLE OF SAYING THAT AND WE HAVE TO GO BACK TO ROSARIES BUT WE’RE GOING TO KEEP TALKING ABOUT THOSE ISSUES TONIGHT AND I HOPE YOU COME BACK TO US SOON.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, JAMIE. WE SHOULD REMIND PEOPLE THAT ALL THOSE PEOPLE AT THE TABLE COME WITH INTERESTING PERSPECTIVE THAT WE CAN DIG INTO A LITTLE BIT MORE AS WELL. IF WE GO BACK TO THEM. THAT MIGHT COLOUR WHAT THEY’RE SAYING AS WELL. WHERE ARE WE GOING NOW? ANDREW?>>Andrew: ALL RIGHT. LET’S DO IT. SO, I WANT TO HELP FOLKS VISUALIZE A POINT IN TERMS OF HOW THE VOTE IS SPLITTING. JUST TO GIVE YOU A LITTLE BIT OF CONTEXT, WE ONLY HAVE 130, 135,000 VOTES IN THE SYSTEM WHICH IS A SMALL FRACTION FOR ALL OF ATLANTIC, CANADA. ANDS CAN SEE THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN, IT ADDS UP TO 31. THERE ARE 32 RIDINGS IN SO WE’RE STILL MISSING RESULTS. FOCUS ON THE RED BAR FOR NOW. WHAT YOU WANT TO LOOK AT IS THE FACT THEY’RE DOWN. THE LIBERALS ARE DOWN 14.2 PERCENTAGE POINTS. THE CONSERVATIVES ARE UP BY ALMOST THAT AMOUNT. IF YOU ARE TRYING ANSWER THE QUESTION, WHERE IS THAT LIBERAL VOTE GOING RIGHT NOW, THAT GIVES YOU AT LEAST A SHADE OF THE ANSWER AND YOU CAN SEE A SIMILAR STORY WITH THE N.D.P. AND THE GREEN RESULTS, RIGHT. THE N.D.P. IS DOWN ONE AND A HALF PERCENTAGE POINTS AND THE GREENS UP 2-POINT9. IT GIVES YOU A SENSE OF HOW THOSE VOTES ARE BALANCING OUT F YOU WONDER WHY THESE NUMBERS ARE SO VOLATILE, IT HAS TO DO WITH THE TOTAL NUMBER OF VOTES WE’VE BEEN COUNTING SO FAR BUT ALSO, THINK OF WHAT OUR DECISION DESK HAS TO DO IN TERMS OF TRYING TO CRUNCH THE NUMBERS GOING TO PAN OUT. RIGHT NOW, SO YOU SEE THE LIBERALS LEADING OR ELECTED IN 24 RIDINGS. THERE ARE ONLY EIGHT WE’RE SURE ABOUT BASED ON THE HISTORICAL DATA, THE POLLING DATA AND THE RESULTS AS THEY COME IN NOW. THERE ARE EIGHT RIDINGS WE’RE SURE. THAT LEAVES 16 UP IN THE AIR. THE CONSERVATIVES LEADING IN SIX RIDINGS BUT NONE OF THOSE SIX ARE WE SURE ABOUT. SO A LOT OF THESE RACES STILL VOLATILE. IF YOU ARE WONDERING WHY IT DROPPED FROM NINE DOWN TO FIVE, THEN IT WAS UP TO SEVEN, TRICKLED UP TO EIGHT AND NOW IT’S BACK DOWN TO SIX. GIVES YOU A BIT OF THE ANSWER.>>Rosemary: THAT’S IMPORTANT TO KEEP IN MIND BECAUSE IT LOOKS CRAZY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE BOARD AS THINGS BOUNCE AROUND RAPIDLY. WE STILL HAVE A LOT OF TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL SO THE NUMBER WILL MOVE THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT. IN ABOUT AN HOUR OR SO, WE WILL START TO GET RESULTS FROM THE REST OF THE COUNTRY BUT FOR NOW WE’RE LOOKING AT WHAT IS HAPPENING IN ATLANTIC, CANADA AND IAN HAS MORE RESULTS.>>Ian: THE CONSERVATIVES I TALKED TO IN NEW BRUNSWICK SAID IF THEY CAN GET FIVE SEATS THIS TIME AROUND IN NEW BRUNSWICK, THAT WOULD BE PRETTY GOOD DAY. ANYTHING MORE THAN FIVE WOULD BE GREAT. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE PARTY STANDINGS RIGHT NOW IN THIS EARLY COUNTING PERIOD IN NEW BRUNSWICK. YOU SEE THAT THE LIBERALS ARE LEADING — ELECTED IN ONE BUT A TOTAL OF FIVE AND CONSERVATIVES FOUR. IT ADDS UP TO NINE IS THAT MONCTON, STRANGELY, HAS NOT REPORTED A SINGLE POLL. I WANT TO SHOW YOU A COUPLE OF RIDINGS WITHIN NEW BRUNSWICK. NO ONE SUGGESTED THIS WOULD GO THE CONSERVATIVE WAY. NOW LOOK, IT’S REALLY CLOSE, 41 VOTES SEPARATING THE CONSERVATIVES FROM THE LIBERALS HERE AND ALSO NOT MANY POLLS REPORTING JUST 17 OF 156. BIG RESULT FOR THE GREENS. THE GREEN AND THE N.D.P. ARE NECK-AND-NECK BETWEEN THIRD AND FOURTH PLACE. MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE. THIS WAS A RIDING THE LIBERALS WERE CONCERNED ABOUT. CLOSE IN THE COUNTING. SO INTERESTING. WE CAN EASILY EXPECT SOME FLIPPING IN THE PARTY STANDINGS IN NEW BRUNSWICK AS MORE VOTES GET COUNTED. WHERE IS MONCTON. I KNOW WHERE IT IS GEOGRAPHICALLY BUT HOW COME WE HAVEN’T HEARD FROM IT? IT’S REALLY STRANGE.>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE IF WE CAN GET AN ANSWER FOR YOU ON THAT ONE. MONCTON, CHECK IT OUT. HEATHER HAS SOME RESULTS.>>Heather: LET’S CHECK BOTH OF THE PROVINCES, WE HAVEN’T LOOKED IN P.E.I. FOR A WHILE SO THE LONGEST SERVING M.P. ON THE ISLAND AND ONE OF THE LONGEST-SERVING MEMBERS OF THE HOUSE, LAWRENCE MCCAULEY, WE HAVE HIM ELECTED FOR HIS TENTH TERM IN THE EASTERN MOST RIDING OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. THREE ON NOVA SCOTIA. IN NOVA SCOTIA THAT, BOY THE N.D.P. IS WATCHING CLOSELY. THEY THINK THERE’S A LOT OF ENTHUSIASM. THERE WERE NASTY SURPRISES IN 2015. THIS IS ONE. ANDY FILMORE WHO DEFEATED MEGHAN HE IS IN THE EARLY STAGES WITH A LEAD OVER THE N.D.P. CANDIDATE THIS TIME AROUND. AS WE LOOK, THIS WAS PETER STAUFFER REECE RIDING AND HE IS THE BRAND NOW AND IN DEED WAS THE LEAD AS HE BEGAN HIS QUEST FOR A SECOND TERM. AND MEGHAN WAS TELLING ME BEFORE OUR BROADCAST, THERE’S A LOT OF ENTHUSIASM FOR DARTMOUTH-COLE HARBOUR. EMMA MARTIN IS RUNNING SECOND BUT WE’LL WATCH HER NUMBERS. DEREN FISHER, HE IS SECOND TERM, LONG TIME MUNICIPAL POLITICIANS. HE HAS THE LEAD IN THE EARLY STAGES AFTER JUST FIVE POLLS.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, HEATHER. HE WANT TO LOOK IF I CAN AT THE TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL BOARD. THAT IS GIVING YOU THE VOLUME VOLATILITY. THOSE ARE THE CLOSEST. LOOK AT FREDERICTON. THIS IS MATT DECOURSEY AND HE IS TIED WITH ANDREA JOHNSON. I REALISE WE’RE JUST IN THE EARLY RESULTS BUT THAT’S ASTOUNDING. THERE ARE NINE RIDINGS WHERE THERE’S A MARGIN OF ONLY 100 VOTES AND THERE ARE 1 WHERE 13 WITH AMARGIN OF 200 VOTES. IF THE POLLS ARE TRUE AND THINGS STARTED TIGHT AND THEY’RE ENDING TIGHT, THOSE ARE THE RIDINGS WHERE WE’RE STARTING TO SEE AN ILLUSTRATION OF THAT.>>ALL OF THE NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR SEATS ARE NOW SETTLED. THE CBC DECISION DESK IS PROJECTED THEM ALL ELECTED AND THE FINAL ONE IS ST. JOHN’S, EAST, WHERE JACK HARRIS IS GOING BACK TO OTTAWA. HE HAS 1,371 VOTE-LEAD OVER NICK WHALEN, THE ONE-TERM LIBERAL MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT. THE DECISION DESK HAS SEEN ENOUGH. HAS LEAD HAS BEEN WIDEN. JACK HARRIS COMING BACK TO WORK WITH JAGMEET SINGH. EDDIE WHIRL HAS MOVED OUT OVER JAMIE DATTISTE. HE GOT IN A LOT OF TROUBLE WITH HIS TWITTER ACCOUNT AND SOME UNFORTUNATE COMMENTS ABOUT INDIGENOUS WOMEN. THE CONSERVATIVES WANTED HIM FIRED. EDDIE ORRELL MAY DO IT FOR THEM.>>Rosemary: LET’S GET REACTION TO JACK HARRIS.>>CONGRATULATIONS JACK HARRIS. THIS IS GOOD, OBVIOUSLY IT’S GOOD FOR THE N.D.P. IT’S GOOD FOR NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR JUST TO HAVE ANOTHER VOICE THERE IN PARLIAMENT AND ANOTHER PERSPECTIVE IN PARLIAMENT.>>Rosemary: WHAT DO YOU THINK THAT DOES? HOW DOES IT CHANGE THE CONVERSATION?>>WELL, A PRETTY QUIET ISSUE, MUCH EARLIER IN THE MANDATE, WAS AROUND SUPREME COURT JUDGE APPOINTMENTS. WHETHER OR NOT ATLANTIC, CANADA, SHOULD HAVE AN APPOINTMENT FROM ATLANTIC, CANADA. AND YOU DIDN’T HEAR ANYTHING ABOUT IT IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS, IT WAS A SILENT ISSUE. IF LIBERALS APPOINTING THE COURT AND IT’S ALSO ALL LIBERALS IN ATLANTIC, CANADA AND SO IF THERE HAD BEEN AN OPPOSITION MEMBER OR TWO WE COULD HAVE HEARD A DEBATE ABOUT THAT ON THE FLOOR. MAYBE QUESTIONS FROM QUESTION PERIOD. IT’S HARD TO STAND UP WHEN YOU ARE THE GOVERNING PARTY AND SAY WHAT ABOUT MY REGIONS. REGIONS ARE NOT WELL SERVED.>>SOME OF THEM HAVE DONE THAT. SCOTT SIMS DID IT AND PAID A PRICE. I MEAN, HE STILL GOT RE-ELECTED.>>ON THAT POINT, WITH 32 OF 32 THE FISHERIES, NO DISCUSSION IN THIS ELECTION ABOUT FISHERIES POLICY AND RURAL AND ATLANTIC CANADA ARE BIG ISSUES. WHEN YOU DO HAVE A SPLIT LEGISLATURE FROM A REGION, THOSE ISSUES CAN GET ON THE TABLE MORE THAN THEY DID –>>Rosemary: THERE’S A WAY TO PUT PRESSURE ON THE GOVERNMENT IN A WAY YOU DIDN’T EXPECT.>>IT DOESN’T SPEAK TO BEING, FEELING THIS IS BEING TOTALLY IGNORED BY THE GOVERNMENT. BECAUSE ATLANTIC, CANADA VOTERS ARE NOT SHY AT EXPRESSING ANGER AT THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT. 25 OUT OF 32, MAYBE 26 WHEN MONCTON COMES IN BECAUSE IT’S A FAIRLY LIBERAL RIDING.>>Rosemary: YEAH.>>IT’S HARD TO THINK THAT IT CAN GET ANY BETTER EXCEPT ON A YEAR LIKE 2015.>>Rosemary: AGAIN, AS I SAY, THERE ARE LOTS OF TOO-CLOSE-TO CALLS THERE. IT MIGHT BOUNCE AROUND. AT THIS STAGE, IT ISN’T A REPUDIATES OF WHAT THE LIBERALS HAVE DONE FOR CANADA. I’M SURE THE CROWD WENT WILD ABOUT THE JACK HARRIS WIN. [LAUGHTER]>>WELL, WE DON’T HAVE THE CROWD IN HERE AS OF YET. YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER THE TIME DIFFERENCE. THEY’RE COMING IN A BIT. WE KNOW THEIR CAMPAIGN TEAM ARE EXTREMELY HAPPY ABOUT THIS LET ME TELL YOU THE REASON WHY. WHAT THEY WERE DOING, THEY WERE WATCHING JACK HARRIS’ RIDING AND A FEW OTHERS IN THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES. SO, JACK HARRIS FOR THEM SHOWS THAT THEY MAY HAVE SOME MOMENTUM PICKING UP BECAUSE THEY DID SUCH A GOOD JOB TOWARDS THE END OF THAT CAMPAIGN. SOME OTHER ONES THAT THEY’RE WATCHING, ROSIE, ARE DARTMOUTH-COLE HARBOUR, RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS ARE LEADING IN THAT RIDING AND ALSO HALIFAX, CCADIE-BARTH HURST. IF THEY TOOK THOSE RIDINGS, THINGS SURGE AS YOU’VE BEEN HEARING ABOUT THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN, ACTUALLY TAKING PLACE. WHEN I LOOK AT THOSE OTHER RIDINGS, OTHER THAN JACK HARRIS’ RIDING IT APPEARS THOSE OTHER RIDINGS ARE STILL BEING LED BY OTHER PARTIES, MOSTLY LIBERALS. SO, THEY’RE GOING TO KEEP THEIR EYE ON THAT BUT THEY ARE REALLY HAPPY THAT THEY’VE SENT JACK HARRIS BACK TO THE HOUSE OF COMMONS.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, HANNAH. HANNAH IS IN B.C. WHERE THE HEADQUARTERS WILL BE. I SHOULD TELL YOU, THE N.D.P. SUPPORT IS DOWN OVER ALL IN ATLANTIC, CANADA. SO THEY MAY GET A SEAT OUT OF THIS BUT I’M NOT SURE THEY’RE GOING TO BE ABLE TO GET MUCH MORE THAN THAT AT THIS STAGE. MAYBE THE JAGMEET SINGH IMPACT, THE UP RISING OR WHATEVER YOU WANT TO CALL IT, HAS TRANSFERRED INTO THIS PART OF THE — THE SINGH SURGE. THANK YOU. THAT’S WHAT IT’S CALLED. LET’S GO TO ST. JOHN’S EAST. PETER COWAN IS HERE.>>Reporter: YOU WERE WORKING HARD IN ORDER TO GET OUT AND VOTE. FOUR YEARS AGO, NICK WHALEN BEAT JACK HARRIS, TONIGHT JACK HARRIS BEAT NICK WHALEN.>>PEOPLE REALISE THERE WAS A STRONG BASE FOR NEW DEMOCRATS. WE SAW A SOLID CAMPAIGN FROM JAGMEET SINGH. WE KNOW THAT EVERY NEW DEMOCRAT THAT IS GOING TO BE ELECTED WILL BE THERE TO SPEAK FOR PEOPLE. I THINK THAT RESOUNDED WELL. WE’RE ALSO SEEING WE’RE THE VOICE OF CHANGE AND PEOPLE ARE LISTENING.>>Reporter: WITH THE PROSPECT OF A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, WHAT ROLE DO YOU THINK THAT ONE N.D.P. — RIGHT NOW IT IS ONLY ONE N.D.P. WITHIN ATLANTIC, CANADA. WHAT SORT OF ROLE DOES HE PLAY?>>CERTAINLY IN A MINORITY SITUATION, IT MEANS THAT WE CAN CRAFT BETTER POLICY, IT CAN BE BETTER BALANCED POLICY. WE’LL SEE THE NEEDS OF MORE PEOPLE REFLECTED IN OUR LEGISLATURE AND I THINK THAT WOULD BE IMPORTANT.>>Reporter: THANK YOU, VERY MUCH. WE’LL LET YOU GO AND ENJOY THE PARTY. THEY JUST BROUGHT AN ACCORDION IN. THAT’S A SIGN THE PARTY WILL BEGIN.>>Rosemary: THAT’S WHY WE LOVE THIS LAND BECAUSE ACCORDIONS APPEAR WHEN YOU NEED THEM. THANK YOU, PETER AND THANK YOU TO THE LEADER OF THE N.D.P. AS WELL. APPRECIATE IT. IAN HAS SOME RESULTS.>>Ian: YES, SO ONE OF THINGS WE SHOULD CAUTION PEOPLE, AND WE’VE TALKED ABOUT THIS BEFORE, YOU LOOK AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN AND YOU SEE THAT BOARD AND THINK, WELL, THIS IS A GOOD IDEA OF WHAT THE LEAD IS FOR THE LIBERALS. SOME OF THESE RIDINGS ARE SO CLOSE AND NEW BRUNSWICK IS AMONG THE FACES THAT HAS THOSE CLOSE RIDINGS. WE HAVE FOUND MONCTON. IT’S NOT JUST THE PLACE WHERE CHAMPLAIN MALL IS. IT’S A PLACE WHERE THEY’RE COUNTING VOTES. YOU KNOW, GINETTE PETITPAS TAYLOR AND THE GREENS ARE DOING SO WELL THERE. THIS IS A RIDING THAT’S GONE BACK AND FOURTH BETWEEN LIBERALS AND CONSERVATIVES FOR THE LONG TIME. LET’S A COUPLE OF MORE RIDINGS WITH MORE POLLS REPORTING AND A REALLY SLIM LEAD. OUR BOARD IS NOT CAPABLE OF REFLECTING THE FACT THAT THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES ARE TIED IN MIRAMICHI-AND SOMEONE ON TWITTER SAID I HAD IT WRONG WITH THE GREENS. THE GREENS ARE GETTING WAY MORE VOTES THAN THEY’RE GETTING. THEY’RE GETTING VOTES IN SOME RIDINGS. AND THE NUMBER OF VOTES THEY’RE GETTING COULD DETERMINE WHO ENDS UP OR HELP DETERMINE WHO ENDS UP WINNING THIS RIDING.>>Rosemary: THEY ARE UP ACROSS THE ATLANTIC REGION. SO AGAIN, CAUTION THAT IT DOESN’T ALWAYS MEAN YOU WIN A SEAL THE BUT YOU ARE STEALING SUPPORT FROM ELSEWHERE AND THAT COULD BE THE N.D.P. IT SEEMS TO BE AT THIS STAGE. THEY’RE UP ABOUT FOUR POINTS FROM LAST TIME AROUND.>>FOR THE GREENS, COMING UP SECOND CAN POSSIBLY BE A WIN. ALTHOUGH, FREDERICTON IS MOVING AROUND AND BOUNCING ABOUT. THERE’S ONLY 10 POLLS REPORTING BUT THERE ARE FEWER THAN 20 VOTES SEPARATING AND THE GREENS. THE OTHER RIDING THAT IS REALLY INTERESTING WHERE THE GREENS CAME IN SECOND. CBC IS SUGGESTING THAT IT’S GOING TO BE DOMINIQUE LeBLANC’S SEAT. ON THE GROUND, ANOTHER RIDING I VISITED WITH ELIZABETH MAY DRIVING IN THE BACK SEAT OF A TESLA, DRIVEN BY A VOLUNTEER. HE STOPPED IN THAT RIDING AND LOCAL PEOPLE SUGGESTED THAT DOMINIQUE IS NOT DOING WELL, HE IS IN MONTREAL FOR CANCER TREATMENT AND HE HASN’T BEEN THAT PRESENT IN THE RIDING. ALSO, THEY’RE COMFORTABLE PARKING THEIR BALLOT SOMEWHERE ELSE BECAUSE THEY DON’T FEAR A CONSERVATIVE COMING IN INTO THAT RIDING. THE LIBERALS HAVE TRIED TO MAKE THIS CAMPAIGN A FIGHT BETWEEN THEM AND THE CONSERVATIVES BUT IN SOME RIDINGS, STRATEGIC VOTING DOESN’T WORK THAT WAY. THERE’S A SAFETY IN CASTING YOUR BALLOT FOR ANOTHER PARTY AND THAT’S WHAT WE’RE SEEING WITH A LOT OF GREEN SUPPORTERS IN ATLANTIC, CANADA.>>Rosemary: I THINK I WANT ROGER TO TALK ABOUT DOMINIQUE IN JUST A MINUTE BUT ANDREW WANTS IN THERE.>>Andrew: IT’S CONVERGING ON WHAT THE POLLS WERE PREDICTING AND CONVERGING BACK TO NORMALCY. YOU KNOW, YOU LOCK AT SOME OF THESE NEWFOUNDLAND RIDINGS WHERE WE HAVE THE MOST RESULTS, LAST TIME THEY WON BY AN AVERAGE MARGIN OF 50% AND WE’RE LOOKING AT MORE LIKE SIX, 14, 13, THAT KIND OF THING. ACROSS THE REGION, THE LIBERALS BEAT THE STORIES BY 40% LAST NIGHT AND IT WILL BE MORE LIKE 10 PERCENTAGE POINTS. I THINK I’M GOING TO BE VERY INTERESTED TO SEE THE TURNOUT NUMBERS THOUGH BECAUSE THAT IS THE LIBERAL FEAR IS THAT THEIR VOTERS WON’T BE AS MOTIVATED AS THEY WERE AT LAST TIME AROUND AND THAT’S THE BEST HOPE FOR THE CONSERVATIVES TO CATCH.>>Rosemary: ALL POLLS ARE REPORTING NOW IN ATLANTIC, CANADA. FIRST REPORTING ANYWAY, SO THAT’S 32 OUT OF 32 REPORTING. AND IN THREE RIDINGS, THE GROANS ARE IN SECOND AND IN FREDERICTON AND IN MONCTON, I’M GOING TO GO TO HEATHER NEXT. I’M GOING TO COME TO YOU, ROGER, DON’T YOU WORRY. HEALTH HAS SOME RESULTS. FIRST RESULTS FROM QUEBEC.>>Heather: THAT’S RIGHT. WE HAVE THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS. IT’S AN HOUR AHEAD SO IT GIVES US — CHANTEL PERKS UP. YOU REMEMBER, 2015, BECAUSE IT’S 2015. THERE WAS IN THE CABINET MINISTER. AGAIN, JUST ONE OF THE 214 POLLS REPORTING IN THIS LARGE AND VARIED RIDING BUT THIS IS A RIDING, IF YOU LOOK THROUGH HISTORY, P.C., LIBERALS, BLOC, LIBERAL, N.D.P., LIBERAL, IT JUST INDICATES WE COULD BE IN FOR SOME SURPRISES. THIS IS OUR FIRST LOOK AT A CABINET MINISTERS IN QUEBEC TONIGHT.>>Rosemary: IT’S AN INCREDIBLE PLACE TO GO.>>IT’S INCREDIBLE TO GO BUT FOR SOME REASON, AS FAR AS THEY MAY BE FROM THE MEDIA CENTERS AND QUEBEC, THEY HAVE GONE WITH THE TREND. ON THE NIGHT OF THE ORANGE WAVE IN 2011, THE MAGDALENE ISLANDS WERE ORANGE. IF THE LIBERALS KEEP THAT SEAT, THEY WILL FIND THAT ENCOURAGING.>>Rosemary: GOOD TO KNOW. ROGER, LET ME COME BACK TO YOU ON THE GREEN RISE IN MONCTON. WHETHER THERE WAS SOMETHING GOING ON THERE WITH THE FACT THAT DOMINIQUE LeBLANC, BECAUSE OF HIS HEALTH JUST COULDN’T BE PRESENT. SURELY THERE WERE OTHER LIBERALS OUT THERE CAMPAIGNING FOR HIM?>>YES. THE SEAT HAS TRADITIONALLY BEEN A LIBERAL SEAT. ANGELA WON IT IN ’97 AS A N.D.P. AND CROSSED OVER AND JOINED THE CONSERVATIVES AND DOM BEAT HER IN 2000. WE CAME IN TOGETHER IN 2000. THERE WAS A COHORT OF 26 LIBERALS THAT WERE NEWLY ELECTED IN 2000. DOM IS THE LAST GUY STANDING. MARK IKEING AND I WERE IN THAT. LARRY BAGNELL WAS DEFEATED BUT HE IS BACK IN WE ALL WISH DOM THE BEST IN HIS RECOVERY. THE LeBLANC NAME HAS DEEP ROOTS WITHIN THAT COMMUNITY. HE ALWAYS USED TO KID THAT HE ONLY PUT LeBLANC SIGNS UP BECAUSE THEY STILL SUPPORTED ROMEO UP THERE. IT’S GREAT. HE HAS GOTTEN GREAT SUPPORT THERE AND I THINK IT CARRIES A GREAT DEAL OF EQUITY AND RESPECT IN HIS NAME.>>Rosemary: ROMEO LeBLANC, HIS FATHER AND FORMER GOVERNOR-GENERAL. HE HAS INTEL FROM THE WAR ROOMS WHO ARE WATCHING THIS. THE TIGHTNESS OF THIS AND OUR THINKING WHAT?>>THE TIGHTNESS IS CERTAINLY SOMETHING TO TALK ABOUT. I HIGHLIGHT ON THAT RIDING IS SOMETHING THAT THEY’RE PAYING ATTENTION TO. OVER ALL NUMBERS LIKE ANDREW POINTED OUT, SEEM TO MATCH UP WITH PUBLIC OPINION POLLS. THEY ALSO MATCH UP WITH INTERNAL POLLING, RIGHT. THERE WAS AN EXPECTED RANGE FOR THE LIBERALS, PARTICULARLY THAT THEY THOUGHT THEY WOULD LOSE ANYWHERE FROM FIVE TO EIGHT SEATS. IF YOU DON’T SEE THE CONSERVATIVES RISE ABOVE THAT THEY’RE NOT GOING TO PANIC. FOR THE CONSERVATIVES A SEVEN-SEAT GAIN OVER THERE IS NOT TERRIBLE AND KEEP THEM LOOKING AT THE NEXT REGION TO COME. THEY’RE NOT PANICKING EITHER. I WOULD JUST HIGHLIGHT THAT THIS IS PRETTY MUCH AS EXPECTED FOR BOTH PARTIES. AGAIN, HIGHLIGHTS THE INCREASE SIGNIFICANCE OF THE START ROLLING WEST.>>Rosemary: IT WILL HAPPEN IN UNDER AN HOUR WHEN 263 RIDINGS WILL START REPORTING FROM QUEBEC ALL THE WAY TO ALBERTA AND THAT’S WHEN THINGS ARE GOING TO GET FAST AND FURIOUS AND WE’LL SEE WHETHER THE CLOSENESS OF THINGS STARTS TO REPLICATE ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THERE’S ONE FELLOW THAT IS STANDING BY WAITING FOR THOSE RESULTS. QUITE A LOT OF PRESSURE ON HIM BECAUSE HE IS THE LEADER OF A NEWLY FOUNDED PARTY. THE PEOPLE’S PARTY OF CANADA. THEY’RE WAITING TO SEE WHETHER ANY SORT OF INCREASE IN SUPPORT FOR THAT PARTY, WHICH HAS BEEN POLLING AT AROUND 2% FROM THE BEGINNING OF THE CAMPAIGN, COULD EAT AWAY AT THE CONSERVATIVES’ SUPPORT IN ANY PLACE ACROSS THE COUNTRY. UNCLEAR WHETHER IT WILL ACTUALLY DO THAT. BUT THOMAS DAIGLE AS WELL SOUTHF QUEBEC AND HE SPOKE WITH MAXIME BERNIER.>>Reporter: WE’RE BACKSTAGE WITH THE LEADER MAXIME BERNIER, WHO IN 2015, WON THE SEAT BY 20,000 BALLOTS. MANY PEOPLE WERE TALKING TO IN THIS RIDING SAYING THIS WAS A HARDER CAMPAIGN FOR YOU THIS TIME. WOULD YOU AGREE THIS IS BEEN A HARDER CAMPAIGN THAN BEFORE?>>ABSOLUTELY. YOU KNOW, I DID CAMPAIGN HERE AND I’M VERY HAPPY WITH WHAT WE DID AS A LEADER OF THE PARTY. THE SMEAR CAMPAIGN THAT THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY OF CANADA DID AGAINST US WASN’T HELPFUL. WE WILL ALWAYS FIGHT FOR WHAT WE BELIEVE IN-PERSONAL RESPONSIBILITY AND RESPECT AND FAIR YES AND I’M PLEASED WE DID A CAMPAIGN BASED ON IDEAS THAT WAS IMPORTANT FOR US. I BELIEVE THAT THE PEOPLE WILL BE THERE IN A COUPLE OF HOURS FROM NOW. I’M CONFIDENT I CAN LEAD THE WAY OF THE RIDING.>>Reporter: IT’S THE FIRST TIME YOU ARE RUNNING NOT AS A CONSERVATIVE BUT A THE PEOPLE’S PARTY. WHAT IS A WIN FOR YOU TONIGHT?>>YOU KNOW, I HOPE THAT WE’LL HAVE MORE THAN ONE CANDIDATE ELECTED. WE’LL SEE. ALSO, YOU KNOW, EVERYBODY WE’RE SEEING THAT ARE AROUND 1.8% AND WE’LL SEE IF WE HAVE A HUGE PARTY RATE THAT WILL HELP US. WE’LL SEE WHAT WILL HAPPEN.>>Reporter: THEY SAY YOU WANT TO DEFEND THOSE VALUES. WHAT HAS BEEN THE REACTION WHEN YOU ARE DOOR-KNOCKING AND TALKING ABOUT LESS IMMIGRATION, WHEN YOU TALK ABOUT A DIFFERENT, PERHAPS WEAKER FIGHT AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE AND FOR THOSE VALUES?>>IT IS. I WAS TELLING THE TRUTH TO PEOPLE ACROSS THE COUNTRY. OUR PROGRAMME IS VERY DIFFERENT THAN THE OTHER LEADERS. WE ARE DOING POLITICS POTENTIALLY AND PEOPLE APPRECIATE THAT. IT’S BASED ON IDEAS. IT’S BASED ON A SMALLER GOVERNMENT. A GOVERNMENT THAT WILL RESPECT THE CONSTITUTION. A GOVERNMENT THAT WILL RESPECT THE TAXPAYERS. IF YOU ARE REAL CONSERVATIVE WHO BELIEVES IN FREEDOM AND LESS GOVERNMENT, WE ARE THE ONLY PARTY HERE IN CANADA.>>Reporter: THANK YOU, VERY MUCH.>>THANK YOU.>>Reporter: HIS FATHER WAS HARRY POTTER FOR 13 YEARS AS WELL AND TONIGHT HE FINDS OUT WHETHER HE KEEPS IT IN THE FAMILY.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, THOMAS. THE BERNIER NAME IS STRONG. I’M GOING TO GET YOU TO WEIGH IN ON WHETHER YOU THINK HE HAS DONE ANY DAMAGE AT ALL TO THE CONSERVATIVES IN ANY PART OF THE COUNTRY?>>I THINK HE PROBABLY HAS. WE’RE GOING TO HAVE TO SEE RIDING BY RIDING. IT’S NOT DIFFERENT THAN THE GREEN VOTERS WERE IN CERTAIN RIDINGS WHERE THERE’S A PARTICULAR SITUATION WHERE THERE’S A PARTICULARLY STRONG CANDIDATE, WHERE THAT NUMBER CAN GET BUMPED UP HIGHER. WE SAW THAT IN THE BYELECTIONS EARLIER THIS YEAR WHERE IT WAS VERY UNEVEN. IN TERMS OF WHAT THEIR VOTE TURNOUT WAS AND SUPPORT LEVELS. SO, YOU KNOW, I THINK YOU ARE NOT GOING TO SEE IN THE MARITIME PROVINCES, THE PEOPLE’S PARTY BEING MUCH OF A FACTOR. WHEN WE GET INTO RIDINGS AROUND HIS RIDING IN QUEBEC, IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHETHER HE HAS ANY COATTAILS AND IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE SOME SOME OF THE CLOSE RAILSES THAT WE’RE RACING IN THE 905 ANDTHE LOWER L THE PEOPLE’S PARTY VOTE BE IN THE DIFFERENCE MARGIN BETWEEN LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES.>>Rosemary: IT ONLY HAS TO BE 3% OR SOMETHING IN.>>A COUPLE POINTS CAN MAKE THE DIFFERENCE IN THOSE. MY GUESS IS THAT HE WILL COST US SOME SEATS. I’M WILL TELL. HOPEFULLY NOT TOO MANY AS WE’RE — I’M CHEERING FOR ANDREW TO WIN.>>Rosemary: I REALISE YOU ARE.>>A BIG SURPRISE FOR EVERYONE AT HOME I’M SURE.>>Rosemary: IT’S THE ONLY LEADER THAT WILL SCRUM WITH US THROUGH THE EVENING. PRETTY MUCH EVERYBODY ELSE IS HIDING OUT AND WATCHING RESULTS QUIETLY. DAVID COMMON IS TRACKING RESULT. HE IS TALKING TO VOTERS FROM THE G.T.A. IN ALONG THE 905 AND TOWARDS TORONTO. I HAVE NO IDEA WHERE HE IS NOW. HE DOESN’T STOP MOVING. TELL US WHERE YOU ARE AND WHAT YOU ARE FINDING OUT THERE TODAY?>>Reporter: WELL, ROSIE, WE’RE IN MISSISSAUGA AT A VOTING STATION. YOU CAN SEE PEOPLE ARE COMING AND THERE’S BEEN A CONSISTENT LINE OF EBBS AND FLOWS. NOT AS MANY PEOPLE RIGHT NOW COMPARED TO SOME OF THE LINES WE’VE SEEN OVER THE PAST FEW MINUTES. 50 MINUTES LEFT TO VOTE IN ONTARIO. REALLY IN THAT BLOC FROM QUEBEC TO ALBERTA AND ELECTIONS CANADA TWEETING OUT IF YOU ARE IN LINE WHEN THE POLLS CLOSE, AS LONG AS YOU ARE IN LINE YOU CAN VOTE. IF YOU ARE WATCHING AND DIDN’T VOTE YET AND THINKING WHETHER YOU SHOULD OR NOT, YOU HAVE TIME IN THAT QUEBEC TO ALBERTA CORRIDOR. HERE IN THE 905, THESE ARE RIDINGS THAT ARE SO CRITICALLY DEFINITIVE OR COULD HOLD THAT POTENTIAL VERY, VERY TIGHT GOING INTO THIS RACE. PARTICULARLY HERE IN MISSISSAUGA AND WHEN WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CONSERVATIVES IF THEY WANT TO WIN MORE SEATS IT’S IN RIDINGS LIKE THIS THEY HAVE TO DO IT. IF THEY DON’T DO IT HERE, THEY WILL KEEP THE MOMENTUM.>>Rosemary: THAT’S GREAT. IT’S GOOD TO SEE PEOPLE OUT AND VOTING. EVEN IF THEY’RE IN A LINEUP. LET ME UPDATE PEOPLE THAT MAKING WATCHING TONIGHT AND ARE WORRIES IT IS NOT EXTENDING VOTING HOURS ANYWHERE IN CANADA AT THIS STAGE. THERE HAS BEEN SOME STAFFING PROBLEMS. IN TORONTO, IN OTTAWA AND NOW ALSO APPARENTLY IN GUELPH. THEY’RE NOT EXTENDING THE HOURS. IF YOU ARE IN LINE AT 9:30, SO WHAT TIME IS IT NOW? THERE’S TIME TO GO HERE. YOU CAN STAY IN THE LINE. YOU HAVE 45 MINUTES. YOU CAN STAY IN THAT LINE AND YOU WILL STILL GET TO VOTE. SORT OF WHAT HAPPENED IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. YOU WILL GET IN LINE, THEY’LL LET YOU VOTE. THEN THEY’LL GO AND CLOSE THE DOOR. IT MIGHT BE SLOWER IN SOME OF THOSE PLACES. SOME POLLING STATIONS IN TORONTO ON OTTAWA AND SOME IN GUELPH. NOT A WIDESPREAD ISSUE. THERE WERE STAFFING PROBLEMS THERE SO IF YOU ARE IN LINE AT 9:30, STAY THERE. THEY’LL LET YOU IN AND YOU CAN CAST YOUR BALLOT. WE’VE GOT SOME RESULTS COMING IN. THE GREEN PARTY IS UP TO 8.3% ACROSS ATLANTIC, CANADA.>>ROSIE, THEY’RE ON THE BOARD AND WE’RE GOING TO SHOW YOU WHERE. A SPLIT MATING COSTING SEATS TO THE CONSERVATIVES. JENICA ATWIN HAS A LEAD OVER ANDREA JOHNSON AND MATT DECOURCEY AND YOU HAVE AN URBAN RURAL SPLIT IN THIS RIDING THAT COULD VERY MUCH SHAPE HOW THIS OUTCOME WILL GO. THE CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE HAS SKIPPED SOME ALL-PARTY, ALL-CANDIDATE DEBATES IN FREDERICK THROUGHOUT THIS ELECTION. SHE FOCUS OND THE RURAL AREAS OF THE RIDING. RIGHT THERE THE GREEN, A SIGN OF STRENGTH BUT ONLY 15 OF 158 POLLS REPORTING.>>Rosemary: THIS IS THE ONLY RACE THAT IS REMAINING RIGHT NOW WHERE THE MARGIN IS UNDER 100 VOTES. STILL VERY, VERY TIGHT. LET ME GO TO ROGER AND GET HIS PERSPECTIVE WHETHER THAT SURPRISES YOU THAT MATT DECOURCEY WOULD BE IN THIRD SPOT. WERE THEY WORRIED ABOUT HIM?>>WE WERE AWARE OF THE SEAT FOR QUITE SOME TIME NOW. IT ROW REFLECTS WHAT WEPT ON DURING THE LAST PROVINCIAL ELECTION. WE KNOW IT WAS GOING TO BE IN PLAY. MATT IS A GREAT PARLIAMENTARIAN, GREAT PARLIAMENTARY SECRETARY AND MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS. WE KNEW IT WAS GOING TO BE A BATTLE. THE GREEN CANDIDATE IS VERY CAPABLE. THIS ONE WILL GO DOWN TO THE WIRE. WHEN WE TALK ABOUT FOUR-WAY BATTLES OR THREE-WAY BATTLES, THIS IS REALLY ONE THAT WILL STAND OUT IN ATLANTIC.>>Rosemary: PETER.>>Peter: THAT’S WHAT I WAS MENTIONING BECAUSE I WAS THERE IN FREDERICTON. SITTING IN THAT FARMER’S MARKET THERE A COUPLE OF SATURDAYS AGO, I HAD A NUMBER OF PEOPLE MENTION TO ME. LOOK, WE’VE GROWN UP, IT’S EITHER RED OR BLUE. AND WE’VE BEEN DISAPPOINTED ELECTION AFTER ELECTION. THIS TIME WE’RE GOING TO TRY ANOTHER COLOUR. SO THAT’S, YOU KNOW, THAT’S OBVIOUSLY ONE OF THE VOTERS THAT WENT FOR THE GREENS HERE TONIGHT. LET ME MAKE ANOTHER POINT. BACK UP SOMETHING THAT CHANTEL SAID EARLIER. LIBERALS LOOKING AT THIS, I MEAN, WHAT DO THEY HAVE NOW, 26. THERE’S NOTHING WRONG WITH THAT. THAT’S PRETTY GOOD. AND WHEN YOU CONSIDER THAT LAST TIME AROUND IN ATLANTIC, CANADA, IN EACH PROVINCE, THEY WERE WELL OVER 50% OF THE VOTES. AND THEY’RE SITTING 43% OF THE VOTES ACROSS ATLANTIC, CANADA. IN ANY OTHER YEAR THAT’S A BIG NUMBER.>>Rosemary: IT’S WHEN YOU START OUT WITH EVERYTHING AND YOU LOSE ANYTHING THAT EVERYBODY SAYS THIS IS A TERRIBLE NIGHT. I TAKE YOUR POINT. AND WE’LL GO BACK TO THOSE TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL RIDINGS TO GIVE YOU A SENSE OF WHERE THINGS ARE AT. I WANT TO TELL YOU SOME MORE THINGS ABOUT SOME POLLING PROBLEMS. THERE’S ONE EXTENSION OF POLLING TIMES, OF TIME TO VOTE AND THAT IS IN THE RIDING OF THUNDER BAY IN NORTHERN ONTARIO. POLLS WILL STAY OPEN THERE. IF YOU ARE THERE FOR ONE ADDITIONAL HOUR, THERE WAS PROBLEMS WITH THE VOTER REGISTRATION CARDS. THE WRONG TIMES WERE ON THEM. IN ORDER TO CORRECT THAT, THAT THE POLLS STATIONS IN THAT RIDING WILL STAY OPEN ANOTHER HOUR. IAN HAS SOME RESULTS NOW.>>Ian: IT SOUNDED LIKE MICROWAVE POPCORN. DO YOU WANT BUTTER? [LAUGHTER] WELL, WHEN THE POLLS CLOSE IN ONTARIO, ONE OF THE THINGS WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT CLOSELY ARE THOSE LIBERAL-CONSERVATIVE BATTLE GROUNDS. THE N.D.P. CAN PLAY A ROLE IN THOSE AS WELL. IN THE 905, WE HEAR ABOUT THE 905 SO OFTEN AND WHY? FIRST OF ALL, THERE ARE A LOT OF RIDINGS THERE, MORE THAN 30. IT’S MORE THAN EACH OF THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES, ALSO, VOTERS THERE SEEM WILLING TO CHANGE THEIR VOTE FROM ELECTION TO ELECTION. AND OFTEN, APPEAR TO PERFORM AS A BLOC. LET’S LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED IN 2015 IN TORONTO AND IN THE AREA OUTSIDE OF TORONTO. NOT SOLID RED BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE PROVINCIAL ELECTION THREE YEARS LATER, THE COLOURS ARE VERY DIFFERENT. AS DOUG FORD BECAME PREMIER IN ONTARIO, HE HAD THE SUPPORT OF THE 905. WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN TONIGHT? WELL, CONSIDER THESE TWO CONFLICTING THINGS. ON THE ONE HAND, DOUG FORD’S POWER BASE IS THE 905 AND THE OTHER HANDSOME OF THINKS POLICIES, EDUCATION CUTS HAVE BEEN UNPOPULAR. HE STAYED OUT OF THE CAMPAIGN. THE LIBERALS TRIED TO DRAG HIS NAME INTO THE CAMPAIGN AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE. WE’LL SEE HOW THAT PLAYS OUT. ONE THING WE KNOW, QUITE OFTEN FOR THE PARTY THAT WANTS TO FORM GOVERNMENT, THE PATH TO POWER IS THROUGH THE 905.>>Rosemary: THEY VOTE AS A BLOCK AND WE KNOW THAT DOUG FORD DID STAY OUT OF THE ELECTION UNTIL JUST A FEW DAYS AGO WHEN HE MADE AN APPEARANCE AT THE FURTHEST POINT IN ONTARIO WHERE HE HAD TO TAKE SOME QUESTIONS. HE DID STAY OUT OF ANDREW SCHEER’S HAIR SO THAT WAS ONE THING. HEATHER IS GOING TO GIVE US A SENSE OF WHAT SHE IS GOING TO WATCH FOR WHEN THE QUEBEC RESULTS ROLL IN.>>Heather: THE QUESTION PUT BEFORE QUEBEC VOTERS IS SIMPLE AND IT’S ONE THAT THEY HAVE HEARD BEFORE. WHICH PARTY CAN BEST REPRESENT QUEBEC. QUEBEC INTERESTS. THE ANSWER WE EXPECT TO GIVE BACK TONIGHT FROM MANY OF THEM IS THE BLOC QUEBECOIS. THE BLOC IS BACK. IT HAS RISEN IN THE POLLS SINCE THE LEADERS’ DEBATE AND IT HAS TAKEN A WRECKING BALL TO THE PLANS AND THE STRATEGIES OF BOTH THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES. THE BLOC COULD PROVE TONIGHT BOTH SPOILER AND KING MAKER IN TERMS OF WHICH PARTY FORMS A GOVERNMENT, WHETHER IT’S A MINORITY OR MAJORITY GOVERNMENT AND COULD HOLD THE BALANCE OF POWER AT THE END OF THE NIGHT. IF FRANCOIS HAS TAPPED INTO THE SAME NATIONALISM THAT PROPELLED FRANCOIS LEGAULT’S OFFICE, HE ADOPTED HIS PLATFORM AND UNCONDITIONALLY SUPPORTING IT AND MUCH OF HIS SAME LANGUAGE. AS A RESULT, HERE WE ARE TONIGHT WITH A QUEBEC-ONLY PARTY THAT WAS BASICALLY A SPENT FORCE POISE TO DELIVER A TOUR DE FORCE RESULT THAT FEW SAW COMING.>>Rosemary: THAT’S A BIG STORY TO WATCH IN QUEBEC. HOW WELL THE BLOC DOES. THEY WERE DOMINATING BETWEEN 1993 AND 2008. CAN THEY MAKE A REPEAT OF THAT? WHAT KIND OF INCREASE CAN WE LOOK AT? THEY STARTED AT 10 SEATS. SOMETHING TO KEEP YOUR EYE ON AS WE GET CLOSER TO RESULTS COMING IN. LET ME SHOW YOU FREDERICTON RIGHT NOW. IN FREDERICTON, THE GREENS ARE LEADING WITH 35% OF THE VOTE. THIS IS A REAL THREE-WAY RACE AT THIS STAGE. BETWEEN THE GREEN PARTY, THE CONSERVATIVES AND MATT DECORUCEY AND THIS IS THE DIFFERENCE THAT THE GREEN PARTY, THE N.D.P. ANYONE CAN MAKE WHEN THEY COME UP AND THEIR SUPPORT INCREASES, THEY CAN DAMAGE THE TWO TRADITIONAL PARTIES THAT YOU MAY HAVE EXPECTED TO GET AHEAD. LET ME SHOW YOU THE TOO-CLOSE-TO CALL RACES. THAT’S WHAT HAS BEEN MOVING THE NUMBERS AROUND AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN. SO THESE ARE THE PLACES WHERE THINGS ARE STILL VERY TIGHT. A LOT LESS TIGHT THAN THEY WERE BEFORE. NOW WE’VE ONLY GOT ONE RIDING AND IT’S THE QUEBEC RIDING OF THE MADELEINE ISLANDS WHERE THE MARGIN IS 11 VOTES. THREE IN THE LIBERAL FAVOUR AND ONE IN FAVOUR OF THE GREENS IN FREDERICTON AND ONE FOR THE CONSERVATIVES. SO, THAT NUMBER AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN WITH THE LIBERALS LEADING OR ELECTED IN 25 SEEMS MORE STABLE THAN 30 MINUTES AGO. OF COURSE, WE’LL KEEP TRACK ON THOSE TOO CLOSE TO CALL. DUNCAN McCUE HAS THINGS TO SAY NOW.>>IT IS A REALLY POSITIVE RESULT FOR THE GREEN PARTY WITH JANICA ATWIN. THIS IS VERY MUCH FOR ELIZABETH MAY AN IMPORTANT QUESTION ABOUT HER LEADERSHIP. THE PARTY, WHILE THEY ARE — SHOWS ADORED BY MANY IN THE PARTY IT’S A QUESTION OF WHETHER ELIZABETH MAY IS THE RIGHT LEADER TO TAKE THEM TO THE NEXT STAGE. THEY’LL WATCH THESE RESULTS IN NEW BRUNSWICK VERY EAGERLY TO SEE IF THEY CAN BREAK THROUGH IN SOMEWHERE ELSE, OTHER THAN IN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND SOUTHERN VANCOUVER ISLAND IN PARTICULAR, AND — AGAIN, THE LEADERSHIP OF THE GREENS IS GOING TO BE A QUESTION TONIGHT.>>Rosemary: YEAH. AND MAYBE, YOU KNOW, ELIZABETH MAY WILL BE FINE WITH THAT BUT MAYBE NOT. IF THEY CAN PICK SOMETHING UP THAT WOULD BE A BOOST. FREDERICTON, EVERYBODY KNEW THAT IT WOULD BE AN IMPORTANT RIDING TO WATCH. JUSTIN TRUDEAU WENT TWICE. ELIZABETH MAY WENT TWICE. ANDREW SCHEER WENT EVEN ONCE TOO. SO EVERYBODY WAS CONCENTRATED ON THAT SAME PLACE AND THEY ALL KNEW IT WAS A POTENTIAL FOR A THREE-WAY RACE IN FREDERICTON. HEATHER HAS RESULTS.>>Heather: LET’S CHECK BACK QUICKLY ON THE GASPE LAND AND THE EASTERN MOST POINT OF QUEBEC, BECAUSE THINGS HAVE CHANGED. WE NOW HAVE THE BLOC CANDIDATE LEADING, MINISTER OF NATIONAL REVENUE. WE HAVE GUY BERNATCHEZ, HE HAS BEEN THERE SINCE 2017. EARLY GOING, JUST A COUPLE OF POLLS IN BUT AS CHANTEL INDICATED THIS IS ONE TO WATCH AS BEING INDICATIVE OF WHAT HAPPENS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT. AGAIN, FOR THE BLOC, ON THE BOARD AND LEADING EARLY ON IN THE GASPESIE.>>Rosemary: SOMETIMES MADELEINE ISLANDS SETS THE TREND. THE MAP OF CANADA AT THIS STAGE. LOTS OF RED STILL ON THE FLOOR IN THE ATLANTIC, CANADA. A LITTLE TIP OF ORANGE IN ST. JOHN’S, EAST WITH JACK HARRIS HAS RECLAIMED HIS SEAT TONIGHT. THAT ONE IN FREDERICTON, THAT SPOT OF GREEN WE’RE STILL WATCHING THAT CLOSELY. THE CONSERVATIVES PICKING UP SOME OF THE PLACES THAT THEY HAVE TRADITIONALLY HELD IN NEW BRUNSWICK. THAT WOULD BE AN ENCOURAGING SIGN FOR THEM TONIGHT. AND THE BLOC QUEBECOIS NOW LEADING ON THE TIP OF QUEBEC AND WORE GOING TO START TO GET INTO THOSE RESULTS SOON. IAN HAS MORE TO TELL US RIGHT NOW.>>Ian: LET’S LOOK AT THE CHANGE THAT IS HAPPENING IN NEW BRUNSWICK AND MAY HAPPEN IN SOME OF THE RIDINGS WHERE WE HAVE NOT PROJECTED A WINNER. THERE IS A LEAD THERE. RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS, WHO HAD RUN THE TABLE LAST TIME AROUND, ARE LEADING HORRY ELECTED IN FIVE FEWER RIDINGS. OF THE 10 RIDINGS IN NEW BRUNSWICK. LET’S LOOK A COUPLE OF THE CLOSE ONES. THIS IS MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE AND NOT ONE I HEARD BETWEEN THE CONSERVATIVES AND LIBERALS IN TERMS OF ONE THAT MIGHT CHANGE. IF CONSERVATIVES CAN HANG ON HERE, I THINK THEY WOULD BE VERY HAPPY. AND THE ONE YOU JUST MENTIONED A MOMENT AGO, THE HUGE SURPRISE AND RELATIVELY SMALL LEAD. LESS FEWER THAN 200 VOTES BUT STILL A LOT OF VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED HERE. I TALKED TO DON WRIGHT, A PROFESSOR AT UNB AND HE GAVE ME THE HEADS-UP ON HOW WELL THE GREENS WERE DOING IN THIS AREA. HE SAID AMONG THE FACTORS FOR THAT, REALLY STRONG PROVINCIAL CANDIDATE, REALLY STRONG PROVINCIAL LEADER IN THE PARTY, REALLY STRONG LOCAL CANDIDATE. ALSO, TWO FLOODS IN A ROW IN A LOT OF AREAS. INTERESTING, RIGHT. CLIMATOLOGISTS WOULD TELL YOU YOU CAN’T ASSOCIATE THOSE WITH CLIMATE CHANGE DIRECTLY BUT PEOPLE KNOW WHAT THEY FEEL AND THERE’S A LOT OF EMOTION IN NEW BRUNSWICK ON THE CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUE.>>Rosemary: THAT WAS THE GUY ON FACE-TO-FACE AND IT WAS FLOODING AND HOW THEY WOULD MITIGATE THAT AND WHAT KIND OF THINGS THEY WOULD DO FOR CLIMATE CHANGE. I’M GOING TO GET A LAST SWAP FOR ROGER BECAUSE YOU WILL STICK AROUND SO WE CAN HAVE A CELEBRATION AFTER REGARDLESS OF THE RESULTS. CELEBRATION WE MADE IT THROUGH A TIGHT ELECTION. [LAUGHTER] JUST YOUR LAST THOUGHT ON HOW THE LIBERALS WOULD LOOK AT THIS MAP AND WHAT THEY’RE THINKING?>>WE KNEW THEY WERE IN TOUGH AND WE KNEW THAT WHEN THE LAST TIME WE HELD ALL THE SEATS? NOVA SCOTIA, LIKE I SAID EARLIER, IN ’93 WE LOST THEM IN ’97, WE’RE CERTAINLY LOOKING WE ARE THAN THAT NOW.>>Rosemary: YOU ARE LEADING IN 10 OUT OF 11 OF THEM, THAT’S GOOD.>>SOME TIGHT BATTLES. I’M GLAD I’M ON THIS SIDE OF IT THIS TIME AROUND. I’LL TELL YOU. I’VE ENJOYED IT MORE AT DESK AS THREATENING AS THIS MIGHT BE. I THINK THE LEADER, YOU KNOW, THE BIG THING, WHATEVER HAPPENS TONIGHT, WHATEVER COMES DOWN TONIGHT, THAT PEOPLE COME TOGETHER AND WE FIND A WAY. THIS IS A TOUGH CAMPAIGN AND I FOUND IT A BIT NASTY. WE GOT TO FIND A WAY TO PUT THAT STUFF ASIDE. WE HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO DEAL WITH SOCIAL MEDIA AND GET TO THE TRUTH OF THE MATTER AND GET TO THE ISSUES OF THE MATTER AND GET TO WHAT MATTERS FOR CANADIANS SO WE CAN CONTINUE TO BUILD THIS GREAT COUNTRY.>>Rosemary: OK, ROGER, GOOD WORDS TO LEAVE YOU ON.>>I WAS HAPPY TO BE WITH THE OPENING ACT FOR BOB RAE. [LAUGHTER]>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE IF HE CAN PERFORM UP TO YOUR STANDARDS, ROGER. IN 30 MINUTES, WE’LL GET READY FOR A HAIRY TIME. 263 SEATS WILL POUR IN FROM QUEBEC TO ALBERTA INCLUDING TWO TERRITORIES. HOW THE NEXT TWO HOURS UNFOLD WILL SHAPE THE FUTURE OF OUR COUNTRY. THIS IS YOUR TIME. THIS IS YOUR CHOICE. TAKE A LOOK AT THIS — [♪♪♪]>>I WONDER WHAT THE HISTORY BOOKS WILL SAY ABOUT THIS MOMENT AND ABOUT US? WILL IT BE MORE THAN A POLITICAL BATTLEGROUND? AS WE WAIT AND LOOK TO OUR LEADERS TO SEE IF WE CAN BE. I WONDER WHAT THEY’LL SAY WE FELT DIVIDED? WITH SO BEING BACKGROUNDS TRYING TO SQUEEZE EVERYBODY IN THE SAME PICTURE? OR THEY SAY THAT NO ONE WAS LISTENING. THE ILLUSION OF A PLAN AND THE CHOICE BETWEEN DIPLOMACY AND DISTRACTION, DYSFUNCTION AND INACTION. OR THEY SAID WE WERE JUST SO TIRED OF ALL THE YELLING AND FIGHTING AND FIGURING OUT AND THE HOPE ON THE HORIZON AND THE HOLOGRAM. [♪♪♪] IS THAT WHAT THEY SAY? HAVE YOU TRIED TO HAVE OUR VOICE HEARD AND THOUGHT TO HAVE ANYTHING CHANGED? OR MAYBE THEY CAN THINK OF SOMETHING ELSE? MAYBE THEY SAY WE WERE INSPIRED. ALL OF US. BEAUTIFUL AND BROKEN PIECES TO BE THE MEANING OF CANADIANS. COAST TO COAST TO COAST LIKE OVER OUR HEAD AND LIKE EDUCATION FOR OUR YOUTH AND THE COST OF PROGRESS AND HOW WE TREAT THE EARTH. LOOK, I DON’T KNOW WHAT THEY WERE RIGHT ABOUT US BUT THE ONE THING I KNOW, IS THE ONLY PART OF THE NARRATIVE NOT DEPENDING ON THE FUTURE, IS THIS MOMENT. THIS TIME. THIS PLACE. AND WE CAN SHIFT AND MOVE A MOUNTAIN OR MAKE IT A DIFFERENCE AND MORE THAN JUST A CLICHE. IT’S A CALLING. [♪♪♪] . >>Rosemary: GOOD EVENING. I’M ROSEMARY BARTON AND WELCOME TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION HEADQUARTERS. THERE ARE 263 POLLS ABOUT TO CLOSE. THERE ARE PLACES THAT YOU NEED TO WIN IF YOU WANT TO FORM GOVERNMENT. THE PICTURE OF WHERE THIS GOVERNMENT IS HEADED IS ABOUT TO GET A WHOLE LOT CLEARER. THUNDER BAY-RAINY RIVER IS A DELAY. WE’VE GOT REPORTERS ACROSS THE COUNTRY WHERE THE LEADERS AND THE VOTERS ARE. WE’LL BE ON TOP OF THE RESULTS FROM COAST TO COAST TO COAST AND WHAT THEY COULD MEAN FOR THE FUTURE OF CANADA. RESULTS HAVE ALREADY STARTED COME FROM EAST TO WEST AS THEY ALWAYS DO. 338 RIDINGS AT STAKE TONIGHT. YOU CAN SEE ALREADY, LET US GIVE YOU A SNAPSHOT, THE WAY ATLANTIC CANADA VOTED IN THE NUMBERS AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN. OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WE’LL SEE HOW THE REST OF THE COUNTRY WILL CHOOSE. CERTAINLY THERE WAS SOME TIGHT RESULTS COMING IN FROM ATLANTIC CANADA. TO HELP NAVIGATE ALL OF THAT FOR YOU AND US, IAN HANOMANSING, HEATHER HISCOX, DAVID COCHRANE, AND ANDREW CHANG ARE GOING TO TRACK ALL OF THOSE NUMBERS. IT’S AN AWFUL LOT OF WORK. ANDREW, HIS TASK IS THE BIG PICTURE, THE BIG PICTURE OF CANADA, WHAT’S HAPPENING ACROSS THE COUNTRY. AND HE DOES THAT WITH THE CANADA VOTES FLOOR.>>Andrew: AND SO A BIT OF CONTEXT HERE. IT WOULD HAVE BEEN VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE LIBERALS TO REPLICATE THEIR FLAWLESS PERFORMANCE IN 2015, SWEEPING ALL THE RIDINGS IN THE ATLANTIC REGION. ANY LOSS IS NOT A SURPRISE. RIGHT NOW THEY’RE DOWN SEVEN SEATS. THE NUMBER TO KEEP IN MIND IS THEY CAN AFFORD TO BE DOWN 16 SEATS AND HOLD ON TO THE MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. WHAT DOES MINUS 7 MEAN? THEY HAVE SOME LOSSES. THE MORE UPHILL BATTLE THEY WILL FACE IN QUÉBEC, ONTARIO, AND B.C. IF THE NIGHT GOES THAT LONG AND THE ELECTION RELIES ON THOSE RESULTS COMING IN. CONVERSELY I WANT YOU TO PAY ATTENTION TO THE CONSERVATIVE NUMBER. THEY HAD A BIG MOUNTAIN TO CLIMB. PLUS 72 IS THE NUMBER THEY WOULD NEED TO HIT. RIGHT NOW THEY’RE AT PLUS 5, WHICH WE CAN CHARACTERIZE AS A SLUGGISH START. THEY WILL HAVE TO FIGHT TOOTH AND NAIL IN THOSE SKI SWING SUBURBAN RIDINGS IN ONTARIO AND ALSO PERFORM STRONGLY IN B.C. IF THEY HAVE A HOPE. YOU CAN SEE AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN LIBERALS LEADING OR ELECTED IN 26 RIDINGS, CONSERVATIVES IN FIVE. WHAT THIS GRAPHIC IS SHOWS YOU THE CERTAINTY. WE ARE CERTAIN OF 17 OF THE 36 RIDINGS IN WHICH THE LIBERALS HAVE LEADS. THAT LEAVES NINE OTHER RIDINGS. THE VOTE MARGINS WERE RELATIVELY SMALL, STILL ONLY A COUPLE HUNDRED VOTES. THOSE ARE RIDINGS THAT STILL COULD IN THEORY FLIP IN OTHER DIRECTION. YOU LOOK AT THE CONSERVATIVE CERTAINTY. CERTAIN ABOUT THREE OF THE FIVE IN WHICH THEY’RE CURRENTLY LEADING. STILL THE NUMBERS IN FLUX AND IT MEANS, AS YOU POINTED OUT, A LOT IN PLAY IN QUÉBEC, A LOT IN PLAY IN ONTARIO. >>Rosemary: MAYBE THINGS ARE AS CLOSE AS THE POLLS WERE SUGGESTING. THANKS FOR THAT, ANDREW. ANDREW WILL BE BACK AS THE MAP CONTINUES TO CHANGE TO GIVE YOU A SENSE OF WHERE THINGS ARE AT. DAVID COCHRANE’S TASK IS TO LOOK AT 60 SWING RIDINGS WE IDENTIFIED EARLY ON.>>WE’VE HAD SOME RESULTS FROM SOME OF THEM. THESE ARE 60 RIDINGS THAT COULD MAKE-OR-BREAK THESE CAMPAIGNS. MANY ARE KEY FOR ANY PARTY TO FORM GOVERNMENT AND THE RIDINGS THAT WERE HELD BY ALL OF THE MAJOR PARTIES AND INDEPENDENTS, LIKE JANE PHILPOTT AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD. WE’RE WATCHING THOSE RIDINGS AND ZERO IN ON THE G.T.A. AND EVERYONE NEEDS A BREAKTHROUGH. IN QUÉBEC WE’RE WATCHING THE BLOC. AND IN WESTERN CANADA ENERGY AND PIPELINE POLITICS IS GOING TO BE FUELLING VOTER DECISION. AND THE WILD WEST, BRITISH COLUMBIA, KEY FOUR-WAY RACES NOT SETTLED INTO LATE INTO THE NIGHT. MILTON THE KEY RIDING IN ONTARIO. IT IS ONE THE LIBERALS THINK THEY CAN STEAL. WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE CANDIDATES, IT IS CHANGING FAST. IT IS BRINGING IN NEW RESIDENTS. THERE IS THE FORD FACTOR. THERE IS A REAL CHALLENGE FOR MILTON AND ALL AROUND THE 905.>>Rosemary: I WAS OUT IN MILTON A WEEK AGO AND IT WAS THE EXACT ISSUE, THERE WAS A LOVELY FAMILY STRUGGLING WITH THE FACT THAT LISA RAITT IS A GOOD CANDIDATE. HEATHER, YOU’RE GOING TO SET US P. >>I WANT TO HIGHLIGHT THREE RIDINGS, ALL HELD BY CABINET MINISTERS AND UNDER ATTACK. IN QUÉBEC, THE RIDING OF QUÉBEC. JEAN DUCLOS. EVEN THE POPULARITY THERE IS NOT CERTAIN. THE BLOC FEELS CONFIDENT. A TIGHT THREE-WAY RACE, THE KIND WE EXPECT TO SEE THROUGHOUT THE PROVINCE. LOOKING AT MANITOBA, LIBERALS MADE A BREAKTHROUGH THERE WINNING SEVEN OF THE EIGHT RIDINGS IN AND AROUND WINNIPEG. THEY ARE IN PLAY, INCLUDING JIM CARR’S RIDING. IT IS THE SAME ISSUEEXT DOOR IN SASKATCHEWAN. CONSERVATIVES THERE HAVE TWO GOALS. THEY WANT A PRIME MINISTER FROM SASKATCHEWAN AND THEY WANT TO BEAT RALPH GOODALE. CAN HIS PERSONAL POPULARITY OUTWEIGH A NASTY CAMPAIGN. WE’LL HAVE TO SEE. THERE ARE STILL SOME VERY GOOD STORY LINES TO COME. >>Rosemary: I SHOULD SAY ANDREW SCHEER WENT TO RALPH GOODALE’S RIDING TO CAMPAIGN. THAT DID NOT GO OVER WELL WITH ANY LIBERAL. THEY THOUGHT THAT WAS A THUMB IN THE NOSE TO MR. GOODALE.>>Ian: I WANT TO PITCH A NEW SHOW OF COCHRANE’S CORNER. I’M LOVING IT. I’M ALSO LOOKING AT SOME RIDINGS TONIGHT. RIGHT NOW LET’S THINK ABOUT TWO RIDINGS IN TWO PROVINCES WITH SIMILAR STORY LINE. CONSERVATIVE M.P.s WHO LOST IN 2015 WHO ARE HOPING TO GET BACK. LET’S BEGIN WITH NEWMARKET-AURORA. LAST TIME TONY VAN BYNEN BEAT THE TWO-TIME M.P. EDMONTON-MILLWOODS. CAN WE SEE THE CONSERVATIVES DO IN ALBERTA WHAT THE LIBERALS DID IN ATLANTIC CANADA IN 2015 RUN THE TABLE. AMARJEET SOHI WON THIS BY 80 VOTES. IT CAME AS A SURPRISE. TIM UPPAL WAS THE PERSON HE BEAT. HE ALREADY LIVES IN OTTAWA, SO IF HE DOES GO BACK, HE DOESN’T HAVE FAR TO COMMUTE.>>Rosemary: HE DID TAKE SOME CRITICISM, BUT OTHER PEOPLE DO THAT TOO. CHANTAL, I ALSO WANT TO TELL YOU THAT WE ARE 20 MINUTES AWAY FROM POLLS COMING IN ACROSS THE COUNTRY. WHAT ARE YOU WATCHING FOR WITH THESE ONES?>>THE BIG SWAP, WHAT HAPPENS TO THE CONSERVATIVES IN QUÉBEC BECAUSE, YES, THE BLOC IS CHANGING EVERYONE’S CALCULATIONS, BUT WHEN YOU TALK TO VOTERS, THERE WERE TWO THINGS. THEY WERE HAPPY TO VOTE FOR THE BLOC, BUT WHEN THEY VOTE FOR THE BLOC, THEY TELL YOU HOW THEY DISLIKE THE PRIME MINISTER. IN THIS CASE THEY WOULD TELL YOU HOW THEY DIDN’T LIKE ANDREW SCHEER OR HIS CAMPAIGN.>>Rosemary: INTERESTING. >>THAT BECAME OMINOUS, WHAT WAS FIRST ENTERTAINING FOR THE CONSERVATIVES STARTED TO BECOME WHAT IF WE’RE SET BACK IN QUÉBEC AND WE LOSE THE GROUND THAT STEPHEN HARPER WORKED SO HARD TO KEEP FOR US. FORTRESS QUÉBEC, IF THERE’S A BREACH THERE, IT’S GOING TO BE HARD ON CONSERVATIVE MORALE AND NOT BODE WELL FOR THE FUTURE.>>Rosemary: THEY WON 12 SEATS IN 2015, AND THE SUPPORT IS VERY CONCENTRATED, IN AND AROUND QUÉBEC CITY AND THOSE KINDS OF REGIONS. DO YOU THINK THAT — THEN I’M GOING TO COME TO ANOTHER GUY WHO JUST SAT DOWN. DO YOU THINK THE PERFORMANCE AT THE FRENCH DEBATE, DID THAT COLOUR THINGS FOR PEOPLE?>>THE TVO DEBATE WHICH DIDN’T HAVE MAXIME BERNIER AND ELIZABETH MAY, SO YOU GOT TO SEE ONLY FOUR LEADERS, WAS DEVASTATING FROM ANDREW SCHEER. IT WAS FROM A LEADING CANDIDATE THE WORST PERFORMANCE IN A DEBATE THAT I HAVE SEEN I THINK IN ALL OF THE YEARS THAT I COVERED FEDERAL POLITICS.>>Rosemary: OKAY. THERE YOU GO. ALL RIGHT. SO ON THAT HAPPY NOTE, LET’S BRING IN SOMEONE WHO’S REPLACED ROGER KUSNER. HE CALLED HIMSELF THE OPENING ACT.>>NO ONE CAN REPLACE HIM. >>Rosemary: LET’S TRY. LET’S SEE WHAT BOB RAE, AN N.D.P. M.P., THE LEADER OF THE ONTARIO N.D.P., THE INTERIM LEADER OF THE PARTY. THE LIST GOES ON. >>THAT’S JUST THE BEGINNING.>>Rosemary: YOU’RE JUST WALKING IN AND LOOKING AT THE BOARD AND THE RESULTS. WHAT SPRINGS TO MIND IN TERMS OF WHAT WE’RE SEEING HERE AND HOW YOU INTERPRET THAT?>>I HEARD WHAT ROGER HAD TO SAY AND I AGREE WITH IT COMPLETELY. WE WERE STARTING WITH A BAD SITUATION OF HAVING ALL THE SEATS. YOU CAN’T LOOK PERFECT AFTER THAT. I THINK FOR ME ELECTION NIGHTS ARE ALWAYS TOUGH BECAUSE YOU SEE GOOD PEOPLE NOT WIN WHO YOU THOUGHT MADE A GOOD CONTRIBUTION. >>Rosemary: FROM ALL PARTIES. >>THAT’S WHAT HAPPENS ON ELECTION NIGHTS. I THINK ON THE WHOLE I THINK WE CAME OUT OF ATLANTIC CANADA BETTER THAN MIGHT HAVE BEEN EXPECTED WITH A STRONGER RESULT. SOME RESULTS ARE STILL I THINK GOING BACK AND FORTH. I NOTICED FROM MY SCREEN THAT IT GOES FROM 25 TO 24. SO THERE’S SOME CLOSE RACES.>>Rosemary: YES.>>I THINK WE ALL RECOGNIZE THAT THE MEAT OF THE MATTER FOR US IS GOING TO BE QUÉBEC AND ONTARIO AND OBVIOUSLY IN BRITISH COLUMBIA. WE’LL SEE HOW THAT GOES. IT’S A VERY STRANGE ELECTION BECAUSE IT’S — YOU KNOW, ON ELECTION NIGHT IN 2015 WHEN THE LIBERALS WON 32 SEATS, YOU ONLY HAD TO SIT THERE TO SAY SOMETHING’S GOING ON HERE. THIS IS AMAZING.>>Rosemary: YES.>>YOU CAN DO NOT VERY WELL IN ATLANTIC CANADA AND WELL IN QUÉBEC AND DIFFERENTLY ELSEWHERE. IT’S A REGIONALIZED RESULT. IT WAS VERY HARD TO READ A TREND. IT WAS VERY HARD TO READ A TREND DURING THE ELECTION. IT WAS VERY HARD FOR PEOPLE TO GET TRACTION. IT’S GOING TO BE AN INTERESTING NIGHT. WHAT CAN I SAY?>>Rosemary: AND POTENTIALLY A LONG ONE. BOB, WE’RE GLAD YOU’RE WITH US. AT THIS HOUR THE GREENS ARE UP TO 10% NOW ALL OVER ATLANTIC CANADA, WHICH BEGS THE QUESTION IS THE GREEN PARTY IN SOME WAY MAYBE EVEN REPLACING THE N.D.P. IN TERMS OF SUPPORT IN THAT PART OF THE COUNTRY. AGAIN, THEY’RE ON THE BOARD WITH ONE LEADING, THAT IS THE TIGHT RACE IN FREDERICTON. TANYA FLETCHER IS IN FREDERICTON.>>Reporter: AS YOU SAW HER ANXIOUSLY LOOKING OVER MY SHOULDER, SHE’S LOOKING AT THE COUNT UP ON THE BOARD. HOW ARE YOU LOOKING TO SEE HOW YOUR PARTY IS DOING?>>Elizabeth May: I’VE BEEN CAMPAIGNING THROUGHOUT THE ATLANTIC REGION AND JENICA ATWIN’S CAMPAIGN HAS BEEN ONE OF THE ONES WHERE WE HAD VERY HIGH HOPES AND WE REMAIN WITH HIGH HOPES. [ LAUGHTER ]. >>IT WILL BE GREAT TO HAVE A CAUCUS THAT REPRESENTS AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL MORE THAN BRITISH COLUMBIA M.P.s. I’M LOOKING FORWARD TO GOOD RETURNS TONIGHT.>>Reporter: WHAT IS A REALISTIC SUCCESS AND WHAT WOULD BE A FAILURE?>>Elizabeth May: EITHER THE CONSERVATIVES OR THE LIBERALS FORMING A MAJORITY WOULD BE A VERY LARGE FAILURE FOR CANADA. THIS COULD ALSO LEAD TO POLICY LURCHES. IT WOULD BE GOOD TO HAVE A WOMAN COME IN. IN ANY CASE, WE ARE COMMITTED AS A PARTY TO DOING THE BEST FOR CANADA. A GOOD RESULT FOR US IS ONE WHERE WE CAN PLAY A SIGNIFICANT ROLE OF INFLUENCE IN A MINORITY PARLIAMENT. >>Reporter: LET’S SAY YOU BREAK EVEN, YOU DON’T LOSE ANY, YOU DON’T GAIN ANY, WHAT DOES THAT SAY ABOUT THE PARTY? THIS CAMPAIGN, THE TIMING WAS CRITICAL LOOKING AT THE CLIMATE STRIKES. IF YOU CAN’T GAIN THAT MOMENTUM AND LEVERAGE IN CAMPAIGN, WHEN IS THE TIME FOR THE GREENS?>>Elizabeth May: WAY TOO EARLY FOR ME TO COMMENT. WE HAVE SIGNIFICANT GAINS TO BE MADE ACROSS THE COUNTRY. I DON’T THINK ANYONE WAS PREDICTING THE POSSIBILITY OF A GREEN SEAT IN NEW BRUNSWICK. LET’S SEE WHAT THE NIGHT HOLDS. >>Reporter: WHAT ARE YOU HOPING FOR IN B.C. >>Elizabeth May: A LOT MORE M.P.s COMING BACK WITH ME TO OTTAWA.>>Reporter: ELIZABETH MAY, LEADER OF THE GREEN PARTY. SHE’S GOING TO BE WATCHING THE RESULTS WITH HER SUPPORTERS THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.>>Rosemary: THANKS, TANYA AND THANKS TO ELIZABETH MAY FOR MAKING TIME. I SHOULD SAY ELIZABETH MAY WAS OUT IN FREDERICTON ON SATURDAY.>>THE ELIZABETH MAY DECISION DESK ISN’T READY TO MAKE A CALL AND NEITHER ARE WE, BUT WE CAN TELL YOU THE GREENS ARE IN FIRST PLACE IN WHAT IS A SURPRISING AND IMPRESSIVE RESULT. JENICA ATWIN IS 600 VOTES AHEAD OF THE CONSERVATIVE ANDREA JOHNSON. I’M GOING TO MOVE ON TO SYDNEY-VICTORIA WHERE EDDIE WARREL HAS THE LEAD. THE CONSERVATIVES WANTED HYMIE DEFEATED. THERE IS A REMATCH — MORE THAN HALF OF THE POLLS REPORTING. LONG IS CAMPAIGNING WITH SIGNS THAT SAY “I WILL STAND FOR THEM AND I’M STANDING FOR YOU.” IT’S NOT THE TEAM TRUDEAU STUFF. SAINT JOHN IS WHERE THE PIPELINE WOULD HAVE GONE.>>Rosemary: GOOD TO KNOW. IAN HAS MORE RESULTS FROM ATLANTIC CANADA.>>Ian: IF ANYBODY IN BRITISH COLUMBIA IS WONDERING WHAT’S HAPPENING, TAKE A LOOK AT WHAT’S HAPPENING IN MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE. EVERY VOTE MATTERS. IT’S BEEN GOING BACK AND FORTH THROUGH THE EVENING. ABOUT 40% OF THE POLLS ARE REPORTING IN MIRAMICHI-GRAND LAKE. WE’VE SEEN THE LEAD GO BACK AND FORTH AND NOW IT’S THE LEAD OF 36 CONSERVATIVES, AS YOU CAN SEE, HAVE THAT LEAD. >>Rosemary: I SHOULD TELL YOU ALL FIVE ATLANTIC CABINET MINISTERS FOR THE LIBERAL PARTY WILL BE RE-ELECTED. THAT WILL BE GOOD NEWS FOR THE LIBERALS, AND AGAIN REASSURING FOR THEM THAT THEY HAVEN’T — THEY HADN’T UPSET EVERYONE IN ATLANTIC CANADA. IT REMAINS IN POCKETS. HEATHER HAS MORE RESULTS. >>LOOKING AGAIN AT TWO OF THOSE RIDINGS WHERE THE INCUMBENT IS NOT RUNNING FOR RE-ELECTION. THE RACE IS CLOSE IN CAPE BRETON. THERE IS A LEAD OF 542 VOTES. AS DAVID WAS JUST REFERENCING. THIS IS NOT A TEAM SCHEER CABINET. THIS IS A ALFIE CANDIDATE. HE’S 16 YEARS IN POLITICS. HE HAS BEEN THE FORMER SPEAKER TRAILING NARROWLY. AND IN CUMBERLAND-COLCHESTER, THERE HAS BEEN CAMPAIGNING BY ALL CANDIDATES. LENORE ZANN IS LEADING OVER SCOTT ARMSTRONG.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, HEATHER, APPRECIATE THAT. WE ARE JUST OVER 10 MINUTES AWAY FROM POLLS CLOSING IN 263 RIDINGS FROM QUÉBEC TO ALBERTA, INCLUDING TWO TERRITORIES. I SHOULD UPDATE YOU AGAIN, THERE IS ONE RIDING WHERE THINGS WILL BE DELAYED, THAT IS THE RIDING OF THUNDER BAY-RAINY RIVER, IT GOES N.D.P., GOES LIBERAL. IF YOU ARE THERE YOU WILL HAVE AN EXTRA HOUR TO VOTE BECAUSE OF PROBLEMS WITH VOTER REGISTRATION PROBLEMS. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME MINOR PROBLEMS AT POLLS IN TORONTO, OTTAWA, AND GUELPH. KEEP IN MIND IF YOU ARE IN LINE THERE AND YOU ARE WORRIED ABOUT THE CLOCK TICKING DOWN TO POLLS CLOSING AT 9:30, YOU CAN STAY IN LINE AND CAST YOUR BALLOT. IF YOU ARE IN THE LINE, THEY WILL TAKE YOU IN, ELECTIONS CANADA SAYS. WE’LL STAY ON TOP OF ANY OTHER ISSUES THAT MIGHT HAVE. JAYME POISSON IS BACK WITH HER WATCH PARTY WHO ARE TALKING ABOUT AND THINKING ABOUT WHAT TO EXPECT. >>Reporter: WITH THE POLLS COMING IN QUÉBEC, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT BILL 21. THAT IS THE BILL THAT PREVENTS PUBLIC SERVICE WORKERERS FROM WEARING RELIGIOUS SYMBOLS. MAYOR NENSHI, HOW DO YOU THINK THE PARTIES DID ON THIS?>>TERRIBLE. THIS IS A BILL THAT IS FLAGRANTLY UNCONSTITUTIONAL, THAT IN THIS COUNTRY WE ARE ASKING PEOPLE TO CHOOSE BETWEEN THEIR FAITH AND THEIR JOB. IT IS THE WORST THING HAPPENING. ALL THE MUMBLES WE HEARD FROM THE COUNTRIES ABOUT DIGNITY AND HUMAN RIGHTS AND THEY WON’T DO A DARN THING ABOUT IT.>>Reporter: WHAT WOULD YOU LIKE TO HAVE HEARD?>>IN THE 2015 ELECTIONS THERE WERE TALK ABOUT HIJAB BANS AND ONE PARTY STOOD UP AND SAID THAT’S NOT RIGHT AND HE WON THE ELECTION. THERE’S OPPORTUNITIES TO INTERVENE IN COURT CASES, OPPORTUNITIES TO CUT OFF FEDERAL FUNDING TO PROVINCES THAT HAVE DISCRIMINATORY LAWS. WE HAVEN’T SEEN ANY OF THAT COURAGE YET. TRUDEAU SAID MAYBE LATER — >>Reporter: I WILL SAY HE SAID THEY MAY INTERVENE LATER. RYAN, CAN I ASK YOU, WERE YOU DISAPPOINTED?>>YEAH, ESPECIALLY AFTER THE MOSQUE BOMBING IN QUÉBEC JUST TWO YEARS AGO. THIS WAS A CHANCE FOR LEADERSHIP TO REALLY SHOW SOME COURAGE AND TO STAND BEHIND THOSE IN THE COMMUNITY THAT ARE LOOKING AT THIS BILL HAVING MASSIVE IMPACTS ON THEIR LIFE. I CAN’T IN GOOD FAITH UNDERSTAND WHY, OTHER THAN LOSING THE PROVINCE OF QUÉBEC, WHICH PRETTY MUCH BLOWS YOUR CHANCES OF FORMING GOVERNMENT, WHY THEY WOULDN’T HAVE TAKEN A STRONGER STANCE ON THIS. THE SHOOTING IN CHRISTCHURCH HAS ONE NAMED ETCHED IN IT, ALEXANDER BISSONNETTE.>>Reporter: I WILL ASK YOU — >>I JUST KIND OF SHOW UP.>>YOU MIGHT NOT BRAG ABOUT THAT. >>Reporter: QUESTION FOR YOU. DO YOU THINK WE COULD SEE SIMILAR BILLS ACROSS THE COUNTRY?>>NO, I DON’T THINK SO. I DON’T THINK QUÉBEC RESIDENTS ARE RACIST, BUT I DO THINK OVER THE YEARS IN ORDER TO MAINTAIN A UNIQUE AND SEPARATE CULTURE AND SURROUNDED BY ANGLOPHONES AND IN A STRONG CULTURE TO THE SOUTH, THEY ARE SOMEWHAT XENOPHOBIC. TRUDEAU CAN’T AFFORD TO LOSE THE SEATS HE HAS THERE, AND HE’S LIKELY TO LOSE SOME OF THEM. SCHEER WANTS TO KEEP THE SEATS THAT HE WANTS AS WELL. I THINK IT’S A HUGE FAILING ON THE PART OF THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT THAT THIS ALIENATION, THE SOVEREIGNTY MOVEMENT AND SEPARATIST MOVEMENT IN ALBERTA HAS RISEN TO HEIGHTS WE HAVEN’T SEEN IN DECADES.>>Reporter: MARIE, FINAL WORD TO YOU. >>THERE IS A LACK OF FORTITUDE. HERE IS THE GOOD NEWS FOR MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC. IT DOESN’T MATTER IF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT INTERVENES IN A COURT CASE, BECAUSE BOTH SIDES OF THE CASE WILL BE ARGUED. THE CIVIL LIBERTIES UNION HAS INTERVENED. THIS TELLS YOU MORE ABOUT THE LEADERSHIP THAN IT DOES ABOUT THE CONSTITUTIONALITY OF THE FLAW. >>Reporter: OKAY. A LACK OF INTESTINAL FORTITUDE. I THINK THAT’S A LINE I’M GOING TO STEAL.>>Rosemary: THANKS, JAYME. QUÉBEC IS A KEY BATTLEGROUND WITH 78 SEATS ON THE LINE. THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS AS WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT COULD BE THE SPOILER IN ANY PARTY’S MAJORITY OR MINORITY PLANS. REMEMBER, THEY STARTED OFF WITH JUST 10 SEATS. NOT EVEN PARTY STATUS. HERE IS YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET’S 40 DAYS IN 40 SECONDS.>>WHAT THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS PROPOSES IS A FRIENDSHIP, IS WORKING ONLY FOR THE BENEFITS OF QUÉBEC. WITH 70% OF THE POPULATION OF QUÉBEC SUPPORTING BILL 21, QUÉBEC DOES NOT NEED TO BE TOLD WHAT TO DO OR NOT. WE HAVE BECOME AGAIN A SIGNIFICANT PLAYER IN POLITICS. WE WILL NOT BE PART OF A COALITION OF ANY KIND BECAUSE OUR LOYALTY IS TO QUÉBECERS.>>Rosemary: ALL RIGHT. AS WE WAIT FOR RESULTS COMING OUT OF QUÉBEC IN FIVE MINUTES’ TIME. LET’S BRING IN ALLISON NORTHCOTT.>>Reporter: SUPPORTERS HAVE STARTED TO ARRIVE AT THE HEADQUARTERS. THERE IS A LOT OF ANTICIPATION. THE ENERGY IS BUILDING, AND A LOT OF HIGH HOPES BECAUSE THE BLOC COULD MAKE BIG GAINS IN QUÉBEC. THERE ARE PEOPLE WEARING QUÉBEC FLAGS DRAPED AROUND THEIR SHOULDERS, THEY LISTENED TO INTERVIEWS ON THE STAGE BEHIND ME. THE BLOC WENT IN WITH 10 SEATS. THAT’S NOT ENOUGH FOR OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. POLLS SUGGEST THEY COULD WIN MUCH MORE THAN THAT. THEY HAVE HIGH EXPECTATIONS. THEY SAY THEY WANT QUÉBEC INTERESTS REPRESENTED IN OTTAWA, SOMETHING THEY SAY THEY HAVEN’T GOTTEN FROM THE PREVIOUS LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. THEY’RE PINNING THEIR HOPES ON YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET. THEY’RE WAITING FOR THE RESULTS TO COME IN AND SEE HOW THE TRACTION IN THE POLLS PLAYS OUT.>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE HOW THAT UNFOLDS. YOU WILL BE THERE THROUGH THE NIGHT IN MONTREAL AT THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS HEADQUARTERS. FOUR MINUTES AWAY FROM POLLS CLOSING IN QUÉBEC, ONTARIO, MANITOBA, SASKATCHEWAN, ALBERTA, NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, NUNAVUT. LET’S GET “AT ISSUE” TO WEIGH IN ON WHAT THEY THINK. ANDREW, I HAVEN’T HEARD FROM YOU IN A WHILE.>>IT’S A GIVEN THEY’RE GOING TO SWEEP MOST OF THE WEST. THAT’S THE MOST FUNDAMENTAL FACTOR OF CANADIAN POLITICS. IT’S A GIVEN THEY’RE GOING TO DO POORLY IN QUÉBEC. IF THEY’RE GOING TO HAVE ANY HOPE OF COMING CLOSE TO A PLEURALITY IN THIS ELECTION, IT’S GOING TO BE IN ONTARIO. THE DOUG FORD FACTOR IS HURTING THEM. WE’RE GOING TO HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE WHETHER THE TIDE COMES IN OR OUT.>>Rosemary: HOW ABOUT YOU, ALTHIA?>>IT’S A BEST-CASE SCENARIO FOR ALL THE POLITICAL PARTIES. THE LIBERALS THOUGHT THEY MIGHT LOSE THREE TO FOUR SEATS AND IT LOOKS LIKE THAT’S HAPPENED. MS. MAY WAS LOOKING TO WIN IN FREDERICTON. THAT’S HAPPENED. THE N.D.P. WAS HOPING TO WIN IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. THE CONSERVATIVES WERE TARGETING EIGHT SEATS, SIX IS NOT SO BAD. IT DOES STATUS QUO. IN 2000 WHEN THE LIBERALS WON, THEY HAD 19 SEATS. THIS IS NOT SO BAD. >>Rosemary: THIS MAY NOT BE DEPRESSING, BUT IT’S NOT ENCOURAGING. >>IT’S LIKE STATUS QUO.>>Reporter: YOU HAVE TO FIND THAT SUPPORT SOMEWHERE ELSE. CHANTAL, WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO WATCH FOR?>>ON THOSE CONSERVATIVE SEATS, WHAT I FIND MAYBE DISQUIETING FOR THEM AS THEY WATCH THIS, THOSE SEATS DID NOT COME EASILY. THERE ARE STILL THREE WHERE NO ONE HAS BEEN ELECTED, WHICH TELLS YOU IT’S A HARD CLIMB. THAT PROBABLY DOESN’T BODE ALL THAT WELL FOR WHAT MAY HAPPEN IN ONTARIO. LIKE ANDREW, I’M GOING TO BE WATCHING ONTARIO. BECAUSE IF THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE THE SAME KIND OF NIGHT IN ONTARIO, THEY’RE NOT FORMING GOVERNMENT ANY TIME SOON. >>Rosemary: MAYBE I’LL GO TO CORY BEFORE I START THINGS OFF FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF RESULTS TO COME IN. THE CONSERVATIVES I WAS TALKING TO IN THE LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS DIDN’T THINK THE 905 WAS DOING WELL. THEY WERE HOPING THERE WERE PLACES IT MIGHT COME BACK, BUT THINGS WERE SLIPPING OUT OF THEIR HANDS. IS THAT A FAIR ASSESSMENT?>>YEAH, I THINK THAT’S A FAIR ASSESSMENT. I THINK THERE’S A LOT OF CHALLENGES FOR THEM IF WE’RE LOOKING TO WHAT’S COMING UP NEXT. I THINK MORE IMPORTANT FOR THE LONG-TERM ELECTORAL VIABILITY FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY IS TO DEFEND THE BRIDGE HEADTHAT THEY’VE BEEN BUILDING IN QUÉBEC. THEY’RE GOING TO LOSE KEY SEATS TO MAXIME BERNIER, WHICH WAS UNAVOIDABLE, BUT IS PROBLEMATIC. BUT WHEN WE GET INTO ONTARIO, THERE ARE KEY SEATS THAT YOU HAVE TO HAVE IN YOUR COLUMN IF YOU WANT TO HAVE A CHANCE OF FORMING A GOVERNMENT THAT’S CONSERVATIVE. YOU HAVE TO WIN THE MILTONS, MISSISSAUGAS. YOU HAVE TO WIN KEY RIDINGS AROUND OTTAWA AND EASTERN ONTARIO. IF YOU CAN’T WIN THOSE SEATS, YOU CAN’T FORM GOVERNMENT. PROTECTING THE BRIDGEHEAD IN QUÉBEC SPEAKS TO LONG-TERM ELECTORAL VIABILITY IN A WAY THAT THE OTHERS DON’T. >>Rosemary: THAT’S ALSO A THING FOR THE N.D.P. IF THEY GO DOWN TO TWO SEATS. IF THEY CAN’T PROTECT SOME BASE OF SUPPORT OF N.D.P., THAT SHOWS THAT WAS NOT A REAL OR STABLE THING. I KNOW CHANTAL WANTS TO SAY SOMETHING. AS THE NEXT HOUR UNFOLDS. LOTS OF POLLS STARTING TO UNFOLD ACROSS THE COUNTRY. MASSIVE RESULTS COMING IN. WATCH THIS. [♪♪♪] >>Rosemary: WELCOME TO CANADA VOTES. TONIGHT MARKS THE CULMINATION OF 40 DAYS AND 40 NIGHTS OF A RELENTLESS CAMPAIGN. A CAMPAIGN OF PROMISES, POLICIES, ATTACKS, AND SOME SURPRISES.>>THE ELECTRIC OF QUÉBEC.>>PUTTING PEOPLE FIRST.>>ADDRESSING THE CLIMATE CRISIS.>>Rosemary: NOW IT IS VOTING TIME. >>I VOTE.>>I VOTE.>>I VOTE BECAUSE IT IS A PRIVILEGE.>>BECAUSE DEMOCRACY IS SACRED.>>I VOTE BECAUSE I’M CANADIAN. >>Rosemary: THE POWER IS IN YOUR HANDS AND TONIGHT WE FIND OUT THE RESULTS. THIS IS ELECTION NIGHT 2019. GOOD EVENING. I’M ROSEMARY BARTON AND WELCOME TO OUR CBC NEWS ELECTION HEADQUARTERS. WE ARE NOW AWAITING THE BIGGEST WAIVE OF RESULTS WE ARE GOING TO GET TONIGHT. POLLS HAVE CLOSED FROM QUÉBEC ALL THE WAY TO ALBERTA. LET ME SHOW YOU WHAT THAT IS ON THE MAP. THOSE ARE KEY BATTLEGROUNDS. WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC CENTRAL TO FORMING GOVERNMENT HERE. YOU NEED TO START PICKING UP SEATS BIG TIME. YOU CAN SEE THIS IS WHAT THE MAP LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW. LOTS OF RED IN THE ATLANTIC PROVINCES. THE CONSERVATIVES ON THE BOARD WITH SIX. ONE CONFIRMED ELECTED, FOUR FOR THE N.D.P. IN ST. JOHN’S EAST. ONE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS LEADING. THAT IS THE MAGDALEN ISLANDS. WE ARE STANDING BY TO BRING YOU ALL OF THESE RESULTS AS THEY COME IN FAST AND FURIOUS. OUR RESULTS DESK, IAN, HEATHER, DAVID, ANDREW. “AT ISSUE” IS HEAR TO HELP DISSECT WHAT IS HAPPENING. WE HAVE MEGAN LESLIE, VASSY KAPELOS. LET’S START WITH PETER MANSBRIDGE. YOU HAD A BUNCH OF TITLES.>>Peter: YEAH, LOVE THOSE TITLES. THE THING ABOUT THESE NEXT TWO HOURS, WE’RE GOING TO SEE THESE HUNDREDS OF RIDINGS COMING IN. WE’RE GOING TO HAVE A PRETTY GOOD IDEA HOW THE EVENING IS UNFOLDING. THAT MEANS IT’S A TWO-SPEECH NIGHT. THEY’VE GOT THE I WIN, I LOSE.>>Rosemary: AND MAYBE THE I’M NOT SURE WHAT’S GOING TO HAPPEN, SEE MY LAWYER SPEECH. >>Peter: WITH THE I LOSE IS WHAT DO I DO NOW AND WHAT DOES MY PARTY THINK I SHOULD DO. WE HINTED AT IT EARLIER TALKING ABOUT ELIZABETH MAY. SHE’S GOING TO HAVE SOME BIG DECISIONS. SURE, IT LOOKS LIKE SHE’S GOING TO WIN A SEAT IN ATLANTIC CANADA, BUT SHE’S NOT GOING TO DO WHAT A LOT OF THAT PARTY EXPECTED TO HAPPEN IN THIS ELECTION. >>Rosemary: OKAY. WE’LL COME BACK TO PETER. DAVID IS WATCHING THE SWINGING SIXTY. HERE IS THE 60 RIDINGS WE WATCHED.>>THE FIRST FROM ONTARIO IS YORK CENTRE. IT’S AN INTERESTING RIDING BECAUSE IT’S ONE OF THE RIDINGS ANDREW SCHEER WENT TO EARLY IN THE MICHAEL LEVIT. RACHAEL WILLSON HAD SOME COMMENTS ON ABORTION. THIS IS THE WON THEY ARE MOST WORRIED ABOUT IN THE CITY ITSELF. >>Rosemary: I WAS GOING TO BRING IN BREAKING NEWS. ANDRÉ PRATT, THE SENATOR FOR QUÉBEC WHO USED TO BE THE EDITOR-IN-CHIEF WHO HAD BEEN APPOINTED TO THE SENATE AS JUSTIN TRUDEAU AS AN INDEPENDENT HAS TENDERED HIS RESIGNATION FROM THE SENATE SAYING IT WILL BE EFFECTIVE AT 9:30 IMMEDIATELY EASTERN TIME. HE SAYS, IT SADDENS ME TO BETRAY THE TRUST THAT YOU AND THE PRIME MINISTER HAVE TRUSTED IN ME, BUT IT WOULD BE MORE OF A BETRAYAL TO CONTINUE PERFORMING A TASK THAT I CANNOT PERFORM TO THE LEVEL OF EXCELLENCE EXPECTED.>>CAN I GIVE A BIT OF BACKGROUND ON THIS? HE HANDED HIS RESIGNATION LETTER AHEAD OF THE VOTE. IT’S NOT TODAY, THIS AFTERNOON. HE WANTED THIS TO BECOME PUBLIC ONLY BEFORE THE RESULT OF THE ELECTION IS KNOWN, BUT ONLY AFTER THE PEOPLE HAVE VOTED BECAUSE HE DOESN’T WANT IT TO BE CONSTRUED AS A REACTION TO WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN OVER THE NEXT HOUR AND A HALF. >>Rosemary: VERY INTERESTING BREAKING NEWS. LET’S GO TO HEATHER FOR SOME RESULTS.>>SORRY. RESULTS COMING IN. THE ISLAND OF MONTREAL RIDINGS. THIS IS PABLO RODRIGUEZ. AND IN PIERRE BOUCHARD — PIERRE-BOUCHER-LES PATRIOTES-VERCHÈRES, THIS IS GOING TO BE KEY, THE FRANCOPHONE RIDINGS AND THE SOUTH SHORE, THE SUBURBS SOUTH AND EAST OF MONTREAL COULD BE DETERMINATIVE.>>Rosemary: I NOTICE THERE’S NO ORANGE ON THAT BOARD IN ANY OF THOSE RESULTS. WE’LL HAVE TO SEE WHETHER THE N.D.P. COLLAPSES IN QUÉBEC.>>Ian: LET’S LOOK AT ONTARIO. THE FIRST TWO ARE THE PARTIES THAT WON IN 2015. HAMILTON WEST. IT HAS BEEN THE LIBERALS WINNING LAST TIME AROUND. AND KENORA IS INTERESTING. BOB NALT WON THAT. RUDY TURTLE IS IN THE LEAD AND A PRETTY BIG LEAD, ALTHOUGH JUST ONE OF THE POLLS. AND FINALLY SUDBURY, THIS IS A RIDING THAT THE LIBERALS WON LAST TIME AROUND AND THEY’RE LEADING ALSO WITH JUST ONE POLL REPORTING. >>Rosemary: AND OF COURSE THE ONE WHERE BOB NAULT IS LOSING, THAT IS WHERE JASMEET SINGH WENT TO TO SPEAK ABOUT THE ISSUE OF GRASSY NARROWS. THEY’RE STILL WORKING ON THAT OR THEY WERE WHEN THE LIBERALS WERE WORKING AS GOVERNMENT. >>WE HAVE RESULTS FROM WINNIPEG. THE SINGH SURGE WAS A REAL THING. IF THE LAST TWO WEEKS WERE GOOD TO MAKE UP FOR THE LAST TWO YEARS THAT WERE NOT GOOD. THE INCUMBENT HAS A 56-VOTE LEAD. HE ONLY WON THIS SEAT BY 61 VOTES. IF YOU’RE GOING TO GET A LIFT, HE NEEDS TO SHOW UP IN ELMWOOD-TRANSCONA.>>YOU MENTIONED NO ORANGE ON THE BOARD. THESE ARE THREE RIDINGS THAT WERE HELD BY THE N.D.P., THE LAST VESTIGES OF THE ORANGE WAVE. IN RIMOUSKI-NEIGETTE-TÉMISCOUATA- LES BASQUES, CHANTAL IS LEADING. IN LONGUEUIL-SAINT-HUBERT, THERE IS A LOT OF TRADING AND JERSEY SWAPPING. I HOPE WE GET TIME TO SEE WHO IS WHAT. RIGHT NOW EARLY GOING, IT IS THE LIBERAL IN THE LEAD. IN JONQUIÈRE, THIS WAS KARINE TRUDEL WHO WAS TRYING TO GET AHEAD. THEY ARE TARGETING THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS. ONE OF THE POLLS REPORTING. GIVEN THE SPLIT AND THE VERY TIGHTNESS OF THAT RACE IN 2015, THAT IS ONE TO WATCH. >>Rosemary: SO FAR WHAT WE’RE SEEING IS THERE IS A DIRECT TRANSFER FROM THE BLOC’S INCREASES FROM THE N.D.P. THAT IS WHAT HAPPENED IN 2011 AND ALL THE BLOC SUPPORT WENT TO THE N.D.P. SO TO SEE IT GO BACK, THAT IS NOT BODING WELL FOR THE N.D.P. IAN HAS SOME RESULTS. >>Ian: I MENTIONED THIS IN NEW BRUNSWICK, THEY’RE MORE INTRIGUING THAN ANYTHING AND IT RAISES QUESTIONS OF WHAT WE MIGHT SEE IN THIS RIDING. LET’S START WITH THUNDER BAY-SUPERIOR NORTH. PATTY HAJDU IS MINISTER AND ONE POLL REPORTING. WE HAVE ANNA BETTY ACHNEEPINESKUM IS IN THE LEAD. THERE ARE TWO POLLS HERE AND ACTUALLY IT’S A SIGNIFICANT LEAD FOR DEAN ALLISON.>>Rosemary: WE SEE THE CONSERVATIVES TRYING TO PULL UP AND DAVID COCHRANE HAS MORE RESULTS. >>WE’VE GOT ONE PURPLE ON THE BOARD AND THAT IS IN BEAUCE WHERE MAXIME BERNIER IS TRYING TO MAKE HIS WAY BACK TO OTTAWA. BERNIER HAS MADE IT A TRICK WITH DIRTY TRICKS WITH THE CONSERVATIVES. QUÉBEC CITY IS A TOUGH PLACE FOR LIBERALS. HERE IS KING-VAUGHAN IN ONTARIO. IF THE CONSERVATIVES ARE GOING TO WIN THE MOST SEATS, THEY MUST WIN RIDINGS LIKE THIS ONE, DEB SCHULTE AHEAD.>>Rosemary: EARLY RESULTS STILL FROM ALL OF THESE BIG, BIG POPULACE AND VOTE-RICH PROVINCES. KEEP YOUR EYES ON THE NUMBERS. LET’S GO TO VASSY AND SEE WHAT PEOPLE ARE TALKING ABOUT.>>Vassy: PRIOR TO THE CAMPAIGN I REMEMBER SITTING DOWN WITH A CABINET MINISTER WHO SAID WE NEED 5.5 MILLION VOTES TO WIN A MAJORITY. WE THINK WE CAN AND WILL PICK UP SEATS IN QUÉBEC. THE TRAJECTORY THROUGH THE CAMPAIGN WITH THE BLOC CHANGED, TO THE POINT IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS THEY WERE SAYING MIGHT WE LOSE? THAT CHANGED THE MINORITY/MAJORITY CALCULATION FOR THE LIBERALS. IT MOVED A MAJORITY OUT OF SIGHTS. IF THEY ARE TO OUTPERFORM IN QUÉBEC, THAT’S A BIG DEAL. >>Rosemary: WHAT WERE THEIR EXPECTATIONS. I HEARD THE CONSERVATIVES SAY THE BLOC COULD GET TO 30 OR 40.>>Vassy: BOTH THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES WERE LOOKING FOR THE BLOC BETWEEN 30 AND 40.>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE WHERE THAT GOES, THOUGH. RIGHT NOW AT ANY RATE IT DOES SEEM TO BE HURTING THE N.D.P. MOST. OF COURSE THEY DON’T HAVE A TON OF SEATS IN QUÉBEC ANYMORE. I THINK THEY ONLY HAVE — >>STILL, IT’S THEIR BIGGEST CAUCUS.>>Rosemary: YES, IT’S THEIR BIGGEST CAUCUS. >>IF THEY DON’T HAVE A LOT IN QUÉBEC, THEY HAVE VERY LITTLE ANYWHERE ELSE.>>Rosemary: LET ME GO TO MEGAN ON THAT. I THINK THAT RAISES THE POINT CORY WAS MAKING. IF ALL YOUR SEATS ARE TRANSFERRED TO THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS BECAUSE THAT’S HOW YOU WON THEM IN THE FIRST PLACE, WAS THAT A REAL THING OR NOT GIVEN ENOUGH ATTENTION?>>THE BLOC PARTY IS PROGRESSIVE AND A LOT OF THE VALUES THEY HAVE, WITH ONE MAJOR EXCEPTION, ALIGNED WITH N.D.P. VALUES. I UNDERSTAND WHY QUÉBECERS WOULD MOVE BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN THE N.D.P. AND THE BLOC. EARLIER DUNCAN WAS TALKING ABOUT WHERE INDIGENOUS VOTERS WIELD CONSIDERABLE INFLUENCE. IN THIS TIME ZONE AND THESE RESULTS THAT WE’RE ABOUT TO GET, I ACTUALLY WOULD LOVE TO TALK ABOUT ENVIRONMENT AND ISSUES THAT COULD DETERMINE ELECTIONS. WE SAW THE CLIMATE STRIKES, YES, THOSE WERE STUDENTS, SO NOT A LOT OF VOTERS THERE. THESE ARE RIDINGS WHERE VOTERS ARE HIGH PERCENTAGE 35 AND UNDER. NUNAVUT, TORONTO CENTRE, LAURIER ST. MARIE, I WILL BE INTERESTED TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS BECAUSE THEY WANT ACTION ON CLIMATE. IT MEANS DIFFERENT THINGS IN DIFFERENT RIDINGS WHERE THEY WANT TO PUT THEIR VOTE. IT WILL BE INTERESTING THESE DOWNTOWN URBAN RIDINGS.>>Rosemary: THAT IS THE CONVERSATION, IS THIS ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE AND IF WE KNOW WE’RE RUNNING OUT OF TIME TO DO SOMETHING, IS THIS THE MOMENT TO SEIZE THAT.>>WE’RE GOING TO GO TO SASKATCHEWAN AND LOOK AT A SEAT THE N.D.P. WON. THEY HAVE A CHALLENGE. THIS WAS ERIN WEIR’S SEAT. HE WAS KICKED OUT OF THE CAUCUS OF INTERNAL CONDUCT. THERE IS AN EARLY LEAD. THIS IS GLENGARRY-PRESCOTT-RUSSELL. PIERRE LAMEAUX RAN THERE. THE SUBPLOT IS AMANDA SAMARD WHO LEFT DOUG FORD’S CAUCUS BECAUSE OF CUTS. WE’RE BACK IN BEAUCE, AND THE CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE HAS MOVED AHEAD OF MAXIME BERNIER, THE LEADER OF THE PEOPLE’S PARTY OF CANADA. EXPECT TO SEE A MAYOR STRATEGY.>>Rosemary: THE CONSERVATIVES AND THE LIBERALS TRY TO STEAL MUNICIPAL CANDIDATES. I WISH YOU COULD HAVE SEEN VASSY’S FACE WHEN WE POPPED UP THAT BEAUCE RESULT. IT FLIPPED QUICKLY.>>Vassy: WE SHALL SEE.>>Rosemary: I SHALL TELL YOU THAT IT’S EARLY IN ONTARIO, SO AS WE SEE THESE NUMBERS START TO MOVE AROUND, LESS THAN 4,000 VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED. THERE’S A LOT TO COME. IAN IS GOING TO UPDATE US.>>Ian: LET’S LOOK AND SEE WHAT THOSE VOTE TOTALS ARE TELLING US. THE EARLY STORY IS THE LIBERALS ARE DOWN BY 5 PERCENTAGE POINTS. THEY HAVE ROOM TO GO DOWN AND STILL HAVE A DECENT TOTAL OF SEATS IN ONTARIO. CONSERVATIVES NEED TO BUILD ON WHAT WAS NOT A VERY GOOD SHOWING IN 2015. THEY ARE UP A LITTLE BIT, BUT NOT UP AS MUCH AS THEY WOULD LIKE. WILLOWDALE HAS HISTORICALLY BEEN GOOD FOR THEM. SIMCOE NORTH, BRUCE STANTON, ONE OF THOSE M.P.s WHO KEEPS ON WINNING, HE’S GOING FOR A SIXTH WIN. WITH ONE POLL REPORTING, HE IS IN A SMALL LEAD.>>Rosemary: THE LIBERALS PICKED UP 80 OF THE SEATS IN ONTARIO. THAT WAS KEY FOR THEM FORMING A MAJORITY.>>I WANT TO LOOK AT THE NORTHWEST AND THE FAR EAST OF QUEBEC, BEGINNING WITH HOW THE VOTE IS CHANGING. WE’RE LOOKING AT BLOC NUMBERS 33.9%. WE HAVEN’T SEEN THAT SUPPORT SINCE 2008. LIBERAL POPULAR SUPPORT DOWN A LITTLE BIT FROM WHAT IT WAS FOUR YEARS AGO AND THERE YOU SEE THE REST OF THE PARTIES. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT A COUPLE OF THE PARTIES. AS WE LOOK UP TO ONE OF THE RIDINGS WHERE THE N.D.P. INCUMBENT DID NOT RUN FOR RE-ELECTION, WHICH IS ABITIBI-TÉMISCAMINGUE. AS WE GO TO THE FARTHEST EAST RIDING MANICOUAGAN, IT IS MARILENE GILL. THESE ARE EARLY NUMBERS, BUT A STRONG START FOR DAVE SAVARD.>>THE STORY OF QUÉBEC COULD VERY WELL BE THE STORY OF THE BLOC. WE’RE GOING TO TAKE A LOOK AT THE LEADER NOW. HE HAS A 151-VOTE LEAD OVER THE LIBERALS. IF HE WINS THIS SEAT, HE WOULD BE THE FIRST BLOC LEADER TO WIN A SEAT IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS SINCE 2008. WE’RE GOING TO TAKE A LOOK AT ONTARIO SEATS. THIS IS CAMBRIDGE. THIS IS HELD BY THE FORD CONSERVATIVES THAT THE LIBERALS HAVE HELD AT THE FEDERAL LEVEL. IT IS ONE OF THOSE KEY BATTLEGROUNDS OUTSIDE OF TORONTO. THE CONSERVATIVES NEED TO WIN THIS IF THEY’RE GOING TO FORM GOVERNMENT. MISSISSAUGA-LAKESHORE. THIS IS A REMATCH. I WAS THERE WITH ANDREW SCHEER. THEY HAD A GOOD RALLY IN MISSISSAUGA-LAKESHORE. ABOUT 450 PEOPLE. THEY WERE ALL EXTREMELY CONFIDENT, BUT IT WAS A WINE BAR.>>Rosemary: BOB RAE HAS BEEN THERE.>>IN THE 905, THE KEY WORRY THE LIBERALS HAD WAS THAT THE N.D.P. VOTE WOULD EAT INTO THEIR VOTE, BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE FIRST COUPLE OF POLLS, THE N.D.P. VOTE IS NOT THERE. I THINK THAT IS BECAUSE PEOPLE ARE VOTING STRATEGICALLY. IN THOSE RIDINGS WHERE PEOPLE SAY, LOOK, WE HAVEN’T GOT A CHANCE OF WINNING HERE — FOR EXAMPLE, IN CAMBRIDGE, THAT HAS BEEN A THREE-WAY FIGHT GOING BACK INTO FEDERAL-PROVINCIAL POLITICS FOR AS LONG AS I’VE BEEN THERE, WHICH IS A COUPLE OF DECADES. IT’S INTERESTING TO SEE HOW THAT’S TURNING OUT. IT’S TOO EARLY TO SEE THERE’S A TREND, BUT IT’S AN INTERESTING FOOTNOTE. >>Rosemary: YOU’RE QUITE RIGHT. THE SUPPORT FOR THE N.D.P. IS DOWN 3.2% IN ONTARIO, AND IT CAN’T BE DOING THAT IF THE N.D.P. WANTS TO RECLAIM ANY OF THE SEATS THAT IT PREVIOUSLY HAD PARTICULARLY IN THE G.T.A. THAT’S ALSO BAD NEWS TO HAVE THE N.D.P. PERFORMING AT A CERTAIN LEVEL. LET ME SHOW YOU WHAT THE MAP OF CANADA LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW. YOU CAN SEE LOTS OF RED, BUT LOOK AT THE LIGHT BLUE. THAT IS WHY THE BLOC IS LEADING OR ELECTED IN 12 RIDINGS. 12 IS ENOUGH TO GIVE YOU OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. THEY’RE MOVING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION. IT GIVES YOU MORE MONEY AND POWER IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS. IF WE START EXTRACTING WEST, WE CAN SEE THE N.D.P. STARTING TO PICK UP IN PLACES THEY TRADITIONAL DO WELL IN ONTARIO AND MOVING INTO MANITOBA. THERE IS AN ORANGE SPOT IN ALBERTA. LET’S KEEP OUR EYE ON THAT. THE CONSERVATIVES DOING WELL IN ALL THE PLACES YOU WOULD EXPECT, SASKATCHEWAN, MANITOBA, AND ALBERTA. THAT ORANGE SPOT IS PEACE RIVER. WE’LL BRING YOU OTHER RESULTS FROM THE OTHER TWO TERRITORIES, NUNAVUT AND NORTHWEST TERRITORIES. ANDREW CHANG IS GOING TO COME IN AND GIVE US A BIG PICTURE OF WHAT WE’RE SEEING AS WE SEE THE LIBERALS STARTING TO PULL AWAY.>>Andrew: WE’VE GOT ABOUT 1 MILLION VOTES IN THE SYSTEM. IF YOU’RE FOLLOWING ALONG AT THE BOTTOM OF YOUR SCREEN, YOU’RE SEEING THE NUMBERS START TO CLIMB AS WE GET PRELIMINARY RESULTS FROM ATLANTIC CANADA ALL THE WAY TO THE EDGE OF THE ALBERTA BORDER WITH BRITISH COLUMBIA. AS THOSE NUMBERS CLIMB YOU MIGHT BE ASKING CAN ANY PARTY HIT 170. THAT IS THE TARGET IN ORDER TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. THIS IS ONE WAY WE CAN ANSWER THAT QUESTION. 38.5%. THINK ABOUT THAT AS A FEELING. THAT IS THE CEILING ANY PARTY WOULD HAVE TO SMASH THROUGH TO FORM GOVERNMENT. IN CANADIAN HISTORY EVERY TIME THEY’VE MANAGED TO CROSS THAT THRESHOLD, THEY’VE FORMED A MAJORITY. WE HAVE NEVER SEEN A PARTY FALL SHORT OF THAT AND FORM A MAJORITY. IT HAS NEVER HAPPENED IN CANADIAN HISTORY. THE LIBERALS IN EXCESS OF THAT. THE QUALIFIER IS THAT MOST OF THE VOTES ARE SKEWED TOWARDS ATLANTIC CANADA. WE WILL SEE THAT DROPPING DOWN TO 40 AND POTENTIALLY 39 AND EVEN FURTHER DEPENDING ON THE WAY THE REST OF THE VOTES TURN OUT. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE. I WAS TALKING ABOUT HOW THE LIBERALS CAN AFFORD TO BE DOWN 16 AND STILL HOLD ONTO THEIR MAJORITY. THEY ARE STILL IN THAT WIGGLE ROOM AND THE CONSERVATIVES UP EVER SO SLIGHTLY. THEY WERE LOOKING FOR A MUCH STRONGER PERFORMANCE, PARTICULARLY IN ONTARIO. A LOT OF THE RIDINGS IN ONTARIO AND ALBERTA STILL TO COME IN AS WELL, WHICH WE KNOW IS A TRADITIONAL POWER BASE FOR THE CONSERVATIVES. >>Rosemary: THAT’S GOOD TO GET THE BIG PICTURE AS WE DIVE INTO RESULTS. IF YOU’RE A VOTER, YOU WANT TO KNOW HOW YOUR VOTE PERFORMED, BUT IT’S GOOD TO GET A BIG PICTURE.>>WE SHOWED THAT THE N.D.P.S ARE TRAILING IN QUÉBEC. BUT I WANT TO SHOW YOU SOME OTHER RIDINGS. IN BERTHIER-MASKINONGÉ, THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE IS LEADING OVER THE BLOC CANDIDATE ROUT ELLEN BROSSEAU WHO WAS A BREAKTHROUGH CANDIDATE. HERE IN SAINT-HYACINTHE-BAGOT, THE BLOC ARE LEADING. AND IN DRUMMOND THERE IS A LEAD OVER THE BLOC FOR THE LIBERALS.>>Rosemary: IT IS SUPER EARLY.>>THAT IS ONE OF THE SEATS THEY DEFINITELY THOUGHT THEY WOULD HOLD IN QUÉBEC. >>THE POPULAR VOTE FOR THE BLOC IS COALESCING IN TERMS OF INCREASING THEIR SHARE. NOT TRANSLATING INTO PICKUPS. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF RIDINGS I WANT TO HIGHLIGHT FOR YOU. THERE IS A VOTE SHARE UP. IF YOU LOOK AT THE SEAT COUNT WHICH WOULD PUT IT UP SLIGHTLY AND INTO OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS REALM, BUT NOT A HUGE SURGE OF PICKUPS. WHERE THERE ARE INTERESTING RIDINGS WHERE THE BLOC IS TAKING A LEAD, IN THE EAST, THIS IS BROME-MISSISQUOI. MONIQUE ALLARD IS LEADING. DAVID GRAHAM IS THE LIBERAL LUMENT IN — THE BLOC CANDIDATE HAS A SMALL LEAD, BUT THIS IS ONE TO WATCH AS A KEY BLOC PICKUP THEY HOPE FOR THEM.>>Rosemary: THOSE ARE RIDINGS WHERE WE WOULDN’T EXPECT THE CONSERVATIVES. I SHOULD TELL YOU THAT THE LIBERALS ARE NOW LEADING IN 20 RIDINGS IN QUÉBEC. THEY’RE ON THEIR WAY TO A GOOD NIGHT. IAN HAS MORE RESULTS.>>Ian: LET’S TAKE A CLOSER LOOK AT VOTE SHARING. IT IS STILL EARLY, BUT YOU CAN SEE THE CONSERVATIVES ARE IN FIRST PLACE THERE. I’LL LEAVE THE ANALYSIS TO SOME OF YOU, BUT IT FEELS TO ME THE CONSERVATIVES WOULD BE HOPING TO HAVE A BIGGER VOTE SHARE. LET’S SEE HOW IT’S PLAYING OUT IN THREE RIDINGS. FIRST OF ALL, A COUPLE OF RIDINGS THAT WERE WON BY PARTIES THAT ARE NOT LEADING, BUT OF COURSE THIS IS TWO POLLS OF 314, BUT YOU SEE THE LIBERALS IN THE LEAD. THIS IS INTERESTING, HAMILTON-MOUNTAIN HAS BEEN AN N.D.P. RIDING FOR A WHILE. RIGHT NOW AGAIN, STILL EARLY, BUT WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON. THAT AND FINALLY BEACHES-EAST YORK, THIS IS A RIDING WHERE THE LIBERALS, WERE LEADING. NATHANIEL ERSKINE-SMITH BROKE RANKS OVER JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD.>>SO THE QUESTION THAT I’M REALLY HUNG UP ON NOW IS WHETHER THE LIBERALS ARE AHEAD RIGHT NOW. LET’S LOOK AT THEM, WHETHER THEY CAN FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT, GIVEN THE WAY THINGS ARE SHAKING DOWN. WE KNOW THIS MUCH, THEY ARE LEADING OR ELECTED IN 85 RIDINGS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THAT IS SHORT OF 170. YOU SAY, THERE ARE STILL 166 RIDINGS TO COME. MAYBE SOME OF THOSE WILL END UP IN THE LIBERAL CAMP, SHOULDN’T THOSE COUNT TOWARDS THE 170. LET’S CRUNCH THOSE NUMBERS. LET’S SAY THAT EVERY RIDING IN WHICH THE LIBERALS WON IN 2015, LET’S SAY THEY WIN IT AGAIN. OF THOSE REMAINING RIDINGS IN WHICH WE DON’T HAVE RESULTS NOW, 85 PLUS 94, THAT GETS THEM PAST 170. NOW, THAT’S REALLY IMPORTANT BECAUSE THIS WOULD SUGGEST TO US, GIVEN HOW THINGS ARE GOING THE LIBERALS COULD BE ON TRACK TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. THIS IS NOT JUST A NUMBER WE’RE THROWING OUT. THIS IS BASED ON THE SPECIFIC RIDINGS TO COME FOR WHICH WE DON’T HAVE RESULTS, BASED ON HOW THEY’VE GONE IN THE PAST AND POLLING DATA, AND WAIT TO SEE THE RESULTS TO PROJECT WITH CERTAINTY HOW THIS NIGHT IS GOING TO END, BUT THIS IS A REALLY INTERESTING WAY ON HOW TO CALCULATE THE NUMBERS BASED ON HOW THESE RIDINGS GO IN THE PAST.>>Rosemary: THE LIBERALS GOT THE MAJORITY IN THE LAST ELECTION WITH 39.5% OF THE VOTE. MORE THAN THEY NEEDED FOR A MAJORITY SHARE, BUT IT WASN’T A HUGE AMOUNT. PETER MANSBRIDGE WANTED TO COMMENT.>>Peter: THE LIBERALS ARE CLEARLY DOING WELL IN ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC. THEY’RE ON THE PATH TO WHERE THEY WANT TO END UP IN TERMS OF A VICTORY, BUT THE INTERESTING THING IN TERMS OF THE COUNTRY IS WHEN YOU’RE LOOKING AT THAT BIG MAP ON THE FLOOR WHETHER YOU’RE GOING TO SEE ANY RED OR MUCH RED WEST OF THE MANITOBA-ONTARIO BORDER. THAT’S WHERE WE’RE GOING TO DEVELOP INTO THE SITUATION OF TWO CANADAS. WE HAVEN’T SEEN IT QUITE AS CLEAR SINCE 1972 WHEN JUSTIN’S FATHER, PIERRE TRUDEAU, WON SEATS THERE. THAT WAS A WESTERN ALIENATION STORY. >>Rosemary: THAT WAS A VERY TIGHT RESULT, TWO SEATS. >>Peter: TWO SEATS AND NO DECISION MADE DURING THAT NIGHT AND TRUDEAU DID HIS FAMOUS THE UNIVERSE IS UNFOLDING AS IT SHOULD SPEECH TO REPORTERS. THAT WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH. THE LIBERALS HAVE A COUPLE OF SEATS GOING FOR THEM IN MANITOBA, BUT THEN YOU GET TO THIS WIDE SWATH, YOU SEE IT ON THE MAP, A LOT OF BLUE AND IN B.C. WHEN IT CLOSES IN 30 SECONDS.>>Rosemary: BOB RAE, IF YOU CAN GO QUICKLY. >>I THINK THE WITNESS PROTECTION PROGRAM FOR DOUG FORD WAS A BAD IDEA BECAUSE I THINK ACTUALLY HE HAD MORE SUPPORT IN ONTARIO THAN THE SCHEER PEOPLE UNDERSTOOD. TO KEEP HIM LOCKED UP IN A ROOM FOR 90 DAYS WAS ABSURD. I’M NOT A BIG SUPPORTER OF THE FORD APPROACH TO LIFE, BUT I RECOGNIZE THE STRENGTH OF MY OPPONENTS WHEN I SEE IT. I THINK IT WAS A BIG MISTAKE BY THE CONSERVATIVE PARTIES TO DO THAT.>>Rosemary: IT IS 10:00 EASTERN, WHICH MEANS THAT B.C. AND YUKON’S POLLS HAVE JUST CLOSED. THAT’S 43 MORE SEATS THAT WE ARE WAITING TO HEAR MORE FROM. THAT WILL BRING US UP TO 338. WE HAD THAT DELAY IN THUNDER BAY AND ONTARIO. ALMOST ALL POLLS CLOSE NOW IN THIS COUNTRY. WE’RE STARTING TO GET A PRETTY CLEAR PICTURE WHERE THE COUNTRY IS HEADED. IT REMINDED ME AT THE END OF 2015 WHEN YOU WERE THERE WITH STEPHEN HARPER AND THINGS WERE NOT GOING WELL, YOU WENT AND GOT THE FORDS TO TRY TO SEE IF YOU CAN TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THEIR SUPPORT. [ PLEASE STAND BY ] … AND I THINK IT WAS A MISTAKE. BECAUSE I THINK MOBILIZING CONSERVATIVE VOTERS WILL SEE AS THE NIGHT UNFOLDS, IN ONTARIO, IT IS SOMETHING THAT DOUG FORD WAS ABLE TO DO SUCCESSFULLY, 18 MONTHS AGO AND I THINK WE’RE NOT SEEING SIGNS OF THAT SAME LEVEL OF ENTHUSIASM FOR ANDREW SCHEER TONIGHT. WE SHOULD PUT AS CAVEAT YOU WERE PART OF HIS CAMPAIGN. YOU WERE DOUG FORD’S FAN.>>I WAS A CAMPAIGN MANAGER, BUT I’M ALSO SOMEBODY WHO SPENT HIS CAREER WORKING IN FEDERAL POLITICS AND HAS A DEEP VESTED INTEREST IN THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY FROM COAST TO COAST.>>Peter: PROPPED UP BY BOB RAE.>>Rosemary: I KNOW, WHAT COALITION IS HAPPENING HERE TONIGHT. [LAUGHTER].>>BUT IT’S ALSO THE STRATEGY OF LOCKING UP THE PREMIER OF ONTARIO IN HIS BASEMENT. LITERALLY AT SOME POINT BECOMES INSULTING FOR THE PEOPLE WHO ACTUALLY ARE LOYAL TO HIM. AND SAY, WELL, YOU KNOW, WHO ARE THESE PEOPLE WHO ARE LOCKING UP MY LEADER? IT’S NOT CALLED FORD NATION FOR NO REASON.>>Peter: YOU’RE BRINGING IN THE PREMIER OF ALBERTA.>>IN HIS BACKYARD. I TRIED TO GAIN THIS HAPPENING IN MY HEAD IN QUÉBEC.>>TO ME, IT MADE NO SENSE.>>Rosemary: WANT TO WEIGH?>>THE STRATEGY SEEMS TO BE FAILING IN THE ELECTION IS THE FEAR CAMPAIGN — WHICH IS A TRADITIONAL LIBERAL PLAYBOOK, BE SCARED OF THE TORIES, YOU HAVE TO VOTE LIBERAL. THEY HAD MORE SUCCESS IN 2015 WITH A DIFFERENT STRATEGY, WHICH WAS A POSITIVE PLATFORM AND THAT SEEMED TO ROUND UP THE LEFT VOTE FOR SUCCESSFULLY THAN THIS TIME.>>WITH 9 NEW DEMOCRATS LEADING OR ELECTED, IT’S NOT A TOTAL FAILURE YET.>>Rosemary: LET’S GO TO MIKE CRAWLEY. HE COVERS QUEEN’S PARK AND THE PREMIER REGULARLY. I’M SURE YOU’VE BEEN LISTENING IN. THE CONSENSUS SEEMS TO BE IT WAS A MISTAKE TO NOT LET DOUG FORD BE DOUG FORD IF YOU WILL AND TRY AND TAP INTO THAT SUPPORT THAT OBVIOUSLY EXISTS FOR HIM. THAT’S HOW HE BECAME PREMIER. ANY THOUGHTS ON THAT?>>Reporter: YEAH, THE QUESTION IS, WOULD IT ACTUALLY HAVE MADE THINGS A BIT WORSE IF PREMIER DOUG FORD WAS OUT FRONT AND CENTRE REMINDING ONTARIANS ABOUT THE WAY HE IS RUNNING HIS GOVERNMENT HERE. LOOK, THE LIBERALS DIDN’T TRY TO MAKE THIS ELECTION ABOUT DOUG FORD FOR NO REASON AT ALL. THEY HAD POLLING DATA THAT WAS TELLING THEM THAT PEOPLE WERE MORE RELUCTANT TO VOTE FOR ANDREW SCHEER’S CONSERVATIVES BECAUSE OF THE WAY PREMIER DOUG FORD WAS PERFORMING. AND THE CONSERVATIVES HAD THE SAME DATA, TOO. THAT’S WHY DOUG FORD ADJOURNED THE LEGISLATURE UNTIL NEXT WEEK AFTER THE ELECTION. THAT’S WHY HE WASN’T OUT THERE CAMPAIGNING WITH ANDREW SCHEER. THAT’S WHY ANDREW SCHEER DIDN’T TALK ABOUT DOUG FORD. SO YOU KNOW, I THINK CLEARLY THESE TWO STRATEGIES WERE WORKING AGAINST ONE ANOTHER. THE CONSERVATIVES WERE TRYING TO MAKE UP GROUND, BUT YOU KNOW, IT WOULD SEEM TO ME FROM THE EARLY INDICATIONS THAT IT WORKED FOR THE LIBERALS TO TRY TO DRAG DOWN THE FEDERAL CONSERVATIVES BY ASSOCIATION WITH DOUG FORD.>>I THINK THAT’S A REALLY GOOD POINT. THERE IS ALWAYS A RISK TO LETTING DOUG FORD BE DOUG FORD. SO OBVIOUSLY WEIGHED IT, AND THAT’S NOT GOING TO WORK. MIKE CRAWLEY, WE’LL CHECK IN LATER. I SEE YOU’RE AT HEADQUARTERS THERE AND SEE IF SHE CAN PULL OFF A WIN.>>BOB RAE TALKS ABOUT DOUG FORD BEING IN PROTECTION. WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT RIDINGS WHERE THE STRATEGY MAY HAVE WORKED, IN WHITBY, ARE CHIVAS LEFT. HAMILTON EAST, STONEY CREEK, THIS IS KIND TO THE NEW DEMOCRATS, BUT BRATNA HOLDING ON. NOW, GUELPH IS A RIDING THE LIBERALS WERE ABLE TO HOLD ONTO UNDER MIKE MICHAEL IGNATIEFF, BUT THEY ARE RUNNING SECOND. LLOYD LONGFIELD HOLDING ON WITH THE 155-VOTE LEAD. AND MILTON, THE GOLD MEDAL RIDING. ADAM VAN KOEVERDEN WITH AN EIGHT-VOTE LEAD OVER LISA RAITT.>>Rosemary: GOOD TO WATCH.>>THE GREENS AND THE NEW DEMOCRATS IN MILTON, IT’S A TWO-WAY FIGHT. I THINK THAT’S AN IMPORTANT THING TO NOTICE. THERE HAS BEEN THIS ATTEMPT TO REALLY FOCUS ON WHAT IS THE CHOICE. IN THAT RIDING IT’S A FOCUSED CHOICE BETWEEN ADAM AND LISA.>>Rosemary: IAN HAS MORE RESULTS.>>Ian: WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT THE GREEN PARTY. ELIZABETH MAY TELLING A REPORTER IN BRITISH COLUMBIA IT WAS STILL EARLY, TOO EARLY AFTER THE ATLANTIC CANADA RESULTS TO ASSESS WHERE THE GREENS ARE. SHE PROBABLY HAD IN MIND A LITTLE EARLY SUCCESS. THE VOTE CHANGE, THE CONSERVATIVES ARE UP BY 3 PERCENTAGE POINTS. NOT, I DON’T THINK, WHAT THEY WERE HOPING FOR IN THE PROVINCE. THE GREENS UP 2.9 PERCENTAGE POINTS. BUT FOR THEM, THAT’S A BIG CHANGE. LET’S SEE HOW THAT’S PLAYING OUT IN A COUPLE OF RIDINGS. THIS IS THE FIRST OF 223 POLLS REPORTING, BUT IT IS A SIGNIFICANT ONE FOR THE GREENS IN LEAD. WE’LL KEEP AN EYE ON THAT RIDING OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. IN PARRY SOUND-MUSKOKA, THIS IS A CONSERVATIVE RIDING AND CONTINUES TO BE A CONSERVATIVE RIDING. LOOK AT THE GREENS, PRETTY STRONG THIRD IN PARRY SOUND-MUSKOKA.>>Rosemary: THE FLOOR IS STARTING TO CHANGE. WE DON’T HAVE RESULTS YET FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA. WE’LL KEEP OUR EYE ON THE MAP FOR THAT PART, BUT IN SASKATCHEWAN, THE CONSERVATIVES ARE LEADING IN 10. BUT RALPH GOODALE IS STILL IN FRONT. THERE WERE CONCERNS HE MIGHT NOT BE ABLE TO PULL IT OFF. THE RACE IS TIGHT. ALBERTA, ALL THE SEATS SO FAR SEEM TO BE LEANING BLUE, CONSERVATIVE, WHICH WOULD NOT BE SURPRISING, ALTHOUGH THERE WOULD BE LOSSES THERE FOR THE LIBERALS. TELL ME WHAT YOU’RE HEARING.>>Vassy: THERE IS NO WAY TO OVERSTATE THE SIGNIFICANCE OF ONTARIO. WE KNEW GOING INTO THIS THAT THE PATH WAS THROUGH ONTARIO. TWO THINGS TO FOCUS ON THAT BOB AND OTHERS BROUGHT UP, THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF THE — YOU PUT IT AS STRATEGIC VOTING MESSAGE, IT WAS IN THE LAST SEVEN DAYS, YOU HAVE TO VOTE FOR US! DID THAT WORK?>>I’VE BEEN A VICTIM OF THAT.>>Vassy: I’M SURE YOU HAVE.>>Rosemary: IT CAN WORK.>>Vassy: THAT’S AN INTERESTING ANALYSIS, AND ONE THAT YOU DIDN’T HEAR THROUGH THE MEDIA IN THE FIRST SIX WEEKS OF THE CAMPAIGN. THERE WAS HOW COULD THEY EVER ASSOCIATE WITH DOUG FORD? WE KNOW SPEAKING WITH CONSERVATIVES JUST BEFORE THE CAMPAIGN, PEOPLE IN THE 905 WERE AT THE DOORS AND HEARING FROM PEOPLE THEY DID NOT WANT TO ASSOCIATED WITH DOUG FORD. THAT ASSOCIATION HAS BEEN DRAWN. IT WAS A SPECIFIC CONCLUSION THAT THE FEDERAL CONSERVATIVES DREW, THAT THEY COULDN’T AFFORD TO. AND WE DON’T KNOW HOW MUCH WORSE THE OUTCOME WOULD HAVE BEEN, HOWEVER, I TAKE THE POINT THERE IS A LARGE CONSTITUENCY OF SUPPORT FOR DOUG FORD. I WAGER IT’S A STRATEGIC VOTING MORE THAN THAT.>>Rosemary: THAT’S FAIR TO SAY. THE LIBERALS LEADING IN 124 RIDINGS. THE CONSERVATIVES 94. THE BLOC 28. MOST PARTIES PREDICTED THEY WOULD GET BACK TO THIS SPACE. THEY HAD 10 IN 2015. SO THIS IS A BIG GAIN FOR THE BLOC QUEBECOIS TONIGHT. THE N.D.P. STILL DOESN’T HAVE ENOUGH SEATS RIGHT NOW TO FORM OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS, TO GET OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. NOW THEY’VE JUST GOT IT. YOU HAVE TO HAVE 12. THEY NEED TO HOLD ONTO THAT TONIGHT. GREENS HAVE BEEN LEADING OR ELECTED IN ONE AND IT’S STILL LOOKING GOOD FOR THEM IN FREDERICTON. OUR CBC NEWS DECISION DESK IS READY RIGHT NOW TO MAKE A CALL.>>CANADA YOUR NEXT GOVERNMENT WILL BE A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT, JUSTIN TRUDEAU WILL HANG ON AS PRIME MINISTER. SO AFTER A CONTENTIOUS, SOMETIMES NASTY CAMPAIGN, JUSTIN TRUDEAU MAY IN FACT NEED THE SUPPORT OF OTHER PARTIES TO GOVERN THE COUNTRY. BUT WE DON’T KNOW HOW THAT’S GOING TO SHAKE DOWN. ALL WE’RE WILLING TO SAY RIGHT NOW, CANADA IS GETTING A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. JUSTIN TRUDEAU IS GOING TO BE VERY PLEASED. THEY’RE AT LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS, SOME EXCITEMENT STARTING AS THEY REALIZE THEY HOLD ONTO GOVERNMENT. SALIMAH SHIVJI IS IN MONTREAL AT LIBERAL HEADQUARTERS. LET’S CHECK IN.>>Reporter: AS YOU CAN HEAR, THE CHANTS BEHIND ME, FOUR MORE YEARS. A PRETTY HAPPY CROWD HERE. THAT CALL CAME QUICKLY, MORE QUICKLY THAN THEY WERE EXPECTING A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO. THE CHANCE AT FOUR MORE YEARS AS THE NUMBERS WERE CREEPING UP, THERE WERE CHEERS PEELING OUT FROM THE CROWD. WHEN THEY GOT TO 50, 100 AND THEN WHEN THE CALL CAME FROM US AND FROM RADIO-CANADA, IT’S A PRETTY HAPPY CROWD HERE. IT WAS INTERESTING, THE ROOM WAS EMPTY AT THE BEGINNING WHEN THE POLLS CLOSED IN THE EASTERN TIME ZONE. THE LIBERAL TEAM WAS WATCHING, CAMPED AWAY, WATCHING THE RESULTS FROM THE ATLANTIC REGION, BUT THEY WERE REALLY ENCOURAGED BY THE RESULTS COMING IN. THEY WERE EXPECTING THE LOSSES AND THEN THEY STARTED TRICKLING IN HERE. SO PRETTY EXCITED ROOM SO FAR WAITING TO HEAR WHETHER IT WILL BE A MINORITY OR MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. YOU CAN FEEL THE EXCITEMENT BUILDING. WHAT A CHANGE FROM JUST A HALF HOUR AGO, 45 MINUTES AGO, WHEN IT WAS QUITE EMPTY AND THERE WAS STILL NAIL-BITING AS THE TEAM WAS WAITING TO SEE WHAT WAS GOING TO HAPPEN IN QUÉBEC. THEY WEREN’T AS WORRIED ABOUT WHAT WAS GOING TO HAPPEN IN THE ATLANTIC. THEY WERE EXPECTING THE LOSSES. IT WAS QUÉBEC THAT WAS THE WILD CARD AND THEY WERE FEELING CONFIDENT ABOUT THEIR CHANCES IN ONTARIO.>>Rosemary: OKAY.>>Reporter: THEY’RE STILL WAITING TO HEAR.>>Rosemary: LET ME EXPLAIN WHY WE’RE ALL STILL WAITING TO TELL THEM MORE ABOUT WHAT THIS GOVERNMENT WILL LOOK LIKE. AS WAS THE CASE IN ATLANTIC CANADA AND PART OF THE NIGHT, THERE ARE MANY RIDINGS THAT ARE STILL TOO CLOSE TO CALL. 59 RIDINGS WITH A MARGIN OF LESS THAN 50 VOTES. I’LL GET THAT BOARD TO YOU. THAT MEANS GIVEN HOW TIGHT SOME OF THE RACES ARE — 59 RIDINGS, THAT’S A WHOLE BUNCH, WE’RE NOT READY TO SAY LIBERAL MINORITY OR MAJORITY, BECAUSE THOSE THINGS ARE STILL IN PLAY. THAT’S HOW TIGHT THIS RACE IS. ALL WE’RE GOING TO TELL YOU RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT, JUSTIN TRUDEAU HANGS ON FOR A SECOND MANDATE AND WE’LL BE ABLE TO FIRM THAT UP SOON. THIS IS A GOOD SPOT FOR YOU.>>Andrew: YOU HIT THE NAIL ON THE HEAD, RIGHT? THERE ARE SO MANY RIDINGS STILL IN PLAY. THIS 130 NUMBER COULD GO SKY HIGH OR HOLD STAGNATE. LET’S TRY TO CHECK THAT QUESTION. WHERE THEY CAN HIT 38.5% AND HISTORICALLY, BASED ON THE HISTORICAL PRECEDENT, WE’VE NEVER SEEN A PARTY NOT HIT THAT MARK AND STILL FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS ARE UNDER THAT MARK. WHAT WE SAW A FEW MOMENTS AGO, THEY WERE TRENDING AT 40%. BUT I WAS WATCHING THAT NUMBER AND IT FELT LIKE EVERY FIVE MINUTES THEY WENT DOWN A TICK, DOWN A TICK. THEY’VE BEEN DROPPING THE MORE RESULTS FROM ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC, THAT NUMBER HAS BEEN DROPPING. THESE NUMBERS SUGGEST THE LIBERALS NOT TRENDING TOWARDS A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. STILL HAVE B.C. RESULTS TO COME. LET ME SHOW YOU THE SEAT CHANGE NUMBERS. THIS IS ANOTHER METRIC WE CAN TRY TO GAUGE — AND THIS IS HARDER MATH CALCULATION, WHEN I SAY HARD, I DON’T MEAN DIFFICULT, BUT IT’S MUCH CLEARER. THE LIBERALS CAN AFFORD TO LOSE 16 SEATS AND HOLD ONTO THE MAJORITY. IF THEY LOSE MORE THAN THAT — RIGHT NOW, THEY’RE DOWN 20 SEATS, SO THOSE TWO THINGS COMBINED, IT LOOKED LIKE THE LIBERALS MAY BE ABLE TO FORM A MAJORITY A FEW MINUTES AGO, RIGHT NOW, THAT DOOR APPEARS TO BE CLOSING. BUT AGAIN, ROSIE, THIS ALL HINGES ON SO MANY OF THE RIDINGS THAT ARE SO CLOSE TO CALL. DOZENS OF RIDINGS WITHIN 50 TO 100 VOTES. THAT’S AS NARROW AS IT GETS. CONSERVATIVES UP. NOT NEARLY AS MANY AS THEY HOPED IF THIS WAS A GOOD NIGHT FOR THEM. THE BLOC QUEBECOIS, THEY ONLY NEEDED TO BE PLUS TWO TO RECAPTURE THE STATUS. NOW THEY’RE UP MORE THAN THAT. 18. AND THE N.D.P., THEY’RE DOWN 14. IF THEY LOSE MANY MORE THAN THAT, THEY WOULD BE THREATENED WITH LOSING PARTY STATUS, BUT OF COURSE, THOSE B.C. RIDINGS — >>Rosemary: PLACES WE EXPECT THEM TO DO WELL. THERE ARE STILL MANY CLOSE CALLS AND A LOT OF RIDINGS NOT REPORTING IN BRITISH COLUMBIA, WHICH IS WHY WE’RE NOT READY TO SAY WHAT FORM THIS LIBERAL GOVERNMENT WILL TAKE.>>Ian: ISN’T THIS A TIME YOU’RE NOT ON THE DECISION DESK?>>Rosemary: I WOULD BE TERRIBLE AT THAT JOB [LAUGHTER].>>Ian: THEY’RE CAREFUL AND MAKING SURE THEY DON’T DO THAT PROJECTION UNTIL THEY KNOW THERE IS GOING TO BE A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. WE’LL STRESS, WE DON’T KNOW IF IT’S MAJORITY OR MINORITY. LET’S LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE, KEEPING IN MIND A LOT OF THESE STILL IN PROGRESS. YOU CAN SEE THE CONSERVATIVES ONLY AHEAD WHEN YOU CONSIDER ELECTED AND LEADING — PRIMARILY LEADING I WOULD THINK — BY PLUS 4 SEATS. I WANT TO SHOW YOU THREE RIDINGS IN THE 905. AND IN THE 905 THIS IS WHERE THE CONSERVATIVES IN PARTICULAR NEEDED TO PICK UP SEATS. NEWMARKET-AURORA, IF TONY VAN BINNON WAS TO HOLD ONTO THIS, HE WAS THE MAYOR OF NEW MARKET, HE WOULD LIKE TO BECOME THE M.P. THIS IS A RIDING THE LIBERALS WON THE LAST TIME AROUND. WITH A DIFFERENT M.P., THIS WAS FANTINO’S RIDING AND FRANCESCO WON IN 2015. AND FINALLY OAKVILLE, ANITA, FIRST TIME SHE’S RUNNING, ALTHOUGH THIS WAS A LIBERAL WIN BACK IN 2015. AND A SMALL LEAD, 79 VOTES, SO THERE ARE A BUNCH OF THESE RIDINGS THAT COULD CHANGE.>>Rosemary: THAT’S WHY WE’RE NOT GOING FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD YET, OTHER THAN JUST A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. LOOK AT THE CONSERVATIVE NUMBER, NOW THEY’RE AT 100, BUT IN 2015, THEY WON 99 SEATS. SO IF THEY’RE NOT ABLE TO PULL IN OTHER NUMBERS, WINNING KEY SEATS IN BRITISH COLUMBIA, THAT’S GOT TO BE A DISAPPOINTING NIGHT FOR THEM, BEYOND THE FACT THEY’RE NOT FORMING GOVERNMENT.>>Heather: AS YOU SAY, IT’S DRAMATIC AND THESE ARE TIGHT IN THE RIDING IN QUÉBEC, WE TAKE A LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE, THE BLOC UP 22 FROM FOUR YEARS AGO WHEN THEY HAD 10 AND DIDN’T HAVE OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. WE’RE IN THE 30+ RANGE, BUT NOT ALL DECIDED. THIS IS ONE THAT IS GOING BACK, IT’S 2015 ALL OVER AGAIN. YOU HAVE THE BLOC INCUMBENT DUVAL FLIPPING BACK AND FORTH WITH THE LIBERALS AGAIN, JUST 10 OF THE POLLS REPORTING. LONGUEUIL ST. HEBERT IS ONE OF THE RIDINGS WE TALKED ABOUT A LOT, BECAUSE THERE IS JERSEY SWAPPING AND PARTY SWAPPING. HEBERT HAS A SOLID LEAD. HE IS THE FORMER HEALTH MINISTER PROVINCIALLY, BUT WENT TO THE FEDERAL LIBERALS BECAUSE HE WANTS A HEALTH CARE NETWORK FOR SENIORS. HE THOUGHT THAT WAS THE BEST WAY TO PUT HIS MAIN PLATFORM AHEAD. RIGHT NOW, HE’S LEADING ON THE SOUTH SHORE. BUT THE 450 RANGE, THE FRANCOPHONE RIDINGS, THAT’S WHAT WE’RE WATCHING.>>Rosemary: THERE ARE TWO MINISTERS, AMERJEET SOHI. MORE RESULTS.>>COUPLE OF THE LIBERAL CABINETS. KARINA GOULD HAS THE LEAD OVER THE CONTENDER. THIS IS ONE OF THE SEATS THE CONSERVATIVES WERE GOING TO WIN. SO FAR THE LIBERALS HOLDING. ON THE TO PETERBOROUGH, MARYAM MONSEF. THIS IS ONE OF THE SEATS IN THE SMALLER URBAN CENTRES WHERE THE CONSERVATIVES NEEDED TO BUST THROUGH A TIGHT ONE. AURORA, THIS ONE IS PERSONAL. SHE CROSSED THE FLOOR. THIS IS ONE THE LIBERALS WANT BACK. AS IS THIS ONE. FOR A BUNCH OF REASONS. MARKHAM STOUFFVILLE. JANE PHILPOTT IS IN THIRD PLACE RUNNING AS AN INDEPENDENT.>>Rosemary: IAN HAS MORE RESULTS.>>BRITISH COLUMBIA WON’T DETERMINE WHICH PARTY WILL FORM GOVERNMENT, BUT MAY DETERMINE WHETHER IT IS A MAJORITY OR MINORITY. VANCOUVER SOUTH, HARJIT SAJJAN, IS IN THE LEAD, JUST FIVE. ONE POLL REPORTING. VANCOUVER KINGSLEY, DONE DAVIES, LONGTIME N.D.P. WHO HAS SO MUCH SUPPORT IN THE AREA. HE IS LEADING. TAGGART, A FAMOUS BROADCASTER IN BRITISH COLUMBIA. CHARMING. IT WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE HOW SHE DOES IN THE RIDING. NORTH ISLAND POWELL RIVER, THIS IS WITH ONE OF THE INTERESTING RIDINGS. OVER THE YEARS, THE REFORM HAS DONE AS WELL AND A LOT OF US ARE WONDERING HOW THE GREEN PARTY WILL DO. BUT THIS MIGHT BE THE TOUGHEST ONE FOR THE GREENS IN THE INDUSTRIAL AREA.>>Rosemary: EARLY RESULTS FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA, AS IAN SAYS, COULD MAKE OR BREAK WHAT KIND OF GOVERNMENT JUSTIN TRUDEAU WILL BE HAVING FOR THE NEXT LITTLE BIT. WE’LL SHOW YOU WHERE WE ARE. LIBERALS LEADING OR ELECTED IN 143 RIDINGS. AND THE CONSERVATIVES NOW LEADING OR ELECTED IN 104. THE BLOC IS ON THE BOARD WITH 30. IF DAMAGE HAS BEEN DONE, IT’S BY THE BLOC AND LARGELY TO THE N.D.P., WHO IS ON THE BOARD WITH 20. WE’LL GO BACK AND SEE IF THEY PICKED UP AND HELD ONTO ANY IN QUÉBEC. LAST CHECK, THEY WERE HOLDING ONTO JUST ONE. AND THE GREENS ARE ON THE BOARD WITH ONE, BUT WE’RE EXPECTING MORE TO COME FROM THEM ON VANCOUVER ISLAND. THAT’S WHERE ALL THE HOPES ARE. THEY HAVE, HOWEVER, INCREASED THEIR SHARE OF THE VOTE ACROSS THE COUNTRY BY 9%. AND IN FACT, THAT COULD HAVE HURT OTHER PARTIES AS WE SAW THAT SUPPORT GO AHEAD. NOW, OUR CBC NEWS DECISION DESK IS READY TO MAKE YET ANOTHER CALL. CANADA, YOUR NEXT GOVERNMENT WILL BE A LIBERAL MINORITY GOVERNMENT. WE’RE PROJECTING THAT AT THIS HOUR. JUSTIN TRUDEAU WILL, AS WE SAY THERE, GET A SECOND MANDATE AS PRIME MINISTER, BUT HIS MAJORITY FROM 2015 NO LONGER. AND GIVEN THE WAY THIS CAMPAIGN HAS UNFOLDED, JUSTIN TRUDEAU MAY INDEED NEED THE SUPPORT OF OTHER PARTIES IN ORDER TO FIND A WAY TO GOVERN THE COUNTRY. WE’LL HAVE TO SEE WHERE THE MARGINS GO AND WHERE THEY END TO GET A SENSE OF WHERE THAT COOPERATION WOULD COME FROM AND HOW HE’S GOING TO GET IT. LET’S GO TO SALIMAH SHIVJI WHO IS WITH HEADQUARTERS IN MONTREAL. THEY’RE WATCHING US BEHIND YOU. THEY’RE STILL VERY HAPPY.>>Reporter: THEY ARE. THEY ARE HAPPY HERE TONIGHT. A LOUD CHEER WENT OUT WHEN YOU MADE THE CALL, EXCEPT FOR IT WASN’T AS LOUD AS WHEN WE FIRST PROJECTED THERE WAS GOING TO BE A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. THEY WERE HOPING FOR A MAJORITY HERE, BUT THE FACT THAT IT IS LIBERAL MINORITY GOVERNMENT — [CHEERING] — MUTED RESPONSE. YOU CAN HEAR THE CHEERS AGAIN. THEY SWITCHED CHANNELS. LIBERAL INSIDERS, STRATEGISTS, A WIN IS BETTER THAN A LOSS. THEY WANTED TO WIN. THEY WANTED A MAJORITY, BUT THEY’LL TAKE THE MINORITY AND WAIT AND SEE WHO WILL HOLD THE BALANCE OF POWER AND WHO THEY’LL HAVE TO WORK WITH TO GET LEGISLATION PASSED. SO THE ROOM IS JOYFUL, VERY HAPPY THEY’LL RETURN TO GOVERNMENT. PERHAPS A LITTLE MORE DIFFICULT TO GOVERN. A WIN IS BETTER THAN A LOSS IS WHAT THEY’RE SAYING.>>Rosemary: WE’LL SEE HOW BIG A WIN. WE’LL CHECK BACK WITH YOU. WE’LL HEAR FROM JUSTIN TRUDEAU. SO, AGAIN, THERE ARE PLACES IT’S TOO TIGHT AND WE DON’T SEE THE PLACES WHERE THE LIBERALS CAN PICK UP SUPPORT. WE CAN’T GET THEM TO 170. BUT CAN WE GET THEM CLOSE? MAYBE. THAT’S A DETERMINING FACTOR IN HOW THEY GOVERN AS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. HOW HIGH CAN THEY GET THE NUMBER? THERE WERE LIBERALS IN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS SUGGESTING 150 AND GOING ALL THE WAY TO 160 WHICH WOULD MAKE THEIR LIVES A LITTLE EASIER IN MINORITY GOVERNMENT. THE LAST MINORITY WAS UNDER PAUL MARTIN. THEY TEND TO LAST BETWEEN 18-24 MONTHS. ANDREW IS GOING TO GIVE US A BIG PICTURE ABOUT HOW THIS ACTUALLY BROKE DOWN AND EXPLAIN TO US BETTER WHY WE ARE WHERE WE ARE.>>Andrew: THE WAY THE DECISION DESK IS CRUNCHING THE NUMBERS, IT’S NOT IN THE CARDS FOR THE LIBERALS TO FORM MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. THIS IS ONE OF THEM WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT OVER THE COURSE OF THE EVENING, THE SIMPLE FACT THAT HISTORICALLY, WE’VE NEVER SEEN A PARTY FALL BELOW 38.5% AND STILL FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT AND IT DOESN’T LOOK LIKE TONIGHT WILL BE AN EXCEPTION TO THE RULE. ONE OTHER INTERESTING THING I’LL POINT OUT, THE N.D.P. ARE DOWN ABOUT 5% IN THEIR VOTE SHARE. THE GREENS ARE UP 5%. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE SEAT CHANGE. ANOTHER WAY TO CRUNCH THIS ONE, THE LIBERALS COULD AFFORD TO LOSE 16 SEATS OVER THE COURSE OF THE NIGHT. I JUST SAW A LITTLE MINUS 16, RIGHT NOW, MINUS 17. THAT GIVES YOU A SENSE OF WHY IT’S TAKEN AS LONG AS IT HAS TO MAKE THE CALL. BECAUSE THERE ARE RIDINGS THAT ARE TOO CLOSE TO CALL, SO THESE NUMBERS CAN STILL GO UP AND DOWN. BUT RIGHT NOW, THE LIBERALS OUTSIDE OF THE THRESHOLD THEY NEEDED TO BE WITHIN IN ORDER TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT, WHICH IS WHY WITH WE CAN LOOK AT THE BOARD AND SEE CLEARLY MINORITY IN THE CARDS.>>Rosemary: IT’S DEPENDENT ON HOW BIG THAT IS. IF YOU READY UP THE LIBERALS AND THE N.D.P., YOU’RE TWO AWAY FROM 170. YOU CAN START — ONE AWAY. YOU CAN START TO SEE HOW THEY ARE GOING TO GET PEOPLE TO FIND WAYS TO BUY INTO WHATEVER THEY’VE GOT TO DO TO MAKE THEIR GOVERNING A LITTLE EASIER. NOT AS EASY AS A MAJORITY, BUT THE MORE SEATS, THE EASIER IT GETS.>>Ian: WHAT HAPPENED WITH THE CONSERVATIVES IN ONTARIO THAT CHANGED THIS? LET’S LOOK AT A COUPLE OF RIDINGS. THE RESULTS AREN’T COMPLETE, BUT THEY GIVE US AN INDICATION OF A COUPLE OF RIDINGS. HERE YOU GO. THIS IS A GOOD EXAMPLE OF WHY THIS IS STILL IN PROGRESS AND CAN CHANGE. 61-VOTE LEAD HERE WITH KIM RUDD, NORTHUMBERLAND-PETERBOROUGH SOUTH. JUST BEFORE I WAS GOING TO SPEAK THE CONSERVATIVES WERE IN THE LEAD THERE. HASTINGS, THEY ARE IN THE LEAD WITH 28 — 224 POLLS. WE’RE FINDING OUT WE NEED STRONGER GLASSES THE NEXT TIME THERE IS AN ELECTION. WHICH PROBABLY ISN’T FOUR YEARS FROM NOW.>>Rosemary: I’M GETTING TO YOU GUYS. I KNOW YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT 1972. IT’S COMING [LAUGHTER]. OR 1985. HANG ON, I NEED TO GET RESULTS. HANG ON.>>WE’RE GOING TO SHOW YOU TWO SEATS WHERE THE LIBERALS HAD BREAKTHROUGHS BUT ARE TRAILING. THIS ST. JEAN. LOOK WHO IS LEADING IT, GILLES DUCEPPE’S SON. AND HERE IN MARYANN MIHYCHUK, TRAILING WITH 25 POLLS REPORTING TO DANCHO.>>SPOILER AND KING MAKER, WHICH PARTY WOULD FORM GOVERNMENT, MINORITY OR MAJORITY? HERE’S ONE OF THE RIDINGS. THE BLOC TAKING FROM ALL PARTIES. MASSE IS THE INCUMBENT FOR THE LIBERALS, BUT LEADING IS 26-YEAR-OLD CHRISTINA MICHAUD WHO TALKS ABOUT DOING POLITICS DIFFERENTLY. BLANCHET HAS RECRUITED YOUNG CANDIDATES. TREMBLAY IS LEADING IN CHICOUTIMI-LE FJORD. AND HIS ATTEMPT TO CREATE THE MULRONEY NATIONALIST COALITION. HE WAS SEEN AS A SUCCESSFUL MEASURE OF THAT. AGAIN, NOT LASTING AND GOING TO THE BLOC TODAY. TAKING FROM THE CONSERVATIVES AND FROM THE LIBERALS AS THEY FORM THAT 33-SEAT BLOC.>>Rosemary: YOU TWO READY. FIRST I’D LIKE TO TALK ABOUT 1972. I WAS BORN FOUR YEARS LATER. WE’LL START THERE. [LAUGHTER]. BUT THAT WAS WHEN PIERRE TRUDEAU’S MAJORITY WAS REDUCED TO A MINORITY. A TIGHT RACE. BUT IT LEADS YOU TO BELIEVE THE SAME COMPARISON THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU COULD NOT HOLD THE MAJORITY.>>Peter: THIS IS A LITTLE DIFFERENT. THIS IS CLOSER TO ’79. CLARK WINS, FOUR PERCENTAGE POINTS LOWER THAN THE POPULAR VOTE THAN TRUDEAU, BUT 20 SEATS GREATER. BUT IT WAS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT FOR THE CONSERVATIVES. DEFEATED NINE MONTHS LATER BY THIS GUY’S MOTION IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS. BUT HE HAD TO TRY TO FIGURE OUT A WAY TO HOLD THAT MINORITY GOVERNMENT. AND THAT’S THE PROBLEM JUSTIN TRUDEAU IS GOING TO HAVE HERE. IF THESE NUMBERS ARE WHAT THEY ARE AT THE END OF THE EVENING — AND THEY WON’T BE, BECAUSE THEY’RE GOING TO CHANGE — BUT IF THEY’RE LIKE THIS, HE’S GOT TO PUT TOGETHER THE N.D.P., THE GREENS AND SOME OF THE BLOC.>>Rosemary: BUT IT ALSO GOES BACK TO THE OTHER POINT ABOUT THE WAY THE COUNTRY IS DIVIDED. IN THAT CASE, IT MIGHT LOOK MORE LIKE 1980. BECAUSE IF YOU DON’T HAVE MUCH SUPPORT HERE, WEST OF MANITOBA, YOU GOT A LITTLE BIT ON THE CORNER.>>THE THING THAT YOU ALWAYS HAVE TO REMEMBER, A MAJORITY IS A MAJORITY. AND A MINORITY IS A MINORITY. IT DOESN’T MATTER IF YOU HAVE 169 SEATS IF YOU DON’T HAVE A MAJORITY, YOU DON’T.>>Rosemary: I KNOW, BUT IT’S EASIER.>>NOT NECESSARILY, BECAUSE IT DEPENDS. YOU HAVE TO GOVERN — I CAN BORROW A PHRASE FROM JOE CLARK, YOU HAVE TO GOVERN AS IF YOU HAVE A MINORITY. YOU HAVE TO REMEMBER THAT.>>Peter: THAT’S RIGHT.>>Rosemary: YOU CAN’T GET TOO COCKY.>>YOU CAN’T SAY I WON REALLY CLOSE. I ALMOST GOT A MAJORITY. THAT’S TAKES YOU NOWHERE. THAT’S THE HARD TRUTH ABOUT TONIGHT. I MEAN, YOU KNOW, I DON’T THINK ANYBODY THAT I WAS TALKING TO WAS THINKING WE’RE GOING TO WIN A MAJORITY, BUT YOU GOT TO UNDERSTAND, THIS IS NOW, YOU’RE PLAYING A DIFFERENT GAME.>>Rosemary: YEAH.>>AND IT’S GOING TO HAVE DIFFERENT CONSEQUENCES.>>THE LIBERALS WILL TELEGRAPH THIS AS A WIN. THEY WILL NOT BE SAYING — BUT THEY WILL BE FRAMING IT TODAY AS NOT — WE’RE A FEW INCHES SHORT OF A MAJORITY AND THEY WERE SAYING TO US OFTEN IN THE PAST 24 HOURS, A BUCK AND A HALF. THEY KNEW THIS WAS ANTICIPATED.>>Rosemary: THEY’RE PRETTY GOOD AT PROJECTING.>>SENIOR CITIZENS ON THE — >>Rosemary: STOP IT!>>IF I CAN POINT OUT THOUGH, YES, IT IS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT AND, YES, IT MAY BE THAT THE BLOC WILL BE NEEDED ON A DAY-TO-DAY BASIS, BUT IF YOU THINK FOR A SECOND THAT ANY OF THOSE THREE OPPOSITION PARTIES, THE BLOC, THE GREENS OR THE N.D.P. WANT TO GO IN AN ELECTION ANYTIME SOON, OR THAT THERE IS A TOPIC THAT WOULD, YOU KNOW, LIKE ANDREW SCHEER’S BILL 1, THERE IS NOTHING LIKE THAT.>>Rosemary: NOTHING THAT WILL FALL APART.>>AND THE CONSERVATIVES THEMSELVES ARE GOING TO HAVE TO ASK THEMSELVES SERIOUS QUESTIONS.>>Peter: THEY’RE GOING TO BE IN A LEADERSHIP RACE.>>Rosemary: I WANT TO GO TO REGINA AND TALK TO KATIE. THERE IS LOTS OF THINGS TO TALK ABOUT, WE’RE AT 108. I THINK WE’RE LEADING IN ELECTED IN 10s. MAYBE THAT DEALS WITH THE CONCERNS. WHAT IS THE MOOD THERE, KATIE?>>Reporter: I THINK — WELL RIGHT NOW, EVERY TIME THEY BRING UP A CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE THAT IS ELECTED, THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF APPLAUSE HERE, BUT FOR THE MOST PART, THERE ARE HUNDREDS AND HUNDREDS OF PEOPLE IN THIS ROOM. AND IT HAS MOSTLY BEEN PRETTY SILENT. THE MOMENT THAT CBC NEWS PROJECTED A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT, IT WAS STILL UNCLEAR WHETHER IT WOULD BE A MAJORITY OR MINORITY, IT WAS ON THE BIG SCREEN. AS SOON AS YOU DECLARED IT, ROSIE, THEY CHANGED THE CHANNEL. THE ROOM WAS SILENT. THIS IS OBVIOUSLY A DISAPPOINTING RESULT FOR ANDREW SCHEER. AND NOW THE NEXT QUESTIONS ARE GOING TO BE, NOT WELL, YOU KNOW, DOES THE PARTY WITH THE MOST SEATS GET TO GOVERN? WHICH ANDREW SCHEER HAD BEEN TRYING TO PLANT THE SEED F THE CONSERVATIVES WON MORE SEATS THAN THE LIBERALS, THEY WERE GOING TO PLOUGH THROUGH AND WIN THAT GOVERNMENT. THAT QUESTION NOW APPEARS TO BE OUT THE WINDOW. AND THE QUESTION WILL BE FOR ANDREW SCHEER, DOES HE CONTINUE ON AS LEADER? WILL HE GET TO A SEAT COUNT WHERE HIS COLLEAGUES, HIS CAUCUS WILL BE COMFORTABLE WITH HIM LEADING THE HELM INTO THE NEXT ELECTION? AND IT’S GOING TO BE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, SO WHO KNOWS WHEN THAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN. BUT AT THIS POINT, ONE THING TO BE WATCHING FOR, ARE THE PETER MacKAY’S OF THE WORLD, ERIN O’TOOLE’S OF THE WORLD, ARE THOSE PEOPLE INTERESTED IN LEADING THE PARTY INTO THE FUTURE, DO THEY START TO ASSESS THEIR OPTIONS.>>Rosemary: THANKS FOR THAT. I WOULD WAGER THEY WERE STARTING TO ASSESS THEIR OPTIONS TWO WEEKS AGO, BUT THAT’S JUST ME. CORY, LET’S GET YOUR ASSESSMENT. HE’S GAINED 10 — WELL 11 SEATS AS OF NOW, FROM WHAT THEY HAD IN 2015. HOW WOULD THE CONSERVATIVES RESPOND TO THAT?>>WELL, I THINK WE WANT TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS WITH THE REST OF THE EVENING BEFORE WE JUMP TOO DEEP INTO THOSE WATERS, BUT YOU KNOW, I WILL SAY THIS. THAT FOR MINORITY PARLIAMENT SITUATIONS WHICH WE’RE TALKING ABOUT, I AGREE WITH THE THINGS THAT PREMIER RAE SAID ABOUT HOW THAT DOESN’T MATTER. BUT I WOULD ADD TO THAT, THIS MAY BE A VERY STABLE MINORITY GOVERNMENT, PHENO IT IS A MY — EVEN IF IT IS A MINORITY GOVERNMENT BECAUSE THE N.D.P. ARE GOING TO BE BROKE.>>THEY ARE.>>THE BLOC WILL HAVE NO INCENTIVE TO GO BACK TO THE POLLS. AND WE’LL SEE HOW THE REST OF THE NIGHT UNFOLDS, BUT YOU COULD HAVE MULTIPLE PARTIES IN LEADERSHIP CONTESTS, WHETHER IT’S CONSERVATIVES OR THE GREEN PARTY. IT COULD BE A STABLE MINORITY GOVERNMENT FOR QUITE SOME TIME AS A RESULT OF THAT.>>Rosemary: LET’S SEE WHERE THE NUMBERS END UP BEFORE DETERMINING WHAT HAPPENS TO ANDREW SCHEER AND WHETHER THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY WANTS TO GIVE HIM ANOTHER KICK AT THE CAN. GOOD NEWS FOR THE LEADER OF THE BLOC QUEBECOIS. RIGHT NOW, WE CAN CONFIRM THAT YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET HAS BEEN ELECTED IN HIS RIDING. REMEMBER, HE WAS PREVIOUSLY AN MNA, SO A PROVINCIAL REPRESENTATIVE IN THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY IN QUÉBEC IN 2008 AND IN 2012. THIS IS HIS FIRST FORAY INTO FEDERAL POLITICS AND HE HAS LARGELY REBUILT THE BLOC QUEBECOIS FROM WHERE IT WAS WHEN IT WAS WIPED OUT IN 2011, IN LARGE PART, BY THE N.D.P., WHERE THEY HAD NO OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS BACK IN 2011. GILLES DUCEPPE ALSO LOST. THIS IS A BIG RETURN FOR BLOC QUEBECOIS, LARGELY DUE TO THE LEADER YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET, WHO CAN CLAIM A VICTORY HERE. LET’S GO TO MONTREAL AND THE BLOC HEADQUARTERS, ALISON NORTHCOTT IS THERE WITH REACTION.>>Reporter: I’M WITH THE BLOC CANDIDATE FOR LAURIER. WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF THE RESULTS YOU’RE SEEING?>>IT’S REALLY EXCITING, BECAUSE IT’S COMING BACK TO MORE A CULTURAL UPRISING. THE PRIDE AND THE ANGER TOWARD THE PUBLIC FUNDING OF THE PETROLEUM INDUSTRY. PEOPLE ARE QUITE ANGRY ABOUT THAT. IN QUÉBEC, IT’S TRANSFORMING TO A NEED TO PUT MONEY ON THE GREEN RESOURCES. AND ME AS A SCREEN WRITER AND DIRECTOR, PUT MONEY BACK INTO THE CULTURAL BECAUSE WE NEED SOME.>>Reporter: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR THE BLOC TO HAVE POTENTIALLY THE NUMBER OF SEATS WE’RE SEEING NOW? IT STARTED WITH JUST 10.>>IT MEANS WE’RE GOING TO BE HEARD MORE. WE’RE GOING TO BE — WE’VE BEEN — IT’S ALWAYS PUSHING FORWARD. IT’S LIKE THE EMISSIONS. NOW IT’S 2015. IN 2015 WE WERE ALL GOING TO BE — WE HAVE TO ACT NOW. THERE IS A CLIMATE URGENCY AND ALSO A CULTURAL URGENCY. FRENCH IS MAIN BLOOD IN MONTREAL.>>Reporter: THANK YOU VERY MUCH.>>Rosemary: THANKS FOR THAT. OBVIOUSLY, LOTS OF EXCITEMENT THERE. THE HEADQUARTERS IN MONTREAL. I’M GOING TO BRING IN FOR ANALYSIS, I’M GOING TO START WITH YOU. N.D.P. LEADING OR ELECTED IN 21. A LOT OF THEM HAVE BEEN LOST IN QUÉBEC. I CAN SEE ONE LITTLE SPOT. I’M NOT SURE WHERE THAT IS. SOMEONE WILL COME IN MY EAR AND TELL ME. WHAT DOES THIS TELL YOU AND WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF CORY’S ANALYSIS THAT THE N.D.P. CAN’T AFFORD ANOTHER ELECTION?>>I THINK WE’RE MISSING THE MARK ON THE WHOLE CONVERSATION AND MY CHEST IS GETTING TIGHT.>>Rosemary: TELL ME! DON’T LET THAT HAPPEN.>>WE TALK ABOUT THE LEADER THAT SHOULD OR SHOULD NOT RESIGN, LOOK AT THIS MAP. THE VOTERS ARE SENDING US A MESSAGE AND WE’VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT HOW NOBODY GETS ENTHUSIASTIC ABOUT VOTING FOR A MINORITY. AND HOW ARE PEOPLE GOING TO THE POLLS AND NOBODY REALLY CARES. IT’S BOLOGNA. LOOK AT THIS MAP. THEY VOTED FOR YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET. THE PEOPLE IN KENORA VOTED FOR CHIEF RUDY TURTLE.>>Rosemary: CLIMATE CHANGE?>>NO, IT’S NOT CLIMATE CHANGE, THEY DIDN’T GET THE COOPERATION WE EXPECTED WITH PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION AND THEY’RE FORCING COOPERATION ON US. THAT’S WHAT’S HAPPENING. THEY ARE TELLING US, WE HAVE TO FIGURE IT OUT. THESE ARE HIGHLY MOTIVATED VOTERS AND NO LEADER SHOULD STEP DOWN.>>Rosemary: THAT’S A GOOD POINT, BUT TO MY POINT AROUND CLIMATE CHANGE, YOU COULD READ THE MAP THAT WAY. YOU HAVE BIG SWATHS OF THE COUNTRY THAT WILLING AND PREPARED TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE AND PERHAPS ASK FOR SOMETHING MORE AGGRESSIVE THAN THE LIBERALS AND THEN YOU HAVE THIS POCKET THAT SAYS NO MORE.>>WE ARE A COUNTRY OF REGIONS AND IT DOESN’T MAKE SENSE WE WORK, BUT WE DO. BUT PEOPLE ARE VOTING FOR THEIR BELIEFS, THEIR VALUES, THEIR REGIONS, THEIR LOCAL ECONOMIES. I MEAN THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT IS GOING ON HERE.>>Rosemary: DUNCAN?>>I WANT TO PICK UP ON THAT POINT. MY HABITS AT CROSS COUNTRY CHECKUP DIE HARD, I LIKE TO LISTEN TO WHAT CANADIANS ARE HAVING TO SAY. I’M GETTING A LOT OF PEOPLE RESPONDING AND TALKING ABOUT PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION AND THE FRUSTRATION WITH ELECTORAL REFORM. CLYDE SAID I’D HAVE MORE ENTHUSIASM FOR THIS ELECTION IF I HAD A REFORMED ELECTORAL SYSTEM IN WHICH I COULD VOTE. AND CLEARLY THERE WERE PEOPLE THAT WERE FRUSTRATED THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU RENEGED ON THIS ONE. AND PERHAPS, WHAT WE’RE SEEING HERE IS CANADIANS SENDING A MESSAGE THEY WANT TO SEE COOPERATION. THEY WANT — I MEAN ANYONE LOOKING AT THE GREEN NUMBERS, YOU KNOW, THEY’VE BEEN ABOUT 8, 9, 10%, YET AT THE MOMENT THEY ONLY HAVE ONE SEAT.>>Rosemary: EXCEPT THAT SEAT IN FREDERICTON, WOULD THEY HAVE GOT THAT WITHOUT FIRST-PAST-THE-POST? IT STARTS TO BE A CONVERSATION THAT DEPENDS ON WHERE YOU’RE GOING INTO TERMS OF ELECTORAL REFORM. I DON’T KNOW THERE IS GOING TO BE ENOUGH PRESSURE ON ANYONE TO DO THAT THIS TIME AROUND FRANKLY. I WANT TO BRING YOU UP TO DATE ON ONE MORE ELECTED –>>SORRY, BUT IT’S NOT HAPPENING.>>Rosemary: I AGREE WITH YOU. BUT THE ONLY PARTIES THAT WOULD ADVOCATE, THE N.D.P. AND THE GREENS. I HAVE TO DO THIS. ANDREW SCHEER HAS BEEN RE-ELECTED IN REGINA. THE CONSERVATIVE LEADER, THIS WILL BE HIS SIXTH CONSECUTIVE WIN IN SASKATCHEWAN. EASY WIN FOR HIM. FIRST ELECTED AT AGE 25. HAS BEEN A POLITICIAN FOR MOST OF HIS LIFE. SO HE HAS THAT GOOD NEWS.>>WE HAVE THIS CONVERSATION EVERY TIME WE HAVE AN ELECTION, BUT IT IS NOT COMING BACK. THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES ARE NOT BUYING IN. AND IT WILL NOT BE A TOPIC I WATCH. JAGMEET SINGH SAY A PROGRESSIVE GOVERNMENT WOULD DO ELECTORAL REFORM. I THINK A LOT OF THE PEOPLE DID VOTE FOR THE N.D.P. TONIGHT WOULD NOT THINK WE WOULD GO BACK TO ELECTION OVER ELECTORAL REFORM.>>Rosemary: GOD, I DON’T THINK SO EITHER. ALTHIA.>>FRANKLY, THE GREENS AND THE N.D.P. ARE NOT SAYING THAT. JAGMEET SINGH HAS REFUSED TO SET OUT CONDITIONS FOR MINORITY GOVERNMENT, BUT HE’S PUT ELECTORAL REFORM WAY DOWN BELOW PHARMACARE AND HOUSING. AND ELIZABETH MAY CLEARLY SAID IN THE SPRING HER NUMBER ONE THING WAS CLIMATE, NOT ELECTORAL REFORM.>>Rosemary: SO MEAGAN WANTS IT, RIGHT? I’M JUST KIDDING.>>JUST THE IDEA OF COOPERATION, RIGHT? EVERY TIME I LOOK AT THIS.>>Rosemary: THAT’S WHAT A MINORITY GOVERNMENT IS, THEY WANT YOU TO COOPERATE AND COME TO BETTER RESULTS. I’M GOING TO SHOW YOU THE MAP AT THE TOP OF THE SCREEN. NORTHERN FRIENDS WONDERING WHERE THEY ARE.>>Ian: THEY’RE DIFFERENT AND COLOURFUL. THERE ARE HUGE RIDINGS AND EARLY RESULTS. LET’S LOOK AT EACH OF THE THREE NORTHERN RIDINGS IN CANADA, BEGINNING WITH NUNAVUT. IF THE N.D.P. WERE ABLE TO HANG ON HERE, THIS WOULD BE A GAIN FOR THEM. I TALKED TO THE BUREAU IN IQALUIT TO GET THE PROPER PRONUNCIATION. QAQQAQ. A ONE-VOTE LEAD. NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, WE SEE THE LIBERALS IN A BIG LEAD HERE. MORE THAN DOUBLE THE N.D.P. WHO ARE IN SECOND PLACE. AND THE FINAL NORTHERN RIDING IS YUKON AND, AGAIN, PRETTY EARLY HERE, BUT WHAT DO WE HAVE? JUST ONE POLL OF 91 REPORTING THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE LEAD IN YUKON.>>Rosemary: EARLY RESULTS THERE, BUT I WANT TO MAKE SURE ALL NORTHERN CANADIANS KNEW WE HADN’T FORGOTTEN ABOUT THEM. WE’RE WATCHING AND THEY’RE COMING IN SLOWLY.>>WE HAVE THREE RIDINGS WITH PROMINENT WOMEN INCUMBENTS ALL LOSING IN DIFFERENT STAGES OF VOTING. ADAM VAN KOEVERDEN IS IN THE GOLD MEDAL POSITION ON THE PODIUM, OVER LISA RAITT. NEXT RIDING OF MARKHAM, LEAD FOG ARE THE LIBERALS, BUT LOOK AT THIRD. IT’S JANE PHILPOTT, THE FORMER HEALTH AND INDIGENOUS SERVICES MINISTER. AND SPEAKING OF SNC-LAVALIN, VANCOUVER GRANVILLE. WTF IS GOING TO HAPPEN. NOOR MUHAMMAD IS IN THE RIDING. WITH THE CONSERVATIVES IN THE SECOND. THIS IS ALL ABOUT THE VOTE SPLITS.>>I WANT TO GIVE YOU UPDATES ON THE CABINET MINISTERS. RALPH GOODALE, MARYAM MONSEF, I WANT TO BRING IN VASSY FOR THOUGHTS.>>Vassy: LIKE I WAS SAYING, THIS IS ON THE POSITIVE END OF WHAT THE LIBERALS WERE THINKING. ESPECIALLY TOWARDS THIS WEEKEND. THIS THEY COULD ACHIEVE, PARTICULARLY BECAUSE OF THE GAINS THEY FELT THEY MADE IN ONTARIO. AT THIS JUNCTURE CAN THIS IS NOT THE RESULT THAT THE CONSERVATIVES WERE HOPING FOR. THEY HAD A WIDE RANGE OF PROJECTIONS AND COMING INTO THE WEEKEND, THEY FELT LIKE THEY HAD LOTS OF GROUND, PARTICULARLY IN ONTARIO, BUT BECAUSE OF THE UNCERTAINTY AROUND THE MESSAGE OF VOTE-SPLITTING OR STRATEGIC VOTING, THEY FELT LIKE THERE STILL WAS A CHANCE. THERE WAS A LEVEL OF OPTIMISM THEY DID NOT HAVE BACK IN 2015. WHEN YOU COULD FEEL THEY KNEW THREE DAYS OUT, IT WAS A DONE DEAL. I DIDN’T HAVE THAT SENSE THIS TIME, SO THIS WILL BE A VERY DISAPPOINTING RESULT FOR THEM. I SUM IT UP, BUT SOMEONE TEXTED ME SAYING THIS REALLY SUCKS.>>Rosemary: THAT’S NOT INAPPROPRIATE. I WAS EXPECTING MORE POWERFUL.>>THEY SAY THAT IN WAR ROOMS?>>Vassy: WELL, THEY DID TO ME.>>WE WILL NEVER SURRENDER. THAT’S WHAT YOU’RE SUPPOSED TO SAY IN A WAR ROOM. [LAUGHTER] >>Rosemary: I’M BEING REMINDED THAT THE VOTE SHARE IS 34.5 FORT LIBERALS AND 33 FOR THE CONSERVATIVES WHICH IS — WHICH WOULD BE A GOOD NIGHT FOR THE POLLSTERS.>>Vassy: GO ÉRIC GRENIER.>>Peter: LOOK AT THE NUMBERS ON THE BOARD, RIGHT? THERE IS A SPLIT OF 30 SEATS BETWEEN THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES, YET ONLY A POINT AND A HALF IN THE POPULAR VOTE. IT’S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE, THE WAY THE B.C. NUMBERS ARE COMING, IT’S GOING TO BE EVEN CLOSER THAN THAT ON THE POPULAR VOTE.>>IT WILL BE. AND THE NUMBER TO KEEP OUR EYE ON IS WHAT GETS YOU TO 170. HOW DO YOU MAKE IT TO 170 AND CAN YOU DO IT WITH ONE PARTY OR RELY ON TWO OR THREE.>>Peter: WE JUST DECLARED WE DIDN’T NEED TO WORRY ABOUT THIS, BECAUSE –>>I DON’T’ AGREE WITH THAT. I DIDN’T DECLARE THAT. THE PROBLEM IS, IF YOU’RE THINKING ABOUT HOW DO YOU MANAGE THIS GOVERNMENT? HOW DO YOU MAKE SURE IT’S STABLE AND WORKS? I THINK YOUR STYLE OF GOVERNMENT IS GOING TO HAVE TO BE COOPERATIVE, LISTENING, BUT YOU HAVE HUGE CHALLENGES IN TERMS OF THE PIPELINE ISSUE, CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUE, INDIGENOUS ISSUES. YOU GO DOWN THE LIST AND SAY THESE ARE CHALLENGING FOR GOVERNMENTS. IT’S GOING TO BE AN INTERESTING TIME. I HOPE AS MUCH STABILITY AS POSSIBLE. I DON’T THINK IT WILL BE A COALITION OR ANYTHING LIKE THAT. I THINK IT WILL JUST BE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT.>>Rosemary: I WANT TO SHOW YOU RESULTS FOR THE GREENS HERE. THEY’VE MADE OTHER INROADS. LET’S START IN ONTARIO. LET ME SHOW YOU WHERE THE GREEN PARTY IS DOING WELL. NO, WE’RE GOING TO ELIZABETH MAY. SHE IS THE LEADER OF THE GREEN PARTY. SAANICH GULF ISLAND, SHE IS LEADING THERE OVER THE LIBERALS BY 30 VOTES. LET’S GO TO ANOTHER FIRST ROUND OUT HERE. THIS IS ALSO NOT SURPRISING. NANAIMO LADYSMITH. THIS IS THE BYELECTION THEY WON WITH PAUL MANLY. HE IS LEADING. AND BACK TO THE EAST COAST, FREDERICTON, THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT ELITE FOR THE GREEN PARTY IN — LEAD FOR THE GREEN PARTY, UP BY 1500 VOTES IN THAT RIDING. SO DEFINITELY LEANING TOWARD BEING ELECTED, BUT WE’RE WAITING FOR ADVANCE VOTES TO BE COUNTED IN FREDERICTON BEFORE WE MAKE A CALL THERE. HAVEN’T HEARD FROM MY FRIEND ANDREW COYNE LATELY.>>I FILED.>>Rosemary: OH, WELL, THEN, PUT THE COMPUTER AWAY.>>WHO WON? [LAUGHTER] >>WHO LOST, IT’S BOTH THE MAJOR PARTIES. ON PRESENT FORM, THE POLLSTERS HAVE BEEN DEAD ON. THEY’RE BOTH GOING TO FINISH WITH LESS THAN THIRD OF A VOTE. BOTH OF THEM SHOULD TAKE SERIOUS LESSONS FROM THAT. PARTICULARLY THE CONSERVATIVES. IT’S FINE TO TALK ABOUT ANDREW SCHEER AS A LEADER, BUT IF YOU LOOK AT PLATFORM, THAT WAS A FAILURE OF VISION IN THE PLATFORM. THEY ARE STUCK IN THE BASE-FIRST STRATEGY. THEY DON’T TRY TO REACH OUT TO VOTERS THEY ALREADY HAVE, THEY JUST TRY TO GIN — >>Rosemary: YES, YES, THE CONSERVATIVES CAN’T GROW THEIR BASE.>>THE PROBLEM THE LIBERALS HAVE, THE VOTE ON THE LEFT IS SKITTERING ALL OVER THE PLACE. THE PROBLEMS THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE, THEY HAVE A SOLID BASE, BUT THEY CANNOT GROW IT AND THEY DON’T TRY.>>Rosemary: WHAT DO THEY DO TO TRY? WHY CAN’T THEY FOR GOD’S SAKE THINK ABOUT CARBON PRICING? WHY IS THAT THE BOOGEYMAN?>>THERE IS A WHOLE RANGE OF ISSUES WHERE THE CONSERVATIVES HAVE DECIDED THEY DON’T WANT TO APPEAL TO THE SMARTY PANTS, THE CENTRAL CANADIAN VOTE.>>Rosemary: URBAN.>>THAT KIND OF VOTERS. AND THAT IS FINE. THEY’RE GOING TO OWN THE OTHER VOTERS, BUT THERE ARE MORE PEOPLE IN THE CITIES THAN THE COUNTRIES. THERE IS A GROWING POPULATION AND IF THE CONSERVATIVES KEEP LOCKING THEMSELVES FROM THAT VOTE, THEY’RE GOING TO GET THE SAME RESULT.>>Rosemary: WE CAN CONFIRM THAT MAXIME BERNIER, THE LEADER OF THE PEOPLE’S PARTY OF CANADA HAS IN FACT LOST HIS SEAT TONIGHT. THE CONSERVATIVES STEALING IT AWAY WITH THEIR CANDIDATE. HE HAS WON BY 38.9% OF THE VOTE OVER 28.5. THERE YOU CAN SEE, MORE THAN 2000 VOTES. THE CONSERVATIVES TAKING THAT WAY FROM MAXIME BERNIER. PRETTY DEVASTATING FOR THE LEADER OF THAT PARTY, WHO REMEMBER, SLAMMED THE DOOR ON THE CONSERVATIVES AFTER LOSING THE LEADERSHIP. SAID THEY WERE MORALLY BANKRUPT. HE WAS GOING TO FORM HIS PARTY AND HAVE CANDIDATES ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND STICK IT TO THE CONSERVATIVES. DIDN’T WIN HIS OWN SEAT AND IS ONLY REGISTERING 1.6% OF THE VOTE FOR PEOPLE’S PARTY OF CANADA ACROSS THE ENTIRE COUNTRY. CORY?>>I’LL JUST QUICKLY COMMENT ON THAT. I THINK THAT’S GOOD NEWS FOR THE CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT WRIT LARGE. WE SPENT A GENERATION TRYING TO UNITE THE CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT AND TO HAVE IT START TO SPLINTER AGAIN IS SOMETHING THAT IS VERY UNHEALTHY FOR IT. THAT SAID, I THINK THERE SHOULD BE SOUL-SEARCHING AND REFLECTION AS TO HOW THAT SITUATION CAME TO BE AND TRY TO BRING THOSE FOLKS BACK INTO THE POLL. BECAUSE THEY’RE PARTY ACTIVISTS AND PEOPLE WHO ARE OF GOOD FAITH WHO WANT TO IMPROVE THE COUNTRY.>>Rosemary: IS THAT PARTY DEAD NOW?>>I THINK THAT’S IT FOR THE PEOPLE’S PARTY. IT MAKES IT HARDER FOR IT TO CONTINUE. IT MIGHT TAKE A LITTLE WHILE, BUT IT’S HARD IF YOU DON’T HAVE A SEAT IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS. WITH THAT SAID, ALL DUE RESPECT TO ANDREW’S COMMENT, I THINK THERE ARE LOTS OF EXAMPLES OF CONSERVATIVE PARTIES THAT DO REACH OUT BEYOND THAT BASE. AND I THINK ONE OF THE CHALLENGES IS HATING ON YOUR OPPONENT ONLY GETS YOU SO FAR IN THIS BUSINESS. YOU HAVE TO PRESENT A POSITIVE VIEW OF SOMETHING ELSE YOU’RE GOING DO. TALKING ABOUT DOUG FORD. LET’S TALK ABOUT THAT. KATHLEEN WYNNE WAS ONE OF THE MOST UNPOPULAR POLITICIANS IN THE HISTORY IN THIS PROVINCE. AND IF WE HAD JUST TALKED ABOUT HOW BAD SHE IS ON ELECTION, WE WOULD NOT HAVE ELECTED GOVERNMENT. AND WE WERE ELECTED IN THE 416, 905 AND PUT TOGETHER A SUBSTANTIAL MAJORITY. BUT YOU KNOW, JUST THE HATING ON THE OTHER GUY IS NEVER ENOUGH. I APPRECIATE THAT POINT. BUT I DON’T THINK THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY IS INHERENTLY TRYING TO ALIENATE THE SMARTY PANTS OR ANY OF THAT. I THINK THERE IS INTEREST IN GOOD FAITH TO REACH OUT TO EVERYONE, IT’S JUST SOME PEOPLE DO IT BETTER AND THE BETTER WAY IS THE WAY YOU WANT TO DO IT.>>Rosemary: FAIR TO SAY THAT DIDN’T HAPPEN. I CAN BRING IN THE TOTAL VOTES AND GIVE YOU A SENSE OF HOW MANY CANADIANS VOTED FOR THEM. BUT THAT IS THE PERENNIAL PROBLEM FOR THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY. IF YOU CANNOT EXPAND IT, ALL YOU CAN DO IS TRY TO DESTROY THE OTHERS. IF THAT DOESN’T WORK, YOU’RE STUCK.>>THIS SHOULD BE THE LAST ELECTION THAT ANY PARTY IN THIS COUNTRY BELIEVES IT CAN WIN WITHOUT HAVING A SERIOUS PLAN FOR CLIMATE CHANGE.>>Rosemary: I AGREE.>>IF THE ISSUE WAS BIGGER THAT YEAR THAN WHEN STÉPHANE DION LOST, IT WILL BE LARGER IN THE NEXT ELECTION. AND IF THE CONSERVATIVES DO NOT TAKE FROM WHAT HAPPENED TONIGHT THEIR FAILURE TO THRIVE, FOR SOME VOTERS THEY’RE NOT EVEN GETTING A HEARING BECAUSE OF THAT POSITION, THEN THEY WILL HAVE MORE NIGHTS LIKE TONIGHT.>>Rosemary: ALTHIA?>>A FEW THINGS. I THINK THAT MR. SCHEER COULD HAVE ADDRESSED A LOT OF THE HANDICAPS THAT HAPPENED IN THIS CAMPAIGN BY PREPOSITIONING HIMSELF, LIKE EXPLAINING HIS POSITION, ANTI-ABORTION POSITION OVER THE SUMMER. PERHAPS USING DIFFERENT LANGUAGE WITH SAME-SEX MARRIAGE. A LOT OF THEM LOOK TO THE TVA DEBATE AND SAID I DON’T SEE MYSELF IN YOUR PARTY. THE HANDICAP IS SO MANY PEOPLE IN ALBERTA DON’T BELIEVE THAT THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY SHOULD HAVE A CLIMATE PLAN. HOW MANY TIMES DID I GO DOOR KNOCKING IN CALGARY AND CHANGED THAT CLIMATE CHANGE, HUMANS CAUSE THAT, WE THINK ANDREW SCHEER IS TOO FAR ON THE LEFT ON THE ISSUE. AND ON THE P.P.C., THAT IS A MAXIME BERNIER PARTY. HE IS THE LEADER. THEY EMBRACED HIS PARTY PLATFORM.>>Rosemary: I GOT TO GO. I HAVE TO BRING NEWS. THE PRIME MINISTER FOR THE SECOND TIME, JUSTIN TRUDEAU, HAS BEEN RE-ELECTED IN PAPINEAU. GIVE HIM THAT WIN. HE’S BEEN ELECTED THERE FOUR TIMES. FIRST ELECTED 2008. HE IS THE LIBERAL LEADER SIX YEARS AGO. ANDREW CHANG.>>Andrew: LET ME GIVE YOU A SNAPSHOT OF HOW THE LIBERALS DID ACROSS THE COUNTRY. IT SHOWS THEIR PERFORMANCE. THEY’RE DOWN IN DOUBLE DIGITS IN EVERY SINGLE PROVINCE IN THE COUNTRY, EXCEPT ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC. PERHAPS WHERE IT MATTERED MOST. AND SO IF YOU’RE WONDERING HOW CAN THEY BE DOWN SO MUCH AND STILL MANAGED TO HOLD ONTO 153 SEATS, THE KEY TO STOPPING THE BLEEDING IN EFFECT, WAS THEIR PERFORMANCE IN ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC. AND CONVERSELY, THE CONSERVATIVES THEY NEEDED TO DO MUCH BETTER THIS THOSE TWO PROVINCES IN PARTICULAR. THEY ACTUALLY DID QUITE WELL, EITHER APPROACHING DOUBLE DIGITS OR EXCEEDING THEM IN EVERY OTHER PROVINCE IN THIS COUNTRY, OTHER THAN ONTARIO AND QUÉBEC. WHAT HAPPENED TO THE LIBERALS, YOU HAVE ALMOST A DEATH BY A THOUSAND CUTS, BUT IN NINE DIFFERENT PROVINCES. THEY’RE DOWN IN NEWFOUNDLAND, NOVA SCOTIA, DOWN IN QUÉBEC, DOWN IN ONTARIO, DOWN IN ALBERTA, DOWN IN BRITISH COLUMBIA.>>Rosemary: RIGHT, BUT NOT DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PLACES WITH THE MOST SEATS AS YOU SAY.>>Andrew: THAT’S RIGHT.>>Rosemary: IF YOU LOSE THE SAME POINTS IN MANITOBA, IT DOESN’T HAVE THE SAME DAMAGE. I WANT TO GO TO THE CANADA WATCH PARTY TO GET REACTION.>>SO WE’RE LOOKING AT A LIBERAL MINORITY GOVERNMENT. AND A SEA OF BLUE IN ALBERTA. ONE UNCONFIRMED N.D.P. SEAT AND I HAVE THE MAYOR OF CALGARY, NAHEED NENSHI, LOOK AT THE MAP, WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR ALBERTA? I’M SUPER HAPPY TO BE TALKING ABOUT IT, BECAUSE AS AN ALBERTAN I’M USED TO OTHER PEOPLE TALKING ABOUT ALBERTA. YOU WANT TO JUMP IN THIS, MARK? I DISAGREE WITH WHAT I HEARD FROM ALTHIA. THAT IS PART OF THE PROBLEM. ALBERTANS ARE UPSET BECAUSE AFTER HAVING BEEN THE ECONOMIC ENGINE FOR SO LONG IN THE COUNTRY, WE FEEL OUR ISSUES ARE IGNORED AND CARICATURED AS PEOPLE WHO DON’T BELIEVE IN CLIMATE CHANGE OR ANDREW SCHEER IS TOO LEFT. THAT’S NOT THE ISSUE AT ALL. THE COUNTRY IS FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS, EXCEPT ALBERTA. WE SAY GIVE US SOME HELP, SUPPORT OUR ENERGY SECTOR, GET THE PIPELINES BUILT INSTEAD OF JUST TALKING ABOUT IT SO MUCH. WE FEEL OFTEN WE’RE JUST SCREAMING INTO A VACUUM.>>BUT THE TRUDEAU LIBERALS HAVE BOUGHT A PIPELINE. IS THAT NOT ENOUGH TO GET ALBERTA ON SIDE?>>WELL, YOU KNOW, THE THING IS THAT A LOT OF FOLKS DON’T TRUST THEM. SOME CONSPIRACY THEORISTS SAY THEY BOUGHT THE PIPELINE JUST TO SHUT IT DOWN. IF THEY WANTED TO SHUT IT DOWN, THEY COULD HAVE SHUT IT DOWN. THE POINT IS, IT HASN’T BEEN BUILT YET AND YOU COMBINE THAT WITH BILL C-69, MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO BUILD ANY INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS, INCLUDING PIPELINES, IN THE FUTURE, YOU CAN SEE WHY PEOPLE ARE GETTING FRUSTRATED. WHAT NEEDS TO HAPPEN WITH THIS OUTCOME, A LOT OF PEOPLE WERE WORRIED ABOUT THIS EXACT OUTCOME IN ALBERTA BECAUSE THEY SAID, THIS WILL BE THE END OF TRANS MOUNTAIN. IT BETTER NOT BE BECAUSE THE CONSERVATIVES WON’T LET THAT HAPPEN. SO I THINK PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU IS GOING TO HAVE TO FIND HIS VOTES MOVING FORWARD ON THINGS THAT MATTER TO PEOPLE.>>MARK? EDITOR-IN-CHIEF OF SUN NEWS.>>WE HAVE TWO NEWSPAPERS IN ALBERTA AND TWO NEWSPAPERS IN ONTARIO. AND I THINK I CAN SAY THE PEOPLE IN ONTARIO BY AND LARGE REALLY DON’T GET IT. THEY REALLY — THE REASON –>>WHY DO YOU THINK THEY DON’T GET IT?>>BECAUSE NOBODY IS HEARING THEM HERE.>>THAT’S FAIR. YEAH, WE HAD SOMEBODY ON TALK RADIO YESTERDAY TALKING ABOUT LIBERAL STRATEGIST SAYING ALBERTA WHINES ALL THE TIME, IT’S ALWAYS BEEN LIKE THAT. NOT LIKE THIS. NOT EVER.>>AND WE LIKE TO COMPLAIN ALL THE TIME? WE’RE SECRETLY VERY PROUD OF BEING THE ENGINE OF CANADA AND BEING ABLE TO HELP OUT. AND WE’VE INVITED CANADIANS FROM EVERY TO ALBERTA FOR THAT OPPORTUNITY.>>THAT SOUNDS LIKE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE.>>BUT THERE IS CERTAINLY A FEELING NOW, IN OUR TIME OF NEED, EVERYONE SAYS WE’RE WHINING. AND THAT IS VERY DEEP AND VERY REAL. WE’VE GONE BACK TO THE ELECTORAL MAP PRE-2015. THERE IS NOT A HUGE CHANGE, BUT THERE IS SOMETHING MUCH DEEPER HERE THAT I CAN FEEL EVERY DAY AND IT’S GOING TO TAKE A LOT OF FRANK CONVERSATIONS TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO MOVE FORWARD.>>TALK TO ME ABOUT THE PERSPECTIVE FROM INDIGENOUS COMMUNITIES IN ALBERTA?>>WELL, SPEAKING OF FRANK CONVERSATIONS, I THINK THIS BLUE WAVE I THINK IS TROUBLING FOR MANY INDIGENOUS PEOPLE THAT ARE LOOKING FOR DEEP AND MEANINGFUL CONSULTATION ON TRANS MOUNTAIN. AND YOU KNOW, WE CAN SAY WHAT WE WANT ABOUT FREE, PRIOR AND INFORMED CONSENT, BUT THE TRUTH IS INDIGENOUS PEOPLE IN CANADA, WHETHER IT’S THIS PIPELINE OR ANY OTHER ISSUE, WE’RE ECONOMICALLY STARVED OUT OF THE REALITY IN CANADA. AND WE DON’T HAVE A CHOICE. SO, YES, THERE ARE SOME THAT HAVE CONCEPTED. THERE ARE — CONSENTED AND THERE ARE MANY THAT HAVEN’T. IF THIS IS THE MAKE-OR-BREAK ISSUE, THEN THIS COUNTRY OWES IT TO THE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE ON THE CORRIDOR OF THIS PIPELINE TO SLOW DOWN AND ENGAGE PROPERLY. [please stand by]>>I SEE THAT PEOPLE REALLY WERE LOOKING AT THE PLATFORM AND WHAT YOU’RE HEARING IS THAT CANADIANS WERE ENAMORED WITH THE LIBERAL PLATFORM MORE THAN THE CONSERVATIVE BUT IT WAS SUBSTANTIVE EXI THINK IT WAS A BAD JUDGMENT CALL TO BE FOCUSED ON LEADERSHIP RATHER THAN POLICY. CANADIANS WERE STARVED FOR SUBSTANCE. I THINK THAT’S THE MESSAGE THAT SINKS IN.>>Rosemary: THANKS FOR WEIGHING IN AND I WANT TO TELL YOU A COUPLE OF THINGS BEFORE I GO TO IAN. THE VOTE SHARE FOR THE LIBERALS AND CONSERVATIVES IS 33.8 FOR THE LIBERALS AND 3 3.9 FOR THE CONSERVATIVES. SO IF THAT’S NOT A TIE, I DON’T KNOW WHAT IS. CERTAINLY WE KNOW IT’S RESULTED IN MORE SEATS FOR THE LIBERALS BUT THE POLLS TURNED OUT TO BE MORE ACCURATE.>>Ian: ANDREW COYNE WAS TALKING ABOUT TRYING TO GET THE CENTRAL CANADIAN SMARTY-PANTS VOTE, AND MAYBE THEY WERE ABLE TO DO THAT. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT HOW THINGS ARE SHAPING UP, FIRST OF ALL, LOOKING AT THE MAP OF ONTARIO AND THEN DRILLING DOWN INTO THE CITY OF TORONTO AND YOU SEE A LOT OF RED THERE AND I WANT TO LOOK AT A COUPLE OF RIDINGS THAT THERE WERE SOME THOUGHTS, DIFFERENT TIMES IN THE CAMPAIGN AMONG THE N.D.P. THEY HOPED THEY WOULD BE ABLE TO PICK UP. THIS IS JACK LAYTON’S OLD RIDING AND FOR LOTS OF REASONS, THE N.D.P. WOULD LIKE TO HAVE WON THIS ONE AND PARKDALE ALSO A BIG LEAD IN A RIDING THAT — ACTUALLY ELECTED IN A RIDING THAT THE N.D.P. HAS WON IN THE PAST BUT WON’T TONIGHT.>>Rosemary: THE N.D.P., SO THEY WERE DOWN FROM 44 NOWS TO 24 SEATS. THE VOTE SHARE IS DOWN 5% AND WE’LL TALK MORE ABOUT WHETHER THAT IS GOOD AT ALL. DAVID COCHRAN.>>David: THE RIDING IN DAVENPORT IS THE BEST HOPE FOR WINNING A SEAT THIS TORONTO. BUT RIGHT NOW 188 VOTES BEHIND IN A REMATCH AND THEY SQUARED OFF IN 2015, AND LEADS LIKE THAT THEY SEPARATE AWAY AND LOOK, THE N.D.P. 25 ON THE BOTTOM OF THE SCREEN. IT’S MORE OF A SINGH STAGE, SOMEWHERE IN THE LOW 20S, BUT NOWHERE NEAR THE PROJECTIONS OF 35 AND 40 SEATS.>>Rosemary: I THINK JASMEET SINGH HAD BEEN THERE TO THAT RIDING IN PARTICULAR TWO, THREE TIMES, I WANT TO SAY BECAUSE ANDREW CASH IS A STRONG CANDIDATE BUT IF THEY CAN’T PUT BACK A SEAT, THAT’S NOT GOOD.>>MARKETDOWN IS SHOWING THAT TONIGHT.>>Rosemary: TO HANNAH THIBEDEAU IN BURNABY, BRITISH COLUMBIA, AND WHAT ARE PEEPING PEOPLESAYING ABOUT THIS? THE VOTE SHARE IS DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND YEAH, IF YOU START OFF WITH LOW EXPECTATIONS, THIS DOESN’T LOOK TERRIBLE TONIGHT BUT THIS IS A LOT LESS THAN TOM MULCAIR GOT WHEN HE WAS BOOTED OUT?>>Reporter: ABSOLUTELY, BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE NUMBERS, THEY WENT IN WITH 39 SEATS AND NOW LOOKING LIKE 25, IF I LOOK AT THE SCREEN, BUT IF YOU ADD THAT TO THE LIBERALS 157, THAT MEANS THAT THEY COULD HAVE A BALANCE OF POWER, IF THE LIBERALS WANT TO WORK WITH THEM ON CERTAIN THINGS. BUT WE HEARD FROM JASMEET SINGH EARLIER IN THE CAMPAIGN THAT HE LAID OUT HIS SIX PRIORITIES TO HELP AND THAT INCLUDES FROM THE NATIONAL PHARMACARE PLAN, CELL PHONE AND INTERNET BILLS, AS WELL AS ACTION ON CLIMATE AND THOSE ARE THE TYPES OF THINGS, YOU LOOK AT THE TWO PLATFORMS, THE LIBERALS AND THE N.D.P., IT SEEMS LIKE IT COULD BE SOMETHING THOSE TWO PARTIES COULD WORK ON TOGETHER. SO I EXPECT THAT WHEN HE COMES OUT, THIS IS GOING TO BE A WIN FOR HIM. YES, WE WENT INTO THIS ELECTION CAMPAIGN SAYING HE MAY NOT MAINTAIN OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. THAT’S 12 SEATS IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS. HE’S GONE PASSED THAT, EXCEEDING THE EXPECTATIONS INTO THIS AND NOW WITH THAT TYPE OF POWER, IN A MINORITY SCENARIO, I THINK WHEN IT COMES TO JASMEET SINGH, HE’S GOING TO BE PRETTY HAPPY ABOUT THAT.>>Rosemary: HANNAH THIBEDEAU, AT HEADQUARTERS. I WANT TO ASK MEGAN. I WOULD IMAGINE TOM MULCAIR WOULD SAY, WELL, I GUESS HE’S GOT TO GO BECAUSE HE DID A LOT WORSE THAN I DID, TOUGH LUCK. WOULD THAT BE FAIR TO SAY?>>Megan: YOU KNOW, OBVIOUSLY I IMAGINE THE N.D.P. IS DISAPPOINTED. WE LOST SOME INTERESTING DYNAMIC M.P.S, BUT LIKE HANNAH SAID, I THINK THAT JAGMEET IS IN AN INTERESTING POSITION TO BE PROPOSITIONAL AND WORK WITH THE LIBERALS, FIGURE OUT HOW DO WE DO THIS AND HOW DO WE TAKE WHAT CANADIANS ARE TELLING US AND MAKE IT WORK? AND WHETHER IT’S HOUSING OR PHARMACARE OR ACTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE, IT WILL BE AN INTERESTING TIME ON ISSUES. I DON’T THINK IT WILL BE STANDING UP AND CHEST-BEATING. I THINK PEOPLE WILL SEE ACTION ON ISSUES, EXCITING.>>Rosemary: IF WE LOOK AT THE SCREEN THERE, THE LIBERALS HAVE CREPT UP TO 160. SO THEY ARE NOW IN A PLACE WHERE THEY DON’T REALLY NEED — THEY CERTAINLY DON’T NEED A COALITION AND THEY CAN LOOK AROUND FOR WHERE THEY WANT TO FIND SUPPORT. THEY DON’T HAVE TO LOOK TO THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS IF THEY DON’T WANT TO AND THEY MAY END UP WITH A CONSERVATIVE PARTY IN DISARRAY AND THAT WILL BUY THEM SUPPORT, AS WELL. HEATHER HAS SOME RESULTS. LOOK AT THIS.>>Heather: THIS IS NOT THE>>Rosemary: CHURCHILL RIVER IS THE LARGEST IN THE PROVINCE AND IT IS, IN FACT, LAST TIME THE CLOSEST RACE IN THE PROVINCE AND THE TWO MAIN CONTENDERS ARE FANTASTICALLY IMPRESS.>>Heather: A LEAD OF 72 VOTES AND THE CLOSEST RACE LAST TIME AND LOOKS LIKE IT’S CLOSE AGAIN BUT SHE’S TAKEN A LEAD OF CHIEF OF THE BE LAC LA RONGE AND IT’S QUITE A LEAD. IF THAT IS THE ONE SPLASH OF RED, REGINA-WASCANA IS BLUE. THE CONSERVATIVES IN SASKATCHEWAN SAID WE ALL WANT TO BEAT HIM. HE’S ANSWERING FOR ENERGY POLICY AND SNC-LAVALIN, WESTERN ABANDONMENT, JUST GENERAL ANTI-TRUDEAU SENTIMENT AND THERE’S BEEN A BIG THIRD-PARTY CAMPAIGN AGAINST HIM, NASTY BILLBOARDS SAYING SEND TRUDEAU A MESSAGE, VOTE RALPH GOODALE OUT. WE WON’T TAKE OUR EYES OFF THAT.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, HEDGE, HEATHER, LIBERALS WORRIED ABOUT RALPH GOODALE, TRYING HARD TO KEEP HIM, THE CONSERVATIVES ARE PULLING AWAY AND BOB, WHAT DO YOU MAKE OF WHAT’S HAPPEN THERE?>>WELL, RALPH WAS A DEPUTY LEADER WHEN I WAS INTERIM LEADER AND AN EXTRAORDINARY –>>Rosemary: HE HASN’T LOST YET.>>I SPOKE TO HIM TONIGHT AT 5:00 AND HE WAS READY FOR THE BATTLE. I THINK THE THING THAT’S INTERESTING ABOUT THAT RESULT AS OPPOSED TO OTHERS, THE N.D.P. VOTE IS VERY HIGH, 1500 PLUS RALPH’S VOTE AND THAT IS INTERESTING. I KNOW EVERYBODY TALKS ABOUT STRATEGIC VOTING, BAD IDEA, BAD IDEA, BAD IDEA. YOU HAVE TO, I THINK, UNDERSTAND WHAT THE CONSEQUENCES OF THIS ARE. WE HAVE LOST A FINE PERSON FOR SASKATCHEWAN AND I HOPE THE VOTE COMES BACK BUT A TERRIFIC GUY.>>Rosemary: REGULARLY CALLED THE MINISTER OF EVERYTHING IN OTTAWA.>>ABSOLUTELY. HE’S LIKE A PLAYER ON A BASEBALL TEAM AND YOU COULD PUT HIM INTO ANY POSITION AND ASK HIM TO DO ANYTHING.>>Rosemary: SOLVES ANY PROBLEM, YEP.>>HE’S AND EXTRAORDINARY PARLIAMENTARIAN.>>Rosemary: MAXIME BERNIER HAS LOST IN THE BEAUCE AND HIS POPULAR VOTE SHARE IS NOT GOOD EITHER. IT IS AROUND, I THINK, 1% ACROSS THE COUNTRY. HE HAD BEEN POLLING AT 2% SO THAT WOULD BE ABOUT RIGHT AND LET’S LISTEN IN TO MAXIME BERNIER IN THE BEAUCE LOSING HIS OWN SEAT TONIGHT. (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>TODAY, THE PEOPLE OF THE BEAUCE HAVE DECIDED TO PUT THEIR CONFIDENCE IN SOMEONE ELSE AND I ACCEPT WITH HUMILITY AND I WANT TO CONGRATULATE THE NEW MEMBER. I BELIEVE THAT THE PEOPLE OF THE BEAUCE HAVE DONE A GREAT JOB.>>MY HEART GOES OUT TO OUR 315 CANDIDATES ACROSS THE COUNTRY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>THERE’S COURAGE AND PASSION IN DEFENDING OUR PRINCIPLES. THE NASTY AND SHAMELESS ATTACKS FROM OUR OPPONENT, MAKING HUGE PERSONAL SACRIFICE TO OFFER AN ALTERNATIVE DIFFERENT FROM THAT ALL OF THE OTHER PARTIES. BUT WHAT THEY DID WAS NOT IN VEIN. WHAT WE MANAGED TO ACCOMPLISH IN ONLY ONE YEAR IS SPECTACULAR. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>WE HAD MORE THAN 315 CANDIDATES RUNNING ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND THEY SHOWED EXTRAORDINARY COURAGE AND PASSION IN DEFENDING OUR PRINCIPLES AND VALUES. THEY DID THAT DESPITE SHAMEFUL ATTACKS FROM OUR OPPONENTS. THEY MADE HUGE PERSONAL SACRIFICES IN ORDER TO OFFER CANADIAN VOTERS AN OPTION BASED ON PRINCIPLES, A DIFFERENT OPTION FROM ALL OF THOSE ON DISPLAY FROM THE OTHER PARTIES. AND THEY DIDN’T DO THIS FOR NOTHING. THEY BUILT THE FOUNDATIONS OF A MOVEMENT THAT IS ONLY GETTING STARTED. HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF CANADIANS GAVE THEIR SUPPORT TO THE PEOPLE’S PARTY TODAY. WE ARE THE PARTY THAT IS BUILDING THE FASTEST IN CANADA AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO GROW OVER THE NEXT MONTH AND YEARS.>>HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF CANADIANS SUPPORTED THE PEOPLE’S PARTY TODAY. WE ARE THE FASTEST GROWING PARTY IN CANADIAN HISTORY AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO GROW AND THE COMING MONTHS AND YEARS. THE ISSUES THAT WE RAISE DURING THIS ELECTION WILL NOT DISAPPEAR. (SPEAKING FRENCH)>>ON FAIR EQUALIZATION AND BIG GOVERNMENT POLICIES, TAXES, ALL THESE PROBLEMS WILL NOT DISAPPEAR. AND WE WILL BE THERE TO CRITICIZE THE GOVERNMENT AND OFFER BETTER SOLUTIONS. (SPEAKING FRENCH)>>THE QUESTIONS WE ROSE DURING THIS CAMPAIGN WILL NOT DISAPPEAR OVERNIGHT. UNCONTROLLED IMMIGRATION, END ALSO DEFICITS, UNFAIR EQUALIZATION, POLICIES OF INTERVENTION AND HIGH TAXES, ALL OF THOSE PROBLEMS WILL NOT DISAPPEAR. AND WE WILL BE THERE TO CRITICIZE THE NEXT GOVERNMENT AND OFFER BETTER SOLUTIONS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO FIGHT FOR LIBERTY, RESPONSIBILITY, EQUITY AND RESPECT. WE WILL BE STRONGER THE NEXT TIME. THIS IS ONLY A BEGINNING FOR THE PEOPLE’S PARTY OF CANADA.>>Rosemary: THAT’S MAXIME BERNIER RESPONDING TO THE HIS LOSSOF HIS OWN SEAT IN THE BEAU CEAND HE WAS SAYING THIS WAS THE BEGINNING OF A CONVERSATION, THAT THEY WILL HOLD THE GOVERNMENT IN CHECK, HARD TO SEE YOU WILL DO THAT, YOU HAVE ELECTED NO OTHER M.P.S AND THE CANDIDATES THAT DID MANAGE TO FIND, LOST ALL OF THEIR DEPOSITS, SO THEY MAY NOT BE THRILLED WITH YOU OR WORK FOR YOU, SO WE’LL SEE WHETHER THE CONSERVATIVES WANT TO REACH OUT TO THEM AND I’M GOING TO IAN NOW.>>Ian: LET’S GO TO ALBERTA. IT SEEMS LIKE HOURS AGO, ROSIE, WE WERE TALKING THE CONSERVATIVES COULD RUN THE PARTY THE WAY THE LIBERALS DID IN 2015 IN ATLANTIC CANADA AND LET’S LOOK TO SEE HOW THEY DID. BLUE ALMOST EVERYWHERE IN THE PROVINCE AND LET’S LOOK AT THE ONE RIDING IN THE PROVINCE WHERE WE DON’T HAVE A PROJECTED FINAL RESULT AND THAT IS EDMONTON-STRATHCONA, WHERE LINDA DUNCAN REPRESENTED THAT RIDING FOR A LONG TIME AND HER SUCCESSOR IS IN A STRONG LEAD BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR OUR DECISION DESK TO PROJECT HER AS THE WINNER. EARLY WE WERE TALKING ABOUT RALPH GOODALE, HOW TOUGH TO SELL THE POLICY AND NOW AS THE MINISTER OF NATURAL RESOURCES TO DO IT IN EDMONTON AND HE DIDN’T DO IT. TIM UPPEL WILL GO BACK TO OTTAWA AND HE WAS THE M.P. BEFORE AND HE WILL BE THE M.P. ONCE AGAIN FOR EDMONTON.>>Rosemary: THERE ARE TWO CABINET MINISTERS, SO HE HAS NOW BEEN DEFEATED AND RALPH GOODALE TRAILING AND DAVID WITH RESULTS THERE.>>David: THE TWO MAJOR POPULATION CENTRES. HERE IN CALGARY, KENT HEIR, WELL BEHIND AND FORMER CABINET MINISTER DEMOTED IS NOW DEFEATED BY THE CONSERVATIVES AND IN EDMONTON CENTRE, RANDY BLOSSUM, HE IS BEHIND BY 2,000 VOTES AND THIS CREATES AN INTERESTING INTERESTINGSCENARIO. THERE WAS A SEAT AT THE CABINET TABLE AND NOW A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT WITH NO ALBERTA REPRESENTATION IN THE GOVERNMENT WHATSOEVER.>>Rosemary: DUNCAN, WHAT DOES THAT MEAN THEN? IT MAKES JASON KENNEY’S LIFE EASIER BECAUSE HE HAS AN OPPONENT TO WORK OFF OF IT.>>YES, BUT I’M THINKING THIS IS WHAT EXACTLY ALBERTA VOTERS WAS HOPING WOULDN’T HAPPEN, A MINORITY LIBERAL GOVERNMENT WITH THE N.D.P. PROPPING THEM UP AND THE GREENS PROPPING THEM UP AND WHAT NAHEED NENSHI WERE TALKING ABOUT, DEBATING THE PIPELINE AND THIS WILL BE A CENTRAL ISSUE AND IT WILL BE A MAKE-OR-BREAK ISSUE FROM THE RESPECT OF MANY ALBERTANS. IT WILL BE A FRUSTRATING EVENING FOR THE BLUE PROVINCE EVER ALBERTA. WHEN I WAS THERE YESTERDAY, I WAS TALKING WITH ALBERTANS COMING UP TO ME AND TALKING ABOUT WEXIT, WHICH SOUNDS — I MEAN, IT SOUNDS EXTREME, BUT IN OTHER PARTS OF CANADA, THEY MAY NOT UNDERSTAND THE DEPTH OF THE FRUSTRATION AND THE ECONOMIC DOWNTURN IN ALBERTA RIGHT NOW.>>Rosemary: THE PRIME MINISTER DID GO TO CALGARY AS A PART OF HIS LAST DITCH EFFORT TO TRY TO SHOW ALBERTA THAT HE WILL PAY ATTENTION AND NOW HAS TO DO THAT EVEN MORE IF HE HAS NO REPRESENTATION AND I KNOW ALTHEA AND — OK, CHANTAL.>>Chantal: I UNDERSTAND THE CONCERNS ON THE TRANS MOUNTAIN ISSUE. THAT BEING SAID AND FOR ALL I KNOW ABOUT THE DYNAMICS OF MINORITY POLITICS, IT’S NOT THAT SIMPLE THAT THE GREENS AND THE N.D.P. AND THE BLOC COULD SAY, YOU NEED TO STOP THE EXPANSION OR WE’LL BRING YOU DOWN. BECAUSE IF IT EVER CAME TO A VOTE, IT’S NOT A VOTING ISSUE, BY THE WAY.>>Rosemary: NO, IT’S NOT.>>Chantal: IF IT CAME TO A CONFIDENCE VOTE, THE CONSERVATIVES WOULD VOTE WITH THE LIBERALS. SO IT’S NOT IN PLAY AS A RESULT OF THIS ELECTION.>>Rosemary: NO, YOU WOULD HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO MAKE IT IN PLAY BECAUSE IT’S A DONE DEAL AND I DON’T KNOW HOW YOU BACK OUT.>>THIS CREATES AN INTERESTING PROBLEM FOR THE PRIME MINISTER. WITHOUT RALPH GOODALE FOR A WESTERN MINISTER, DOES HE PICK SOMEBODY IN THE SENATE TO REPRESENT WESTERN INTEREST? THAT BARGAIN HE GAVE TO CANADIANS IN 2015, THE ENVIRONMENT AND THE ECONOMY WENT HAND-IN-HAND DOESN’T SEEM TO BE REFLECTED IN THE 2019 MAP. AND I WENT DOOR-KNOCKING IN CALGARY CENTRE AND SO MANY PEOPLE WHO VOTED LIBERAL IN 2015 SAID WE CANNOT VOTE LIBERAL AGAIN. PEOPLE WHO THOUGHT THEY MIGHT VOTE LIBERAL, EVERY SINGLE PERSON REFUSED TO GIVE THEIR NAME. THEY WERE AFRAID TO IDENTIFY THEMSELVES EITHER WITH A SIGN. ONE WOMAN SAID HER HOME WAS VANDALIZED WHEN SHE IDENTIFIED HERSELF AS AN N.D.P. SUPPORTER. THERE’S A GROUP THINK, I THINK, THAT THERE’S AFRAID OF IDENTIFYING THEMSELVES TO THEIR NEIGHBOURS. THAT BEING SAID, I WAS WITH THE PRIME MINISTER, THE LIBERAL LEADER AS WE CALLED HIM TWO DAYS AGO IN CALGARY AND 1,000 PEOPLE CAME OUT. SO OUR SYSTEM DOES NOT REFLECT WHAT PEOPLE VOTE FOR.>>Rosemary: AND EVEN BIGGER THAN THAT, IF YOU LOOK AT THE HUGE CLIMATE RALLY IN EDMONTON AT THE LEGISLATURE JUST A FEW DAYS AGO WHERE THOUSANDS OF PEOPLE APPEARED, I KNOW MANY OF THEM WERE YOUNG BUT I THINK IT SHOWS SOMETHING ABOUT WHAT’S HAPPENING IN ALBERTA. I HAVE TO GET TO ANDREW AND THEN KIM IN EDMONTON.>>I ACCEPT WE’RE UNLIKELY TO SEE PROPORTIONAL REPRESENTATION, BUT I WONDER HOW MANY TIMES WE’LL PLAY RUSSIAN ROULETTE WITH THE COUNTRY’S FUTURE. WHAT WE GET IS THE WEST IS SOLIDLY BLUE AND 20% OF THE POPULATION IN THE WEST THAT VOTES LIBERAL AND DOES NOT GET THE REPRESENTATION. THE GREENS GOT ROUGHLY THE SAME NUMBER OF VOTES AS THE BLOC BUT A TENTH OF THE SEATS AND WE’RE CREATING A FUNHOUSE DISTORTION OF WHAT THE COUNTRY LOOKS LIKE. WE HAVE DEEP ENOUGH DIVISIONS AS IT IS, BUT OUR SYSTEM MAKES IT LOOKS WORSE AND OVER REWARDS PARTIES THAT GROUP THEIR VOTE ON REGIONAL GRIEVANCES AND WE REAP WHAT WE U.S.A. SOW.>>Rosemary: I WANT TO GO TO KIM WHO IS IN EDMONTON, ALBERTA AND SHE LIVES AN AS ALBERTAN AND KIM, HOW ARE THEY RESPONDING TO THIS MAP TONIGHT?>>Reporter: WELL, ROSEMARY, THEY WERE HAPPY WHEN A LIBERAL GOVERNMENT WAS DECLARED BUT CLEARLY DISAPPOINTED BUT IT DOESN’T LIKE LIKE SOJI WHO WAS THE INCUMBENT, THE NATURAL RESOURCE’S MINISTER WILL BE RETURNING AS A MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT. IT’S BEEN A DIFFICULT CAMPAIGN FOR SOJI, BECAUSE EVEN THOUGH HE’S WELL KNOWN IN THE RIDING AND A THREE-TERM CITY COUNCILLOR, A BUS DRIVER AND M.P. AND CABINET MINISTER, HE WORE SOME UNPOPULAR BILLS, THE BILLS WITH THE TANKER BAND AND THE OVERHAUL OF THE REGULATORY SYSTEM OF LARGE INDUSTRIAL PROJECTS AND, OF COURSE, THE TRANsMOUNTAIN PIPELINE PROJECT, THE EXPANSION, THE HALTING OF IT AND THE CONSULTATION. SO SOJI KIND OF WORE THAT WHOLE THING CONTRIBUTING TO THE HOSTILITY, ACTUALLY, THAT WAS FELT ON THE DOORSTEP. I TALKED TO PEOPLE HERE THAT SAID PEOPLE WERE RELUCTANT TO TAKE SIGNS, SPEAKING TO WHAT ALTHEA WAS TALKING ABOUT, AND DIDN’T WANT TO CLARIFY AS LIBERAL SUPPORTERS AND TALK THAT MAYBE THEY’RE SUPPORTERS DID NOT COME OUT. THERE IS NOT A LOT OF LOVE IN JUSTIN TRUDEAU IN A LOT OF AREAS OF ALBERTA, ACTUALLY, AND CLEARLY RELATED TO ENERGY ISSUES, THE FEELING OF ALIENATION AND NOT PAID ATTENTION TO.>>Rosemary: THAT WILL BECOME ALL THE MORE DIFFICULT WITH THE MAP AS IT LOOKS. KIM IS AT SOJI’S HEADQUARTERS WHERE HE LOST AND DAVID COCHRAN HAS RESULTS.>>David: THE LIBERAL’S WOES HAVE BUSTED THROUGH. THIS WAS A SURPRISE WIN, QUAD QUADRUPLED THAT VOTE. IF YOU’RE LOOKING FOR A TRUE VOTER TO MINORITY SEATING, IT’S KELOWNA LAKE. HEAVY ADVANCED POLLING. 25,000 VOTES, I BELIEVE, AND 600 VOTE LEAD OVER SIDHOU WITH 20 POLLS. SOUTH SURREY WHITEROCK, THE SUBURBS OF VANCOUVER, GORDY HOGE WON THAT AND ONE MORE TO SHOW YOU, LOOK AT THIS, VANCOUVER-GRANDVILLE, 150 VOTES FROM FIRST TO VOTE, ZACH SEAGUL OVER TALIB AND REPLACING JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD IN THIRD PLACE RUNNING AS AN INDEPENDENT AND ALL ABOUT THE SPLITS AND A THAT ONE WILL GO DOWN TO THE FINAL POLLS.>>Rosemary: THAT WILL BE INTERESTING TO WATCH BECAUSE IF THE LIBERALS COULD GET RID OF MISS WILSON-RAYBOULD, THEY WOULD APPRECIATE THAT, THAT’S FAIR TO SAY, RIGHT? I THINK THERE’S BITTERNESS THERE SO THEY’LL BE WATCHING TO SEE HOW THAT UNFOLDS AND IAN MORE RESULTS — NO, VASSY. YOU’RE NOT IAN AT ALL. [ Laughter ]>>Vassy: IN ALBERTA, AND N NAHEED NENSHI, PUTTING STRATHCONA ASIDE, IT’S MORE THAN JUST A PROBLEM FOR THE PRIME MINISTER. THIS WEXIT THING IS NOT JUST A JOKE. THE FEELINGS OF FRUSTRATION ARE, I DON’T THINK, PERCEIVED BY PEOPLE IN THIS PART OF THE COUNTRY TO THE DEPTH THERE. IN THIS SITUATION, THEY WILL NOT FEEL REPRESENTED IN GOVERNMENT, IN MUCH OF ANY CAPACITY IS NOT GOING DO ANYTHING BUT FURTHER DIVISIONS THAT EXIST.>>Rosemary: YOU HAVE TO FIND A SOLUTION TO THAT.>>Vassy: HE WILL, BUT I DON’T KNOW IF THAT EXISTS FOR THE LIBERALS AND ALBERTANS AND THAT’S A HEARTBREAKING SITUATION IF YOU THINK FROM A NATIONAL UNITY. I KNOW WE’VE BEEN IN DARKER PLACES, YOU IT IS MORE PRONOUNCED. ON THE N.D.P., THAT IS NOT A GREAT OUTCOME FOR THEM AT THIS POINT. THEY WERE HOPING FOR AN ACTUALL->>Rosemary: THEY HAVE NO URBAN RIDING. THEY HAVE NOT BROUGHT BACK ANY RIDINGS THEY ARE SEEKING AND NOT PULLING OUT ALL OF THE STOPPING AND ARE LEADING IN ONE SEAT IN QUEBEC. I AGO. I THINK THIS IS A HARD NIGHT FOR JASMEET SINGH AND BECAUSE YOU START OFF NOWHERE AND GET TO 23, HOW DO YOU KEEP THEM? DO YOU KEEP THEM BECAUSE YOU HOPE IT WILL GET BETTER?>>Vassy: HIS PERFORMANCE DID CAPTIVATE A LOT OF VOTERS AND I THINK — AND I’M NOT AN EXPERT ON THIS, WE’LL BE LOOKING AT THE MESSAGE THE LIBERALS HAD AND THAT IS DON’T VOTE FOR THEM BECAUSE IT WILL KEEP THE LIBERALS IN. I DON’T KNOW IF THE SURGE CAME TO LATE OR EXAGGERATED BUT I KNOW THAT OUTCOME IS NOT ONE THAT THEY WERE HOPING FOR.>>Rosemary: I REALIZE MOST OF HIS SEATS IN QUEBEC TRANSFERRED FROM THEM TO THE BLOC AND I THINK IT IS FAIR TO ASK WHETHER QUEBEC WAS READY FOR A PERSON OF COLOUR TO BE LEADING A PARTY AND WHETHER THAT WAS AN ISSUE ACROSS THE COUNTRY. I DON’T KNOW. I THINK IT’S A QUESTION WE HAVE TO START ASKING.>>Chantal: WHEN THOMAS MULCAIR WAS FIRED, NONE OF THE CANDIDATES RAN FOR THE LEADERSHIP OF THE N.D.P., HAD TO SHOW UP AS KEEPING THE N.D.P. ALIVE IN QUEBEC. AND UP TO A POINT, SINGH PROBABLY CONTRIBUTED MORE TO ENRICHING THE CONVERSATION IN QUEBEC BY BEING WHO HE WAS THAN ANY OF THE OTHER THREE. SO I DON’T THINK THAT THE BLOC TONIGHT HATE THE LIBERALS AND THE N.D.P. THE EASIEST WOULD BE THE N.D.P. BUT HOW MANY CAMPAIGNS DID JACK LAYTEN RUN BEFORE HE BECAME A MIRACLE WORKER? THREE?>>Rosemary: I AGREE, BUT WE’RE SENDING A MESSAGE ABOUT TOM MULCAIR WAS NOT AN N.D.P.ER AND JASMEET SINGH IS AND THAT’S WHY THEY’RE STICKING WITH HIM LONGER. NOW.>>A COUPLE OF THINGS. THE FIRST ONE IS THAT THE SITUATION WITH RESPECT TO THE RESOURCE-RICH PROVINCES IS SERIOUS. BECAUSE I THINK EVERYBODY HAD THE INTENTION OF SAYING WE’LL BUILD A PIPELINE AND WE’RE GOING TO ENGAGE SERIOUSLY ON CLIMATE CHANGE. WE’LL DO BOTH AND I DON’T THINK YOU WOULD HAVE TO SAY THE EXECUTION WITH RESPECT TO BUILDING THE PIPELINE HAS NOT BEEN GREAT, FOR ALL KINDS OF REASONS AND WE HAVE TO WORK AT THAT. THE WHOLE COUNTRY HAS TO UNDERSTAND THAT THESE PROJECTS HAVE TO TAKE ON A NATIONAL ELEMENT THAT THEY HAD NOT HAD AT THE MOMENT. THE SECOND THING IS THAT I THINK IT WOULD BE A TERRIBLE MISTAKE FOR PEOPLE TO START QUESTIONING LEADERSHIP. I WOULD SAY EITHER OF ANDREW SCHEER OR JASMEET SINGH.>>Rosemary: WHY?>>IT’S THEIR FIRST ELECTION AND JASMEET SINGH, IN MY OPINION, DID FAR BETTER THAN ANYONE EXPECTED HIM TO DO AT THE BEGINNING THE CAMPAIGN AND I THINK HE HAS A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT TO CONTRIBUTE TO OUR LIFE AND I DON’T AGREE WITH ANDREW SCHEER BUT HE’S HAD ONE CAMPAIGN AND YOU CAN’T KEEP EATING PEOPLE ALIVE AFTER THEY’VE HAD ONE ELECTION.>>Rosemary: I HAVE TO PUT THIS ON HOLD BUT FIRST I HAVE TO SHOW YOU THIS RESULT BECAUSE WE HAVE ONE OF THE CANDIDATES STANDING BY. IN MILTON, IT WAS STOLEN AWAY FROM LISA RAITT AND IT’S NOT A BEER GLASS BUT A WATER GLASS WITH DAVID COMMON AND DAVID, OVER TO YOU AND THE NEW M.P. TO COME.>>David: CONGRATULATIONS, YOU’VE WON THE MEDALS AT THE OLYMPICS AND YOU WON A SEAT IN PARLIAMENT. HOW DOES IT FEEL?>>IT FEELS GOOD. I KNOW YOU FROM THE OLYMPICS BECAUSE WE WORKED AT THE OLYMPICS TOGETHER.>>David: YOU WERE A LITTLE MORE FIT, AS I RECALL. AND YOU’VE WON IN A RACE THAT SEEMED TO BE A CLOSE ONE, EXPECTED TO BE A LOT CLOSER AND WHAT DO YOU THINK MADE THE DIFFERENCE FOR YOU?>>PREPARATION, LIKE ANYTHING, RIGHT?>>David: GET OUT THE VOTE.>>YES, ALWAYS A CONSTELLATION OF FACTORS. WE LINED UP MOST OF THE THINGS WE WANTED TO DO REALLY WELL AND WE HAD A REALLY GOOD TEAM, SEBASTIAN CLARK IS AMAZING, MY CAMPAIGN MANAGER, JEFF CARPENTER, AMAZING. EVERYONE I’VE WORKED WITH OVER THE PAST YEAR HAS BEEN TOP-NOTCH. THIS IS A CAMPAIGN THAT WILL>>LISA IS A GOOD M.P. AND I HAVE THE UTMOST RESPECT FOR HER AND I HOPE WE CAN TALK ABOUT A LITTLE BIT OF PLANNING AND IMPORTANT. WHEN I WAS ON BOARDS, IT WAS A GOOD IDEA TO MAKE SURE THERE WAS A PLAN IN PLACE. THIS IS A QUICKLY GROWING COMMUNITY.>>David: FASTEST IN THE COUNTRY.>>I’VE LIVED HERE VIRTUALLY MY WHOLE LIFE AND THIS IS AN AWESOME PLACE TO LIVE. MY DOG LIKES GOING TO RATTLESNAKE POINT IN THE MORNING AND IT’S A GREAT PLACE TO WORK AND LIVE AND I’M PROUD THAT MILTON CHOSE ME TO GO TO OTTAWA ON THEIR BEHALF.>>David: ENJOY THE PARTY. A FORMER MEDALIST.>>Rosemary: I WOULD OFFER THE ADVICE NOT TO CALL LISA RAITT RIGHT AWAY, LET HER DEAL WITH THE GRIEF AND SEE HOW IT GOES. WE HAVE ANOTHER LEADER TO ELECT RIGHT NOW AND IT IS ELIZABETH MAY. ELIZABETH MAY HAS BEEN ELECTED AS M.P. FOR SAANICH-GULF ISLANDS AND CAN CONFIRM SHE CAN HANG AROUND AND THERE IS NO DOUBT HER SEAT WOULD BE HELD TONIGHT AND PETER ASKED FOR A MINUTE AND OVER TO YOU.>>Peter: JUST A MINUTE. [ Laughter ]>>Peter: TWO THINGS ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU. ONE, THOSE TWO BIG HOLES IN HIS GOVERNMENT, SASKATCHEWAN AND ALBERTA, AS BOB RICE SAID, THAT’S A HUGE PROBLEM, GIVEN THOSE TWO HUGE RESOURCED-BASED PROVINCES. THE SPEECH COMING UP IS A BIG SPEECH FOR HIM AND HE’S GOT TO ADDRESS THAT AND IN SOME FASHION, TO TRY TO CONNECT WITH THE PEOPLE OF ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN. AND SECOND, AND WE HAVEN’T REALLY TALKED ABOUT IT, JUSTIN TRUDEAU HAS HAD A TERRIBLE LAST YEAR AND A HALF, STARTING WITH THAT INDIA TRIP AND EVERYTHING RIGHT THROUGH.>>Rosemary: SNC-LAVALIN, YES.>>Peter: AND THEN BROWNFACE, BLACKFACE AND HE’S PRIME MINISTER AT THE END OF THE NIGHT. HE’LL WIN 157 SEATS OR WHATEVER. THAT’S NOT SMALL ACCOMPLISHMENT GIVEN WHAT HE’S BEEN UP AGAINST.>>Rosemary: SO THAT WOULD REFLECT BACK TO SOME OF THE THINGS THAT CONSERVATIVES HAVE SAID TO ME OVER THE COURSE OF THE CAMPAIGN AND I’M SURE VASSY HEARD THEM, TOO, IF YOU CAN’T TAKE DOWN A GUY WHO HAS HAD A DIFFICULT SIX OR SEVEN MONTHS, WHERE WOULD YOUR OPPORTUNITY BE. THERE WERE OBVIOUSLY WEAKNESSES HERE. EITHER THE STRATEGY FAILED OR ANDREW SCHEER WOULD NEVER BE ABLE TO DO IT OR WHAT IS IT ISSUE?>>CLEARLY, WHETHER THERE’S A LEADERSHIP REVIEW OR NOT AND I UNDERSTAND POINTS THAT THE PREMIER RAITT WAS MAKING, THERE’S A CASE TO HAVING A LEADER STAY ON BUT WHATEVER HAPPENS AND ALL OF THOSE LEADERSHIP QUESTIONS, THOSE WILL BE DECIDED. OBVIOUSLY THERE WERE PROBLEMS WITH THE CAMPAIGN AND I THINK HAVING A BALLOT QUESTION ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU, NOT AS ADVERTISED, AND THEN NOT REALLY FULL AND FRANK ABOUT YOUR CITIZENSHIP, ABOUT YOUR RESUME AND YOUR ANSWERS TO SOCIAL ISSUES, THOSE ARE THE KINDS OF THINGS WHEN YOU DRAW A CONTRAST AROUND SOMETHING LIKE THAT WITH YOUR OPPONENT, YOU’RE ALSO DRAWING IT WITH YOURSELF.>>Rosemary: THESE ARE ALL EXCELLENT BUT HEATHER HAS A BIG RESULT. HEATHER?>>Heather: YES. [ Laughter ]>>Rosemary: LONG NIGHT.>>Heather: FINAL NUMBERS FOR RALPH GOODALE. REGINA-WASCANA, MICHAEL CRAB IS THE GIANT KILLER WITH 9,031 VOTES.>>Rosemary: I’LL CUT YOU OFF BECAUSE RALPH GOODALE IS TALKING AND THEN WE’LL COME BACK TO YOU. IF WE HAVE AUDIO. THERE WE GO.>>SHAWN IS RIDING PRESENT AND MOST RECENTLY CAMPAIGN MANAGER AND MAC AND THE OTHER SEAN AND SYBLE AND I’LL GET IN AWFUL TROUBLE IF I LIST OFF THOSE NAMES AND YOU’LL FORGIVE ME IF I DON’T GO FURTHER DOWN THE LIST BUT I WANT YOU TO KNOW THAT WHEN YOU GET INTO A POLITICAL CAMPAIGN, YOU DEVELOP A VERY CLOSE BONDING AND IT’S INTENSE FOR THOSE 40 DAYS OF AN ELECTION CAMPAIGN BUT I HAVE BEEN SO FORTUNATE THAT IT’S NOT JUST A 40-DAY TEMPORARY THING. I HAVE GAINED FROM THIS EXPERIENCE AND FROM ALL OF THE OTHER CAMPAIGNS THAT HAVE GONE BEFORE, A HUGE BODY OF DEEP PERSONAL FRIENDS AND I WANT YOU TO KNOW WHATEVER TRANSPIRES IN THE FUTURE, THAT I WILL ALWAYS TREASURE VERY, VERY, VERY DEEPLY THOSE PERSONAL FRIENDSHIPS AND THE BONDS THAT HAVE TIED US TOGETHER. BECAUSE THEY HAVE BEEN BUILT OUT OF MUTUAL RESPECT AND TRUST, COMMITMENT TO PRINCIPLES AND IDEALS, LEAVING, AS THEY SAY IN FOOTBALL, LEAVING IT ALL ON THE FIELD, NEVER SPARING AN OUNCE OF EFFORT, ALWAYS BEING WILLING, ALL OF US TOGETHER, TO GO THE EXTRA MILE, TO TRY VERY HARD TO ACCOMPLISH THAT LITTLE BIT MORE FOR THE PEOPLE THAT WE HAD THE DUTY AND THE OBLIGATION TO REPRESENT IN THIS RIDING. I THANK THEM FOR THE MANDATES THAT THEY HAVE GIVEN ME IN THE PAST AND I THANK ALL OF YOU AND ALL OF THE OTHER VOLUNTEERS THAT YOU REPRESENT FOR WORKING SO VERY HARD TO MAKE THAT POSSIBLE OVER THE LAST 26 YEARS. AND FROM THIS DAY FORWARD, LET’S REMEMBER THAT ANY ONE CAMPAIGN IS ONLY TEMPORARY. THERE WILL BE NEW CHALLENGES TO FACE IN THE WEEKS AND MONTHS AND YEARS AHEAD AND THERE WILL BE OPPORTUNITIES FOR ALL OF US, NOT JUST TO CELEBRATE OUR FRIENDSHIP AND CELEBRATE VICTORIES ELSEWHERE, BUT TO ALSO REASSEMBLE TO CELEBRATE THE REJUVENATION, RECOVERY AND VICTORY ONCE AGAIN OF THE LIBERAL CANDIDATES IN REGINA-WASCANA.>>Rosemary: THERE’S RALPH GOODALE LOSING HIS SEAT AND A CLASS-ACT, I THINK IT’S FAIR TO SAY AND HE HAS ALWAYS BEEN. HE WAS THE PUBLIC SAFETY MINISTER, FIRST ELECTED TO PARLIAMENT IN 1974 AS THE OWN MEMBER TO HAVE SERVED WITH P PIERRE TRUDEAU AND FIRST IN LINE AFTER THE PRIME MINISTER TO ASSUME DUTIES IF SOMEONE HAPPENED TO THE PRIME MINISTER, WHICH IS A CRITICAL ROLE AND HE WAS THE CAMPAIGN COCHAIR, PART OF THE BRAIN TRUST THAT CRAFTED THE PLATFORM THAT HAS GOTTEN THEM BACK INTO GOVERNMENT. BUT MOSTLY, AND I’LL GO TO MEGAN AND BOB ON THIS, MOSTLY ONE OF THOSE MOMENTS, MEGAN, WHERE YOU THINK OF THEIR CAREER AND THEY’VE LOST THEIR JOB. IT’S PART OF POLITICS AND THAT’S WHY YOU DON’T SEE RALPH GOODALE UP THERE SOBBING BECAUSE HE’S BEEN UP THERE LONG ENOUGH TO KNOW THAT’S WHAT HAPPENS. IT DOESN’T MAKE IT ANY EASIER FOR LIBERALS, ANY EASIER FOR HIM.>>Megan: IT CAN HURT AND THERE CAN BE TEARS BECAUSE YOU PUT A LOT OF YOUR PERSONAL SELF INTO IT. I DON’T WANT TO SAY IT’S POLITICS BECAUSE THAT’S THE WAY IT WORKS. YOU HAVE TO PUT A LOT OF SKIN IN THE GAME AND SOMETIMES IT WILL WORK OUT AND SOMETIMES IT WON’T. RALPH HAS SEEN A LOT OF HIS FRIENDS LOSE SEATS AND MAYBE WIN AGAIN IN FUTURE ELECTIONS. I THINK IT IS ASHAME TO LOSE HIM AND HIS VOICE IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS AND THERE ARE A FEW OTHERS, LISA RAITT. I THINK EVEN THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY LOSING HER VOICE IS A REALLY IMPORTANT THING FOR US TO THINK ABOUT AND WHAT THAT MEANS, YEAH.>>Rosemary: I’LL GO TO BOB, BECAUSE I WONDER, COULD YOU SOLVE THE LIBERAL PROBLEM IN THE WEST BY PUTTING A RALPH GOODALE IN THE SENATE? COULD YOU DO SOMETHING CRAZY LIKE THAT DIDN’T I BET YOU RALPH GOODALE WOULD BE OK WITH THAT?>>RALPH GOODALE HAS A TRANSFORM ABSOLUTEA LOT TO CONTRIBUTE. HE WAS PARLIAMENTARIAN OF THE YEAR AND HE WAS UP AGAINST A VERY DIFFICULT SITUATION AND HE LOST AN ELECTION. THERE’S NO SHAME IN THAT.>>Rosemary: NO.>>AN IMMENSE A LOT OF TALENT AND SEGACITY, WISDOM, THOUGHTFULNESS AND NEVER AFRAID TO TELL YOU, YOU KNOW, THAT WAS NOT VERY GOOD OR WHAT DID YOU DO THAT FOR BECAUSE YOU HAVE TO HAVE PEOPLE AROUND YOU WHO TELL YOU THOSE THINGS RATHER THAN SAY, YOU KNOW, EVERYTHING WAS FANTASTIC. SO I HOPE THAT RALPH — NOT JUST THAT RALPH LANDS ON HIS FEET BUT THE PEOPLE WHO MAKE A CONTRIBUTION LIKE HE’S MADE ARE RECOGNISED FOR WHAT THEY DO.>>Rosemary: IT’S NOT UNHEARD OF BECAUSE MICHAEL FORCHET, THEY WERE HAPPY TO PUT HIM INTO CABINET, IF I’M NOT MISTAKEN, RIGHT?>>THE PM MAY HAVE TO BE A LITTLE MORE ORTHODOX ABOUT HOW HE DID THE SENATE BECAUSE HE’LL HAVE TO FIGURE OUT PRACTICALITY THAT HAS TO PREVAIL.>>Rosemary: SURELY IF RALPH GOODALE SENDS IN AN APPLICATION, HE WOULD BE ACCEPTED. [ Laughter ]>>IT’S THE LIBERAL REPRESENTATIVE.>>Rosemary: I KNOW, BUT I’M COMING UP WITH IDEAS TO REPRESENT WESTERN CANADA. PETER?>>Peter: I STARTED COVERING RALPH WHEN HE FIRST STARTED AND HE LOST AND THIS ISN’T THE FIRST TIME HE LOST. HE LOST IN ’79 AND ’93 BEFORE HE CAME BACK BUT THERE WAS ANOTHER THING ABOUT HIS PUBLIC SERVICE THAT WE TEND TO FORGET. HE WAS SCAPEGOATED BY THE RCMP. THAT WAS IN THE MIDDLE OF THE ’06 ELECTION AND MAY VERY WELL HAVE COST THE LIBERALS THE ELECTIONS. WHEN THEY LAUNCHED AN INVESTIGATION IN THE MIDDLE OF THE CAMPAIGN INTO — I CAN’T REMEMBER WHAT IT WAS ABOUT.>>Rosemary: INCOME TRUST.>>THAT’S RIGHT. AND AFTER THE INVESTIGATION, WHICH WAS WELL AFTER THE ELECTION, WHICH THEY LOST, HE WAS PROVEN TO HAVE BEEN INCIDENT OF ALL CHARGES AGAINST HIM.>>Rosemary: THERE WAS IRONY THAT HE ENDED UP AS MINISTER OF PUBLIC SAFETY. I WANT TO GET SOMEONE TO WEIGH IN ON LISA RAITT BECAUSE SHE WAS BE THE EQUIVALENT WITH A LOSS OF THE PARTY BUT FIRST I WANT TO SHOW YOU THE DEPENDENT, LEADING IN A TIGHT RACE IN VANCOUVER-GRANDVILLE, JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD, PULLING AHEAD FROM THIRD TO FIRST, LEADING ONLY BY 199 VOTES. THIS ISN’T OVER YET AND IT’S VERY, VERY TIGHT IN THIS RACE AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH TO SEE WHAT HAPPENS. BUT LET’S TURN IT BACK BECAUSE WE HAVE HEARD FROM ADAM. LISA RAITT, A DEPUTY LEADER AND SOMEONE WHO COULD HAVE AT SOME POINT, PERHAPS, LEAD THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY AND THAT WOULD BE VERY UPSET ABOUT THAT IN THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY TONIGHT.>>Chantal: ONE WOULD HOPE THEY WOULD BE UPSET. SHE WAS PART OF THE PROGRESSIVE FACE AND THE BRIDGE-BUILDING THAT THEY NEED IF THEY’RE GOING TO EXPAND. IT WON’T BE GOOD ENOUGH TO GET BACK THE MAXIME BERNIER PEOPLE BUT THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN, WOULD I NEVER UNDERSTOOD IS WHY ANDREW SCHEER DID NOT RUN ADVERTISING ALONGSIDE AND IN PARTICULAR, LISA RAITT. HE HAD A WOMAN ISSUE IN THE PERCEPTION OF MANY VOTERS AND HE NEEDED TO SHOWCASE SOME OTHER COMPETENCE THAN JUST HIMSELF AND SHE WOULD HAVE BEEN SOMEONE YOU WANT TO SHOWCASE.>>Rosemary: PARTICULARLY AROUND THE ABORTION STUFF.>>Chantal: THEY DON’T HAVE TO LIKE EACH OTHER. SO THERE’S A LOT OF TALENT THAT WAS NOT USED PROPERLY AND THAT CONTRIBUTES TO A DEFEAT IF YOU’RE NOT GIVEN PROFILE.>>LISA RAITT DID A LOT OF THE PUBLIC SPEAKING FOR THE CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT AND CLEANED UP THE ABORTION MESS IN LATE AUGUST. SHE WAS ON CBC, THE HOUSE, AND ON ALL OF THE TALK SHOWS HOPING WITH THE WOMEN FRONT-I THINK LISA RAITT IS LIKE THIS YEAR’S MEGAN LESLIE. SHE THOUGHT THAT ADAM VANCOUVER DIDN’T WORK FOR THE PAST YEAR. APPARENTLY HE WAS ONE OF THE DOOR-KNOCKERS AND THAT HER RIDING HAD NOT CHANGED AND DIDN’T NEED TO WORRY ABOUT ALL OF THE BROWN PEOPLE LIVING IN THE SUBURBS AND WHAT HAS BECOME MILTON. AND SHE SPENT A LOT OF THAT SUMMER, ACTUALLY, IN NOVA SCOTIA, CAMPAIGNING FOR OTHER CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATES AND THEN CAME HOME AND THE MAN HAD LEAP-FROGGED AHEAD OF HER.>>I WOULD PICK UP ON BOTH POINTS THAT IT IS A BIG LOSS FOR A SCHEER-LEAD CONSERVATIVE PARTY. ANDREW SCHEER DID TRUST LISA RAITT AND YOU SAW THAT. SHE WAS VERY OFTEN THE PUBLIC FACE IS THE FIRST PERSON THEY PUT ON ANY PANEL OR ANY SCRUM WHEN IT CAME TO S.N.C., SHE WAS EFFECTIVE AT DELIVERING THEIR MESSAGE. THIS IS BIG FOR THE PARTY AS A WHOLE, PARTICULARLY THE PROGRESS PROGRESSIVE SIDE OF THINGS AND IT SHOWED THEY HAD AN ISSUE, PARTICULARLY ANDREW SCHEER WITH FEMALE VOTERS WHO WERE NOT NECESSARILY THRILLED WITH THE OTHER OPTIONS, NOT TO SAY THAT, BUT PARTICULARLY IF YOU’RE LOOKING AT BUILDING THE PARTY AND EXPANDING THE BASIS ANDREW TALKED ABOUT EARLIER, THIS IS AN IMPEDIMENT.>>Rosemary: SHE SUPER SMART ON ALL THINGS.>>LOOK, SHE’S CLEARLY A LOSS TO THE TEAM AND HER ABILITY TO COMMUNICATE, HER PUBLIC PROFILE. BUT I THINK, YOU KNOW, IT GETS TO SOME OF THE OTHER THINGS THAT ARE MAYBE A LOSS TO THE TEAM AND MAYBE CONTRIBUTING FACTORS TO THE THINGS WE’VE SEEN TONIGHT. THERE’S ONLY TWO OTHER, I THINK, LEADERSHIP RIVALS OF STATURE THAT ARE STILL IN CAUCUS. I GUESS SHE’S OUT NOW BUT WHO SURVIVED INTO THIS. BUT THE PERSON WHO GOT 49% OF THE VOTE IN THE LEADERSHIP WAS DRIVEN OUT OF THE PARTY. YOU HAVE A NUMBER — KELLY LEICH NOT IN THE PARTY. I THINK THERE’S A FENCE-BUILDING, BRIDGE-MENDING PROCESS THAT HAS TO GO ON AFTER ONE OF THESE RACES THAT IS INCLUSIVE AND HEALING THE PARTY AFTER A LOSS AND IS A BIG AND IMPORTANT THING.>>Rosemary: LISA RAITT IS STANDING BY WITH OUR REPORTER AND LET’S GET REACTION. LISA?>>Reporter: ABSOLUTELY. A BIG UPSET HERE IN MILTON TONIGHT WITH ADAM AND EDGING OUT INCUMBENT, LISA RAITT AND I AM WITH LISA RIGHT NOW AND LISA, HOW ARE YOU FEELING AFTER IN IN.>>I SERVED MILTON FOR 11 YEARS AND A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO NEVER MAKE IT INTO THE HOUSE OF COMMONS AND I HAVE BEEN SO PRIVILEGED TO BE THERE. SO IT’S NOT THE WIN THAT WE WANTED TO HAVE THIS EVENING, BUT I’M AMONGST MY FRIENDS AND FAMILY AND EVERYBODY THAT’S WITH ME AND WE’LL TURN IT INTO A CELEBRATION, A CELEBRATION OF WHAT WE’VE BEEN ABLE TO ACCOMPLISH.>>Reporter: WHAT DO YOU THINK HAPPENED, CONSIDERING YOU HAVE BEEN REPRESENTING FOLKS HERE FOR THE LAST 11 YEARS?>>I THINK THERE’S A LOT OF THOUGHT PUT INTO WHAT THIS ELECTION MEANT AND WHERE IT WENT, BUT THAT’S NOT FOR TONIGHT. TONIGHT IS FOR THING EDMONTON FOR 11 YEARS AND WISHING ADAM WELL AND THANKING MY VOLUNTEERS HERE THIS EVENING. I’LL LET MY LEADER, ANDREW SCHEER, ADDRESS THE NATION TO TALK ABOUT WHAT CONSERVATIVES WILL DO BUT IT’S ABOUT LOCAL AND IT WILL STAY ABOUT LOCAL?>>Reporter: WHAT ABOUT CAMPAIGNS? THE LIBERALS PUT ON A STRONG CAMPAIGN?>>AND WE FOUGHT THEM STREET BY STREET AND HOUSE BY HOUSE AND MILONIANS HAVE SPOKEN AND THE VOTER GETS IT RIGHT SO THANK YOU FOR 11 YEARS. I’M HONOURED AND I WISH ADAM THE BEST.>>Reporter: AND HERE IN MILTON, IT’S PART OF THAT 905, IMPOSSIBLE TO TALK ABOUT THIS REGION AND WITHOUT KNOWN AS THE FORD FACTOR AND HOW DO YOU THINK PLAYED INTO THIS?>>YOU KNOW, I’M THINKING ABOUT ALL OF THE POLLS WE HAD AND A LOT OF INFORMATION LOCALLY THAT WE’LL BE ABLE TO TAKE A LOOK AT BUT THE REALITY IS THAT MILTON DECIDED THEY WANTED TO VOTE FOR ADAM AS THE LIBERAL AND NOT FOR ME AND THAT’S HOW THE RESULT CAME OUT, SO I’M NOT GOING TO PUT TOO MUCH WORRY INTO WHAT HAPPENED. I KNOW THAT MY TEAM WAS STRONG, THEY PUT IN A FANTASTIC CAMPAIGN AND I WOULDN’T CHANGE ANYTHING WE DID, ANY WAY AT ALL. I’M PROUD OF THEM AND MY FAMILY AND ALL OF THE SUPPORT AND I’M THANKFUL FOR MILTON TO WHAT THEY’VE GIVEN ME FOR 11 YEARS.>>Reporter: THAT WAS LISA RAITT DEFEATED IN A BIG UPSET BY THE LIBERALS.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU, LISA. YOU MIGHT WANT TO HAN YOUR TELEX OVER TO THE OTHER LISA BECAUSE I’M GOING TO DO SOMETHING THAT MIGHT MAKE HER A LITTLE UPSET BUT IT’S NOT SUPPOSED TO BE. MEGAN LESLIE, WHEN YOU LOST IN 2015 — I WILL ASK LISA TO GIVE HER TELEX TO THE OTHER LISA. WHEN YOU LOST, YOU CAME ON “POWER & POLITICS,” I WAS HOSTING THE SHOW AND LISA WILL DO THIS FOR ME. AND YOU HAD LOST AND LISA RAITT CAME ON THE SHOW AND SHE SAID A BUNCH OF LOVELY THINGS ABOUT YOU AND YOU TEARED UP. AND SHE’S NOT GOING TO DO IT. SO I’LL LET YOU REPAY THE FAVOUR. SHE WILL TAKE IT. NO PRESSURE ON ANYBODY. LISA, I’M JUST REMINDING MEGAN OF THE KIND LOSS YOU GAVE HER AND MEGAN IS HERE NOW AND LET’S SEE WHAT HAPPENS.>>Megan: THIS ISN’T A GAME. THESE ARE REAL PEOPLE, THE PEOPLE THAT PUT THEIR NAMES ON THE BALLOTS. LISA, WE CAN SEE YOU HERE AND YOU ARE JUST — YOU’VE BEEN A STRONG VOICE FOR WOMEN, FOR CONSERVATIVE WOMEN AND I’M REALLY PROUD OF YOU. I’M PROUD TO BE YOUR FRIEND AND YOU JUST ARE THE MOST GRACEFUL PERSON AND I LOVE YOU. NOW.>>OH, MEGAN, YOU’RE SO SWEET. THE ONLY REASON I AGREED TO GO ON NATIONAL IS BECAUSE I KNOW YOU WERE THERE AND YOU’VE BEEN DOING A FABULOUS JOB. I APPRECIATE YOUR KIND WORDS. I’M PROUD OF THE 11 YEARS I’VE BEEN ABLE TO BE IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS AND HONOURED THAT THEY SENT ME.>>Megan: CALL ME AND WE’LL GO FOR A DRINK.>>Rosemary: MATCH-MAKING LIVE ON TV. I CONCUR WITH MEGAN, A CLASS ACT AND I KNOW WE’LL SEE YOU AGAIN AND GOOD TO SEE YOU TONIGHT. THANKS FOR THAT, MEGAN, AS WELL.>>TAKE CARE.>>Rosemary: A GOOD MOMENT TO SHOW YOU HOW WOMEN HAVE DONE SO FAR. 97 WOMEN CANDIDATES AND THIS IS WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE RIGHT NOW ON THE BOARD. THE LIBERALS HAVE ELECTED 52. SO THEY’RE UP TWO, IN FACT, AND IMPROVED UPON THEIR FORTUNES FROM LAST TIME. IF JUSTIN TRUDEAU WANTS TO MAKE A GENDER-BALANCED CABINET, HE HAS A LOT TO CHOOSE FROM. THE CONSERVATIVES UP FOUR, AS WELL AND THEY HAVE ELECTED OR LEADING IN 21 AND NINE MORE WOMEN LOOK LIKE THEY’RE HEADING TO PARLIAMENT HILL. YOU MAY HAVE LOST A GOOD ONE WITH CONSERVATIVES AND LISA RAITT, BUT THEY PICKED UP SOME AS WELL. WHERE WILL WE GO NOW HERE? DUNCAN?>>YOU TALK ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU WANTING TO HAVE WOMEN IN HIS CABINET AND LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED TO JANE PHILPOTT TONIGHT. SHE WON’T SUCCEED IN HER BID TO AN INDEPENDENT. SPEAKING WITH JANE PHILPOTT FOR HER, THIS CAMPAIGN WAS ABOUT A MATTER OF TRUST AND TRUTH. WELL, UNFORTUNATELY, RUNNING AS AN INDEPENDENT IS DIFFICULT WHEN YOU DON’T HAVE THE RESOURCES AND SO, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT SMART WOMEN, STRONG WOMEN, AND I THINK EVERYONE WOULD RECOGNISE THAT IN JANE PHILPOTT BUT IT DIDN’T WORK. STANDING ON PRINCIPLE DIDN’T END UP HELPING HER.>>Rosemary: WE HAVE ONE INDEPENDENT ON THE BOARD AND THAT’S STILL JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD AND WE’LL CONTINUE TO TRACK HOW SHE DOES TONIGHT AS AN INDEPENDENT AND ALTHEA WANTS IN. YOU CAN PASS. ANDREW WANTS IN, TOO.>>THIS IS AN INTERESTING RACE. IT’S A THREE-WAY RACE AS WE’VE SEEN.>>Rosemary: FOR JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD, YOU MEAN?>>YES, AND THE LIBERALS. AND YOU KNOW, HAVING DOOR-KNOCKED IN THAT RIDING, AS WELL. AND YES, I SPENT ALL SUMMER DOOR-KNOCKING. IT’S NOT A HUGE SURPRISE THAT THE CONSERVATIVES ARE DOING WELL IN THAT RIDING.>>JUST ON THE SNC-LAVALIN, IT SEEMS THE ELEPHANT IN THE ROOM TONIGHT. WE TALKED ABOUT AN RCMP INVESTIGATION AND THIS CAMPAIGN BEGAN WITH AN RCMP INVESTIGATION AND WE TALKED ABOUT THE TORIES NEEDING TO EXPAND THEIR BASE. THERE’S ANOTHER PARTY, THE LIBERALS ARE GOING TO FINISH IN PRESENT FORM WITH THE SMALLER SHARE THAN THE CONSERVATIVES DID. A BIG PART, I THINK, DUE TO SNC-LAVALIN, AND THE PRIME MINISTER. HE’S NOW IN A MINORITY PARLIAMENT AND DOESN’T CONTROL THE MAJORITY OR THE COMMITTEES. YOU THINK WE’LL BE HEARING A LOT MORE ABOUT SNC-LAVALIN ONCE PARLIAMENT RESUMES. I DON’T THINK THIS IS OVER BY A LONG SHOT.>>Chantal: THAT PRESUMES THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS WANTS TO PLAY IN THAT MOVIE.>>HE’S RIGHT ABOUT THAT. I THINK THIS IS ONE OF THE WAYS IN WHICH THE PRIME MINISTER IS GOING TO HAVE TO DIG DOWN DEEP AND THE HEALING PROCESS ABOUT WHAT TOOK PLACE. WE DIDN’T HAVE A CHANCE TO DEAL WITH ANNE MCCLENNAN’S REPORT AND WHAT ELSE UNFOLDS AFTER THAT, WE DON’T KNOW. BUT YEAH, I THINK THERE’S NO QUESTION THAT SNC-LAVALIN HURT THE LIBERAL PARTY AS WE WERE HEADING INTO THE ELECTION. BUT I ALSO THINK THAT IT’S AN ISSUE THAT PLAYS DIFFERENTLY IN DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE COUNTRY. AND WE NEED TO UNDERSTAND THAT AND THE HOUSE THAT WE’RE GOING TO BE LOOKING AT IS A HOUSE THAT WILL HAVE A STRONG REPRESENTATION FROM QUEBEC THAT WILL BE LOOKING AT SOME OF THE ISSUES IN A VERY DIFFERENT WAY. THAT’S A REALITY THAT WE’RE ALL GOING TO HAVE TO DEAL WITH.>>Rosemary: THE BLOC LEADER SAID DURING A NUMBER OF DEBATES SAID HE HAD NO INTEREST IN GOING AFTER THAT AND THAT HE WAS ACTUALLY OFFENDED THAT IT WOULD BECOME A THING BECAUSE THAT’S HIS POSITION IN QUEBEC.>>Chantal: HE’S ALSO PREMIER LEGAULT’S POSITION THAT THEY SHOULD BE OFFERED THE REMEDIATION AGREEMENT BUT THE DYNAMICS OF THIS PARLIAMENT WILL NOT BE CONDUCIVE TO REKINDLING THE ISSUE.>>WE HAVE THE RCMP INTENDING TO LAUNCH AN INQUIRY THAT WAS UNABLE TO TALK TO SEVERAL WITNESSES.>>Rosemary: I’M DEFINITELY NOT RELITIGATING SNC-LAVALIN. I DID THAT FOR TOO MANY MONTHS OF MY LIFE. DAVID COCHRAN?>>David: THE ONE THING, THE FALL-OUT, ONE OF THE THINGS THIS ENGINES POSED BY THE PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICE AND THE WAY HE RAN THE CAUCUSES, THERE WASN’T ENOUGH CAUCUS OUTREACH OR BUILDING WITH THE BACK BENCH.>>Rosemary: AND HE ADMITTED.>>David: HOW IMPORTANT WILL THAT BE WHEN YOU NEED TO BROKER RELATIONSHIPS BETTER AND THERE HAS BEEN A PERSISTENT COMPLAINT AND THEY NEED TO BE MORE REACTIVE TO EVENTS IN REAL-TIME AND THIS WILL TEST THE ABILITY TO ADAPT TO THAT. (PLEASE STAND BY). MINORITY, SO I NEED TO BE NICER TO YOU.>>BUT SUNNY WAYS.>>NO, DIDN’T HAPPEN.>>Rosemary: PROBABLY DIDN’T WORK.>>THEY ALL REALIZED THEY WERE WHERE THEY ARE BECAUSE OF STEPHEN HARPER. IF THEY THINK IT’S IN SPITE OF JUSTIN TRUDEAU.>>Rosemary: WEIGH IN ON THAT PART. WHETHER HE CAN MANAGE THAT. SO I DON’T THINK HE’S GOING TO BE QUITE — YES, THE DICTATES OF STAYING IN POWER WILL KEEP YOU IN LINE. BUT THERE IS MUCH MORE UNHAPPY PEOPLE, MUCH LESS FEELING LIKE THAT HE OWE HIM THEIR LIV LIVELIHOOD. IT’S A NEBULOUS THING. IT’S A STRONG MINORITY, BUT IS IT FRAMED BY TRUDEAU AND LIBERALS. IS THERE A POSITION THAT THERE IS NO REPRESENTATION. IS THERE RECOGNITION THEY WERE NOT ABLE TO PULL OUT ANOTHER MAJORITY OR IS IT FRAMING IT AS A WIN AND NOTHING ELSE?>>Rosemary: IT HAS TO BE SOMETHING ELSE SLIGHTLY MORE HUMBLE SPEECH. HAS TO BE ADMISSION THERE WERE PEOPLE THAT WANTED TO REIN YOU IN, PEOPLE IN THE COUNTRY THAT DIDN’T HEAR FROM YOU. YOU TELL ME.>>I THINK WE’RE CONFLATING TWO THINGS. I THINK THE ONLY PERSON ON THE PANEL THAT HAS WORKED IN A PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICE, YOU HAVE TO CONTROL THINGS FROM THE CENTRE. AND I THINK YOU’RE GOING TO SEE A STRONG CENTRE BECAUSE IT’S REQUIRED TO MANAGE THAT SITUATION. THAT DOESN’T MEAN THAT YOU HAVE TO BE A PARTISAN A-HOLE IN HOW YOU APPROACH EVERY ISSUE.>>Rosemary: LOTS OF PEOPLE JUST WENT LIKE THIS TO YOU. [LAUGHTER] >>BUT IN FAIRNESS, BUT IN FAIRNESS, THAT’S WHY –>>WE LOST 2015.>>– THIS IS RESPONSIBLE. I WILL SAY THAT IS WHY WE LOST IN 2015. AND YOU KNOW, HAVE THAT BE A CAUTIONARY TALE, IF YOU DO TAKE A PATH WHERE YOU ARE NOT ACCOMMODATING PARTS OF THE COUNTRY, THAT YOU AREN’T WELL REPRESENTED IN, THAT THERE WILL BE A PRICE TO BE PAID. NOT JUST ON A PARTISAN BASIS, BUT AS ONE WOULD HOPE, THAT WHOEVER IS SITTING AS A PRIME MINISTER IS TRYING TO THINK ABOUT A GREATER GOOD. THAT THIS IS NOT JUST ABOUT PARTISAN POLITICS, BUT HAVING A UNITED COUNTRY THAT IS FUNCTIONAL. IT REMINDS ME OF 1993 WHERE WE HAVE THE REFORM PARTY DOMINATING THE WEST AND A SEPARATIST PARTY, A MAJORITY OF SEATS IN QUÉBEC. I DON’T THINK THAT WAS VERY HEALTHY FOR THE COUNTRY. I THINK WE WERE AT A MUCH BETTER PLACE WHERE WE HAD NATIONAL PARTIES THAT WERE COMPETITIVE IN EVERY REGION OF THE COUNTRY AND YOU HAD REPRESENTATION. LOOK, I’M FROM SASKATCHEWAN. PART OF ME IS HAPPY TO SEE RALPH GOODALE LOSE, BECAUSE YOU WANT TO DO THAT WHEN YOU HAVE YOUR PARTISAN HAT ON. BUT IT’S NOT GOOD FOR THE PROVINCE OF SASKATCHEWAN OR THE CABINET TO HAVE A VOICE LIKE RALPH GOODALE AROUND THE CABINET TABLE. IT DOESN’T ABROGATE YOUR DUTY.>>I HAVE TO PUT EVERYONE ON HOLD BECAUSE YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET IS COMING UP TO THE STAGE. HE’S TRIPLED REALLY HIS SEAT COUNT FROM THE PREVIOUS LEADER IN THE PREVIOUS ELECTION IN 2015. SO WE’LL LISTEN TO HIM AND CONTINUE THIS CONVERSATION AFTER THAT. BECAUSE THIS IS HOW DOES JUSTIN TRUDEAU APPEAL TO HIS HOME PROVINCE WHERE HE DOESN’T HAVE AS MANY SEATS AS HE DID BEFORE? LET’S LISTEN IN TO YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET. [APPLAUSE]>>[Speaking French]>>Translator: I THINK WE’RE DOING WELL. I THINK WE’RE FULL OF LIFE. AND I LOOK AT YOU AND I SEE THAT YOU’RE VERY YOUNG. WE’VE COME A LONG WAY. BUT WE WILL GO EVEN FURTHER. FIRST OF ALL, I WOULD LIKE TO CONVEY SOME THANKS. IN A FEW HOURS, MY FATHER WILL HAVE LEFT MY LIFE 21 YEARS AGO. AND I KNOW HE HAD TO GREAT DEAL OF ADMIRATION FOR RENÉ LEVESQUE. ALLOW ME TO THANK NANCY AND THE CHILDREN FOR THEIR PATIENCE AND ESPECIALLY FOR THEIR ENCOURAGEMENT. AND FOR A QUÉBEC THAT IS SHINING AT ALL TIMES. I ALSO WANT TO THANK ALL THE ACTIVISTS AND CONSTITUENTS AND VOTERS, YOU WELCOMED ME WITH SUCH WARMTH THAT WENT WELL BEYOND MY EXPECTATIONS. I WANT TO CONVEY MY GREETINGS TO THE ACTIVISTS OF BLOC QUEBECOIS AND WANT TO THANK MY ADVISOR AND FRIEND, MR. GILLES DUCEPPE. MR. GILLES DUCEPPE HAS ALLOWED US TO BENEFIT FROM HIS SON, WHO HAS JUST BEEN ELECTED IN SAINT-JACQUES. [LAUGHTER] FOR THE TRACE THAT HE LEFT IN QUÉBEC, I ALSO WANT TO THANK BOUCHARD. AND I HAVE SOME FRIENDLY THOUGHTS AND SOME GRATITUDE FOR A GREAT TEAM THAT RAN AN IMPOSSIBLE CAMPAIGN IN MONEY AND HUMAN RESOURCES. WE DID A LOT MORE WITH A LOT LESS THAN MANY OTHERS. AND IN MANY, MANY REGARDS, IT WAS A VICTORIOUS CAMPAIGN. I WANT TO KEEP FOR THE END MY FELLOW CANDIDATES. WHAT COURAGE. NOW, WITH HINDSIGHT I SUPPOSE YOU CAN SAY THIS WOULD HAVE LOOKED LIKE MAYBE AN EASY CHOICE, BUT IT’S IMPORTANT TO REALIZE THAT FOUR TO SIX MONTHS AGO WHEN WE WERE STILL JUST CRAZY PEOPLE, WELL, THERE IS CRAZY PEOPLE THAT SAID YES AND THEY’RE NOW GOING TO THE HOUSE OF COMMONS. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THANK YOU, THANK YOU VERY MUCH. THOSE PEOPLE SET ASIDE THEIR PROFESSIONAL LIVES AND THEY WON THROUGH A SOLEMN COMMITMENT TO QUÉBECERS. SOME OF THEM WERE NOT CHOSEN TONIGHT, BUT THERE IS TREMENDOUS GRATITUDE FOR ALL OF YOU, NOT ONLY FROM ME, BUT FROM ALL QUÉBECERS AND YOU HAVE MY LASTING FRIENDSHIP. THE PEOPLE OF QUÉBEC AND CANADA HAVE CHOSEN A MINORITY PARLIAMENT TONIGHT. NO PARTY AMONG THOSE WHO WERE ASPIRING TO A MAJORITY WON A MAJORITY OF SEATS. NO PARTY WILL CONTROL THE HOUSE OF COMMONS. IN QUÉBEC, THE BLOC QUEBECOIS DOES NOT WANT TO FORM A GOVERNMENT OR EVEN PARTICIPATE IN A GOVERNMENT. HOWEVER, THE BLOC QUEBECOIS CAN COOPERATE WITH ANY GOVERNMENT. IF WHAT IS PROPOSED IS GOOD FOR QUÉBEC, YOU CAN COUNT ON US. IF WHAT IS BEING PROPOSED, HARMS QUÉBEC, THE BLOC WILL STAND UP AND BLOCK IT. IF THE GOVERNMENT CAN BE TALKED TO AND REFLECTS THE TEMPERAMENT OF QUÉBECERS, THEN THE BLOC WILL ALSO BE A PARTY ONE CAN TALK TO. EXCEPT IF WE’RE TALKING ABOUT PUTTING MORE OIL ACROSS QUÉBEC. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] EXCEPT IF IT MEANS COMPROMISING OUR VALUES, OUR LANGUAGE, OR QUÉBEC’S COMMITMENT TO SECULAR PUBLIC INSTITUTIONS. I DON’T BELIEVE THAT QUÉBECERS AND CANADIANS ELECTED A MINORITY GOVERNMENT BECAUSE THEY WANTED TO GO AND HAVE ANOTHER VOTE 18 MONTHS FROM NOW. I BELIEVE QUÉBECERS AND CANADIANS ARE ASKING US, ALL PARTIES IN ALL REGIONS OF THIS COUNTRY, DESPITE THE DEEP DIVISION THAT WE SEE IN THE ELECTORAL MATH TODAY, TO WORK TOGETHER. THEY’RE ASKING US TO MAKE A STATE WORK EVEN THOUGH IT’S IMPERFECT. A COUNTRY THAT FOR 37 YEARS HAS ABANDONED A QUARTER OF ITS POPULATION BECAUSE OF A CONSTITUTION THEY NEVER SIGNED ONTO. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] BUT THIS IS A PARLIAMENT WE WILL HAVE TO MAKE WORK. THE BLOC QUEBECOIS UNDERSTANDS THE MANDATE THAT HAS BEEN ENTRUSTED TO IT. WE PROPOSE TO BE THE VOICE OF THE QUÉBEC NATION. WHICH ENDED UP IN ITS ONLY REAL PARLIAMENT, THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY. WE ARE THE VOICE OF THE CONSENSUS THAT EXISTED IN THE QUÉBEC NATIONAL ASSEMBLY. WE ARE SOLEMNLY COMMITTED TO CARRY OUT THAT MANDATE. ALL OF THAT MANDATE. WITHOUT ANY HESITATION. WE UNDERSTAND THE DEPTHS OF THAT MANDATE, BUT WE ALSO UNDERSTAND ITS LIMITATION. THE MEMBERS, THE ACTIVISTS, AND THE VOTERS OF THE BLOC QUEBECOIS KNOW THAT WE STILL BELIEVE THAT AS SOON AS POSSIBLE, IN ITS OWN WAY, QUÉBEC CAN CHOOSE TO HAVE ALL THE ATTRIBUTES OF SOVEREIGNTY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I DO, TOO. BUT I HAVE LIMITLESS ADMIRATION FOR OUR ACTIVISTS WHO CAN BE IMPATIENT AT TIMES, BUT FOR ALL THOSE PEOPLE AND ALL THOSE FRIENDS WHO AGREE THAT QUÉBEC THIS TIME, AND THIS TIME — FOR THIS TIME THE REALIZATION OF SOVEREIGNTY. THE BLOC IS A SOVEREIGNTIST PARTY AND THE DESIRE FOR SOVEREIGNTY HAS BEEN PART OF ME EVER SINCE MY FATHER SANG THE SONG. THE BLOC QUEBECOIS WILL LEARN AGAIN TO LISTEN TO QUÉBECERS IN THAT PERSPECTIVE. IF THERE IS ONE THING THIS CAMPAIGN TAUGHT US, IT IS THAT WE REFLECT THE VOICE, THE PEOPLE OF QUÉBEC. WE RESPECT THEIR VALUES AND THEY CAN GIVE US THEIR FULL CONFIDENCE. WE MUST HOLD HUMILITY THAT HAS BROUGHT US TO WHERE WE ARE TONIGHT. THE BLOC, THE PARLIAMENTARY WING, WILL BE HEADING TO PARLIAMENT SOON. OUR WORK IS NOT TO MAKE CANADIAN FEDERALISM WORK. OUR MANDATE, OUR MANDATE AS DICTATED BY VOTERS, NOT TO PREVENT IT, BUT THE DEEP RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE CANADIAN FEDERATION AND THE QUÉBEC STATE DOESN’T MEAN BEING SERVILE. HOWEVER, GOOD FRIENDS, PARLIAMENTARIANS, WELL, MAYBE ONE DAY WE’LL REALIZE THAT THIS IS THE WAY OF THE FUTURE. PARTNERS, BUT EQUALS AND FREE. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] OUR MANDATE IN THE MEANTIME IS TO GET AS MUCH AS WE CAN FOR QUÉBECERS IN THE TIME WE ARE THERE. WHILE WE WAIT FOR QUÉBECERS TO CHOOSE ANOTHER PATH. ANDET IS BY BEING PATIENT AND THROUGH HUMILITY AND ONLY AT THAT PRICE CAN WE POSSIBLY SAY TONIGHT THAT QUÉBEC IS US. TONIGHT, I ALWAYS HAVE THE GREAT PLEASURE TO SPEAK TO THE OTHER LEADERS OF THE PARTIES. IT IS WITH OBSTINATESY, THAT WE WERE ABLE TO RUN A POSITIVE CAMPAIGN, A CLEAN CAMPAIGN, A CAMPAIGN OF IDEAS. A CAMPAIGN OF HEART. QUÉBEC HAS JUST REWARDED US FOR THAT. I DO HOPE WITHOUT GIVING ANYONE A LESSON, I DO HOPE THAT WE WILL ALL, IN PARLIAMENT, HAVE RECEIVED AND UNDERSTOOD THE MESSAGE ASSOCIATED WITH THAT CHOICE. I WANT TO CONGRATULATE MR. JUSTIN TRUDEAU, MR. JAGMEET SINGH, MS. ELIZABETH MAY, AND MR. ANDREW SCHEER AND MR. MAXIME BERNIER. I WILL MAKE MYSELF AVAILABLE TO LAY THE FOUNDATION OF A PARLIAMENTARY CULTURE THAT WILL ADOPT ANOTHER VALUE DEAR TO QUÉBECERS. RESPECT. RESPECT, YES, BUT ALSO RESPECT AMONG PARLIAMENTARIANS, RESPECT AND HUMILITY. WE ARE THERE TO SERVE THE PEOPLE. WITH THAT IN MIND AND IN THAT SPIRIT, WITHOUT COMPROMISING WHO WE ARE, AND RESPECTING OR MANDATE AND ITS LIMITATIONS, OUR DESIRE WILL BE TO COOPERATE. AND I EXPECT THE SAME OF THE OTHER PARTIES. HOWEVER, DO NOT EXPECT ANY COMPROMISE ABOUT THE POSITIONS AND OUR DESIRE TO DEFEND THE LANGUAGE AND VALUES OF QUÉBECERS. IN THAT SPIRIT AS WELL, I BELIEVE IT IS APPROPRIATE TO CONVEY OUR GREETINGS TO THE MEMBERS OF THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY. AND TO MEET WITH PREMIER LEGAULT, THE PREMIER OF QUÉBEC. FRIENDS, LET US NEVER FORGET THIS CAMPAIGN WHICH IS LIKE A VOW. THE ONLY VOW OF OURS WILL BE ADDRESSED TO THE QUÉBEC NATION. WHAT DID WE SAY TO THE QUÉBEC NATION? WE SAID THE FRENCH IS US. THE SECULARISM IS US. THAT THE REGION IS US. THAT SUPPLY MANAGEMENT IS US. THAT SENIORS IS US. THAT GETTING RID OF OIL IS US. THAT CLEAN ENERGY IS US. THAT INNOVATION IS US. THAT QUÉBEC IS US. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>Rosemary: THAT IS YVES-FRANCOIS BLANCHET, LEADER OF THE BLOC QUEBECOIS. TONIGHT, HE’S WALKING AWAY WITH 32 SEATS TO REPRESENT THE PARTY, BUILDING THE PARTY BACK TO WELL MORE THAN THEY NEEDED FOR OFFICIAL PARTY STATUS. SAYING A COUPLE IMPORTANT THINGS. THIS IS GOING TO BE IMPORTANT IN A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. SAYS THE BLOC WILL BE A PARTY THAT PEOPLE CAN TALK TO. BUT ONE CONDITION, HE DOES NOT WANT A PIPELINE TO PASS THROUGH QUÉBEC IN ANY WAY, SHAPE, OR FORM. OF COURSE, ENERGY EAST, WHICH DIED ANYWAY. WHICH THE LIBERALS WOULD NOT REVIVE. AND ALSO SAID HIS JOB AS BLOC QUEBECOIS WAS NOT TO MAKE SURE THAT FEDERALISM WORKS, BUT ALSO NOT TO STOP IT. THAT, TOO, SOUNDS LIKE A CONCILIATORY MOVE. IF SOMEONE DECIDES THEY HAVE TO WORK WITH THE BLOC, THERE ARE WAYS DO THAT. DAVID COCHRANE HAS A FEW MORE RESULTS.>>WE’RE GOING TO LOOK AT RIDINGS IN THE QUÉBEC THAT HELPED TELL THE BLOC STORY. WE’RE GOING TO START IN A RIDING THAT IS STILL CLOSE TOO CALL. THE CANDIDATE HAS 558-VOTE LEAD OVER RUTH BROSSEAU. THIS WAS ONE OF THE SEATS THEY THOUGHT THEY WERE GOING TO HOLD ONTO. AND IN TROIS-RIVIERES, THIS WAS A SEAT THAT THE N.D.P. HELD THAT THE LIBERALS AND THE CONSERVATIVES TARGETED FOR GAINS. THEY WERE IN THERE EARLY IN THE CAMPAIGN MULTIPLE TIMES. THE BLOC HAS EATEN EVERYONE’S LUNCH. 1600-VOTE LEAD WITH THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE SECOND.>>Rosemary: INTERESTING. I WAS IN TROIS-RIVIERES WHERE IT SEEMED TO BE ANYBODY BUT THE N.D.P. THAT WIN THERE.>>FURTHER TO THAT, THE QUESTION BEGINNING TONIGHT WAS WOULD THE RISE OF THE BLOC COME AT THE SAME TIME AS THE DEMISE OF THE N.D.P. IN THE PROVINCE OF QUÉBEC? IT’S NOT EXACTLY COMPARABLE, BUT IN 2011, WHEN THE N.D.P. HIT THE HIGH WATERMARK, THE BLOC WAS INTRODUCED TO 4. — REDUCED TO 4. NOW WITH THE BLOC AT 32, WE HAVE ONE N.D.P. MEMBER ELECTED. THAT IS THE DEPUTY LEADER OF THE PARTY, IN ROSEMONT. YOU CAN SEE ELECTED BY A HUGE GAP OVER THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE. BUT HE HAS NO MONEY, NO ORGANIZATION. MAYBE THE ONLY LAST FAINT HOPE HE WILL BE JOINED BY PIERRE DUSSEAULT. THIS IS SO CLOSE. 86% OF THE POLLS IN AT THIS POINT. VERY TIGHT FOR THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE NOW IN SHERBROOKE. HE WAS THE YOUNGEST M.P. EVER ELECTED IN 2011. 19 AT THE TIME. STILL IN THE BALANCE, BUT IT’S NO WIN OPPORTUNITY FOR HIM.>>IT WOULD BE GREAT TO HAVE A FRIEND FROM QUÉBEC. THE BLOC HAS MADE SIGNIFICANT PICKUPS OBVIOUSLY AND MOSTLY TO THE DETRIMENT OF THE N.D.P. 32 LEADING AND ELECTED. BUT THE LIBERALS HAVE ONLY LOST SIX AS CHANTAL IS KINDLY REMINDING ME ON THE SIDE. THEY’RE DOWN A LITTLE BIT, BUT THEY’VE STILL PERFORMED WELL IN QUÉBEC. OBVIOUSLY, IT HAS DAMAGED THEIR ATTEMPTS TO TRY TO FORM A MAJORITY GOVERNMENT. BUT IT IS NOT DISASTROUS. AND THEY ARE ABLE TO SAY THEY HAVE A SIGNIFICANT PRESENCE IN QUÉBEC, WHICH ULTIMATELY, MAY HELP THEM A LOT IF THEY’RE TRYING TO DEAL WITH THE PROBLEM OF BEING SHUT OUT OF PARTS OF WESTERN CANADA. THAT’S SOMETHING THEY’RE GOING TO HAVE TO ADDRESS HEAD-ON. JAGMEET SINGH, REMEMBER, HE ONLY DECIDED TO SEEK A SEAT IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS MORE THAN A YEAR AFTER HE BECAME LEADER. HE WON THAT IN A BYELECTION EIGHT MONTHS AGO. HERE HE IS. HE’S WON HIS SEAT AGAIN IN BURNABY SOUTH, BRITISH COLUMBIA. SO HE CAN SERVE AS N.D.P. LEADER INSIDE THE HOUSE AND REPRESENT BOTH HIM AND HIS CAUCUS OF 25. WHICH WE’VE ALREADY TALKED ABOUT, NOT THE STRONGEST PERFORMANCE FOR THE N.D.P. BY ANY MEASURE EITHER, BUT AGAIN, WE’VE STARTED OUT WITH LOW EXPECTATIONS FOR SINGH, SO HE DID AS DAVID COCHRANE SAID A COUPLE OF TIMES, TRADEMARKED IT, THE SINGH SAVE IF YOU WILL. LET’S TAKE A LOOK AT THE MAP ON THE FLOOR. A SENSE OF WHAT THE COUNTRY LOOKS LIKE TONIGHT. WE ARE GOING TO BE STANDING BY FOR MORE SPEECHES FROM LEADERS. WE’VE HEARD FROM MAXIME BERNIER IN THE BEAUCE WHO LOST HIS OWN RIDING TONIGHT AND DEVASTATING PERHAPS PERFORMANCE BY THE PEOPLE’S PARTY OF CANADA WITH A LITTLE MORE THAN 1% NATIONALLY. YOU CAN SEE WHAT WE’RE LOOKING AT IN TERMS OF HOW THE COUNTRY LOOKS. THERE IS SUPPORT FOR THE N.D.P. ON THE FAR WEST COAST, A LITTLE BIT IN THE NORTH AND INTO ONTARIO. THE CONSERVATIVES REALLY HOLDING MOST OF WESTERN CANADA. THE BLOC PICKING UP ALL THOSE SEATS IN QUÉBEC. AND THE LIBERALS SPRINKLED THROUGHOUT. BUT MISSING SEATS, SOME KEY SEATS IN ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN. AND, PETER, YOU HAVE SOMETHING TO SAY?>>Peter: I DIDN’T. BUT I COULD THINK OF SOMETHING.>>Rosemary: SOMEONE TOLD ME YOU DID. BUT I CAN ALWAYS COUNT ON YOU.>>Peter: WELL. YOU KNOW, SERIOUSLY, A COUPLE OF HOURS AGO WE TALKED ABOUT THE TWO-SPEECH NIGHT. AND OBVIOUSLY, EVERYBODY HAS A COUPLE OF SPEECHES IN THEIR POCKET. AND ADDRESS THE NATION. THESE NEXT THREE ARE ALL KEY — WELL, I GUESS NEXT FOUR, ELIZABETH MAY WILL PROBABLY SPEAK NEXT, RIGHT?>>Rosemary: WE’RE WAITING. BECAUSE THERE IS SOME CONFUSION AROUND WHEN ANDREW SCHEER WANTS TO COME OUT. WE’RE STANDING BY.>>Peter: THEY USUALLY GO IN — >>Rosemary: USUALLY THE GUY WHO WINS GOES LAST.>>Peter: ELIZABETH MAY WILL BE HAPPY SHE’S GONE UP THREE SEATS, BUT REALLY, IT MAY BE TIME. AND SHE MAY GIVE US A SENSE OF THAT TONIGHT. BUT FOR ANDREW SCHEER, AND FOR JAGMEET SINGH, THOSE ARE BOTH KEY SPEECHES. EVERYBODY HERE IS BEING AROUND THE TABLE SUGGESTING THIS IS NOT THE NIGHT TO QUIT OR THE KNIVES TO BE BROUGHT OUT, BUT THEY VERY WELL MAY BE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS.>>Rosemary: I THINK IT’S FAIR SO SAY THEY HAVE ENOUGH ROOM TO THINK ABOUT THINGS, BECAUSE IT’S NOT A TOTAL WIPEOUT. SO WE MIGHT NOT HEAR ANYTHING TONIGHT FROM ANY OF THEM, BUT ON THE OTHER HAND, THERE WOULD BE CASES TO BE MADE FOR CHOOSING DIFFERENT OPTIONS, DIFFERENT LEADERS GOING FORWARD. WE’LL SEE HOW THAT UNFOLDS. DUNCAN AND THEN OVER TO JAMIE.>>I’LL SAY I’M HEARING, SEEING ONLINE SOMETHING THAT INDIGENOUS PEOPLE IN PARTICULAR WOULD LIKE TO SEE IN JUSTIN TRUDEAU’S SPEECH, WHICH IS BEING MENTIONED IN THIS CAMPAIGN. INDIGENOUS PEOPLE SUDDENLY DROPPED OFF THE RADAR OF JUSTIN TRUDEAU AS COMPARED TO 2015, WHERE HE MADE AN AWFUL LOT OF PROMISES. SO I THINK THERE WILL CERTAINLY BE INDIGENOUS PEOPLE WHO WILL BE WATCHING CLOSELY TO SEE IF JUSTIN TRUDEAU IS GOING TO DEAL WITH ISSUES IN THE WAY HE PROMISED IN THE LAST CAMPAIGN, AND LIKEWISE, WHEN WE HAVE A MINORITY GOVERNMENT, LOOKING TO SEE IF HE’S GOING TO — THE N.D.P. HAD AN EXTENSIVE PLATFORM ON INDIGENOUS ISSUES, NOT ONLY COMMITTING TO THE U.N. DECLARATION ON THE RIGHTS OF INDIGENOUS PEOPLES, NOT ONLY COMMITTING TO MISSING AND MURDERED INDIGENOUS WOMEN AND GIRLS INQUIRY AND IMPLEMENTING ALL OF THOSE, BUT REALLY SPECIFIC PROMISES LIKE CELL SERVICE ON RESERVES, CLEANER WATER IN PLACES LIKE GRASSY NARROWS. I THINK INDIGENOUS PEOPLE WILL BE WATCHING CLOSELY.>>Rosemary: TO BE FAIR TO THEM, THOSE ARE THINGS THE LIBERALS HAVE COMMITTED TO DOING. I THINK YOU WOULD ALSO RAISE THE ISSUE THAT INDIGENOUS ISSUES DID NOT GET ENOUGH ATTENTION THROUGH THIS ELECTION FROM ANY PARTY, RIGHT? AND THAT IS NOT ACCEPTABLE TO MANY INDIGENOUS VOTERS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. ONE LAST THOUGHT FROM YOUR WATCH PARTY? AND THEN WE’LL LET THEM GO GET A GLASS OF WINE OR A SNACK.>>I’M GOING TO START WITH LAWYER MARIE HENEIN. I KNOW YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT WOMEN. 97 OF 338.>>IT’S LESS THAN 30 SECONDS WE’VE SPENT TALKING ABOUT IT IN SIX HOURS AND LESS THAN A THIRD OF THE NUMBER OF SEATS THAT WERE AVAILABLE. IT’S PROFOUNDLY DISAPPOINTING. WE TALK ABOUT NATURAL RESOURCES. I WOULD THINK 50% OF THE POPULATION IS ONE OF THE MOST NATURAL RESOURCES THAT WE HAVE. AND IT’S TOO BAD IT’S A BYLINE. IT’S DISAPPOINTING.>>HOW DO YOU THINK WE ADDRESS THIS? IT STRIKES ME THIS NUMBER DOES NOT MOVE SUBSTANTIALLY ELECTION TO ELECTION, WE’RE ALWAYS LOOKING AT A THIRD.>>IT’S A CHRONIC PROBLEM IN CANADA. IT REQUIRES A PROMOTION OF WOMEN RUNNING. IT REQUIRES A LOT OF DISCUSSION AND WE’RE NOT DOING A GOOD JOB OF IT. IT SENDS AN AWFUL MESSAGE TO YOUNG WOMEN SEEING THIS.>>WHAT MESSAGE WOULD YOU LIKE TO GIVE YOUNG WOMEN?>>COME OUT AND TRY BECAUSE WE NEED YOU. YOU’RE THE GREATEST NATURAL RESOURCES WE HAVE THIS THE COUNTRY.>>ANY FINAL THOUGHTS?>>I THINK THIS ELECTION PROOFS AS MUCH AS — PROVES THE GREEN PARTY IS JUST A JOKE. SHE HAD THE BEST CHANCE EVER TO MOVE INTO THE CENTRE AND HAVE PEOPLE IN CANADA UNDERSTAND ANY OTHER POLICY THAN SAY THE PLANET KILL THE PEOPLE.>>SHE DIDN’T CAMPAIGN ON FREE TUITION.>>NOBODY KNOWS THAT. THE ONLY THING SHE IS PASSIONATE ABOUT IS THE ONE THING. SHE’S A DISMAL FAILURE AS A LEADER. IN ANY OTHER PARTY, SHE’D RESIGN TONIGHT. I EXPECT HER TO RESIGN IN THE COMING DAYS.>>I’M JUST HAPPY THIS IS OVER [LAUGHTER]. I DON’T MEAN TONIGHT. TONIGHT HAS BEEN GREAT.>>I HAD SUCH A NICE TIME WITH YOU.>>AT THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR, I SAID I LOVE ELECTIONS. I HAVE RUN IN FOUR OF THEM. I WASN’T LOOKING FORWARD TO THE PROVINCIAL ELECTION AND THIS ONE. I’VE BEEN PROVEN RIGHT. I WAS RIGHT THAT THE BLOC WOULD BE RESURGING AND EVERYBODY LAUGHED AT ME. THE KIND OF DIVISIVE POLITICS WE’VE BEEN SEEING ISN’T GOING TO WORK. SO WHEN YOU HAVE THE CONSERVATIVES AND THEY CANNOT GROW BEYOND THAT EXCITED BASE, IT MEANS THEY HAVE TO REACH OUT MORE. WHEN YOU HAVE THE LIBERALS, THEY’VE GOT TO REACH OUT TO THE WEST AND THINK ABOUT THE ECONOMY MORE. THEY CAN’T BE SIGNALLING THEIR VALUES ALL THE TIME. I REALLY HOPE — BECAUSE I’M OPTIMISTIC — THAT THE LESSON EVERYONE TAKES FROM THIS ELECTION, LET’S ACTUALLY START GETTING TO WORK ON THINGS THAT MATTER TO CANADIANS, DITCH THE BEHAVIOR SUFFICIENT WHEN IT’S GOTCHA POLITICS AND GET ON WITH THE JOB OF MAKING THIS COUNTRY BETTER.>>VERY OPTIMISTIC THOUGHT FROM YOU, MAYOR NENSHI.>>AND FINAL WORD TO YOU.>>INDIGENOUS COMMUNITIES ARE ON THE FRONT LINES OF CLIMATE CHANGE AND, YOU KNOW, THEY HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE FOR NEARLY TWO DECADES. WE’VE SAT HERE TONIGHT HARDLY TALKED ABOUT THE YUKON, THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES, NUNAVUT, NUNAVIK. WE’RE NOT JUST TALKING ABOUT CLIMATE CHANGE THERE, WE’RE TALKING ABOUT FOOD SOURCES, FOOD INSECURITY ISSUES. AND WE WEREN’T BRAVE ENOUGH TO HOLD A CLIMATE DEBATE IN THIS COUNTRY. AND TO ME IN 2019, CLIMATE CHANGE-DENIERS ARE BASICALLY FLAT EARTHERS. SO IF WE’RE NOT BRAVE ENOUGH TO HOLD THE CLIMATE CHANGE DEBATE IN THIS COUNTRY AND HAVE A CONVERSATION, WE HAVE TO GO TO BED TONIGHT THINKING ABOUT THAT. I HOPE ALL OF THE PARTIES SHOW MORE BRAVERY. I MEAN, OVER A MILLION PEOPLE PARTICIPATED IN THE CLIMATE MARCH AND STRIKE.>>INCREDIBLY INSPIRING.>>WHAT DOES IT SAY TO THEM IF WE’RE NOT BRAVE ENOUGH TO HAVE THE CONVERSATION?>>THAT IS A GOOD PLACE TO END THE PANEL. I WANT TO THANK YOU FOR BEING HERE. SUCH A PLEASURE FOR ME. THANK YOU. ROSIE, BACK TO YOU. OUR COLLEAGUE VASSY KAPELOS ARE GOING TO RECORD A PODCAST PRETTY SOON AND HOPEFULLY GET THAT OUT BY 6:00 A.M. TOMORROW.>>JAMIE TRIED TO MAKE ME DO IT, TOO, AND I SAID, JAMIE, I’M OLDER THAN YOU AND I NEED TO LIE DOWN.>>ARE YOU SURE?>>GOOD, YOU GOT THE MAYOR. THANKS, JAMIE WITH OUR HELP. WE’RE GOING TO DIG INTO MORE RESULTS. STILL WHY WE’RE ON AIR. WE’RE WAITING TO HEAR FROM JAGMEET SINGH, ELIZABETH MAY, ANDREW SCHEER AND JUSTIN TRUDEAU. ALL THOSE SPEECHES ARE IMPORTANT BECAUSE THEY HELP US UNDERSTAND BETTER THE DIRECTION THEY’RE GOING TO TAKE UNDER THIS NEW MINORITY GOVERNMENT. HOW THEY’RE GOING TO WORK TOGETHER IF THEY HAVE LINES IN THE SAND. AND HOW THEY’RE FEELING ABOUT THE NIGHT. ALL THOSE SPEECHES COMING TO YOU. IAN, MORE RESULTS.>>Ian: I THINK FIVE HOURS AGO WE WERE IN ATLANTIC CANADA — I KNOW — WE WERE ALL SO MUCH YOUNGER BACK THEN. WE WERE TALKING ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A GREEN BREAKTHROUGH IN ATLANTIC CANADA AND THEN ALL OF A SUDDEN, ATWIN — WINS THE SEAT IN. BUT YOU SEE THE VOTE ON VANCOUVER ISLAND AND THE GREENS UP BY JUST OVER ONE PERCENTAGE POINT. I DON’T THINK ANYBODY EXPECTED THAT. THERE WAS TALK ABOUT AN N.D.P., IF NOT COLLAPSE, THEN THE N.D.P. RECEDING. THAT CERTAINLY DIDN’T HAPPEN ON VANCOUVER ISLAND. THEY ARE DOWN A LITTLE BIT, BUT BASICALLY STAYED SOLID AND THEY HAVE SOLID SUPPORT. WHEN JAGMEET SINGH WENT TO THE HOUSE OF COMMONS IN THE BYELECTION, THAT SAME DAY PAUL MANLY BECAME THE SECOND ELECTED GREEN M.P. IN CANADA. ANOTHER REASON FOR HIGH HOPES. HE’S BEEN ELECTED TONIGHT. BUT LOOK AT THIS VANCOUVER RIDING. ALLISTER McGREGOR, WORKED WITH JEAN CROWDER. THERE IS A LONG TRADITION OF N.D.P. STRENGTH ON VANCOUVER ISLAND. AND IT CONTINUED TONIGHT. BUT THAT GREEN BREAKTHROUGH DID NOT HAPPEN.>>Rosemary: GOOD TO KNOW HOW THAT UNFOLDED.>>STICK WITH VANCOUVER ISLAND, BECAUSE JAGMEET SINGH IN THE FINAL DAYS SPENT A LOT OF TIME THERE. PUT OUT AN ATTACK PAMPHLET AGO GOING AFTER THE PREPARE. IN ESQUIMALT, THE INCUMBENT HAS A 2400-VOTE LEAD OVER MERNER OF THE GREEN PARTY. AND IN VICTORIA, THE MUNICIPALITY COUNCILLOR HAS HELD THAT SEAT WITH 2400 VOTES. DISAPPOINTING FOR THE GREEN PARTY. LIZ MAY HAS INCREASED HER CAUCUS BY 300% THIS YEAR, BUT FROM ONE TO THREE.>>Rosemary: SOMETIMES THE BAR DOESN’T HAVE TO BE THAT HIGH, DAVID. ANDREW CHANG?>>Andrew: WELL, LET’S LOOK AT WHAT THE GREENS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO DO IF YOU TAKE THE WHOLE COUNTRY AS MULTIPLE PIECES AND BREAK IT DOWN PROVINCE BY PROVINCE. SO WHAT THEY HAVE BEEN ABLE TO DO IS BUILD ON THEIR SHARE OF THE POPULAR VOTE ACROSS THE BOARD. IN EVERY SINGLE PROVINCIAL CASE. AND YOU KNOW, GRANTED SASKATCHEWAN, ALBERTA, YOU HAVE VERY SMALL GAINS, BUT THEY’RE GAINS ACROSS THE BOARD. WHAT DOES THAT ADD UP TO? THE GREENS HAVE MANAGED TO ALMOST DOUBLE THEIR SHARE OF THE POPULAR VOTE. YOU KNOW, MAYBE TWO WAYS OF LOOKING AT THAT. ONE IS DOUBLE OF THE SMALL NUMBER, IT’S STILL A SMALL NUMBER. BUT NATIONALLY, THEY HAVE ALMOST A MILLION VOTES CAST IN THEIR FAVOUR. YOU COMPARE THAT TO THE BLOC QUEBECOIS THAT HAS 1.2 MILLION VOTES, BUT THEY END UP WITH A 10TH OF THE SEATS THAT THE BLOC HAS. YOU CAN LOOK AS A SUCCESS FOR THE GREENS, BUT FALL SHORT OF THE BREAKTHROUGH THEY WERE HOPING FOR, BUT TWO SIDES TO THAT.>>Rosemary: IN TERMS OF POPULAR VOTE, IT’S NOT THAT FAR OFF FROM WHERE THEY WERE IN — A NUMBER OF VOTERS THEY GOT, NOT TOO FAR FROM WHERE THEY WERE IN 2008. SO IT’S TRANSLATED INTO MORE SEATS, BUT ARE THEY GETTING MORE PEOPLE OUT AND LISTENING TO THEIR MESSAGE? NOT SURE. LET’S BRING YOU UP TO DATE. JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HAS BEEN ELECTED AS RIGHT NOW THE ONLY INDEPENDENT IN THE NEXT HOUSE OF COMMONS. SHE HAS WON BY 1300 VOTES. SHE QUIT CABINET OVER THE SNC-LAVALIN AFFAIR AND WAS EJECTED FROM CAUCUS AS WELL AS JANE PHILPOTT. HER GOAL WAS TO DO POLITICS DIFFERENT. ANITA BATHE IS AT JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HEADQUARTERS. I IMAGINE SHE’LL TALK AT SOME POINT?>>SHE IS EXPECTED HERE IN THE NEXT HALF HOUR. THE MOOD SHIFTED VERY QUICKLY. PEOPLE WERE BITING THEIR NAILS, WORRIED THAT THE CONSERVATIVES OR THE LIBERAL CANDIDATE WAS GOING TO TAKE THE RACE. BUT AS SOON AS JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD TOOK THE TOP SPOT, THE MOOD CHANGED INSTANTLY. PEOPLE RUSHED ON THE FLOOR, STARTED CHANTING HER NAME, VERY EXCITED, BECAUSE THIS IS A HUGE FEAT. IT’S VERY DIFFICULT IN CANADA FOR SOMEONE TO GET ELECTED AS AN INDEPENDENT. PEOPLE THROW THEIR SUPPORT BEHIND THOSE WITH THE SUPPORT OF A PARTY. AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HAS MANAGED TO PULL THIS OFF. THAT HAS EVERYBODY HERE WITH GIANT SMILES ON THEIR FACE, EXCITED AND WAITING FOR HER TO COME. WHAT I CAN SAY, IT’S CLEAR THAT THE VOTE HAS BEEN SPLIT HERE. YOU KNOW, LAST ELECTION THE LIBERALS TOOK 50% WITH THE CONSERVATIVES AND THE N.D.P. TAKING ABOUT A QUARTER EACH. AND THIS TIME, YOU SEE A MUCH TIGHTER RACE. IT WENT BACK AND FORT QUITE A BIT AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD HAS ONLY MANAGED TO SQUEAK BY. STILL A MASSIVE FEAT FOR HER. YOU KNOW, SHE WAS ABLE TO RAISE MORE THAN $400,000 FOR THIS CAMPAIGN. SHE HAD THE BACKING OF MORE THAN 400 SUPPORTERS. AND THOSE SUPPORTERS AND VOLUNTEERS WERE DOOR-KNOCKING UP UNTIL THE LAST FEW MINUTES, TRYING TO MAKE THE FINAL PUSH FOR HER. NOW EVERYBODY IS WAITING FOR HER. WE’RE TOLD SHE IS WATCHING AT HOME WITH HER MOM AND SISTER. AND I IMAGINE HER SPEECH IS GOING TO BE A HAPPY ONE.>>Rosemary: OKAY. A VERY EXCITED ROOM THERE. AND YOU’RE RIGHT, QUITE A FEAT FOR AN INDEPENDENT TO PULL THIS OFF. IT IS DIFFICULT IF YOU DON’T HAVE THE ORGANIZATION, THE MONEY RIGHT AT YOUR FINGER TIPS. SO SHE’S MANAGED TO DO THAT, SO CREDIT WHERE CREDIT IS DUE. WE’LL CHECK BACK WITH YOU. THERE ARE PLACES THERE FOR JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD TO FIND ALLIANCE ITS AND FRIENDSHIPS, PROBABLY NOT WITHIN THE LIBERAL PARTY, BUT SHE’S BEEN PRESENT AT SOME GREEN PARTY PARTIES AND HANGING OUT WITH ELIZABETH MAY A LITTLE BIT. ELIZABETH MAY OFFERED TO LEAVE THE GREEN PARTY AS LEADER AND GIVE IT OVER TO JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD. SHE DIDN’T WANT TO DO THAT, BUT THERE ARE ALLIANCES. THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES HAS TWEETED, AS HE DOES, THIS TIME CONGRATULATING JUSTIN TRUDEAU ON “A WONDERFUL AND HARD-FOUGHT VICTORY”. HE CONTINUES ON CANADA IS WELL SERVED AND I LOOK FORWARD TO WORKING WITH YOU TOWARD THE BETTERMENT OF OUR COUNTRIES. WE KNOW HE’S SAID OTHER THINGS ABOUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU, BUT TONIGHT SENDING HIS CONGRATULATIONS. I’LL UPDATE PEOPLE ON THIS OTHER NEWS. JAGMEET SINGH AND ANDREW SCHEER HAVE NOW PLACED CALLS TO JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND THEY’VE SPOKEN TO HIM ON THE PHONE, WHICH MEANS THAT WE’RE MOVING TOWARDS HEARING FROM THESE PEOPLE, BECAUSE GENERALLY THAT’S WHAT YOU DO, MAKE A CALL, SAY CONGRATULATIONS AND THEN COME OUT AND GIVE YOUR SPEECH. I’LL GIVE VASSY A CHANCE TO WEIGH IN.>>Vassy: I’LL PICK SOMETHING EXTRA OUT OF THAT AND LOOK TOWARDS WHAT WE MIGHT HEAR FROM MR. ANDREW SCHEER, BECAUSE HE’LL SPEAK BEFORE MR. TRUDEAU. THAT IS AROUND THE POPULAR VOTE. WE TOUCHED ON THIS, BUT IT’S REALLY INTERESTING THAT THE CONSERVATIVES RIGHT NOW — I’M JUST LOOKING AT THE LATEST NUMBERS — THEY HELD 34.4%. I’M INTERESTED TO SEE HOW THAT ENDS UP BEING FRAMED BY THE CONSERVATIVES. IN THE SAME WAY I WAS LOOKING TO SEE WITH MR. TRUDEAU IF THERE WOULD BE HUMILITY ALONG WITH THE WAY HE DELIVERS — CONVEYS THIS AS A WIN. I’M WONDERING IF THERE WILL BE DESIRE ON THE PART OF THE CONSERVATIVES TO FRAME THIS AS, HEY, WE WON THE POPULAR VOTE, BUT — >>Rosemary: ALLAH HILLARY CLINTON.>>SPEAKING OF DONALD TRUMP, YEAH. [LAUGHTER] AND WHETHER THERE WILL BE HUMILITY IN THE MESSAGE. I’M INTERESTED IN SEEING HOW THEY FRAME THE WAY THEY AND THEIR PARTY ENDED UP TONIGHT.>>Rosemary: THIS IS THE WAY THE SYSTEM WORKS, RIGHT. FOR NOW. WE’LL SEE WHETHER ANDREW COYNE WANTS TO MAKE THE CASE AGAIN. BUT YOU CAN HAVE A PERCENTAGE OF THE VOTE THAT IS CLOSE, BUT IF YOU’RE GETTING SEATS IN PLACES WHERE THERE ARE MORE SEATS, IN URBAN CENTRES, YOU END UP WITH MORE SEATS. THAT’S THE WAY THE MAP LOOKS. IN ALBERTA, TO YOUR POINT, THEY HAVE 68.8% OF THE VOTE. THAT’S PRETTY DEFINITIVE THAT’S WHERE PEOPLE WANT TO BE.>>Vassy: IT IS DEFINITIVE, BUT YOU LOOK OUT IN THE MAP AND SEE THE NUMBERS. AND YOU SEE ALMOST EQUAL PARTS OF CANADIAN SOCIETY FEELING VERY DIFFERENTLY ABOUT THE OUTCOME THEY WANTED TONIGHT. I IMAGINE THAT ALSO DOESN’T LEND ITSELF TO THE EASIEST JOB FOR THE PRIME MINISTER GOING FORWARD AND BRIDGING PEOPLE AND REGIONS TOGETHER. IT NOT JUST ABOUT APPEALING TONIGHT. IT’S GOING TO BE DIFFICULT TO DO.>>Rosemary: THOSE SPEECHES, THAT’S WHY WE’RE HANGING AROUND UNTIL ALL HOURS, BECAUSE THE SPEECHES ARE IMPORTANT TO SETTING THE TONE OF WHAT YOU’RE GOING TO DO IN PARLIAMENT AND HOW YOU’RE GOING TO APPROACH THESE PEOPLE. AND MORE IMPORTANTLY, APPROACH CANADIANS WHO EITHER CHOSE YOU OR DIDN’T CHOOSE YOU AND NOW FEEL A LITTLE ISOLATED AND WORRIED IF YOU’RE GOING TO PAY ATTENTION TO THEM. WE ARE STANDING BY FOR JAGMEET SINGH. WE WERE TOLD HE’S GOING TO COME IN ABOUT A MINUTE’S TIME. AND THEN WE’LL HEAR ELIZABETH MAY. THIS IS JUST THE SHOT IN THE ROOM. THIS IS PROBABLY THEM JUST GETTING READY TO INTRODUCE JAGMEET SINGH AS HE COMES ONTO THE STAGE. I’M GOING TO GET MEAGAN LESLIE TO DIP IN. WHAT KIND OF MESSAGE WOULD WE EXPECT?>>I EXPECT IT’S GOING TO BE POSITIVE. I EXPECT IT IS GOING TO BE OPEN TO WORKING TOGETHER. I THOUGHT BLANCHET’S SPEECH WAS IN THAT TONE, TOO. MY ONLY EXPERIENCE WITH MINORITY WAS AS M.P. WITH A COMMITTEE, I FELT I COULD GET THINGS DONE AND ADVANCE MY AGENDA BY WORKING WITH OTHER PARTIES. THE HOUSE OF COMMONS WAS A LITTLE ON THE TOXIC END, THOUGH. THE GRAND STANDING AND THE GOVERNMENT ONLY LASTED A COUPLE OF YEARS. BUT WE HAVE A CURRENT EXAMPLE OF THINGS WORKING IN B.C. AND REMEMBER THAT THE B.C. ELECTION, THERE WAS A LOT OF MUD-SLINGING. THERE WAS A LOT OF NAME-CALLING AND IT WAS UGLY, YET THE N.D.P. AND THE GREENS HAVE BEEN ABLE TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO MAKE IT WORK. THEY’RE PROUD OF THE WORK THEY’RE DOING ON CLEAN B.C., SO WE CAN TAKE THAT AS A ROLE MODEL. I EXPECT JAGMEET SINGH WILL BE POSITIVE AS DEMONSTRATED IN B.C.>>Rosemary: YOU CAN SEE ALL THE DIFFERENT ROOMS NOW READY TO HEAR FROM THE LEADERS. WE’RE STANDING BY FOR JAGMEET SINGH. THAT’S THE PERSON — THERE IS LOTS OF JUMPING AT HIS RALLIES. IT’S VERY INVIGORATING [LAUGHTER]. HERE HE IS WITH HIS WIFE COMING OUT TO TALK TO THE CROWDS AND GIVE US HIS SENSE OF WHAT THE RESULTS THAT HE’S RECEIVED TONIGHT SAY ABOUT THE PARTY, HIM AND ABOUT HIS FUTURE AND WHERE HE SEES THIS MINORITY GOVERNMENT GOING. I REMEMBER DAVID COCHRANE TELLING ME HOW MANY MINORITY GOVERNMENTS?>>NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, P.E.I. NEW BRUNSWICK, AND B.C. FOUR AT THE PROVINCIAL LEVEL. ONE IN THE FEDERAL LEVEL.>>Rosemary: REALLY?>>CHANTAL IS NODDING. SHE’S A WIKIPEDIA.>>I DON’T THINK WE’VE SEEN MORE THAN FOUR, PLUS THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT COMING IN.>>Rosemary: PETER, WELL, HE’S GOING TO START TALKING, BUT WHAT KIND OF SPEECH WOULD YOU EXPECT FROM JAGMEET SINGH TONIGHT?>>Peter: WELL, HE LOOKS LIKE HE’S IN A GOOD MOOD. HE’S GOING TO TRY TO GIVE AN UPBEAT SPEECH. THEY ALL SAID WE WERE WRITTEN OFF, AND HERE WE ARE IN FOURTH PLACE, BUT WE HAVE 25 SEATS.>>WE’RE GOING TO MAKE A GO OF IT.>>Rosemary: IT’S HARD — I GET WHAT YOU’RE SAYING, THAT’S PROBABLY WHAT’S HE’S GOING TO SAY, BUT THAT’S A HARD THING TO SPIN.>>Peter: SURE IT IS.>>Rosemary: 1993 WAS THE LAST TIME N.D.P. WAS REDUCED TO FOURTH PLACE AND THEY STAYED THERE FOR THE NEXT 18 YEARS.>>Peter: YEAH, BUT THIS ISN’T THE DAY OF 12 SEATS AND 8 SEATS. IT WAS BRUTAL BACK THEN.>>Rosemary: LET’S DIP INTO BURNABY WHERE JAGMEET SINGH IS ABOUT TO SPEAK. WE’LL STAND BY FOR THE OTHER LEADERS TO COME OUT AS WELL. HERE HE IS THE N.D.P. LEADER WINNING 25 SEATS TONIGHT IN THE COUNTRY. [ ♪♪♪ ] THANK YOU SO MUCH. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THANK YOU. WOO! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WOO! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THANK YOU, THANK YOU. THANK YOU VERY MUCH, MY FRIENDS. THANK YOU SO MUCH. OH, MAN, THE LOVE. THE LOVE IS REAL. THANK YOU. THANK YOU. I APPRECIATE THE LOVE. [Speaking French]>>Translator: THANK YOU ALL VERY MUCH FOR BEING HERE, FOR YOUR INVOLVEMENT. IT’S A REAL HONOUR TO BE HERE WITH YOU. THANK YOU FOR EVERYTHING YOU DID. MY FRIENDS, BEFORE I GO ANY FURTHER, I WANT TO ACKNOWLEDGE THE TRADITIONAL TERRITORIES WE’RE GATHERED UPON. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THE UNCEDED SALISH TERRITORIES OF THE SQUAMISH, THE MUSQUEAM, THE FIRST NATIONS. MY FRIENDS, THIS HAS BEEN AN INCREDIBLE NIGHT, AN INCREDIBLE CAMPAIGN, INCREDIBLE JOURNEY AND IT IS SUCH AN AMAZING HONOUR TO BE HOME HERE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA WITH ALL OF YOU. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I ALSO WANT TO TAKE A MOMENT TO CONGRATULATE MR. TRUDEAU AND THE LIBERAL PARTY FOR THE EVENING’S RESULTS. I WANT TO CONGRATULATE THEM. THE NEW PRIME MINISTER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND I SPOKE WITH MR. TRUDEAU, THE PRIME MINISTER, EARLIER TONIGHT. AND I LET HIM KNOW THAT WE’LL BE WORKING HARD ON MAKING SURE WE DELIVER THE PRIORITIES THAT CANADIANS HAVE THAT ALL OF YOU HAVE. [APPLAUSE] WE’RE GOING TO MAKE SURE THAT THE ENERGY THAT WE BUILT OVER THIS CAMPAIGN, THE EXCITEMENT THAT WE BUILT, AND THE FOCUS THAT WE PUT ON PEOPLE, ON PEOPLE’S STRUGGLES CONTINUES SO WE CAN PLAY A POSITIVE ROLE IN THE NEW PARLIAMENT THAT CANADIANS HAVE CHOSEN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I WANT YOU TO KNOW, THIS IS ALWAYS GOING TO BE OUR FOCUS. WHEN WE GET BACK TO OTTAWA, EVERY SINGLE DAY THAT WE’RE IN PARLIAMENT, NEW DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO BE WORKING HARD TO MAKE SURE YOUR LIFE IS BETTER. THAT CANADIANS’ LIFE IS BETTER. THAT PEOPLE’S LIVES ARE BETTER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I ALSO WANT TO CONGRATULATE THE OTHER LEADERS OF THE PARTIES, MR. SCHEER, MS. MAY AND MR. BLANCHET. I WANT TO CONGRATULATE ANYONE — ANYONE WHO ALLOWED THEIR NAME TO STAND FOR ANY PARTY. IT’S A TOUGH THING TO DO. I WANT TO THANK YOU ALL. I GOT TO TELL YOU, I AM REALLY PROUD TO BE ABLE TO LEAD A TEAM THAT IS THE MOST DIVERSE, THAT REPRESENTED WOMEN, THAT REPRESENTED LGBTQ. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THIS TEAM, THIS TEAM WAS MOST ONE OF THE MOST CARING AND DIVERSE TEAMS WE’VE BEEN ABLE TO RUN AND I’M SO HONOURED TO BE ABLE TO LEAD THAT TEAM. [APPLAUSE] AND I WANT TO THANK — I WANT TO THANK THE TENS OF THOUSANDS OF VOLUNTEERS THAT CAME OUT TO SUPPORT OUR CAMPAIGNS AND OUR TEAMS ACROSS THIS COUNTRY. THERE ARE FAR TOO MANY PEOPLE FOR ME TO NAME. I’M SURE YOU CAN IMAGINE THAT. BUT I’M JUST GOING TO NAME A COUPLE. FIRST OFF, SOMEONE WHO HAS BEEN BESIDE ME, BY MY SIDE THROUGHOUT THIS JOURNEY, THROUGHOUT THIS ADVENTURE, MY WIFE, MY LIFE PARTNER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] SHE STOLE THE SHOW ONCE ALREADY. I WOULD LOVE FOR HER TO STEAL THE SHOW AGAIN. I ALSO WANT TO THANK MY FAMILY, MY BROTHER, MY MOM AND DAD AND MY SISTER. EVERYONE WHO HAS BEEN SUCH A BIG SUPPORT TO ME THROUGHOUT MY LIFE. MY FRIENDS AND MY TEAM IN OTTAWA. MY TEAM HERE IN B.C. MY TEAM ACROSS THE COUNTRY. THANK YOU SO MUCH. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] NOW, AGAIN, THERE IS FAR TOO MANY PEOPLE FOR ME TO NAME, BUT IF I CAN JUST NAME TWO PEOPLE THAT CAN REPRESENT THE ENTIRE TEAM I HAVE, IT’S HARD TO DO THAT, BUT THERE ARE TWO I THINK YOU WOULDN’T MIND IF I RECOGNIZE. THEY DON’T KNOW I’M DOING THIS, BUT I WANT TO RECOGNIZE TWO PEOPLE, TWO INCREDIBLE WOMEN WHO WERE INTEGRAL TO THE CAMPAIGN. I’M PROUD TO SAY THEY’RE WOMEN, IT’S SOMETHING THAT IS REALLY POWERFUL IN OUR PARTY. MY CAMPAIGN DIRECTOR JENNIFER HOWARD. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND MY NATIONAL DIRECTOR MELISSA BRUNEAU. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] TWO OF THE MOST POWERFUL POSITIONS IN THE PARTY, BOTH YOUNG — YOUNGISH. YOUNG, POWERFUL WOMEN. LET’S JUST SAY, THEY’RE POWERFUL WOMEN. EITHER MELISSA OR JENNIFER ARE GOING TO BE MAD AT ME OVER THAT ONE. BOTH. I ALSO WANT TO THANK THE INCREDIBLE PEOPLE OF BURNABY SOUTH FOR REELECTING ME. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I’M HUMBLED THAT YOU PUT YOUR TRUST IN ME. THANK YOU AND I’M GOING TO CONTINUE TO WORK INCREDIBLY HARD TO WORK WITH YOU, FOR YOU, THANK YOU. I GOT TO TELL YOU, I’VE MET THROUGHOUT THIS CAMPAIGN SOME INCREDIBLE PEOPLE. SOME INSPIRATIONAL PEOPLE. AND I’M INSPIRED BY THEM. THEIR STORIES HAVE STUCK WITH ME. I’VE MET THE FOLKS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. FOLKS THAT INSPIRE THE WORK WE DO AS NEW DEMOCRATS. ONE OF THOSE IS A YOUNG BOY, BARELY 10 YEARS OLD, WHO LIVES WITH A CHRONIC ILLNESS AND TOLD ME HE WASN’T WORRIED ABOUT THE CHRONIC ILLNESS, WASN’T WORRIED ABOUT THE MEDICATION AND THE INJECTIONS AND THE FACT THAT IF HE DIDN’T STAY ON TOP OF HIS MEDICATION, OR BLOOD WORK HE MIGHT DIE. HE TOLD ME HE WASN’T WORRIED ABOUT ANY OF THAT, BUT WAS WORRIED THAT THE MEDICATION WAS COSTING A LOT FOR HIS MOM AND DAD AND HE WAS WORRIED ABOUT BEING A BURDEN TO HIS FAMILY. I REMEMBER THAT YOUNG MAN AND THE FACT THAT SOMEONE AS YOUNG AS THAT FELT LIKE HE WAS A BURDEN IN A COUNTRY AS RICH AS OURS AND THAT’S PART OF THE REASON WE’RE FIGHTING FOR THAT YOUNG MAN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I ALSO WANT TO TALK ABOUT GRASSY NARROWS. A COMMUNITY THAT REPRESENTS THE INJUSTICE HISTORICALLY AND ONGOING THAT INDIGENOUS PEOPLE CONTINUE TO FACE. THERE ARE PEOPLE IN GRASSY NARROWS SO RESILIENT IN THE FACE OF NEGLECT AND NEGLIGENCE AND BEING IGNORED, BEING TOLD THEY DON’T MATTER, BEING RIDICULED. WE’VE BROUGHT THE NATIONAL CAMPAIGN TO GRASSY NARROWS TO KNOW THEY DO MATTER, THEY ARE WORTH IT. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND THAT INDIGENOUS RECONCILIATION IS SOMETIMES AS SIMPLE AS BASIC RESPECT AND DIGNITY FOR THE FIRST PEOPLE OF THIS LAND. AND THAT MEANS CLEAN DRINKING WATER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THAT MEANS NOT TAKING INDIGENOUS KIDS TO COURTS. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THAT MEANS EQUAL FUNDING FOR CHILD WELFARE, FOR EDUCATION AND QUALITY HOMES. [Speaking French]>>Translator: FRIENDS, I MET YOUNG PEOPLE FROM ALL BACKGROUNDS. PEOPLE WHO HAVE HAD TROUBLE AND THEY WERE CYNICAL ABOUT POLITICIANS. THEY WEREN’T CONVINCED, BUT THEY SAID THEY’RE ALL THE SAME. SO TO THE PEOPLE OF QUÉBEC, I WANT TO SAY THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] OF COURSE, THE RESULTS ARE NOT WHAT WE WANTED, BUT THE WELCOME I RECEIVED IN QUÉBEC WARMED MY HEART. THIS FIRST ELECTORAL RENDEZVOUS ALLOWED US TO CONNECT AND I WAS ABLE TO SHOW YOU THAT WE SHARE THE SAME VALUES. AND I AM GRATEFUL FOR THE SUPPORT THAT WE RECEIVED THIS EVENING. BUT IT WASN’T ENOUGH. WE WILL CONTINUE TO FIGHT FOR YOU. [APPLAUSE] WE ARE NOT GOING TO ABANDON QUÉBEC. WE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A PRESENCE THERE. I WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A PRESENCE THERE. I SAID THAT WE WOULD UNITE QUÉBEC PROGRESSIVES WITH PROGRESSIVES IN THE REST OF CANADA. AND TOGETHER WE CAN DO THAT. AND WE WILL DO IT. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] JACK BEGAN THE WORK. AND WE WILL CONTINUE IT. BECAUSE PROGRESSIVES ARE US. WE ARE THE PROGRESSIVES. THANK YOU, FRIENDS, AND SEE YOU SOON. KEEP UP THE WORK. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] FRIENDS, THROUGHOUT THIS CAMPAIGN I’VE HEARD A LOT OF STORIES ABOUT CANADIANS, FROM CANADIANS, WHO ARE STRUGGLING AND JUST WANT TO BUILD A GOOD LIFE, BUT ARE FINDING IT HARDER AND HARDER TO DO SO. TO THOSE CANADIANS I WANT TO SAY THIS TO YOU TONIGHT. NEW DEMOCRATS ARE GOING TO OTTAWA TO FIGHT FOR YOU. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND, FRIENDS, IN THE DAYS AHEAD, I’LL BE MEETING MY NEW CAUCUS AND WE’RE GOING TO SIT TOGETHER AND TALK ABOUT HOW WE CAN DELIVER FOR THE PEOPLE OF THIS COUNTRY. [please stand by] [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THAT MEANS A NATIONALLY PUBLICALLY DELIVERED PHARMACARE FOR ALL! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>WE WANT TO HELP CANADIANS BE ABLE TO GET A HOME THAT THEY CAN AFFORD. IT’S NOT A TAX CUT FOR THE RICHEST CANADIANS BUT TACKLING STUDENT DEBT BUT WAIVING ALL INTEREST ON STUDENT LOANS. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>REAL AND URGENT TO FIGHT THE CLIMATE CRISIS AND REINVESTING IN CLEAN, RENEWABLE ENERGY. AND TO MAKE SURE — ABSOLUTELY, WE HAVE TO INVEST IN HOUSING. WE’RE GOING TO DO THAT. CHEER CHEER.>>AND WE’RE ALSO GOING TO MAKE SURE WE’RE GOING TO DO SOMETHING NO ONE ELSE IS READY TO SAY BUT WE’RE PROUD TO SAY AND WE’LL SAY IT AGAIN AND AGAIN. WE’RE GOING TO MAKE SURE THAT THE SUPER WEALTHY START PAYING THEIR FAIR SHARE. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>WE’RE ON IT. (CHANTING TAX THE RICH) JASMEET SINGH MY FRIENDS, THAT’S EXACTLY WHAT WE’RE GOING TO DO. THIS IS WHAT WE’LL PUT AT THE HEART OF CONVERSATIONS THAT WE’LL HAVE IN THE DAYS AND WEEKS TO COME AND IF THE OTHER PARTIES WORK WITH US, WE HAVE AN INCREDIBLE OPPORTUNITY TO MAKE THE LIVES OF ALL CANADIANS SO MUCH BETTER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>I WANT TO TALK TO THE MANY CANADIANS THAT REJECTED THE CALL TO VOTE OUT OF FEAR AND THANK THEM FOR VOTING FOR HOPE. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>AND IF ANY ELECTIONS SHOW THE IMPORTANCE OF THIS ISSUE, THIS ELECTION SHOWED IT WITH ELECTORAL REFORM, WE COULD MAKE SURE — [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>– WITH ELECTORAL REFORM, WE CAN MAKE SURE –>>Rosemary: THAT’S JASMEET SINGH STILL GIVING HIS CLOSING SPEECH. LET’S TAKE YOU NOW TO REGINA WHERE ANDREW SCHEER IS GETTING READY TO SPEAK, THE LEADER OF THE OPPOSITION.>>Andrew Scheer: SO GREAT TO BE BACK IN SASKATCHEWAN. FIRST AND FOREMOST, I WANT TO THANK THE VOTERS OF REGINA-QU’APPELLE ELECTING ME IS YOUR MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT. THANK YOU TO ALL OF THE VOLUNTEERS THAT WORKED HARD IN THE CAMPAIGN OFFICE AND WHO KNOCKED ON DOORS, PUT UP SIGNS. JOAN BALIS, THANK YOU SO MUCH FOR RUNNING A CAMPAIGN WHILE I I WILL WORK HARD TO REPAY THE TRUST YOU HAVE PUT IN ME. I ALSO SAY THANK YOU TO ALL 336 CONSERVATIVE PARTY CANDIDATES FOR YOUR HARD WORK DURING THIS CAMPAIGN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>AND A SPECIAL NOTE OF CONGRATULATIONS FOR MY TWO NEW COLLEAGUES, WARREN STANLEY IN REGINA LEUVAN AND MIKE CRAWLEY IN REGINA. TO EVERYBODY ACROSS THE COUNTRY WHO JOINED OUR CONSERVATIVE TEAM OVER THE LAST 40 DAYS, WHETHER YOU KNOCKED ON DOORS, PUT IN LAWN SIGNS.>>Rosemary: THIS IS NOT HOW THINGS ARE DONE. GENERALLY, WE ALL WAIT OUR TURN SO WE’RE OFF TO A REARING START AND HERE IS JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND WE’LL GO BACK TO ANDREW SCHEER IF WE NEED TO. FROM COAST TO COAST TO COAST, TONIGHT CANADIANS REJECTED DIVISION AND NEGATIVITY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND THEY REJECTED CUTS AND AUSTERITY AND VOTED IN FAVOUR OF A PROGRESSIVE AGENDA AND STRONG ACTION ON CLIMATE CHANGE! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I HAVE HEARD YOU, MY FRIENDS. YOU ARE SENDING OUR LIBERAL TEAM BACK TO WORK. BACK TO OTTAWA WITH A CLEAR MANDATE. WE WILL MAKE LIFE MORE AFFORDABLE AND WE WILL CONTINUE TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE. WE WILL GET GUNS OFF OUR STREETS AND WE WILL KEEP INVESTING IN CANADIANS! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>CANADIANS HAVE ENTRUSTED US WITH THE RESPONSIBILITY OF CONTINUING TO GOVERN, BUT NONE OF THAT WOULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLY WITHOUT THE EFFORTS AND SACRIFICES OF MANY, MANY PEOPLE. I HAVE SO MANY PEOPLE TO THANK AND I KNOW I’M GOING TO BE SPENDING A LOT OF TIME ON THE PHONE IN THE COMING DAYS, BUT TONIGHT THERE ARE FEW PEOPLE IN PARTICULAR THAT I HAVE TO THANK. FIRST OF ALL, MY SOPHIE. WE BEGAN THIS POLITICAL ADVENTURE TOGETHER TEN YEARS AGO BECAUSE WE BELIEVED IN A BETTER FUTURE, BECAUSE WE KNEW THAT IT WAS WORTHWHILE FIGHTING FOR A BETTER, MORE PROSPEROUS CANADA.>>Rosemary: WE PUT UP ALL THREE LEADERS SPEAKING AT THE SAME TIME. GENERALLY YOU TAKE YOUR TURN AND THE PERSON WHO WINS GETS TO GO LAST BUT WE’RE SPEAKING WITH THE PRIME MINISTER BECAUSE THAT’S THE GUY WHO WON. WE’LL BRING YOU MORE OF JASMEET SINGH AND ANDREW SCHEER BUT LET’S GO BACK TO JUSTIN TRUDEAU FOR HOW.>>EVERY SINGLE DAY YOU INSPIRE ME TO DO MORE AND DO BETTER AND EVERYTHING I DO, I DO FOR YOU AND YOUR GENERATION. YOU REMIND ME EVERY SINGLE DAY THAT I HAVE TO TAKE SOME TIME TO APPRECIATE THE LIFE WE HAVE AND HOW LUCKY WE ARE AND ALL OF THE ROLES — OF ALL THE ROLES I HAVE, THE ONE I HAVE IS THE ONE I LIKE MOST. AND TO THE VERY BEST CAMPAIGN TEAM ASSEMBLED IN CANADA, OUR CANDIDATES, STAFF AND VOLUNTEERS, NONE OF THIS WOULD HAVE BEEN POSSIBLE WITHOUT YOU. THANK YOU FOR THE EARLY MORNINGS AND THE LATE NIGHTS. YOU’VE SACRIFICED A LOT, TAKING TIME AWAY FROM FAMILY AND FRIENDS TO MOVE CANADA FORWARD. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND I CANNOT THANK YOU ENOUGH, SO INSTEAD I’LL SAY THIS, YOU DID IT, MY FRIENDS. CONGRATULATIONS! TO THE LEADERS OF THE OTHER PARTIES AND THEIR FAMILIES, THANK YOU FOR BEING A PART OF THIS ESSENTIAL EXERCISE IN DEMOCRACY. YOU HAVE CHOSEN TO SERVE. THANK YOU FOR STEPPING UP IN THIS CAMPAIGN AND IN THIS POLITICAL LIFE. (SPEAKING FRENCH). AND, OF COURSE, I HAVE TO THANK THE PEOPLE OF PAPINEAU. FOR MORE THAN TEN YEARS ONE HAVE ENTRUSTED ME WITH YOUR CONFIDENCE AND IT’S A GREAT PRIVILEGE FOR ME TO CONTINUE TO REPRESENT YOU AND TO CONTINUE TO BE A STRONG VOICE FOR YOU. THANK YOU. THANK YOU SO MUCH. (CHANTING JUSTIN).>>OF COURSE, TO MY FELLOW CANADIANS, IT HAS BEEN THE GREATEST HONOUR OF MY LIFE TO SERVE YOU FOR THESE PAST FOUR YEARS AND TONIGHT, YOU’RE SENDING US BACK TO WORK FOR YOU. WE TAKE THIS RESPONSIBILITY SERIOUSLY. AND WE WILL WORK HARD FOR YOU, FOR YOUR FAMILIES AND FOR YOUR FUTURE. TO THOSE WHO VOTED FOR OUR PARTY, THANK YOU FOR PUTTING YOUR TRUST IN OUR TEAM. THANK YOU FOR HAVING FAITH IN US. TO MOVE THIS COUNTRY IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION. AND TO THOSE, AND TO THOSE WHO DID NOT VOTE FOR US, KNOW THAT WE WILL WORK EVERY SINGLE DAY FOR YOU. WE WILL GOVERN FOR EVERYONE! CHEER CHEER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>REGARDLESS OF HOW YOU CAST YOUR BALLOT, OURS IS A TEAM THAT WILL FIGHT FOR ALL CANADIANS. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>DEAR QUEBECORS, I HEARD YOUR MESSAGE TONIGHT. YOU WANT TO CONTINUE TO GO FORWARD WITH US, BUT YOU ALSO WANT TO ENSURE THAT THE VOICE OF QUEBEC CAN BE HEARD EVEN MORE IN OTTAWA AND I CAN TELL YOU THAT MY TEAM AND I WILL BE THERE FOR YOU.>>TO CANADIANS IN ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN, KNOW THAT YOU ARE AN ESSENTIAL PART OF OUR GREAT COUNTRY. I’VE HEARD YOUR FRUSTRATION AND I WANT TO BE THERE TO SUPPORT YOU. LET US ALL WORK HARD TO BRING OUR COUNTRY TOGETHER. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>FOR FOUR YEARS, WE HAVE DONE EVERYTHING WE COULD TO IMPROVE PEOPLE’S LIVES AND THAT IS WHAT WE WILL CONTINUE TO DO IN THE COMING YEARS. FRIENDS, YOU ARE SENDING US TO OTTAWA WITH A CLEAR MANDATE, CONTINUE TO GO FORWARD AND TO MOVE THIS COUNTRY FORWARD. YOU ASKED US TO INVEST IN CANADIANS. , TO MAKE RECONCILIATION WITH THE INDIGENOUS PEOPLES A PRIORITY TO SHOW EVEN GREATER VISION AND AMBITION AS WE TACKLE THE GREATEST CHALLENGE OF OUR TIMES, CLIMATE CHANGE. AND THAT IS EXACTLY WHAT WE WILL DO. WE KNOW THAT THERE IS A LOT OF WORK STILL TO BE DONE BUT I SWEAR TO YOU THAT WE WILL CONTINUE WHAT WE HAVE BEGUN. BECAUSE LIBERALS KNOW, LIKE ALL CANADIANS KNOW, THAT IT IS ALWAYS POSSIBLE TO DO BETTER.>>ONE OF MY FAVOURITE PRIME MINISTERS, WILFRED LAURIER TALKED ABOUT COMMON GOALS AND ASPIRATIONS AND YOU’VE THOUGHT ABOUT THAT A LOT SINCE GETTING INTO POLITICS. I’VE SEEN THERE’S SO MUCH MORE THAN UNITES US THAN DIVIDES US. CANADIANS EXPECT US CALL TO FOCUS ON OUR SHARED VISION OF A STRONGER CANADA AND I INTEND TO WORK HARD TO MAKE THAT A REALITY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WE ALL WANT SAFER COMMUNITIES, A CLEANER PLANET AND A GOOD QUALITY OF LIFE. WE WANT THIS FOR OURSELVES, OUR NEIGHBOURS AND FOR OUR KIDS AND GRANDKIDS. WE SEEK HARDSHIP FORNONE AND PROSPERITY FOR ALL. THAT IS THE WORLD WE’RE WORKING TOWARD. IF WE UNITE AROUND THESE COMMON GOALS, I KNOW WE CAN ACHIEVE THEM. IN THE YEARS AHEAD, OUR TEAM WILL WORK HARD TO BUILD ON THE PROGRESS MADE BY THE CANADIANS WHO CAME BEFORE US. WE WILL CHAMPION CANADA IN ALL ITS DIVERSITY. WE WILL GIVE VOICE TO THE VOICELESS AND IN EVERY DECISION WE MAKE AS YOUR GOVERNMENT, WE WILL ALWAYS PUT THIS COUNTRY AND ITS PEOPLE FIRST. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>WE WILL HELP THE WIDOW WHO HAS LOST HER PARTNER AFTER 48 YEARS OF COMMON LIFE. WE WILL HELP THOSE STUDENTS WHO ARE MARCHING FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ACTION AND WE WILL HELP THE MOTHER WITH THREE CHILDREN THAT NEEDS A LITTLE BIT MORE HELP AT THE END OF THE MONTH.>>THESE LAST FEW DAYS I’VE DONE RALLIES ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND I’VE TOLD DEAN’S STORY. DEAN VOTED HIS CONSERVATIVE HIS ENTIRE LIFE BUT THIS TIME AROUND, HE DECIDED TO VOTE LIBERAL ON BEHALF OF HIS DAUGHTER. YOU SEE, HE UNDERSTOOD THAT THIS ELECTION WAS ABOUT SO MUCH MORE THAN JUST THE NEXT FOUR YEARS. THAT THIS ELECTION IS ABOUT THE NEXT 40 YEARS. IT’S ABOUT THE KIND OF CANADA THAT HIS DAUGHTER AND HER KIDS WILL GROW UP IN. BUT TONIGHT, I WANT TO SAY THIS TO DEAN, I NEED TO EARN YOUR VOTE, NOT JUST YOUR DAUGHTER’S. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND OVER THE COMING YEARS, I PLAN ON DOING EXACTLY THAT. MY FRIENDS, THIS ELECTION WAS ABOUT YOU. AND ABOUT THE WORLD YOUR KIDS WILL INHERIT AND TONIGHT, WE CHOSE TO MOVE CANADA FORWARD. TONIGHT CANADIANS HAVE CHARTERED A PATH FOR THE FUTURE AND I KNOW WE WILL WORK IT TOGETHER. (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>WE WILL GO FORWARD TOGETHER FOR A BETTER FUTURE. THANK YOU VERY MUCH, EVERYONE. THANK YOU MONTREAL! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] CHEER.>>Rosemary: THAT’S JUSTIN TRUDEAU HANGING ON TO GOVERNMENT BUT THIS TIME WILL HAVE TO GOVERN AS A MINORITY PRIME MINISTER AND HE DID APPEAL TO PARTS OF THE COUNTRY THAT HE WILL NEED TO REACH OUT TO IN THE COMES MONTHS. FOR INSTANCE, QUEBEC, AND HE WILL TRY TO ANSWER THOSE CALLS. [ ♪♪♪ ]>>Rosemary: HE DID APPEAL TO ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN WHERE THE LIBERAL PARTY WAS SHUT OUT, REMINDING THEM THEY ARE AN ESSENTIAL PART OF CANADA AND THAT HE WILL TRY TO BRING EVERYONE TOGETHER AND WANTS TO WORK TOGETHER WITH THEM. SO TALKING TO THE PARTS OF THE COUNTRY THAT HAVE TURNED AWAY FROM JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND ARE LIKELY NOT PLEASED TONIGHT. THE OTHER WEIRD THING THAT HAPPENED IS THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU STARTED HIS SPEECH JUST AND ANDREW SCHEER WAS STARTING HIS AND HIS JASMEET SINGH CONTINUED HIS VERY LONG SPEECH. SO WE ARE FOR FAIRNESS AND BALANCE GO BACK TO WHAT ANDREW SCHEER OF THE OPPOSITION HAD TO SAY AND PLAY THAT SPEECH IN ITS ENTIRETY SO YOU CAN UNDERSTAND THE WAY ANDREW SCHEER HAS POSITIONED TONIGHT. IF YOU ARE READY WITH THAT, LET’S GO TO ANDREW SCHEER IN REGINA, SASKATCHEWAN AS THEY MAKE THEIR WAY OUT OF THE HALL IN MONTREAL TONIGHT.>>Andrew Scheer: THANK YOU FOR THAT WARM WELCOME. IT IS ALWAYS SO GREAT TO BE BACK IN SASKATCHEWAN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>FIRST AND FOREMOST, I WANT TO THANK THE VOTERS OF REGINA-QU’APPELLE FOR ELECTING ME AS YOUR MEMBER OF PARLIAMENT. THANK YOU TO ALL OF THE VOLUNTEERS THAT WORKED HARD IN THE CAMPAIGN OFFICE AND WHO NEWO KNOCKED ON DOORS. THANK YOU TO JOAN BALIS FOR RUNNING A CAMPAIGN. THIS IS SOMETHING I WILL NEVER TAKE FOR GRANTED AND I WILL WORK HARD TO REPAY THE TRUST YOU HAVE PUT IN ME. I ALSO SAY THANK YOU TO ALL 336 CONSERVATIVE PARTY CANDIDATES FOR YOUR HARD WORK DURING THIS CAMPAIGN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND A SPECIAL NOTE OF CONGRATULATIONS FOR MY TWO NEW COLLEAGUES HERE! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND TO EVERYONE ACROSS THE COUNTRY WHO JOINED OUR CONSERVATIVE TEAM OVER THE LAST 40 DAYS, WHETHER YOU KNOCKED ON DOORS, PUT IN LAWN SIGNS, MADE A DONATION OR SIMPLY TOLD YOUR FRIEND AND NEIGHBOUR WHY YOU WERE VOTING CONSERVATIVE, OUR PARTY IS STRONG. IT IS UNITED AND WE ARE ON THE MARCH, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>WE RAN AN EXCELLENT CAMPAIGN FROM TOP TO BOTTOM AND FOR THAT, WE SHOULD ALL BE PROUD AND FINALLY, ON A PERSONAL NOTE, I WANT TO THANK MY WIFE, JILL, AND OUR FIVE CHILDREN WHO HAVE BEEN SO SUPPORTIVE. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] DURING ALL OF THE LONG WEEKS AND MONTHS ON THE ROAD, NO MATTER WHERE PUBLIC LIFE HAS TAKEN ME OR WILL TAKE ME, THE GREATEST HONOUR OF MY LIFE IS TO BE A HUSBAND AND DAD. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] NOW I HAVE JUST SPOKEN WITH PRIME MINISTER TRUDEAU TO CONGRATULATE HIM ON WINNING THE MOST SEATS AND MY MESSAGE TONIGHT IS THAT THE STRENGTH OF OUR DEMOCRACY IS NOT ONLY MEASURED BY THE BALLOTS WE CAST BUT ALSO BY HOW WE MOVE FORWARD AFTER THEY’RE COUNTED. (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>FRIENDS, I WANT TO THANK OUR 336 OTHER CANDIDATES FOR THEIR TIRELESS WORK THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN. EARLIER THIS EVENING, I SPOKE TO JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND I CONGRATULATED HIM ON WINNING THE LARGEST NUMBER OF SEATS TONIGHT AND THE STRENGTH OF OUR DEMOCRACY IS NOT ONLY MEASURED BY THE SIMPLE FACT OF VOTING BUT MEASURED IN THE WAY WE CONTINUE TO MOVE FORWARD ONCE THE VOTES HAVE BEEN COUNTED.>>Andrew Scheer: I ALSO INCREDIBLY PROUD OF OUR TEAM AND THE BIGGER, STRONGER TEAM WE WILL SEND TO OTTAWA! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] NOW, THERE ARE STILL A NUMBER OF CLOSE RACES SO WE DON’T KNOW FOR SURE HOW MANY MORE CONSERVATIVES WILL SEND TO OTTAWA TONIGHT. BUT WHAT WE DO KNOW AFTER THE 2016 ELECTION, WHEN JUSTIN TRUDEAU LOOKED UNSTOPPABLE, WHEN ALL OF THE PUNDITS SAID THAT HE WOULD HAVE EIGHT OR 12 YEARS IN POWER, BUT TONIGHT, CONSERVATIVES HAVE PUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU ON NOTICE AND Mr. TRUDEAU, WHEN YOUR GOVERNMENT FALLS, CONSERVATIVES WILL BE READY AND WE WILL WIN! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>EVEN THOUGH I’M DISAPPOINTED TONIGHT, I’M INCREDIBLY PROUD OF OUR TIME AND OF OUR CONSERVATIVE MOVEMENT. REMEMBER, FRIENDS, WHAT HAPPENED IN 2015. IT WAS PREDICTED THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU WOULD GOVERN THE COUNTRY FOR TEN OR 12 YEARS. BUT TONIGHT, WE HAVE PUT HIM ON NOTICE, HIS LEADERSHIP IS DAMAGED AND HIS GOVERNMENT WILL END SOON AND WHEN THAT TIME COMES, THE CONSERVATIVES WILL BE READY AND WE WILL WIN! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>Andrew Scheer: THE FACT IS CANADIANS HAVE PASSED JUDGMENT ON THIS LIBERAL GOVERNMENT. NOT ONLY HAVE THEY LOST OVER 20 SEATS BUT MR. TRUDEAU LOST SUPPORT IN EVERY REGION OF THE COUNTRY AND LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, WE KNEW THIS WOULD NEVER BE EASY BUT NOTHING WORTH ACHIEVING EVER IS. ONLY ONCE IN THE HISTORY OF THIS COUNTRY, HAS A FIRST-TERM GOVERNMENT BEEN DEFEATED. WE’VE MADE HISTORY OF OUR OWN, BY HOLDING A FIRST-TERM MAJORITY GOVERNMENT TO A MINORITY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] WE HAVE PICKED UP SEATS IN SUPPORT IN ALMOST EVERY REGION OF THE COUNTRY AND AT THE TIME I WALKED ON TO THE STAGE, WE ARE LEADING THE POPULAR VOTE, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] MORE CANADIANS WANTED US TO WIN THIS ELECTION THAN ANY OTHER PARTY. AND REMEMBER, REMEMBER 2004, STEPHEN HARPER’S FIRST ELECTION. HE ERASED PAUL MARTIN’S MAJORITY AND WENT ON TO LEAD A CONSERVATIVE GOVERNMENT THAT LASTED FOR NEARLY TEN YEARS. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] THIS IS HOW IT STARTS. THIS IS HOW IT STARTS. THIS IS THE FIRST STEP. AND NOW WE ARE HEADING BACK TO OTTAWA, WITH A MUCH BIGGER TEAM AND WITH MORE SUPPORT FROM COAST TO COAST AND WITH AN ENDORSEMENT FROM THE CANADIAN PEOPLE THAT WE ARE THE GOVERNMENT IN WAITING. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>FRIENDS, I WANT TO ADDRESS THE QUEBEC NATION. WITH MY QUEBEC TEAM, WE WILL CONTINUE TO WORK FOR YOU. CONSERVATIVE VALUES ARE QUEBEC VALUES AND QUEBEC VALUES ARE CONSERVATIVE VALUES. FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION, A STATE THAT ISN’T IMPOSING SO MUCH ON THE PEOPLE AND WE BELIEVE THAT, OF COURSE, MONEY IS BETTER SPENT BY THE PEOPLE THAN BY THE GOVERNMENT THAT TAXES IT. SO QUEBECORS CAN COUNT ON US TO DEFEND THEIR INTERESTS.>>Andrew Scheer: WITH THE RISE OF THE SEPARATISTS AND RESULTS IN WESTERN CANADA TONIGHT, CANADA IS A COUNTRY THAT IS FURTHER DIVIDED. BIG NATION BUILDING PROJECTS AND MAJOR INDUSTRIES REMAIN UNDER ATTACK, KEEPING THOUSANDS OF CANADIANS OUT OF WORK AND HOLDING BACK OUR NATION’S POTENTIAL. OUR COUNTRY IS MIRED IN DEFICITS AND SINKING FURTHER INTO PUBLIC SERVICES AND HIGHER TAXES. CANADIANS ARE FALLING FURTHER AND FURTHER BEHIND WITH HOUSEHOLD BUDGETS STRETCHED FARTHER THAN BEFORE. WE’RE AS VULNERABLE AS A COUNTRY AS WE HAVE EVER BEEN TO THE NEXT INEVITABLE DOWNTURN BUT I REMAIN HOPEFUL BECAUSE CANADA WAS BUILT ON CONSERVATIVE VALUES AND CONSERVATIVE VALUES WILL BE WHAT GETS US BACK ON TRACK! [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] A BELIEF IN PEOPLE NOT GOVERNMENT, A FIRM COMMITMENT TO THE FREEDOMS WE HOLD DEAR, THE FREEDOMS OF SPEECH, OF RELIGION AND CONSCIENCE AND BELIEF THAT FREE MARKETS, BALANCED BUDGETS AND SMALL GOVERNMENTS ARE THE BEST WAY TO LIFT PEOPLE OUT OF POVERTY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND A COUNTRY WHERE HARD WORK IS REWARDED, NOT PUNISHED AND THE GOVERNMENT REALIZES THAT THE BEST WAY TO HELP CANADIANS GET AHEAD IS TO LIFT PEOPLE UP, NOT TEAR PEOPLE DOWN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] I WANT TO CLOSE WITH THE WORDS OF JOHN DIFFENBAKER, WHO SAID I AM A CANADIAN, FREE TO SPEAK WITHOUT FEAR, SPEAK TO STAND FOR WHAT I THINK RIGHT AND OPPOSE WHAT I BELIEVE WRONG, FREE TO CHOSE WHO SHALL GOVERN MY COUNTRY. THIS HERITAGE I PLEDGE TO UPHOLD FOR MYSELF AND ALL MANKIND. AS WE LOOK AHEAD TO THE CHALLENGES WE WILL FACE, WE MUST TAKE THIS TO HEART BECAUSE CANADA IS NOT DEFINED BY ANY POLITICAL PARTY OR MOVEMENT. CANADA ENDURES NOT BECAUSE OF ANY ONE GOVERNMENT OR LANDLORD LEADER.IT IS BECAUSE WE ARE FRE. WE’RE FREE TO WORSHIP, FREE TO SPEAK AND BELIEVE AND FREE IN OPPORTUNITY AND BEFORE THE LAW AND WE’RE STRONG IN CHARACTER AND IN PRINCIPAL AND ACTION AND BECAUSE WE ARE ALL THESE THINGS THAT CANADA SHINES FOR EVERYONE. CONSERVATIVES MUST ALWAYS UPHOLD THESE VALUES NO MATTER WHAT WILL COME. IF WE SHALL SUFFER THEM TO FAULTER, SO, TOO, WILL CANADA ITSELF. LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, OUR STORY IS JUST BEGINNING, BUT LET’S REMEMBER THIS FEELING, COMING CLOSE BUT FALLING JUST SHORT AND LET’S USE IT AS FUEL TO REDOUBLE OUR EFFORTS BECAUSE OUR WORK IS NOT OVER AND CANADIANS ARE COUNTING ON US. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>CANADIANS ARE RELYING ON US WHEN THE TIME COMES AND WHO KNOWS WHEN THAT WILL BE. CANADIANS WILL NEED US TO REPLACE THE TRUDEAU LIBERALS. TO HONOUR ITS COMMITMENTS AND TO HELP EVERY CANADIAN GET AHEAD. THANK YOU FOR ALL OF THE SUPPORT YOU’VE GIVEN ME, FOR ALL OF YOUR HARD WORK. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>FROM THE BOTTOM OF MY HEART, THANK YOU FOR YOUR COMMITMENT TO THIS PARTY. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>Rosemary: AND THAT IS ANDREW SCHEER SPEAKING A LITTLE TIME AGO AND HE TRIED TO DO HIS SPEECH WHILE JUSTIN TRUDEAU WAS NOT YET OUT BUT THAT DIDN’T HAPPEN, SO WE WANTED TO PLAY IT IN ITS ENTIRETY FOR YOU. CERTAINLY DIDN’T SOUND LIKE THE CONSERVATIVE LEADER HAS AT THIS STAGE, ANYWAY, ANY INTENTION OF LEAVING, SAYING THEY JUST FELL SHORT BUT WILL CONTINUE TO WORK HARD TO, I GUESS, FORCE JUSTIN TRUDEAU TO MAKE SURE HE’S DOING HIS JOB PROPERLY AND KATIE SIMPSON IS IN REGINA, SASKATCHEWAN, WHERE I IMAGINE THINGS HAVE EMPTIED OUT. THE GENERAL FEELING THERE ABOUT WHAT’S NEXT OR HOW THEY DID TONIGHT.>>Reporter: THE ROOM STARTED TO EMPTY OUT ONCE RESULTS WERE CEMENTED THERE. THERE WERE A FEW MOMENTS OF JOY, EVEN THOUGH THIS IS NOT THE RESULT, OBVIOUSLY, THAT THE CONSERVATIVES HAD BEEN HOPING FOR, BUT WHEN A CANDIDATE AND NEIGHBOURING RIDING WAS ABLE TO UNSEAT THE LIBERAL INCUMBENT AND NOW, FORMER CABINET MINISTER OR SOON TO BE FORMER CABINET MINISTER, RALPH GOODALE, ANY TIME A CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE WAS THIS THE LEAD, THERE WOULD BE HUGE ROUNDS OF APPLAUSE. EVEN WHEN RALPH GOODALE WAS GIVING HIS CONCEPTION SPEECH, THERE WERE MOMENTS AND WHAT IS IMPORTANT ABOUT ANDREW SCHEER’S SPEECH, IT APPEARS THAT HE FOCUSED ON SOME OF THE POSITIVES FOR THE PARTY TONIGHT AND THAT COULD BE AN EFFORT TO TRY TO FEND OFF ANYONE WHO MIGHT WANT TO CHALLENGE HIM ON THE LEADERSHIP. HE SPOKE ABOUT AS OF THE MOMENT THAT HE WAS DELIVERING THAT SPEECH, THE CONSERVATIVES, HE HIMSELF, HAD THE POPULAR VOTE AND MORE PEOPLE VOTED FOR HIM TO BE PRIME MINISTER THAN JUSTIN TRUDEAU. THAT’S NOT HOW THE SYSTEM WORKS BUT OVERALL, THE POPULAR VOTE WAS IN THE CONSERVATIVE’S FAVOUR AT THIS TIME. HE ALSO SPOKE ABOUT HOW HE IS GOING BACK TO OTTAWA WITH MORE CONSERVATIVE M.P.S, WITH A STRONGER TEAM. SO IF ANY M.P.S, ANY CONSERVATIVE MEMBERS OF CAUCUS OR FORMER MEMBERS OF CAUCUS ARE THINKING ABOUT A LEADERSHIP RUN, HE’S TRYING TO STEM ANY TALK ABOUT THAT BECAUSE THERE’S NO INDICATION HE HAS ANY PLANS TO RESIGN AND HE SPOKE ABOUT HOW, EVEN THOUGH THEY CAME CLOSE TO TRYING TO TAKE OUT JUSTIN TRUDEAU AND TRYING TO DEFEAT THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT — WELL, THE WAY THEY DESCRIBE IT, IT SHOULD GIVE THEM MORE ENERGY, MORE FUEL TO TRY TO CONTINUE ON TO HOLD THAT LIBERAL GOVERNMENT TO ACCOUNT. HE SAID ONE LAST THING, THAT WHEN THE LIBERAL GOVERNMENT FALLS, THE CONSERVATIVES WITH BE READY TO POUNCE.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU FOR ALL OF YOUR WORK AND WRAPPING THAT UP. OBVIOUSLY ANDREW SCHEER TRYING TO POSITION THING FOR HIMSELF AND HIS PARTY IN HOPES THIS IS ENOUGH FOR HIM TO HOLD ON. WE’LL SEE HOW HIS ACTUAL CAUCUS RESPONDS TO WHAT HE’S SAYING IN THE DAYS AHEAD AND MY APOLOGIES FOR MY RETCHED COUGHING FIT. BUT JUST SO EVERYONE UNDERSTANDS THAT I WAS SLOWLY DYING BY COUGH ON TV AND NOTHING MORE. I’M BACK AND ALIVE. SALIMAH SHIVJI IS IN MONTREAL AND THE ROOM CLEARED OUT QUICKLY. HOW DO THE LIBERALS FEEL NOW THAT THEY’VE SECURED THIS MINORITY, BUT NOT EXACTLY WHAT THEY WERE HOPING FOR BUT A STRONG MINORITY, NONETHELESS.>>Reporter: IT IS MONDAY NIGHT SO PEOPLE ARE TRYING TO GET HOME. THE SPEECHES DID RUN A LITTLE BIT LATE BUT A HAPPY CROWD HERE, AS YOU SAY, A REDUCED GOVERNMENT, A MINORITY, BUT A FAIRLY STRONG MINORITY, THE BEST THING TO HOPE FOR, CONSIDERING THAT SUPPORT FOR THE BLOC. JUSTIN TRUDEAU SPECIFICALLY REACHED OUT TO CANADIANS IN ALBERTA AND IN SASKATCHEWAN IN HIS SPEECH, TALKING ABOUT HAVING HEARD THEIR FRUSTRATION AND WANTING TO WORK FOR ALL CANADIANS AND BRINGING CANADIANS TOGETHER. BUT HE’LL HAVE TO WORK HARD TO CONVINCE PEOPLE THAT HE IS HEARING THEM AND HE WON’T BE ABLE TO NAME A CABINET MINISTER FROM THOSE PROVINCES. SO THAT REMAINS TO BE SEEN IF PEOPLE AND ALBERTA AND SASKATCHEWAN WILL HEAR THAT MESSAGE.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU FOR YOUR MESSAGE AND YOUR FIRST FEDERAL ELECTION CAMPAIGN AND YOU’VE SURVIVED. ONE WIN FOR YOU. AND ELIZABETH MAY IS SPEAKING NOW IN VICTORIA, BRITISH COLUMBIA AND I KNOW, EVERYTHING IS ALL MIXED UP. WE’LL LISTEN TO ELIZABETH MAY WHO HAS WON THREE SEATS TONIGHT JUST FOR A LITTLE BIT.>>Elizabeth May: TO ALL OF HIS VOLUNTEERS AND I PARTICULARLY — I COULDN’T BE PROUDER THAN TO HAVE LYDIA HUTZMAN CAMPAIGN WITH US, DOING A SPECTACULAR JOB AS A GREEN CANDIDATE THERE. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND HERE IN THE RIDING, CLOSEST TO MINE AND, OF COURSE, A HUGE SHOUT OUT TO JENNA, DON’T CELEBRATE TOO LONG. WE HAVE TO GET TO WORK. BUT I STAND BEFORE YOU HEART-BROKEN BECAUSE THIS IS A SPECTACULAR INDIGENOUS WOMAN WHOSE VOICE I WANTED TO HERE IN PARLIAMENT. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] AND DAVID MARNER, OUR CANDIDATE SQUAMISH, WE’LL RUN AGAIN. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>SO FOR THE RECORDBOOKS, THIS IS THE BEST ELECTION RESULT ANY GREEN PARTY IN ANY PASS-THE-POST SYSTEM HAS HAD AND WE ENTER PARLIAMENT IN THE FIRST CAUCUS IN THE HISTORY OF OUR PICKUP PARLIAMENTTHAT IS TWO-THIRDS WOT SAYIN’. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE] (SPEAKING FRENCH)>>AND TO ALL OF YOU WHO WORKED AS VOLUNTEERS –>>Elizabeth May: I CAN’T THANK YOU ENOUGH, YOUR LOVE, CARE, SHOE LEATHER, KNOCKING ON DOORS AND TALKING TO EVERYONE, WE HAVE RAISED AWARENESS. WE HAVE RAISED CONSCIOUSNESS AND WE HAVE RAISED OUR VOTES, BUT THE GOAL HERE HAS ALWAYS BEEN TO DELIVER THE KIND OF GOVERNMENT CANADIANS DESERVE. LET’S HOPE THAT AS ALL THE OTHER PARTIES — WELL, EXCEPT THE BLOC. (SPEAKING FRENCH).>>CONGRATULATIONS TO Mr. BLANCHET WHO RAN A GREAT CAMPAIGN AND GREATLY INCREASED SUPPORT FOR THE BLOC. SO WE HAVE THE LIBERALS WHO HAVE GONE DOWN, THE CONSERVATIVES WITHOUT A VICTORY AND THE BLOC WITH A VICTORY AND THE N.D.P. THAT LOST ALMOST ALL ITS SEATS IN QUEBEC AND ALSO ACROSS CANADA. THEY LOST SEATS. BUT HE RAN A CAMPAIGN AND THE N.D.P. REMAINS AS THE FOURTH PARTY IN THE HOUSE OF COMMONS AND WE ARE THE FIFTH, BUT NOT THE LEAST.>>Elizabeth May: WE’RE IN THAT PARLIAMENT AND IT’S A MINORITY PARLIAMENT AND WE’RE GOING TO MAKE IT BY HARD WORK, MORAL SUATION AND NONSTOP ARM TWISTING AND HOLDING THE FEET TO THE FIRE. THERE WILL BE CRISPY TOES. [CHEERS AND APPLAUSE]>>Rosemary: THAT’S ELIZABETH MAY GIVING HER SPEECH IN VICTORIA, B.C., WHERE HER PARTY MANAGED TO PICK UP ONLY ONE ADDITIONAL SEAT BUT HER SUPPORT ACROSS THE COUNTRY DID GROW TO ABOUT 6.4% AND THAT MIGHT BE GROWTH, I GUESS, NATIONALLY. SO WE’LL GET A PICTURE OF WHAT KIND OF VOTE TURN-OUT OR START TO LOOK AT THAT SENSE FROM ANDREW NOW WHO CAN GIVE US NUMBERS THERE.>>Andrew: THE CAVEAT IS THERE ARE UNOFFICIAL NUMBERS BECAUSE THERE ARE VOTES COUNTED AT THIS HOUR. A COUPLE THINGS TO POINT OUT AS I PUT THE GRAPHIC UP ON THE SCREEN, THE CONSERVATIVES DID WIN THE POPULAR VOTE SO INTERESTING IF NOT IMPORTANT THAT MORE CANADIANS DID VOTE CONSERVATIVE THAN LIBERAL IN THIS ELECTION. THE OTHER THING THAT I’LL POINT OUT, IF YOU LOOK AT THE BOTTOM RIGHT CORNER, TURN-OUT IS DOWN BUT NOT IN A DRAMATIC WAY, RIGHT? I MEAN, CONSIDERING WHEN JUSTIN TRUDEAU CARRIED THE DAY IN 2015, THAT WAS DURING A YEAR THAT SAW A SURGE IN TURN-OUT. BUT WHAT I WOULD ALSO POINT OUT, THOUGH, THE LIBERALS ARE DOWN IN A DISPROPORTIONATELY LARGER WAY THAN THE DROP IN TURN-OUT ITSELF. THE BASIC TAKE AWAY, THAT VOTERS TURNED OUT BUT INCREASING NUMBERS FOR THE CONSERVATIVES, BLOC AND THE GREENS.>>Rosemary: LET’S JUST LEAVE THAT BOARD UP, IF WE CAN. I WANT TO CONTRAST THAT WITH WHAT HAPPENED IN 2015. AS WE’VE TALKED ABOUT BEFORE, THE CONSERVATIVE PARTY NOT GREAT AT GROWING ITS SUPPORT AND, INDEED, IN 2015, IT WAS 5,600,000, GIVE OR TAKE, BUT THE LIBERAL PARTY WHO BENEFITED FROM BIG TURN-OUT AND PROBABLY FROM A COUNTRY THAT WANTED TO GET RID OF A GOVERNMENT THAT HAD BEEN IN PLACE FOR TEN YEARS, THEY HAD IN 2015, IN TERMS OF POPULAR SUPPORT, CLOSE TO 7 MILLION PEOPLE. YOU CAN SEE THAT DROP HAS LEFT THEM NOW IN A MINORITY POSITION, BUT ALSO, THAT THAT IS WHY THERE’S A DISPARITY BETWEEN THEM AND THE CONSERVATIVES. OK, WE’RE GETTING READY TO WRAP THIS DOWN ONE DAY. BUT FIRST, I’LL GET ONE MORE TAKE FROM MY FRIENDS “AT ISSUE.” YOU’LL BE BACK TOMORROW, I HATE TO TELL YOU ON “THE NATIONAL” WHILE YOU’VE HAD TIME TO SLEEP ONLY THINGS AND GIVE US ANOTHER EVALUATION. BUT CHANTAL, YOU LOOK AT THE PICTURE AND WHAT DO YOU WANT CANADIANS TO THINK ABOUT?>>Chantal: LISTENING TO THE SPEECHES, I’M NOT SURE THAT JUSTIN TRUDEAU HAS NOT LOST IN THE RELIEF OF HAVING SECURED A MINORITY GOVERNMENT. IF HE HAS LOST THE VOTERS AND THERE’S, YOU KNOW, TRIUMPH SHOULD BE MODERATED GOING FORWARD. IF I WERE ANDREW SCHEER, I WOULD LOOK TO RECEIVE A LEADERSHIP REVIEW. CAUCUS MANAGEMENT WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT. THE N.D.P. IS NOT IN GOOD SHAPE AT THE END OF THIS CAMPAIGN. Mr. SINGH HAS LOST ALMOST HALF OF THE CAUCUS HE HAD FROM 2015 AND HAS ALMOST NO REPRESENTATION EAST OF ONTARIO. AND SO, THE THREE OF THEM HAVE SOME THINKING TO DO ABOUT HOW THEY WANT TO BE BEHAVE IN THE NEXT PARLIAMENT TO EARN BACK THE TRUST OF MORE VOTERS.>>Rosemary: BECAUSE IF THERE’S ANY MESSAGE FOR ANYBODY, I WOULD THINK IT’S THAT, ANDREW, THAT THE CANADIANS AREN’T THRILLED WITH ANY OF THEM.>>Andrew: NO, AND NOT A PARTICULAR HAPPY RESULT. YOU HAVE A SEVERELY WEAKENED GOVERNMENT, LOSING MORE THAN A MILLION VOTES, FINISHED A QUARTER MILLION BEHIND THE NEAREST COMPETITOR. BUT MOST IMPORTANTLY, THIS IS THE WEAKEST MANDATE AT 33% OF THE VOTE OF ANY GOVERNMENT IN THE HISTORY OF THE COUNTRY. AND IT’S PRESIDING OVER A SHARPLY DIVIDING COUNTRY. THE LIBERALS GOT 15 SEATS WEST OF ONTARIO AND THE CONSERVATIVES 14 SEATS EAST OF ONTARIO AND THE DEMONS OF THE NATION ARE AWAKE IN BOTH QUEBEC AND THE WEST AND WE DON’T HAVE A PARTICULARLY STRONG GOVERNMENT TO DEAL WITH IT IN OTTAWA. WE’RE IN FOR TRYING TIMES.>>Rosemary: WE DIDN’T SEE IN ANY OF THOSE SPEECHES, I THINK WE WOULD ALL AGREE LISTENING TO THAT, OUTREACH CONCILIATORY REMARK, SUPER AWARENESS OF WHAT HAPPENED WITHOUT THE PLEDGE TO SASKATCHEWAN FROM JUSTIN TRUDEAU.>>THEY SEEM COMPLETELY OBLIVIOUS TO IT. ALL OF THEIR SPEECHES SEEM TO BE CAMPAIGN SPEECHES AND THEY REUSED THE LINES FROM THE SPEECHES THAT WE HEARD OVER THE WEEKEND. THEY SEEM MORE INTERESTED IN RELITIGATING THE LAST CONTEST THAN TRYING TO BRING THE COUNTRY TOGETHER. EXCEPT FOR THE BLOC QUÉBÉCOIS, THIS HAS BEEN A BAD NIGHT FOR EVERYONE ELSE. ELIZABETH MAY GOT MORE THAN A MILLION VOTES AND MAXIME BERNIER’S PARTY IS PROBABLY DONE WITH, BUT OTHERWISE, NOBODY MET THE TARGETS THEY SET OUT FOR THEMSELVES AND WE MAY BE DOING IT ALL OVER AGAIN SOON.>>Rosemary: DUNCAN.>>PICKING UP ON WHAT ANDREW COYNE HAD TO SAY, AS I LOOK AT THE MAP THERE, I’M THINKING WE’LL HAVE LOTS OF FODDER FOR CROSS-COUNTRY CHECK-UP NEXT SUNDAY. [ Laughter ]>>Rosemary: MEAGAN?>>I AGREE SHARPLY DIVIDED AND TOUGH FOR ALL OF THE PARTIES BUT I THINK ABOUT OTHER MINORITY GOVERNMENTS, JACK LAYTON AND WE WERE ABLE TO GET GREAT STUFF FOR CANADA, LIKE MEDICARE AND HOUSING SO I’M HOPEFUL FOR THE POLICIES WE’LL SEE BUT IT WILL BE MORE WORK.>>Rosemary: YOU’RE JUST A HOPEFUL PERSON. COREY.>>I THINK IT WAS A BAD NIGHT FOR EVERYONE EXCEPT THE BLOC AND A GOOD NIGHT FOR THE BLOC IS A BAD NIGHT FOR CANADA. SO I’M NOT FEELING REALLY GREAT ABOUT WHAT A LOT OF THE RESULTS ARE, BUT THIS IS CANADA AND WE’LL SOLDIER ON AND MAKE THE BEST OF IT.>>Rosemary: TAKE ONE MORE LOOK AT THE MAP. ALMOST ALL POLLS REPORTING AND ELECTED RIGHT NOW. JUST A FEW MORE THAT THEY ARE FINISHING UP AT THE DECISION DESK BUT THAT’S WHAT IT LOOKS LIKE. TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA WHEN WE TALK ABOUT DIVISION AND WHAT WILL HAPPEN, THAT’S WHY WE’RE TALKING ABOUT IT BECAUSE THAT IS WHAT CANADA WILL LOOK LIKE GOING FORWARD. BOB RAY, LAST THOUGHT FOR YOU?>>I THOUGHT THE SPEECH SUMMED UP THE ELECTIONS. THEY WERE ALL TALKING OVER EACH OTHER. I’M SURE IT WASN’T COMPLETELY DELIBERATE BUT AS WE SAW THE TRIPLE SCREEN IN THE STUDIO, IT WAS RIDICULOUS IN TERMS OF PEOPLE DELIVERING MESSAGES. THEY WERE GIVING THE SAME SPEECHES THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN AND THERE WAS NO DIFFERENT TEMPO AND NO SELF-DEPRECATION AND NO REAL HUMOUR. THERE WAS JUST THE SAME REPETITION OF LINES AND SLOGANS AND I REALLY DON’T FEEL GREAT ABOUT THAT. I DO FEEL GREAT ABOUT OUR COUNTRY AND I ALWAYS WILL FEEL GREAT ABOUT IT. WE’LL GET THROUGH IT ALL. BUT I ONLY WISH THAT PARLIAMENT WOULD BE ABLE TO BE ITSELF, THAT CABINET WOULD BE ABLE TO BE ITSELF AND THAT PEOPLE WOULD ENGAGE WITH EACH OTHER IN A PRODUCTIVE WAY. THERE IS OVERLAP BETWEEN THE PARTIES IN TERMS OF WHAT THEY WANT TO GET DONE. IT CAN HAPPEN, BUT THERE SURE WEREN’T A LOT OF SIGNS TONIGHT IN TERMS OF WHAT PEOPLE HAD TO SAY. I WAS TROUBLED BY THAT.>>Rosemary: IT WILL TAKE A LOT OF WORK. WHAT STRUCK YOU FROM YOUR OWN RESULTS?>>Ian: MY FAVOURITE MOMENT WAS WHAT FOLDS OF LISA RAITT’S CONCESSION INTERVIEW, A REMINDER YOU CAN LOSE AND NOT A DIS-HONOURABLE THING AND THERE ARE GOOD PEOPLE IN POLITICS AND IT WAS IMPRESSIVE AND POIGNANT.>>I WOULD SAY THE SAME ABOUT RALPH GOODALE AND I’M ON THE AIR IN 15 MINUTES AND YOU’RE WELCOMED TO MOVE DOWN TO MY STUDIO 16 FLOORS BELOW.>>Rosemary: YOU NEGOTIATED BADLY, SISTER. [ Laughter ]>>Rosemary: YOU’RE A TROUPER FOR STAYING UP LATE FOR US.>>I WONDER WHAT WE’LL BE DEALING WITH IN OTTAWA. WHAT PARLIAMENT WE’LL BE DEALING WITH AND HOW LONG IT WILL LAST. MY SENSE IS IT WILL LAST LONGER THAN SOME OF THE JOKES, WE’LL BE BACK IN SIX MONTHS OR THE YEAR. THEY HAVE AN INCENTIVE BECAUSE THEY TOOK A BEATING IN TERMS OF THE SEAT LOSS AND FLAT BROKE. THE CONSERVATIVES WILL HAVE NO TROUBLE FUNDRAISING OFF OF THIS RESULT. THE NEW DEMOCRATS HAVE AN INCENTIVE TO KEEP IT ALIVE. THEY MORTGAGED THE BUILDING IN OTTAWA AND LOST A LOT OF HIS PEOPLE. JUSTIN TRUDEAU HAS A BIT MORE LEASH BECAUSE OF THAT BECAUSE JASMEET SINGH HAS A BIG INCENTIVE TO COOPERATE.>>Rosemary: ANDREW CHANG?>>Andrew: I’M THINKING ABOUT THE FUTURE AND THE COUNTRY AS A WHOLE. IN A LITERAL SENSE, YOU CAN THINK OF ELECTION AS BEING 338 INDIVIDUAL FIGHTS. IT DOESN’T ALWAYS FEEL THAT WAY, THOUGH, BECAUSE OFTEN YOU HAVE VOTERS WHO VOTE IN BLOCS, AND RIDINGS WHO VOTE IN BLOCS BUT TONIGHT IT FEELS LIKE BLOCS ARE SMALLER THAN WE’RE ACCUSTOMED TO SEEING THEM. YOU SEE A DIVIDED COUNTRY AND I THINK WE’LL BE SAYING THOSE IN THE DAYS AND WEEKS TO COME.>>Rosemary: LET’S LOOK AT THE MAP TO GET A PICKET OF WHAT THAT MEANS. I WOULD SAY YES, DIVIDED, BUT THERE’S A LOT OF PARTIES ON THE LEFT, RIGHT? A LOT OF PARTIES TO QUALITY AS PROGRESSIVE. I AGREE WITH WHAT MEAGAN SAID, IT WILL TAKE OUTREACH FROM EVERYBODY, STARTING FOREMOST WITH THE PRIME MINISTER WHO ENDS LEADING ELECTED AT 196 AND THE BLOC 132 UP FROM 10 AND THE GREENS AND JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD IN GRANVILLE.>>FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF THE OPPOSITION PARTIES, AFTER TONIGHT, THERE’S NO INCENTIVE TO SHORTEN THAT.>>Rosemary: MINORITY GOVERNMENTS, YOU MEAN?>>MINORITY GOVERNMENTS. WHAT DID I SAY, COALITION?>>Rosemary: JUST DON’T WANT TO SCARE PEOPLE. [ Laughter ]>>I THOUGHT, LIKE, SOME OF THE OTHERS, THAT THE SPEECHES TONIGHT WERE DISAPPOINTING. THIS WAS A NIGHT WHERE THE COUNTRY NEEDED SOMEBODY TO REALLY STAND UP AND TALK ABOUT THE IMPORTANCE OF COUNTRY AND A UNITED COUNTRY AND NOBODY DID. AND JUSTIN TRUDEAU SEEMED TO WALK UP THERE, NOT REALIZING THAT TWO-THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY VOTED AGAINST HIM AND LEFT BIG HOLES IN THE COUNTRY. I MEAN, EVENTUALLY, HE GOT AROUND TO THAT ONE LINE IN SASKATCHEWAN AND ALBERTA AND ANDREW SCHEER HAD A SIMILAR ISSUE, MAKING A THING OUT OF THE POPULAR VOTE FOR THE SEATS. A GUY LIKE HIM SHOULD KNOW HIS HISTORY. TWO PRIME MINISTERS HAVE BENEFITED FROM THAT FACT. THAT’S HOW JOE CLARK BECAME PRIME MINISTER AND HE QUOTED JOHN DIFFENBAKER AND HE WAS PRIME MINISTER IN SPITE OF THE FACT HE HAD FEWER VOTES THAN LESTER PEARSON. SO I WAS REALLY DISAPPOINTED. YOU USUALLY HAVE A SPEECH THAT SOARS ON A NIGHT LIKE THIS AND NONE OF THOSE DID.>>Rosemary: VASSY, MOMENTS OF NOT UNDERSTANDING WHERE WE GOING OR WHAT WAS HAPPENING NEXT BUT LISTEN, I WILL GIVE EVERYONE 24 HOURS. [ Laughter ]>>Rosemary: TO SEE IF THEY CAN COME UP WITH SOMETHING MORE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND SEE IF THEY CAN LIFT THINGS. BUT PARTICULARLY, THE PRIME MINISTER, THE BALL IS IN HIS COURT TO DO SIGNIFICANT OUTREACH AND MAYBE THEY’RE ALL EXHAUSTED.>>Vassy: IT ENDED THE WAY IT STARTED AND THROUGHOUT THE CAMPAIGN BOTH LEADERS FAILED TO TRULY INSPIRE CANADIANS TO COME OUT AND VOTE FOR THEM AND WE SAW EVIDENCE OF THAT TONIGHT. THE QUESTION THAT STOOD UP TO ME AND AS IAN HIGHLIGHTED LISA RAITT’S CLASS AND THE HUMILITY SHE SHOWED, WE DIDN’T SEE ANY OF THAT FROM EITHER JUSTIN TRUDEAU OR ANDREW SCHEER.>>Rosemary: WHEN DO THEY RECALL PARLIAMENT AND WHEN DO THEY FORM GOVERNMENT?>>Vassy: THEY HAD A SHOT TONIGHT. THEY HAD THE ENTIRE COUNTRY LISTENING AND CHOSE NOT TO.>>AT 2:00 IN THE MORNING?>>Rosemary: EVERYBODY IS STILL UP, BOB. [ Laughter ]>>Rosemary: HOW MUCH TIME DO I HAVE LEFT. SHE GETS THREE LAST THOUGHTS. [ Laughter ]>>Chantal: TO MY PREMIER WHO MAY HAVE LET OUT THE GENI. E. EVEN THE NIGHT OF THE ELECTION WASN’T SO GREAT BECAUSE SHE DIDN’T WIN A MAJORITY.>>BOTH PARTIES HAVE TO THINK ABOUT HOW TO EXPAND THEIR BASE. WE’VE NEVER SEEN THIS BEFORE AND THIS SHOULD BE A NIGHT OF SOBER REFLECTION.>>Rosemary: THANK YOU ALL. I’LL SEE YOU ALL TOMORROW. I WANT TO GIVE A HUGE THANKS TO THE MANY PRODUCERS BEHIND US, THE AMAZING CONTROL ROOM UPSTAIRS. , THE DECISION DESK, THE PHENOMENAL CREW AND SUPPORT FOR ALL OF THEM GETTING US TO THIS PLACE, TO ALL OF THESE PEOPLE AROUND THE TABLE FOR OFFERING ANAMAZINGLY SHOW. GOOD LUCK TOMORROW, CANADA!

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